The Latest News
Connect with Us
Notable Releases
From the Store
Game of Thrones Khal Mug
Khal Mug
HBO US
Featured Sites
License Holders

Jump to content


R+L=J v.27

jon snow lyanna rhaegar stark targaryen

  • This topic is locked This topic is locked
430 replies to this topic

#241 Joan of Arc

Joan of Arc

    Sellsword

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 86 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 09:53 AM

View Postcasey31652, on 21 June 2012 - 07:58 AM, said:

The best lies are based on a plausible half-truth.

Yes. Its from a 'hersey' thing that Robert remembers. 'She made you forget your honor, if even for an hour'. Robert knows Neds honor would prevent him from fathering a bastard. Again. If this is 'hersey' from the rebellion period, the Tully's would have known.

So to me the 'hersey' had to come from a different period it time. Now we know that there is actually one point in time where Ned really could have lost his honor, even for an hour. If that thruthfull anwser was 'Ashara (Dayne)' he could say 'Wylla' (the wetnurse in service of the House Dayne) and tell a half-truth.

My problem with Wylla is that she is in the Dayne camp. Some theories place her at the ToJ, helping Lyanna to give birth to Jon. To explain that fact, but I go a step further. It might have been that Wylla was present at Harrenhal as a servant to the Daynes. We don't know that I know.

The evidence is pretty thin. Based on 'hersey' Robert picked up about Ned.

#242 Ygrain

Ygrain

    One who prefers walking around unlabelled

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2,171 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 09:59 AM

View PostJoan of Arc, on 21 June 2012 - 09:53 AM, said:

My problem with Wylla is that she is in the Dayne camp. Some theories place her at the ToJ, helping Lyanna to give birth to Jon. To explain that fact, but I go a step further. It might have been that Wylla was present at Harrenhal as a servant to the Daynes. We don't know that I know.
But what would be the connection between Wylla and Ned and Jon? Harrenhall was too long ago before the Rebellion and Ned's marriage.

#243 nothatso

nothatso

    Hedge Knight

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 333 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 10:00 AM

View PostSnowman93, on 21 June 2012 - 09:45 AM, said:

Now I'm not sure if its just me but when Mel and Jon are having that chat about looking for Stannis and all Mell could see was snow. I know George likes his foreshadowing of AAR but Stannis was right smack bang in the middle of shit snow storm and thats what I get out of that conversation. If Jon is R+L then he technically wouldn't be a snow in any case.

"I pray for a glimpse of Azor Ahai, and R'hllor shows me only Snow."

That's from the Melisandre chapter. Either it was a typo, or she was referring to a name.

Edited by nothatso, 21 June 2012 - 10:03 AM.


#244 Joan of Arc

Joan of Arc

    Sellsword

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 86 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 10:06 AM

View PostYgrain, on 21 June 2012 - 09:59 AM, said:

But what would be the connection between Wylla and Ned and Jon? Harrenhall was too long ago before the Rebellion and Ned's marriage.

My point is: Robert knows where babies come from, but thats it. If Robert would have known it takes nine months to produce a baby, he would at least have suspected something's wrong with his own offspring.

#245 corbon

corbon

    Council Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2,348 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 10:08 AM

View PostJoan of Arc, on 21 June 2012 - 07:18 AM, said:


Ned does not seem the man to be messing around with a woman if he is in fact: fleeing to Winterfell to gather his banners, march off to the Riverlands to be maried to Cat for support, march to the Trident to meet up with the royal forces and then speed march to KL to save the Iron Throne for his friend Robert. And this is only the short list.

Ned would have been occupied with doing a war. Yes he could have partied around after a victory. But we are talking here about honarable Ned "quiet wolf" Stark. Married to a family with the words "Family, Duty, Honor" Ned would certainly not dishonor Cat because he would loose his support of the Tullies. We all know that it took two marriages to involve the Tully's into the rebellion.

With those arguments I think that is it not likely that 'there was this girl' was from when they where rebels. If talk about it reached Robert, it would have reached to the ears of what ever Tully was around.

Exept that having 'a woman' as a camp follower during war is nothing unexpected. Not only do we see other instances of this, but Catelyn herself thinks that it would have been ok and she could have forgiven Ned for such if only he hadn't brought Jon home to raise as party of his family.
And for Robert, this is default behaviour. He knows Ned isn't like that (especially not messing with a noblewoman's honour), but he can believe 'that one time' Ned slipped (but not with a noblewoman) (and especially as it kind of makes his own behavior not so bad). This is about what is believable for Robert, no one else thinks Wylla is Jon's mother.

