RedShirt47

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About RedShirt47

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  1. Jon was born a bastard and remains a bastard.

    Or Robb's Will legitimises Jon. Of course this would only apply to the Kingship of the North. I also think he will become King in the North but not King on the Iron Throne.
  2. Who is the True Targaryen Heir?

    There isn't really such a thing as "True" heir as there is no Supreme Court to validate such a thing. What there is instead (as in Varys' riddle) are various power bases - The Faith, The Nobles, The Merchants, The Small Folk. Who so ever can gather the strongest of these is the heir. Jon may well be the True-born son of Rhaegar but even with irrefutable evidence of this he is unlikely to gather much support in the south. Aegon has a great story and with Jon Connington, the Martells and some Targ regalia (Blackfyre sword, Aegon I's crown etc) he can likely gain a lot of support. Dany has the advantage of actual dragons and this gives her a very strong power base to begin with. Others will fall in behind her just because of them. Cersei / Tommen have the Throne just now. She has the Faith (for now) and (many) Nobles with her. But I don't see how she can keep them as her rule has been so bad. She has angered so many people whom she needs. Stannis will never get the Faith (and thus the small folk) due to his links with Melisandre and burning the Seven / Old Gods.
  3. Changed your mind

    When I first heard an Aegon = Blackfyre theory I thought it was too convoluted and I didn't really know how the Blackfyres fit into the story. The Brightfyre theory was so well put together and laid out so many points that a lot of things clicked into place. It helped that after reading Dunk & Egg and the World book that I can see how it fits together now.
  4. Why did Robert hate the Targaryens so much?

    A Targ sent his parents off on an errand to find a new Targ wife from which they never returned. A Targ "kidnapped" the love of his life. A Targ ordered his head on a plate. Any remaining Targs could have led a revolt against him. Ned knew the truth about Lyanna which meant his anger was less and he didn't have to fear an uprising against his rule in the North so was much less paranoid. Ned was calmer and blamed The Mad King for his misdeeds, not the entire family.
  5. Where do the loyalties of the Northern Houses lie

    There are been several theories about the snowmen on the walls of Winterfell being significant. They show who are logal to Jon as they are Snow-men. I find the idea fairly convincing and agree with much of it. Here is what Theon sees: So there are at least a dozen northern lords and ladies backing Jon including Manderly, Stout, Dustin and Umber. Do a google and you'll find a couple of threads about this which lay out the argument better than I have here but you get the gist. We know Manderly is working with a Glover. We know a Glover was last seen with a Mormont heading to the Reeds (prossibly with Robb's Will). Hence I think Lyanna Mormont's letter to Stannis about there being a King in the North. So I believe these Houses are in team Jon.
  6. GRRM put in an excellent Red Herring with this letter and the irony is that he probably did so unwittingly. There have been many and more threads on its authorship and yet not a lot of discussion on the real mysteries of the Pink Letter - its contents. Is Mance really held in a cage or is he dead or maybe he's joined with Ramsey. Are the Spear-wives dead? Probably, and quite likely flayed too. Has there been a battle between occupied Winterfell and Stannis? Did Stannis really lose? Does Ramsey have the "Lightbringer" sword? How did Ramsey get the sword if he does have it? Would Ramsey really attack Castle Black? Was the Letter meant to provoke Jon and into what action? What other reasons could there be for the letter? Of course some of the sample chapters from TWoW do provide some clues towards these questions but when the the Pink Letter first appeared we didn't have those clues. There is plenty to ponder in the Pink Letter but micro-analysing the phrasing and ink and wax like some CSI is a wild goose chase distracting from what we should be considering. Not sure why the authorship became the sole focus of discussion...
  7. Arya in the red keep stables, whose voice calms her?

    I think it was her training coming back to her. She practiced so much that it became instinctual, her sub-conscious reacted to the situation before her conscious mind had time to. This is the first time she uses her training in a life or death situation rather than chasing cats or listening to Syrio teaching her. I didn't think it's a "Use the Force, Arys" moment.
  8. Peter Vaughan/Maester Aemon dies at 93

    We were blessed that he lived to 93 and gave us a wonderful performance as Maester Aemon at such an age. And now his watch has ended.
  9. Was Ser Duncan the Tall really a knight?

