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  1. Past Hour
  2. I watched Frontier so you don't have to. It's Official: Frontier is Awful. And Preposterous Too. If anyone wants to bother learning why, here ya go!
  3. Board Issues 4

    Okay thanks i'll give that a try.
  4. The Falcons offence has at least of couple of scores left in them. So I don't see how GB will have enough possessions to catch up....
  5. Plot developments / expectations for The Winds of Winter

    By night, all cloaks are black.
  6. Pack on the board finally. Too little too late, I'm afraid.
  7. US Politics: There's No Morning After Pill

    Yeah, the one I saw was on Twitter and was widely retweeted. It was video of about 4-5 blocks of the route that was sparsely populated. In the response section of that Tweet, a inauguration attendee had noted that whoever took the video cut it off right at the block where the crowd had begun to increase considerably. The poster then walked up that block showing crowds that were 3-4 deep along the sidewalk with mostly full viewing stands.
  8. Heresy Project X+Y=S+L=J

    This timeline is far more problematic than the standard model. Let's take the battle of Ashford as the starting point. Robert's forces depart Ashford before the main Tyrell army arrives, and heads north towards Stoney Sept. The Tyrell forces are free to march on Storm's End. The two journeys are of roughly similar length, so we can assume the start of the siege of Storm's End is about the time that Robert arrived at Stoney Sept. The siege of Storm's End lasted around a year, so the gap between Robert arriving at Stoney Sept and Ned arriving at Storm's End is also about a year. If we allow 3 weeks between the Trident and the Sack, that gives us 9-13 weeks from Bells to Sack, with your 6-10 week period. Thus we have 39-43 weeks to allow for Robert shagging prostitutes at Stoney Sept and Ned marching on Storm's End. Now if the gap between the Battle of the Bells and the Sack was 13 weeks, Robb's conception would have been a couple of months before the sack. Cat remembers being apart from Ned for around a year, so we have 10 months from Sack to Winterfell. Cat believes Jon was conceived when Ned was fighting wars in the south, which means Jon arriving at Winterfell at a month old. Back to the year-long siege. Here's what GRRM says about it: So there wasn't a whole lot of fighting going on after the Sack. Aerys, Rhaegar and Aegon were dead and Viserys fled within a few weeks of the Trident. There was, as GRRM says, no-one left to fight for and the war was clearly lost. There may have been a few minor skirmishes on the way, but your timeline requires it to have taken at least 6 months for Ned to get to Storm's End. That makes a whole lot less sense that the timeline you're arguing against. "Not possible" is not a valid argument when we are discussing fiction. If GRRM wrote it, it happened even if it was impossible. Cat left King's Landing before the raven bringing news of Bran waking got there, and a couple of weeks later met Tyrion at the Inn of the Crossroads. Tyrion left Winterfell after Bran was awake. How does that make sense? It doesn't. It's at least as impossible as the events you object to, but clearly it happened. GRRM doesn't pay close attention to distances, travel times, etc. He warns us against using such measures to try to figure things out because he doesn't bother with them. As it says in my sig, GRRM+numbers=Nope nope nope. GRRM doesn't do timelines. The war lasted about a year. The siege lasted about a year. That's because the siege started early in the war. That's as far as the calculation goes. Ned and Cat were apart about a year. It took a bit of time for Ned to get back after the war, and there was a bit of time after the war started before the marriage. See? It all fits. Dany was conceived a little before the sack, Jon was born a little after the sack. How long precisely? GRRM doesn't know or care. That's where "8-9 months or thereabouts" comes from.
  9. Damn, I was hoping for a pick-6. Can't have everything, I suppose.
  10. Plot developments / expectations for The Winds of Winter

    That is the heart of my argument about the nature of the coming War. I have seen people talk about how the collapse of the Wall is going to destroy all the castles of the Night's Watch, and perhaps even flood the entire Gift. Like the collapsing Walls of Jericho. I don't see it that way. I think when the Horn is blown, it will break the barrier spell inside the Wall. And it will probably create a breach. It isn't going to collapse the ENTIRE Wall. And at that moment, the Others will be able to raise wights in Oldtown. Or at least, they will be able to send their cold mist pouring into Westeros, to materialize anywhere in the South as soon as a mist can blow to that destination. So give it two weeks, maybe. Depending on how fast the cold wind can blow. Anyway, we aren't going to see a battlefront that gradually retreats from the Wall, to the Last Hearth, to the Dreadfort, to Winterfell etc, as humanity falls back in one big wave. Nope. We are going to see corpse armies rise in King's Landing, in Highgarden, Lannisport and in Oldtown. Simultaneously. So humanity will become a thousand flickers of light, holed up in their various castles from the Wall down to Sunspear, fighting the enveloping darkness and the armies of the dead. Everywhere. The need will be evident across Westeros. And that is what will eventualy unite the Realm under the Prince who Was promised, against the existential threat to all of humanity.
  11. Julio took it to the house despite being held.
  12. That was quite impressive. Trying to tackle Julio Jones doesn't look like much fun.
  13. I had Falcons win, but thought it'd be fairly close. Outside of crazy Atlanta homers, I don't think anyone would have said blowout. Right now, it wouldn't shock me if it ended 50-0.
  14. Was picking up Chinese, how'd the latest score happen?
  15. Wise Phuul