View PostJoan of Arc, on 21 June 2012 - 07:18 AM, said:

Good point. At the surface it seems to fit. Wylla became a wetnurse for birthing Jon leaving her a good life, in the care of the House Dayne. Only Wylla is also "Ned" Dayne's wet nurse. And he tells Arya that she was in service for 'years and years'.

'Years and years' would cover since Wylla-the-wet-nurse left Winterfell and went to Starfall. This is a 12 year old boy talking, talking about the woman who nursed him. She has been in the Dayne household for 'years and years' - since she ceased nursing Jon.

She may have been in the Dayne household before then, but we have no knowledge of that. I think she probably was, or at least associated with the Daynes or Starfall directly, as she was probably chosen as Jon's wetnurse on behalf of Lyanna by Arthur Dayne or Ashara Dayne. But that is just supposition. All we really know, or have strong evidence for, is that she was probably at the ToJ when Ned got there as he would've need a wetnurse for the journey to Starfall, and Lyanna would probably have had one standing by anyway.

View PostJoan of Arc, on 21 June 2012 - 07:18 AM, said:

From describtion of Ned Dayne, he and Jon Snow are close in age(?). My conclusion to this is that Wylla already was at least a servant for the House of Dayne before she was Jons wet nurse.
No, Ned Dayne and Jon are not of an age. They are about 2-3 years apart. Clearly Wylla nursed Jon, then when he was weaned left Winterfell (here presence probably made Catelyn uncomfortable) and took up a position at Starfall.
That doesn't mean she had such a position before that though (though as I said above, it seems reasonable that she did at least have an association with the Daynes).

View PostJoan of Arc, on 21 June 2012 - 07:18 AM, said:

The war was in the West, Riverlands and KL. There is no shred of evidence that the South got involved with the rebelion or that Ned would have todo something in the South that Robert should know of.

If you mean was Ned ever in the south, then no, as far as we know he was not (until after the war ended). But there is nothing to nail Wylla down south the whole time. Its perfectly reasonable to think that a northern commander took up temporarily with a dornish camp follower who was away from home, got her pregnant, sent her home to have the baby and then went south after the war was over to pick the kid up. You know, all those songs about dornishwomen...

View PostJoan of Arc, on 21 June 2012 - 07:18 AM, said:

If Ned was hidding the truth from Robert about Jon, why would he come up with the name of Jons real wet nurse to Robert?
Why wouldnt he? Its not only a checkable fact that he can't easily risk lying about, its a perfect cover for Jon's real mother.

View PostJoan of Arc, on 21 June 2012 - 09:53 AM, said:

Yes. Its from a 'hersey' thing that Robert remembers. 'She made you forget your honor, if even for an hour'. Robert knows Neds honor would prevent him from fathering a bastard. Again. If this is 'hersey' from the rebellion period, the Tully's would have known.

So to me the 'hersey' had to come from a different period it time.

Except your premise is flawed. Its no big deal and the Tulleys wouldn't care, so no reason anyone would've told them.
Not that it matters anyway, since we are talking about what Robert believes, not what the Tulleys believe.

View PostJoan of Arc, on 21 June 2012 - 09:53 AM, said:

Now we know that there is actually one point in time where Ned really could have lost his honor, even for an hour. If that thruthfull anwser was 'Ashara (Dayne)' he could say 'Wylla' (the wetnurse in service of the House Dayne) and tell a half-truth.

My problem with Wylla is that she is in the Dayne camp. Some theories place her at the ToJ, helping Lyanna to give birth to Jon. To explain that fact, but I go a step further. It might have been that Wylla was present at Harrenhal as a servant to the Daynes. We don't know that I know.

The evidence is pretty thin. Based on 'hersey' Robert picked up about Ned.

I think even Robert could pick up on a baby being born two years or more 'overdue'.
Jon is clearly not a product of Harrenhal. He clearly is a product of a few months into the war. There is zero point in thinking about potential failings at other times, since Robert is explicitly talking about Jon being Ned's 'that one time'.

View PostJoan of Arc, on 21 June 2012 - 10:06 AM, said:

My point is: Robert knows where babies come from, but thats it. If Robert would have known it takes nine months to produce a baby, he would at least have suspected something's wrong with his own offspring.

Err, no. Robert is usually too drunk to remember that Cersei hasn't let him finish inside her.

#246 The Snowman

The Snowman

    Council Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 865 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 10:09 AM

View Postnothatso, on 21 June 2012 - 10:00 AM, said:

"I pray for a glimpse of Azor Ahai, and R'hllor shows me only Snow."

