Free Northman, on 18 July 2012 - 07:41 AM, said:
I think people see way too many "puppetmaster strings" where there are none. Varys is not omniscient. (Only Bloodraven and Bran are.)
Yes you are probably right.
Free Northman, on 18 July 2012 - 07:41 AM, said:
He didn't know where Arya was. Yoren spotted her by accident. And as we see in the TV show, Yoren is actually signalled by Eddard to pick Arya up from the statue she was clinging to to get a better view. This is different from the books, but what it does show is that there is not some masterful Varys plot being disrupted by deviating from the books slightly in this aspect. The Yoren situation was random.
Neither do we immediately see that Varys 'saved' Gendry. It still could of happened only we don;t know it yet.
Free Northman, on 18 July 2012 - 07:41 AM, said:
As for the Faceless Men. They aren't manipulating Arya into staying. They have no idea about her warging abilities, or her vengeful, stubborn, determined personality.
They don't know of her abilities, and they likely aren't manipulating her, but maybe.
Free Northman, on 18 July 2012 - 07:41 AM, said:
They couldn't care less if she stays or goes. They just present her with the options. This is not some psychological masterplan they're employing for her specifically.
There is a vast difference between no plan and some grand master plan, people have plans all the time and adapt them as things change, this doesn't mean there was no plan.
Free Northman, on 18 July 2012 - 07:41 AM, said:
They're just following the same old practices they use with all apprentices.
Neither you nor I, nor anyone else here I would guess, know what they use with other apprentices.
Free Northman, on 18 July 2012 - 07:41 AM, said:
If they went to this much trouble just to orchestrate her joining them - if their entire masterplan rode on her becoming a Faceless Man - then they took an awefully big chance by letting Jaqen leave her after Harrenhal. She probably had about 1 chance in 100 of surviving her trek through the Riverlands and getting on a ship to Braavos.
Again there is a vast difference between no plan to master plan with all manner of possibilities in between.
Free Northman, on 18 July 2012 - 07:41 AM, said:
Also, they had no way of knowing that she wouldn't just get to Riverrun or the Twins (as she did) and join up with her family again. At that point in time, the Red Wedding had not happened yet, and the Faceless Men could not have planned for Arya to become and orphan after the Red Wedding.
True, but then if there is a plan (I do say if) we don't know what it is yet.
I admit that I am speculating and that there is not enough evidence to back this up fully, but neither is the meagre evidence that is presented enough to dismiss any kind of oddity here. Well maybe enough is the wrong word, the evidence that is presented hints at more. Wouldn't you agree?