Paladin of Ice

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About Paladin of Ice

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    Winter's Bannerman
  • Birthday September 27

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    New York

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  1. Hopefully the Supreme Court will curtail political gerrymandering, and sharply. Honestly, the system of American politics is increasingly becoming so antiquated, sclerosed, and polarized that I've increasingly come to believe that without such nudges towards reform from the courts the system will simply grow worse and break down a piece at a time until things get so bad that Constitution 2.0 is unavoidable.
  2. The better pollsters in the country did mostly have things within the margin of error in key states, (which most people ignored, because most people and news outlets don't want to bother diving into what the margin of error is or what it could mean) while other pollsters were all over the map and we saw some pretty horrendous models. But my original statement wasn't just referring to the presidential election, but to elections and referenda around the world such as Brexit, the first attempt at peace with the FARC in Columbia, etc.
  3. I'm always wary of putting too much faith in those approval polls. Aside from possibilities for methodology problems, sample size, improper weightier of results and the general kicks in the rear that polls have gotten within the last 2-3 years, I always wonder how many people don't approve of him because of his Twitter tirades or acting unpresidential, but either approve of his actions 100%, or will go ahead and vote for him no matter what because he's the Republican in the race. Long story short, nobody, whether it's professional politicians or sideline gawkers like us should presume 2020 is a sure thing, no matter how badly Trump fucks up in the next few years.
  4. Free reminder that IQ tests are a century old method for testing the advancement of grade school children in France, (mostly to test whether anyone was mentally challenged so they could be thrown out of class) and even creator said they were not actually indicative of intelligence or meant for anyone but young children.
  5. Yes, but chaos and a breakdown within NATO is one of Vlad's greatest desires, and the thought of pulling a NATO member into his sphere is a coup for him.
  6. US facing a relationship breakdown with yet another country. This time it's Turkey Two NATO countries openly feuding and one of them has been gradually entering Moscow's orbit over the course of years. Vlad must be so proud. Hacker study: voting machines are easily hackable Campus police officer at Texas university shot and killed by an armed student who the officer tried to bust for drugs Man, it sure is great how more guns always equals more safety, and that nothing unexpected can happen when you allow young people known for bad judgement and a tendency to over indulge in alcohol and drugs top openly carry lethal weapons. No siree!
  7. Something like 15-20,000 counter protestors, no major violent incidents, no injuries, only about 20 arrests out of that, but this is apparently "many" anti-police protestors, even though I think I remember hearing the police themselves being willing to thank the protestors for their good behavior. Meanwhile, the Charlottesville alt-right mob that came to the area with torches, clubs, guns, and homemade riot shields, started the violent encounters, attempted to assault clergy members, and topped it off by driving a car into a crowd had many fine people and weren't even the ones to get violent, if you listen to Trump. His responses to the two events make it perfectly obvious where he stands and who has his sympathies.
  8. This kind of dysfunction is a major problem that's going unnoticed but is also becoming universal on both the Federal and State level. We know how the Feds have ground to a halt, but as of July 1st ten states were without a budget, New Jersey and Maine were both entering shutdowns because of that, a lot of states that are either currently or just recently under full Republican control are wrestling with serious, long term budget crisis issues, (see Louisiana, Alaska, Wisconsin, Oklahoma, etc.) and so are a bunch of states that are either blue or traditionally so. (CT, Rhode Island, Mass, etc.) In a lot of these case the parties can't agree on basic facts, are more concerned with implementing ideology than solving problems, and kicking the can down the road so they're not the one sitting in the hot seat when it all falls apart. Between that and the inevitable catastrophe of a Trump presidency, (conflict with China in the South China Sea, North Korea, the wholesale destruction of the State Department and many other agencies, having FEMA unstaffed during hurricane season, etc.) this is going to be a major, major, problem in the next 5-10 years, and is going to cause a lot of issues throughout the country.
  9. Sessions is done. It may take awhile to catch up to him fully, but he's done.
  10. GOP lawmakers are already blaming "Democratic rhetoric" for the shooting. Remember how every time there's a mass shooting someone (usually right wing) says it would be too early and disrespectful to use this as a time to politicize things? Yeah. Meanwhile, I'm just going to leave this old Rand Paul tweet here as a reminder of right wing approval of using guns to shoot at government figures. (Full quote in case you can't click the link "Why do we have a Second Amendment? It's not to shoot deer. It's to shoot at the government hen it becomes tyrannical!")
  11. Supply side economics will never fail, even though it fails every single time someone tries to implement it. It will only ever be failed by those damn dirty RINOs.
  12. Really, Republicans and right wing media have been engaging in varying degrees of war since at least the early 90s. The only difference lately is that leftists have started to realize that not only is the fight real, but that they were on the edge of a complete rout. Only Trump's incompetence and divisions within the Republican party have kept it from already being a rout. (Also, because Trump only likes the showmanship aspect of "playing" President, he loathes the reality of actually being President and having to do work.)
  13. See also the "so much for the tolerant left" meme. Had Jacobs fought, no doubt the exact same spin about the evil, biased liberal press hounding poor, put upon, all-American conservatives would be pushed harder, and the same people using that pathetic spin would also be saying that the press is so hostile to conservatives that a member of the press actually crossed the line into getting into a fist fight with a conservative running for congress. Gianforte would be matyr and saint within hours, and any proof that he started things would be ignored to talk about the unprofessional, hostile, and anti-conservative/anti-American actions of the reporter. (Anti-American because not only is he a representative of the press, aka an enemy of the people according to the president and much of the Republican party, but a foreign newspaper at that!)
  14. Sorry to hear about this Bonesy. I hope you get better soon and I'll be thinking of you.
  15. I just posted this in US Politics, but it looks like it belongs here too. In one move the Trump administration is looking to screw students, create a new too big to fail financial institution, and aggravate a bubble with the potential to sink the US economy.