That's from the Melisandre chapter. Either it was a typo, or she was referring to a name.
Maybe George is just trying to screw with our minds just a little bit more.
It could also mean Jon is a bastard and in fact a Snow. But then you can get into how a name is a person and how Jon being 'the bastard of winterfell' made him who he was. Could be GRRM just had a chuckle at how much attention a typo could gather.

#247 nothatso

nothatso

    Hedge Knight

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 333 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 10:13 AM

View PostSnowman93, on 21 June 2012 - 10:09 AM, said:

Maybe George is just trying to screw with our minds just a little bit more.
It could also mean Jon is a bastard and in fact a Snow. But then you can get into how a name is a person and how Jon being 'the bastard of winterfell' made him who he was.

Why would that be a clue to being a bastard? It's just Melisandre referring to somebody by the name she knows them by.

#248 The Snowman

The Snowman

    Council Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 865 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 10:20 AM

View Postnothatso, on 21 June 2012 - 10:13 AM, said:

Why would that be a clue to being a bastard? It's just Melisandre referring to somebody by the name she knows them by.

I just mean that someone's name can make them change their identity and their own view on their lives (as can be seen by quite a few of the characters in the series) I didn't really say it properly. I think most readers are getting the hint that Stannis is not AAR and his 'Lightbringer' sword is totally not what was meant in the prophecy. I read somewhere in the forums that AAR is just something that the followers of Rhollor believe but perhaps AA was simply Brandon the Builder. He did build Winterfell, Found House Stark (I think) and build The Wall. Im rambling off on a tangent.

I just want Jon to survive. Simple as that and then he can go and conquer and defeat all those pesky Others and Wights

#249 Budj

Budj

    the Bard

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,185 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 10:41 AM

I've raised this before, and someone can probably disprove based on timing of events, but the only other explanation I could accept is that in parallel to Robb bedding Jeyne while distraught over his brothers, Ned distraught over Lyanna's death had sex with Ashara when he went to starfall after ToJ.

However, this is inconsistent with what we know of Ned...and the lengths he went to to cover it up make no sense for his personal shame...it would have to be to protect Jon and Jon wouldn't need identity protection if he was a Dayne/Stark.

#250 theguyfromtheVale

theguyfromtheVale

    Kill the boy and let the man be born.

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2,051 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 10:46 AM

View PostBudj, on 21 June 2012 - 10:41 AM, said:

I've raised this before, and someone can probably disprove based on timing of events, but the only other explanation I could accept is that in parallel to Robb bedding Jeyne while distraught over his brothers, Ned distraught over Lyanna's death had sex with Ashara when he went to starfall after ToJ.

However, this is inconsistent with what we know of Ned...and the lengths he went to to cover it up make no sense for his personal shame...it would have to be to protect Jon and Jon wouldn't need identity protection if he was a Dayne/Stark.

It also doesn't fit the timeline. Jon is, according to GRRM "about 8 or 9 months older than Dany". However, if Ned had sired Jon after finding Lyanna, Jon and Dany would be of the same age, give or take a month.

#251 The Snowman

The Snowman

    Council Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 865 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 10:48 AM

View PostBudj, on 21 June 2012 - 10:41 AM, said:

I've raised this before, and someone can probably disprove based on timing of events, but the only other explanation I could accept is that in parallel to Robb bedding Jeyne while distraught over his brothers, Ned distraught over Lyanna's death had sex with Ashara when he went to starfall after ToJ.

However, this is inconsistent with what we know of Ned...and the lengths he went to to cover it up make no sense for his personal shame...it would have to be to protect Jon and Jon wouldn't need identity protection if he was a Dayne/Stark.

only problem is that Jon was at Winterfell with a wetnurse before Catylen got there with Robb and Ned found Lyanna after the sack of KL which doesnt leave enough time to conceive Jon, give birth then get him to Winterfell. but thats just me

#252 The Snowman

The Snowman

    Council Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 865 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 10:49 AM

View PosttheguyfromtheVale, on 21 June 2012 - 10:46 AM, said:

It also doesn't fit the timeline. Jon is, according to GRRM "about 8 or 9 months older than Dany". However, if Ned had sired Jon after finding Lyanna, Jon and Dany would be of the same age, give or take a month.

yeah that's another way of saying it

#253 Joan of Arc

Joan of Arc

    Sellsword

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 86 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 11:26 AM

View Postcorbon, on 21 June 2012 - 10:08 AM, said:

Err, no. Robert is usually too drunk to remember that Cersei hasn't let him finish inside her.

