FYATroll

Yea, for me I assume they are alive if both of these conditions are not met: 1. You have to actually see the death scene (like Quentyn) and then 2. It has to later be confirmed (again, like Quentyn). If one or the other isn't met, I assume the person is still alive. We've seen the death scene, like Brienne, but had no confirmation. She lives. We've seen the confirmation, like Davos, only no death scene. He lives.

I'm going to say that the mount to dread can safely be assumed to be Drogon at the fighting pit. You know, with everyone fleeing in terror and Drogon burning people to ashes. That second mount seems to be settled. I do like your take on Hizdhar being the second treason. Mereen, like the rest of Slaver's Bay, was never going to give up slaving. I can easily see Hizdhar making a deal with them (the Harpies) that went something like "stop the killings now, make me king, and I'll kill the Queen so you can resume slaving." Makes sense. Now, the one prophecy that seems to have had a huge wrench thrown it is in the bride of fire prophecy. Everyone seemed to assume that the second vision was of a Grejoy and possibly now Connington. I'm just not sure on this. She did, afterall, marry Hizdhar. Hizdhar doesn't actually fit any of the descriptions though. So I think we have three choices: 1. Completely ignore Hizdhar and just maintain the course that the corpse with grey lips is either a Greyjoy or Connington. 2. Completely re-think the prophecy entirely as something other than one that represents her husbands. 3. It is actuall Hizdhar and sometime in the next book he will, in fact fit that description. Maybe he contracts the pale mare. Who knows. I'm currently leaning towards option 3. Finally, the mummer's dragon. All signs seem to point to this new Aegon. I have two reasons: 1. Why in the world would they ONLY save Aegon from the Red Keep and not his sister? If Rhaegar believed both children to be necessary to fulfill the prophecy, and he did, then you would think both would have been saved. Even if Varys didn't know about it, you'd STILL think he would have saved both children instead of just the one. 2. Both Varys and ILlyrio seem, at least to me, to have been relying much more on Viserys and then Dany to come back and save the realm. They gave Dany the dragon eggs. They wanted her married to Khal Drogo. They sent Aegon to Dany in hopes to bring her to Westeros. I would think, that if this boy was truly Aegon, then they would have just fine with bringing him over w/o Dany. Remember, it was never Varys' plan to have Aegon show up w/o another Targaryen. It makes me think Varys and Illyrio both doubt the boy. I will give an alternate theory that has no basis for support, though. Aegon, in fact, is for real and he does raise his banners. In response, someone else of power in the realm seeks to counter this move by bringing up some other Targaryen, only this time a fake. My money would be on Littlefinger. I've been thinking Edric Dayne would be a good candidate to pass off as Aegon, despite his age. You can fake that stuff.