    A Trump supporter (Brexiters too) would take offense at the depiction of menial and low level workers as mindless, soulless zombie automatons directed by the meritocratic elite who are good at passing exams. It feeds very directly into the chief cultural complaint today that the educated elite overlook, dismiss and actively scorn the blue collar masses. I think the author uses the world-building to play with the typical notions of societal types, e.g. the conservative culture with rigid hierarchy is actually meritocratic and gender-balanced, while the society with heavy religious fundamental presence and misogyny is a younger culture and more technologically progressive. We briefly hear from "an Ordinary" (I bet that phrasing would also draw some ire) and their resentment of the elite, but it's a very minor point and not sympathetically placed in the narrative. I suspect the longer arc of the series will revisit this tension and the viability of the society.
  16. Football: Reds Rising!!

    Shit, it's being reported that Ryan Mason is fighting for his life after fracturing his skull and suffering a brain bleed during that collision earlier.
  17. Did anyone, anywhere predict this game would be a Falcons blow out? Anyone?
  18. Largest ever was when the Colts came back from a 21-3 deficit to the Pats in the 2006 playoffs. So 18 points. ETA: Holy fuck, Julio. ETA2: Stop, stop...they're already dead
  19. What is Your Favorite SEGA Games?

    Ultima IV was my first rpg and loved it. (Sega master systrm) Alex kidd in Miracle World - camr built in to the master system. Another great game.
  20. US Politics: There's No Morning After Pill

    Gotta love M-W
  21. Me neither. LOL. But the story on Irsay hiring someone to counsel his mediocre coach and his terrible GM so they'd get along better, presumably to continue their abject mediocrity and ruining of Luck, THAT made me feel better.
  22. Has anyone ever come back from 24-0 at a conference championship? Even if Rodgers somehow starts scoring, the defense has to get a lot of stops for the Packers to have any chance and I have not seen anything that portends the latter.
  23. Winter warfare in TWoW (and later on)

    Werthead did a great assessment recently, to map Westeros. He concluded that Winterfell lies more or less on York's latittude. In Northern England. Anyway, that as an aside. More importantly, most reasonable assessments estimate the population of Westeros at around 40 million. And the army percentages at around 1% of the population, on average. (The argument can well be made that the North is unlikey to match the mobilization percentage of the South, for obvious reasons, but let that stand for the time being.) We also know that the Iron Isles and Dorne have lower populations than the North. We further know that in Martin's rough endorsement of the army numbers that the rest of Westeros believes each kingdom to have, the Stormlands were at a lower estimate (30k) than the North (45k). The WOIAF ties in with this in describing the Stormlands as sparsely populated (but obviously more populated than Dorne, based on Doran's specific statement in that regard). So now you already have Dorne, the Iron Isles and the Stormlands with a lower population than the North. And then you have Martin's statement that the Vale and the North can raise roughly equal sized armies. The point of all of the above is not to guestimate the North's army size. That has been done many times. The point is to make it clear that with Westeros having around 40 million people, and with at least 3 kingdoms having fewer people than the North, the North must at least be of average population size among the Seven Kingdoms. And this is important, because it then means the North cannot have a population that only numbers in the hundreds of thousands, for example. It has to have millions of people. (Of course, around 3-4 million has been the conservative estimate by the likes of Elio, but I am on record as believing that to be too low). In any case, the bottomline is that even if you go only with 3 million people, that means 1.5 million men. And if say one third of the population is between 15 and 50, that means around 500,000 men of sword wielding age. And even if only half of them are able bodied, that still leaves 250,000. What does this mean? it means that the idea that "There are no such Northmen in this winter. They all died in the Riverlands, the West, and the Crownland, and those who are still alive are likely to die at the village or at Winterfell" is an unrealistic statement. Maybe 20,000 men have died in the Wars to date. There are at least 10 times that number of able bodied men left. And come Winter, they are going to have no need to harvest, or do anything other than consume food. If there was ever a Winter where any surplus men would march off to War, to save their families the extra mouth to feed, this one will be it. So in short, there is PLENTY of manpower about to be unleashed in the North, should the plot require it.
  24. And on the Colts, there's this: Couples' counseling for Grigson and Pagano. I'm assuming that's fairly unorthodox for NFL teams, but who knows these days?
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