At a later point. Joffrey is the first bastard she's had at that time she would have been very carefull with Jaime, remember she had one true heir before that. Cercei is very carefull with that. Untill she found out that he was to drunk to remember anything let alone that he is doing the 'nine month' math. Joffery was born after their visit to Greenwatch (?).  Robert there was entertaining another woman, while Joffrey get concieved. Sure he did sleep with her, but after a very short while he turned to a warmer bed. I think Robert does'nt do his maths, just because he never did.

#254 Sasha Steelsong

Sasha Steelsong

    Changed from atpthornton to something less boring

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,499 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 12:02 PM

View PosttheguyfromtheVale, on 21 June 2012 - 10:46 AM, said:

It also doesn't fit the timeline. Jon is, according to GRRM "about 8 or 9 months older than Dany". However, if Ned had sired Jon after finding Lyanna, Jon and Dany would be of the same age, give or take a month.
Actually Jon would be younger than Dany but the point is the same.  Dany was conceived right before KL fell, Ned didn't get to the TOJ until a couple months later.  If Jon was conceived after that point (ignoring the substantial problems that it creates in trying to reconcile the fact that he was about Rob's age when Rob arrived at winterfell as a baby and that there just wasn't time to conceive Jon after the TOJ, get him born and get back to Winterfell in that amount of time), he would be about three months younger than Dany which just isn't the case.  He's Robb's age basically since Catelyn saw him as a baby and believed that he was conceived shortly after she married Ned, and to be that he'd have to be conceived some time in the middle of the war.

#255 Sasha Steelsong

Sasha Steelsong

    Changed from atpthornton to something less boring

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,499 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 12:05 PM

View PostJoan of Arc, on 21 June 2012 - 11:26 AM, said:

At a later point. Joffrey is the first bastard she's had at that time she would have been very carefull with Jaime, remember she had one true heir before that. Cercei is very carefull with that. Untill she found out that he was to drunk to remember anything let alone that he is doing the 'nine month' math. Joffery was born after their visit to Greenwatch (?).  Robert there was entertaining another woman, while Joffrey get concieved. Sure he did sleep with her, but after a very short while he turned to a warmer bed. I think Robert does'nt do his maths, just because he never did.
No. No. No.  That is ONLY ON THE SHOW.  In the book Cersei never gave birth to one of Robert's children, she admitted to aborting one time Robert got her pregnant.  That said I feel like her kids were conceived when it was theoretically possible for Robert to be the father (i.e. he was around and they were having sex - he just was to drunk to remember that they weren't really finishing in a way that would result in a baby) so it was never a question of Robert being unable to count nine months.

#256 Maxpey

Maxpey

    Noble

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 674 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 12:11 PM

View PostBudj, on 21 June 2012 - 10:41 AM, said:

I've raised this before, and someone can probably disprove based on timing of events, but the only other explanation I could accept is that in parallel to Robb bedding Jeyne while distraught over his brothers, Ned distraught over Lyanna's death had sex with Ashara when he went to starfall after ToJ.

However, this is inconsistent with what we know of Ned...and the lengths he went to to cover it up make no sense for his personal shame...it would have to be to protect Jon and Jon wouldn't need identity protection if he was a Dayne/Stark.

I argued this once, but it was correctly pointed out to me by Apple Martini that it doesn't fit as a far as the timeline is concerned.

Damn!  Just saw that theguyfromtheValeanswered this already.  Sorry for the wasted post

Edited by Maxpey, 21 June 2012 - 12:12 PM.


#257 Budj

Budj

    the Bard

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,185 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 02:03 PM

lol.  I also said in my first sentence "someone can probably disprove this based on timing of events" *que 5 people jumping in*

I'm totally not arguing for it.  Doesn't make any sense.  Only R+L for J makes sense.

#258 Joan of Arc

Joan of Arc

    Sellsword

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 86 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 02:08 PM

View Postatpthornton, on 21 June 2012 - 12:05 PM, said:

No. No. No.  That is ONLY ON THE SHOW.  In the book Cersei never gave birth to one of Robert's children, she admitted to aborting one time Robert got her pregnant.  

I am sorry, the birth was my fault in the books it is indeed an abortion. But that does not conter-act the point that Cercei indeed was pregnant one time by Robert.
The point I am trying to make with this is that Cercei's actions that leaded to her 'licking his offspring of her fingers' was a slow process. If anyone would have found out about her and Jaime it would be their heads.

View Postatpthornton, on 21 June 2012 - 12:05 PM, said:

That said I feel like her kids were conceived when it was theoretically possible for Robert to be the father (i.e. he was around and they were having sex - he just was to drunk to remember that they weren't really finishing in a way that would result in a baby) so it was never a question of Robert being unable to count nine months.

