Bastard of the White Knife, on 23 March 2012 - 08:36 AM, said:
Varys is from Lys. Illyrio is originally from Braavos, but has spent most of his life in Pentos. I'm personally of the opinion that there is a "pro-magic and pro-dragon" fight going on. The Braavosi and Maesters are anti-dragon, to be sure. The Maesters and quite possibly the Braavosi are anti-magic. The Maesters think dragons and magic take away the importance of learning and science and the Braavosi fear any person or group of people having access to great power based upon their ancenstors persecution by the Valayrians. They may not be necessarily working in perfect harmony. We know that "Pate" in ADWD is a FM who is spying on Archmaester Marwin, who seems to be the sole maester of any real importance who is studying or thinking about magic and dragons. Another of the "big picture battles" is over the existential threat brought about by the Others. Most of the world scoffs of the idea that this is truly a threat. However, some factions, most notably the Red Priests of R'hllor and the Night's Watch, know that the Others and the true threat to the Realm and the world and will use any means to defeat them. These factions are all working at un-coordinated cross-purposes instead of working together. I don't think it is a surprise that there are connections through the Starks to (1) The Night's Watch - Jon (2) Braavos - Arya (3) The citadel - Sam. I'm sure at some point Dany and her dragons factor into the defeat of the Others and she's connected to Jon through blood relation (R+L=J). I also think Tyrion winds up as Dany's Hand, and he's got a realtionship to Jon from his visit to the Wall. In essence, Jon, Jon's favorite sibling (Arya), his best friend (Sam) and his cousin (Dany) are the connections to the story's conclusion.
This is good, and kind of brings up a question. We know from the prologue to AFFC that Jaqen may have been involved in Pate's murder and taking one of the Key's to the Citadel. Now whether or not it is really Jaqen is hard to determine, however my suspicion is that it very well could be. That aside, it appears very reasonable to assume that the House of Black and White is definately involved in this regard--if indeed it isn't Jaqen but some other individual that belongs to their order. What is going on here? Why is the House of Black and White involved in this? Are they trying to stop the Citadel from interfering with Dany's dragons? If so, that would align with a lot of Varys and Illyro's actions up to now. Are they also trying to ensure that Dany ascends to the Iron Throne? I really can't wait until Winds to find out how some of these plot lines are cleared up. It was clear from ADWD, at least for the Stark kids, that a main theme was "training." Both Bran and Arya were being put through a training regimen.
I feel that there is some sort of connection between Bloodraven, the children, the old gods, and the House of Black and White. This connection is more suspicion because I don't have much to back this up other than the Bran chapter when he first meets Brynden. Everything is Black and White, the cave, the shadows, and even Bloodraven. His garb, his skin, his hair--and we know the priests are garbed half black and half white. I suspect that the House of Black and White has a much larger role in the overall ASOIAF than is let on in the earlier books.
You are missing a main connection in your reply above. Brandon Stark. I believe he can be connected to (1) Nights Watch--Jon, (2) Winterfell (future Warden of the North--suspicion), (3) Arya--as I said before I think Bran will try to contact Arya in one way or another, (4) Danerys and the Dragons--i think he'll use his uber-Warg ability to help control one or more of the dragons, perhaps Drogon, (5) COF and the Old Gods. You can obviously tell that I don't put much into the theory that Bran is the Great Other. I do think he is some version of the Last Hero.