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You agree with Louis when he says -Failing to share his plans with Edmure, however, is a true mistake that people often unduly forgive Robb for.
But he did not need to share his full plans with him. The fewer people that know the totality of a plan the better. He was not in Robbs inner circle and as his liege lord, he gave him a specific and direct order, which edmure disregarded. It was not possible for Robb to have known beforehand that Edmure would not follow his orders so he had to fill him in on his plan to lure Tywin West. I am sure he had reasons not to go into this kind of detail with Edmure, so he gave him a direct order instead.
Let me begin by saying that, historically, when subordinates are given orders/objectives from superiors it is up to the subordinate to find a way to make the objective a reality. Hence, they have to be given leeway to be creative enough to interpret the order for maximum effectiveness and flexibility.
With that thought as a backdrop here is my explination as to why Robb Stark is 100% (not 90%, not 95%, but completely and totally) at fault for the "Hold Riverrun" Order:
This order is as simple as it gets. It’s a very terse directive. By leaving this description so vague its open to wide interpretation. Edmure- as the chief subordinate of Robb –has a wide latitude in how to interpret the order. We know of absolutely no descriptions of the order. Robb NEVER stated (nor ever implied until after-the-fact) any improvements to the order such as “Just Hold the castle itself” or “Tywin must pass unmolested” etc. Robb’s order was viable when Robb left for the West; outdated when it became an issue, and Robb NEVER bothered to update Edmure. This is a critical and horrible mistake; it put Robb’s entire war effort into turmoil, and ultimately lost him his best chance to win the war.
Maybe the part of the order lost most in the shuffle was the term “guard his rear.” I am unsure how Edmure could legitimately “guard (Robb’s) rear” if he allowed Tywin to pass unmolested into the West and sandwich Robb between The Rock and Tywin’s advancing host. Here is where I think Robb’s argument is most untenable: what does “Guard his rear” mean if it DOES
NOT MEAN hold Tywin back? It makes the whole order meaningless.
Worse, some Robb apologists claim that the order ONLY allowed Edmure to hold Riverrun itself from a siege. That is preposterous for the simple reason that did Edmure REALLY need to be reminded of this fact? That Edmure had to make sure that his homeland, the seat of his family’s power, the Bedrock of the Riverrlands should not fall? I mean, what was Robb thinking iof that was the actual order? That if he did not REMIND Edmure not to allow Riverrun to fall, when Robb returned he could find Edmure et al sitting outside of Riverrun, the golden lion fluttering inside Riverrun and Edmure saying, “Well, Robb, you didn’t ORDER me to “Hold Riverrun” so I just let it fall?” That’s absurd.
The entire idea behind “Hold Riverrun” being just about Riverrun is absurd because if that were the case, the order does not even need to be given.
Edmure simply followed the order. Edmure DID hold Riverrun; Riverrun stood. Edmure merely interpreted the order with the information available to him: by holding the fjords and the bridges, he kept Tywin at bay. That was the order and Edmure carried it out. Robb failed in clarifying his order EITHER at the time he left Riverrun or at the time he realized he had such a grand opportunity. Robb failed to notify his most important political and military ally of the situation: that Tywin now HAD to come West and Edmure must allow it. This was a monumental failure on Robb’s part.
The blame, by contrast, cannot fall on Edmure: Edmure did EXACTLY what he was told; he “held Riverrun” by containing Tywin. Edmure’s plan was never discussed in a vacuum: Edmure ran his idea’s by many in the military establishment at Riverrun.
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(Edmure): “The plan’s a good one,” he concluded. “Lord Tytos says so, and Lord Jonos as well. When did Blackwood and Bracken agree about anything that was not certain, I ask you?”
Martin, George R.R. (2003). A Game of Thrones/A Clash of Kings (Kindle Locations 22110-22112). Bantam. Kindle Edition.
In other words, even KNOWING what the order said, neither Blackwood nor Braken thinks to say “But the order never SAID that.” And why? Because experienced battle commanders know that their orders to subordinates have to be carried out by the subordinates using their own abilities, resources and imaginations. To foolishly assume that your subordinates will robotically carry out the orders is absurd.
And everyone knew it.
The pathetic scene where Edmure and Robb tag-team on Edmure for Edmure's success is basically two men engaging in group-think/echo-chamber (ie: two people are convinced that they are correct and reinforce it by encouraging the other). Robb is correct because he wins the argument? That's just the writer glossing over the hero's monumental mistake. Merely because Edmure lost the argument does not mean he was wrong; just that the writer did not want Edmure to become, suddenly, bright and articulate.
Edmure Tully never claimed to be a mind-reader; pity Robb thought he was. Robb screwed up his own plan because he failed to tell his most important ally what his plan actually was. Instead, he gives Edmure an order that is open to wide interpretation.
That HAS to be Robb’s failure, not Edmure’s.