    Didn't Joffrey Knight a bunch of fighters after the battle of Blackwater (Bronn being one such)? I don't believe Joffrey was ever Knighted himself. So I think you're correct that Kings have the power to Knight people. I am in the camp of Dunk was not knighted (during the first three novellas at least) and I like how it mirrors Brienne. I think the theme of Knighthood is an example of GRRM subverting a trope, The Knight in Shining Armour. Dunk and Brienne (and even Sandor) behave like the classic trope but are not knights whilst Jaime, Trant and a bunch of others are far from the classic hero archetype. Of course he does have many examples of good knights also, such as Selmy. GRRM has a range of characters.
  10. reading Rhllor's fire

    Exactly, maybe there's method to her madness. Everyone is laughing at how incompetent Melisandre is, yet she is the one at the Wall with (who I believe is AAR) Jon. Those going to Dany are going because she has fulfilled literally what is essentially a figurative prescription (a prophesy). Are they reading flames telling them that Dany is AAR or are they hearing about Dragons and going straight to her?
  11. The Night's Watch numbers don't make much sense

    I think it's a combination of factors. 1. Memory of why the Night's Watch has been diminishing over time. Some First Men Houses (like the Royces) still hold the Night's Watch in high regard but even they likely don't remember why the Night's Watch was founded. 2. Peace in the south after the Targaryens merged the seven kingdoms. When the kingdoms were fighting there would have been many prisoners of war and lords who had to be removed due to conflict with the victors. Many used to be shipped off to the Wall rather than simply being executed. Like how some of the officers on the Wall now were on the losing side of Robert's Rebellion. Robert forgave some but some he couldn't forgive or they couldn't make peace with the new regime. 3. The image of the Night's Watch had been tarnished by there being more rapers, murders and the like than volunteers. In the past it was likely that the criminal element at the Wall was a small percentage of the total. 4. The rise of the sell-sword companies in Essos gave those younger sons with fewer opportunities for glory at home a prospect of finding fame, fortune and glory fighting in the Disputed Lands.
  12. Here is my meta-argument for why I believe Lightbringer is an actual sword. There are several threads already giving theories on what Lightbringer is based on evidence from the books, I am taking a different approach. Firstly I want to debunk the notion that GRRM "doesn't do Cliche". These books are full of standard Fantasy tropes but they have been subverted, inverted or tweaked so far to be unrecognisable. From King Arthur to Luke Skywalker, Aragorn to Richard Cypher Fantasy is crowded with hero princes orphaned and raised by good people far away from the centre of power. This trope is so engrained in the genre that even Terry Prachett parodied it with Captain Carrott. Like Prachett, GRRM has subverted this trope with R+L=J. Most readers completely miss that Jon is a Targaryen so this trope appears to have been averted but actually it's there in a camouflaged form. This trope has another aspect, each of these characters has their special sword. King Arthur has Excalibur, Luke Skywalker has his father's Lightsaber, Aragorn has Andúril and Richard Cypher has the Sword of Truth. And there are many other examples of hero-princes with their sword. Likewise I believe Jon Snow will weild a special sword, Lightbringer, and I don't think Long Claw is special enough - there are 200+ Valyrian Steel swords in the Seven Kingdoms. Like how Jon Snow is a subverted hero-prince trope I think Lightbringer is a subverted special sword trope. I think Lightbringer is Dawn as this sword is almost hidden to the reader, it is discussed quite a bit by us on the forums but there is little about it in the books themselves. I don't know enough about the title "Sword of the Morning" to know if Jon can qualify for this but I do believe that somehow Jon will wield Dawn. I think there is more to Dawn than it being light-weight and very sharp like Valyrian Steel swords. Whatever this extra-special power is will play a part in the war against The Others. Also while GRRM does use symbolism in his prophecies these symbols generally represent people, so dragons are Targaryens or the rising sea is the Ironborn. So I don't see Lightbringer being a symbol for Dragons or The Night's Watch. I think Lightbringer is actually a sword and that sword is Dawn.
  13. I agree with this. Henry Tudor was also from a legitimised Bastard line. Aegon likely is of Blackfyre lineage so also a legitimised bastard line. He may have some Perkin Warbeck similarities also but GRRM can draw on more than one person as inspiration as he is not retelling the wars of roses but taking inspiration from them. Also Sansa fits well with Elizabeth of York, the younger sister of a murdered king. She would be a good candidate for Aegon to join North and South. Not to mention she is also a Lannister of sorts.
  14. not sure about Littlefinger but I thought Tyrion's promblems with Slynt were: 1. He kills babies. 2. He was Cersei's man (as she wanted the babies killed).
  15. Two questions about Oberyn Martell

    I think the chances of it being The Mountain are quite high. Cersei would have chosen The Mountain knowing that he had killed Oberyn's sister. This would have been done as an insult and to anger Oberyn into a mistake (they not knowing that he was fully prepared for this fight). Cersei would have been thinking "You killed my father, well our champion killed your sister, so there!". The reason Oberyn couldn't just slit Tywin's throat is that there would be no need for a trial if he was so obviously guilty. There needed to be some doubt in order for him to get a trial and be in a position to request trial by combat.