Yes. I believe that too. I was using this reasoning why Robert did'nt have a clue his childeren where bastards.

I know the Harrenhal tournament comes before the rebelion. A LOT happend there. I Also agree that the event was something like 2 years before the tower of joy. It plays a big part in the whole R+L=J theory which I believe is true. So I look to the timeline started to sort the events and the people who where there. (and who does'nt) :)

Ned pulled what ever he pulled at the ToJ, went to Starfall, came back with a baby/wetnurse and claims it as his own bastard. As far as Ned is concerned thats it. He stonewalls every one including his wife and best friend. The other ones 'in the know' are all down South,except for Wylla the wet nurse.

We all know that Ned is the guardian of the ToJ secrect, which includes R+L=J. There is some kind of deal going on between Ned Stark and the Daynes and it has to do with Jon. At the ToJ the Daynes where in good position to smugle Jon into Dorne, where he as an heir would have had a good life. He visits Starfall where he picks up Wylla, then goes back to Winterfell with his Jon Snow story complete. Later on Wylla travels back South to Starfall and becomes a wet nurse to Eddric Dayne.

So why did the Daynes let Ned go back North with Jon knowing he was a surviving heir?

#259 Budj

Budj

    the Bard

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,185 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 02:33 PM

The rebellion smashed the Targ dynasty and his identity had to be locked up tight.  Something makes me wonder if one of the sand snakes gets involved with the Daynes or somehow uncovers the secret some other way.  Those bastards are planted all over the place.

Edited by Budj, 21 June 2012 - 02:34 PM.


#260 Sasha Steelsong

Sasha Steelsong

    Changed from atpthornton to something less boring

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,499 posts

Posted 21 June 2012 - 02:41 PM

View PostJoan of Arc, on 21 June 2012 - 02:08 PM, said:

I am sorry, the birth was my fault in the books it is indeed an abortion. But that does not conter-act the point that Cercei indeed was pregnant one time by Robert.
The point I am trying to make with this is that Cercei's actions that leaded to her 'licking his offspring of her fingers' was a slow process. If anyone would have found out about her and Jaime it would be their heads.



Yes. I believe that too. I was using this reasoning why Robert did'nt have a clue his childeren where bastards.

I know the Harrenhal tournament comes before the rebelion. A LOT happend there. I Also agree that the event was something like 2 years before the tower of joy. It plays a big part in the whole R+L=J theory which I believe is true. So I look to the timeline started to sort the events and the people who where there. (and who does'nt) :)

Ned pulled what ever he pulled at the ToJ, went to Starfall, came back with a baby/wetnurse and claims it as his own bastard. As far as Ned is concerned thats it. He stonewalls every one including his wife and best friend. The other ones 'in the know' are all down South,except for Wylla the wet nurse.

We all know that Ned is the guardian of the ToJ secrect, which includes R+L=J. There is some kind of deal going on between Ned Stark and the Daynes and it has to do with Jon. At the ToJ the Daynes where in good position to smugle Jon into Dorne, where he as an heir would have had a good life. He visits Starfall where he picks up Wylla, then goes back to Winterfell with his Jon Snow story complete. Later on Wylla travels back South to Starfall and becomes a wet nurse to Eddric Dayne.

So why did the Daynes let Ned go back North with Jon knowing he was a surviving heir?

First off we don't know that he picks up Wylla at Starfall nor do I remember us getting confirmation that Wylla ever went North.  We know Wylla was with Ned at some point in the the whole TOJ/Starfall/Winterfell journey and that there was a wetnurse at Winterfell for Jon but I'm honestly not sure that they were ever confirmed to be the same person.  Nor do we know for certain where Ned picked up Wylla since it is possible she was with Lyanna at the TOJ.  With  Lyanna dead there would have to be a wetnurse for the journey from the TOJ to Starfall (unless it takes only a couple of hours - i.e. the distance was so small that it conceivably could have been done between feedings which seems unlikely given the speed of travel).

As for why the Danyes would let Jon go with Ned...well he is the boy's uncle and most direct relative and I think by the point that they came into things at Starfall - both with Robert more securely on the throne and not being KG - keeping Jon from Ned was less urgent since they were confident that he wouldn't harm the child.  Not to mention it is quite possible that Lyanna made Ned promise to take care of Jon and Ned relayed her request to the Daynes by saying that he wanted Jon.  This is of course assuming the Danyes had the option of allowing Ned to do anything.  Being on the wrong side of the rebellion they may not have been in a position to demand anything of Ned even if things were otherwise cordial between them.



Also tagged with one or more of these keywords: jon snow, lyanna, rhaegar, stark, targaryen