denstorebog

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  1. US Politics: Kill (the) Bill

    I am really puzzled by this sentiment. Sometimes I feel that the glorification of the founding fathers is way over the top. I certainly don't see the fact that USA is still functional after 2 months of Trump as a testament to any plan of theirs. Right now, we're incredibly lucky that the one thing that earned him such a fervent base - his brutish behavior and absolute disregard for other people - is also what is causing headaches for him now. A slightly less unhinged nationalist without ties to Russia would have been quite a different story. Someone with the patience to spend a month on healthcare might have gotten rid of Obamacare and scored a major policy win here, paving the way for ramming a real nationalist agenda through and consolidating power. This can still happen. And this is completely disregarding the things that are already happening. Bannon's slow demolition of the state apparatus, the insertion of Trump loyalists in all branches of government, the growing radicalization of the Trump base, the war against the media, etc. etc. After two goddamn months. The Muslim ban hasn't been 'repeatedly struck down', it's been put on hold twice; first because of the administration's incompetence in formulating actual policy, and now more out of principle, after which it will move to a stacked Supreme Court and quite possibly pass. I'd love to share your optimism, but I don't see anything self-regulatory about the system right now. Sessions came really close to taking the baton on investigating Trump, and now it has passed to Nunes, who is obviously compromised as well. We have no idea what the FBI is digging up, but we do know that the person in charge of the investigation helped win Trump the election. My point being, there's a decent chance that a psychopath toddler who has sold his own country out to its archenemy and is now eroding the concept of accountability will get away with it all and stay in power for God knows how long, with absolutely no one but the voices in his head and a group of far-right congressmen to stand in his way. What USA really needs to do is abandon the 2-party system. Allow for a broad spectrum of parties allows people to align themselves with the one that matches their exact political positions. Force the leading party to create a majority coalition like many countries here in Europe. This creates more diversity in government, forces compromise, encourages people to reflect on their stances on different issues instead of just picking the usual party option. Yes, you would actually be able to vote for fiscal responsibility without being a homophobic shithead! Most importantly it would soften the polarizing 'us vs. them' mentality that makes people identify with a party decades after that party has stopped caring about their interests, simply because the only other option is unthinkable.
  2. US Politics: Kill (the) Bill

    The Flynn thing is definitely just pure speculation at this point. Juliette Kayyem, who made the claim in a random CNN segment, has gone out afterwards and emphasized that it's based on nothing but her 'own experience'. In other words, "per sources" should have been "per not a single source at all". Watching the actual clip, it seems much more like she wanted to establish some authority of knowledge in a panel of 5 participants. Her follow-up statement: So, hold the champagne for now.
  3. US Politics: Kill (the) Bill

    Apparently Bannon really wanted the vote for his own purposes. This dude certainly meets the expectations for an Evil Villain in terms of purely nasty motivations. I'd love for news like this to make the rounds and create some more hostility between WH and Congress.
  4. US Politics: Kill (the) Bill

    No fallout at all? I mean, I agree that if this is the only major fuckup between now and 2018, it's not gonna register in a meaningful way. But this has really drawn up the divisions inside the party. Freedom Caucus vs. Trump vs. Ryan vs. everyone stuck in between. There's going to be a lot of tension going forward, making it harder to keep the other promises. And if 2018 rolls around with no meaningful progress on either healthcare, the wall, tax cuts etc., it's gonna matter. I see this as the first domino that has fractured Trump's aura of invincibility and which has set the stage for some real power struggles in the year to come. EDIT: Oh, and I do think we'll see another dip in approval in the coming week. That doesn't necessarily have any long-term implications for the midterms, but it gives Trump's Republican opponents more motivation to grow a backbone and put up more opposition.
  5. US Politics: Kill (the) Bill

    After seeing Glenn Beck talk to Anderson Cooper on CNN about how insane Steve Bannon is, I can honestly say I miss those days.
  6. US Politics: Kill (the) Bill

    I don't think anyone doubts that that's what Trump would want to do, given half a chance. But we're talking about a gradual shift of powers that usually begins with the would-be authoritarian in a position of popularity or has a perceived high ground to build from (because they seem politically unstoppable or because of special circumstances, like with Erdogan after the coup). I'd argue that Trump has neither at the moment. Power, technically yes, but he's made some enemies and in-party conflicts now, and Congress is now more likely to put roadblocks in the way if he goes too far - simply because there are cracks in the notion that he's the strongman with the plan. At least that's my take.
  7. US Politics: Kill (the) Bill

    As for tax cuts, that's gonna be like a sequel to what we've just witnessed. Same heroes, same villains, higher stakes and conflicts for everyone. As for 'going authoritarian', I'm not sure what you mean specifically, but it seems to me he's lost a lot of the political capital to be able to ram excessive power grabs through without obstruction from even his own party.
  8. US Politics: Kill (the) Bill

    Absolutely. I'm not speculating on the long-term implications, only the immediate reaction in the polls over the next few days.
  9. US Politics: Kill (the) Bill

    I mean Jesus, when even Drudge has a picture of the Hindenburg up front and "NEW HEALTH BILL FAILURE HUMILIATES TRUMP, CONGRESS" as a headline, you know you've disappointed some tinfoilers out there.
  10. US Politics: Kill (the) Bill

    The echo chamber phenomenon is certainly in full effect now. However, I'd be very surprised if this doesn't cause a further slip in Trump's approval over the next days. This hits him on a new front, which is his strongman image. There's also the whole issue of him going up against the working class with the AHCA, which might only come into full effect now that the matter is settled for the time being. And the issue of going up against the Freedom Caucus, which, if you're a Breitbarter, is exactly what Trump should not do. Those two factors aside, I definitely think we'll see some further disapproval over Dear Leader failing at his first negotiation adventure.
  11. US Politics: Ask Fox News

    The whole discussion about the battle to be conservative enough takes an unpleasant turn when you consider that: Paul Ryan is the face of the health care bill There's a good chance that Ryan is done if the bill goes down; in fact, Bill O'Reilly just brought up this proposal on his show. Paul Ryan and Steve Bannon really don't like each other I'm not gonna go all the way and propose that Bannon wanted this to fail to begin with (the damage to Trump's political capital is gonna be massive), but he can certainly count this as a win if it leads to the instatement of an even more conservative House leader. EDIT: And sure enough, this is now the Breitbart leading article: http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/03/24/report-steve-bannon-says-american-health-care-act-written-insurance-industry/
  12. US Politics: Ask Fox News

    You were someone's child once. You'll be living off of the backs of other people's children after you've stopped contributing to society yourself.
  13. US Politics: Ask Fox News

    What a clusterfuck this is. Hard not to enjoy it, though. Just read that Trumpcare now faces a logistical challenge because the Senate has a schedule of Gorsuch, Montenegro, budget to prevent shutdown, then VAYYCAYYYYTIOOOON recess. There's simply a very limited time window for handling the bill before that. Which could really draw this out. Looking forward to seeing the polls over the next days. This could be the first blow to Trump among the die-hards. A lot of Breitbart commenters sure aren't impressed with Trump missing the vote of a bill they think he shouldn't have backed in the first place.
  14. US Politics: Ask Fox News

    I don't want to be Mr. Naive here, not after 2 months of the collective, seemingly unending abuse we've all suffered, but this is a lot of shoes dropping at the same time now. On top of a really unpopular bill splitting Republicans in half and some seriously bad polling for Trump. Sean Spicer is having the shakes and a shitload of cocaine somewhere right now.
  15. US Politics: Ask Fox News

    So provided McCain is ready to put his votes where his mouth is, the Senate would need two more R-s to go along, is that correct?