Okay, let's see if I can get caught up ...
Lord Varys, on 08 November 2010 - 07:43 AM, said:
I only said that it seems as if she was aiming for war.
Okay, so you're talking about how it would've appeared to Tywin, then? Apologies for misunderstanding. I must say, I think the difference between Riverrun and Eyrie is going to seem pretty minimal to him. Sure the Eyrie is more heavily fortified, but I have a hard time seeing that making a difference to Tywin. She might have gotten the support from there that she could have used to escort her safely to King's Landing, but I think the reason she goes to the Eyrie is simply this:
Quote
There she would find her sister ... and, perhaps, some of the answers Ned sought. Surely Lysa knew more than she had dared to put in her letter. She might have the very proof that Ned needed to bring the Lannisters to ruin, and if it came to war, they would need the Arryns and the eastern lords who owed them service.
It would seem to me that once she is spotted, she is trying to compensate for the situational disadvantage she perceives, and acts in such a way that shows her motives are as legitimate as they could be. She goes to the Eyrie simply because the answers are there.
Cat's presence at the Eyrie was no particular secret, as I recall? Edmure wrote to her there telling her that he demanded Tywin to reveal his intentions. The news took a while to reach King's Landing, and Ned benefited from Yoren speeding the news to him personally before Robert and Cersei heard about it. She wouldn't have to make an impact on things down in KL until they got the news anyway, right?
Also, I must be forgetting something, could you remind me what Cat would have to hear about Robert, Ned and Tywin?
I agree that the dagger is critical evidence, I don't believe I indicated otherwise (I hope not, I admit I'm too lazy and in a rush to go back and reread), and I think it's a nonissue anyway since Ned has the dagger all this time.
Perhaps I read their relationship differently than you did, but I don't think Robert really ever believes what Cersei says. For example, he knows his son was lying about the Mycah incident. The point isn't that Cersei convinces him, the point is that Robert caves into Cersei without believing her at all. But I don't think he could get away with punishing Ned the way he could punish Lady, nor would he be willing to, certainly not without a little bit of investigating (which could be all it takes, given your point about Littlefinger and the dagger).
Tywin being able to get away with bad justice is different because at that point there's nobody around to challenge House Lannister. Ned might attempt to do a similar thing, but I simply was arguing that Cersei would not let him (and she doesn't need to rely on Robert for this, she can arrange accidents). If Ned was around to challenge Tywin I believe he would, it is in line with his values as displayed in his conversations with Robert about one family having too much power and his general fairly evolved concepts of justice.
To state for the record: I too think Cat's motivations were merely to avoid ambush on the road, and as well she chose the Eyrie in particular because of the answers she believed her sister held, because Cat truly and honestly does want answers (she does not take it upon herself to execute Tyrion either, so there's little use arguing that she thought it was her position to do that). Her sister does not need to
do anything except talk. I can see validity in some of the points Lord Varys makes about the Riverrun option, the road is easier as Catelyn knows full well, and Hoster would have been much more likely to give Cat safe escort to KL rather than Lysa, though Cat cannot know how uncooperative Lysa would be, and in any case she cannot get more evidence from Hoster like she thinks she can get from Lysa. This all goes back, as it always does in arguments about this plot point, to how predictable Tywin's retaliation was. Cat obviously expects trouble, but trouble directed at her individual person and not at riverland civilians.
I think this business about Cat wanting a kangaroo trial in Winterfell is hogwash. It is clearly indicated in the text that the Winterfell option was only a lie tossed around to deter pursuit, and that she was against the trial that did occur. Given what is there in the text, it adds the least amount of fiction to the situation to merely assign her motivations thusly.
The idea that Catelyn would conduct torture to extort information goes against everything that has been established by the author about her character. This strikes me as an unworthy potshot, and doesn't speak well for the argument. There's also no reason why she would be less willing to consider Tyrion's protestations of innocence in Winterfell than she was on the way to the Eyrie, and she is shown to have doubts about the accusation.
Edited by Lady Blackfish, 13 November 2010 - 01:43 AM.