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About theguyfromtheVale

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    Curry Murderer

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  1. 2016 US Election: what happened in Nevada?

    Except that there's no speed in that result. It's been in the open for three decades. Everything is based on actual court records.
  2. Eh, it just assumes that the average voter has an expected vote value of around 0. Sure, it's not exact, but with the polarized nature of the elecorate, it isn't far from the truth.
  3. In a FPTP system, your write-in for Bernie is worth about as much as a vote by somebody else for Trump, though. You'll need to weigh what is more important to you: keeping Trump out of the WH, or holding Hillary to a standard no white male Democratic politician would ever be held to.
  4. It's the only approach where you don't shoot your own foot via the spoiler effect though.
  5. Well, yes, but that "clear message" will, in a first past the post system, lead to the worse evil being elected. And you're assuming the parties will react by taking the positions you want, instead of taking even less palatable position as a consequence.
  6. I'm not from the US, so I don't know how that process works, but couldn't Latinos still register to vote between now and November? It would seem silly to me if the couldn't. And I can certainly see a considerable number of people who would usually not care about politics but feel so threatened by Trump that they'd register to vote against him. That has been my point the entire time: That Trump changes those underlying dynamics in a way the other Republicans probably wouldn't (at least, not to that extent and not necessarily in that direction). On a related note, here's a primer on why voting third party in the USA is useless at best and harmful to your cause at worst.
  7. I don't think I could laugh at that joke, to be honest.
  8. You have that rule already, Scot. It's called first past the post voting. @Bloodrider/Drew: BR's comment is what I was getting at. Texas might not go for the Dems just yet, but it might turn into a battleground, putting the Republicans further on the defensive. Voting for Sanders accomplishes nothing but cementing the status quo.
  9. I'd still argue against those articles based on Trump being the Republican nominee. The Observer article, for example, points out that Latinos in Texas are more likely to be Republican, and less likely to vote than Latinos in other states. And while I think that Rubio, Cruz, Kasich or Bush would all have carried Texas without any trouble, I don't think Trump will be able to count onLatino Texan's disaffection or conservatism because his candidacy isdirectly threatening their lives, liberty, and pursuit of happiness.
  10. I wouldn't be so sure about Texas not mattering in the end. I played around with 538's demographic model, and one not too wildly implausible configuration (basically, Latino and White Non-Graduate turnout way up, Black and White Graduateturnout a bit down, Latinos far more often voting Dem, Whites with a College degree going a bit more to the Democrats, and Whites without a college degree going for Trump) suddenly turned Texas into a better prospect for the Dems than Iowa or Ohio.
  11. US Election: It's a post-TrumpDay world

    This is just about the firxt time that I have seen anybody hope that a crime was committed. YMMV.
  12. Stupid Questions: The Triumphant Return

    No, steel is denser. That's what I was getting at beforehand. Anyway, I'd still prefer a kilo of feathers falling on me compared to a kilo of steel falling from the same height. There are two reasons for this: pressure and drag. Pressure means that one kilo of steel falling on me will hit me in a far more concentrated spot, and is likely to cause worse injury than the distributed effect of a kilo of feathers. Drag means that the final velocity for the feathers will be much smaller than the final velocity of the steel, If I had the choice of carrying a kilo of feathers or a kilo of steel though, I'd probably go for the steel. Far less combersome.
  13. Stupid Questions: The Triumphant Return

    Qhat do you mean by heavier? More massive or more dense?
  14. Dating: Hell is Other People

    I think it really boils down to whether or not you enjoy his company. As long as you do, I see no problem with you continuing to see him. He may not be quite Prince Charming, but as Helena said, things can develop over time just fine. Of course, if you do not enjoy his company, feel free to tell him to not bother any longer
  15. U.S. Elections: We're All Qualified To Post Here

    The only case I could even remotely think of would be the Third Czechoslovak Republic, which, while a member of the Eastern Bloc, remained a democracydominated by socialist parties (including, but not limited to, the communists) between 1945 and 1948. Still, that is exactly one example to be found. And there are so many counterexamples of socialist countries not falling to any communist coup d'état like Czechoslovakia that it's hard to take the inference seriously.