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About denstorebog

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  1. I would love to see some data on this, but it's pretty likely that it can make a lot of difference in fundraising efficiency in the weeks after, especially on a small-donor level. For example, after a race like GA-06 which was such a dramatic (and expensive) culmination at the time, it must have been difficult to keep selling the idea to Dem supporters that pitching in $5-$10 for the next special elections was worth it. It's obviously less important now, with so many special elections behind us and the blue wave pretty well established, but I imagine that the thrill of an improbable victory and a dealing a black eye to Republicans will be worth some dollars for other candidates down the line.
  2. Dems flip Kentucky HD-49 by a 86-point swing (not a typo).
  3. Watched BP. It's decent, but nowhere in fuck a 100% or 98% or whatever movie. I'd say 3.5 / 5 stars. I'm getting sick and tired of reviewers' need to praise popcorn movies as thematic masterpieces. BP is "a political movie about the corrosive influence of power and the responbilities of ruling" the same way that Iron Man 3 was a movie about PTSD. Meaning that a couple of characters make some predictable statements a la "you need to figure out what kind of king you want to be" (yes, a character actually says that, in a Deep kinda way), but that's it. And forget whatever praise you've read for the villain. He had a single funny, one-word line, and otherwise not a single memorable scene in the film. Kept waiting for it after all the praise, but it didn't happen. He's strictly in the Aldritch Killian / that-bald-dude-from-Antman ballpark, with no motivation but wanting to rule and do a shake-and-bake worldwide revolution in 2 days. Enjoy this as another Marvel movie with zero actual depth and a lot of unintentional Lion King references, but also some cool action sequences and show-stealing actresses (Danai Gurira as Okoye is GREAT) and some really good set and costume design. Apart from that, it primarily serves as formulaic, but effective representation and escapism for someone other than the usual white male audience. Yeah, I liked it. But barely.
  4. Depends on your parameters. Special election dynamics and everything, but the OK one came close to setting the record for biggest election-to-election swing ever. So if you start by accepting that we were never going to win it, you can't ask for much more.
  5. Man, there's a big difference between keeping 51 out of 51 senators in line and keeping 216 out of 220 reps in line. Not only because of the numbers, but because you also have a lot more batshit lunatics and weird caucuses in the House. EDIT: To be honest, that's more of a gut feeling than based on data. Could be interesting to compare how often slim majority parties failed to muster majorities on big issues compared to in the Senate.
  6. Once the hour of the first results draws near, will have a live thread up which posts data, relevant tweets etc. as they come in.
  7. So, hopes and dreams for tonight's special elections? If we flip the Oklahoma panhandle, I'll buy everyone on this forum a shiny new pair of binoculars so we can all watch the Republicans running for the hills.
  8. How do you see those two as connected?
  9. Adobe has been working on a program for a while now that does text-to-speech in any person's voice, if you have a sample of a couple of minutes of that person speaking. I saw a demo a year or so ago, and it was rather convincing, although it's hard to say how much of that was the usual Adobe presentation fluff that ends up being underwhelming in practice. They said the program would leave a trace in any sound file produced with it, but seriously? That might be good for court cases, but it's hardly gonna matter for fire-and-forget pre-election propaganda. Yeah, the 20'es are gonna be a fun, post-factual ride.
  10. Anyone following the PA redistricting case? It has gone completely off the rails now, as Republicans are now floating the idea of impeaching the Democrat-led Supreme Court. That's right, they're discussing the notion of simply removing five Democrat judges over a decision they didn't like, and what makes this really interesting is that they have the votes in the Senate to legally do it. Down to the exact number, in fact, with the R-D split being 34-16, giving Republicans the two thirds required. I swear, if the next thread title isn't "Fun With Constitutional Crises" ...
  11. man, Scandinavia can't catch a break. When something isn't right in the lands of Odin, it's because we're too socialist. When something works, it's because we're actually capitalist No, but seriously Scot, I'm not really sure what you're saying here.
  12. So now you can spend the rest of your life rebutting Holocaust deniers and all other sorts of whitewashers instead. Good on ya!
  13. I have no idea how we ended up with the prevalence of sexual violence as the main indicator of whether US capitalism beats Scandinavian socialism in a cage fight (thank god we didn't pick mass shootings, press freedom, political corruption, poverty, persecution of minorities, drug abuse or access to education and healthcare), but alright, sexual violence is your pick. So, next question (and beforw you answer, keep in mind that this is what you've decided to build your entire argument on): Do you think that sexual violence is statistically more prevalent in Sweden than in the US on average?
  14. Since you've already been ridiculed enough on the previous page, I'll just leave you with 3 questions to ponder. 1) Have you ever been to Sweden, or have you just experienced Sweden through Fox News and Breitbart? (I'm a Scandinavian myself, and as such I have a pretty good picture of how things are really going over here, so you don't need to actually answer this question. Just something to get your thought processes flowing.) 2) Why are crime rates so low and general happiness so high across all Scandinavian countries compared to the US if they're generally war-torn shitholes? 3) The real question: Do you think there might be a political reason that your right-wing outlets feel a need to paint Sweden the way they do? Can you guess what it is?