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About TrackerNeil

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  1. US Election: It's a post-TrumpDay world

    What I'd like to know is if those speeches go public and they are innocuous, if the Clinton accusers will humbly admit they made a mountain from a molehill. I'm thinking not. EDITED TO ADD: It occurs to me that people will find in those speeches--should they ever be released--exactly what they are looking for. I wonder if that is the real reason Clinton won't release them; the media will spend weeks poring over every word, and leading a public debate that will last through Independence Day aboutwhat they really mean. Unless Clinton once said, "I feast on the flesh of Christian babies", those speeches will very likely change few opinions. If I were Clinton, I'd withhold them too. HRC has a good deal of experience being tarred by the media, so I'm not surprised she's reticent.
  2. Nitpicking: The Next Generation

    This week on Nitpicking: The Next Generation,we witness the mind-games that are the Starfleet entrance exam while yet another admiral acts shifty.
  3. US Election: It's a post-TrumpDay world

    I don't know what is in those speeches, but I very much doubt that Hillary Clinton has made any explicit quid pro quo promises. (Or any implicit ones, I suspect.)
  4. US Election: It's a post-TrumpDay world

    I don't understand the speeches thing, and never did. Politicians always leveragetheir background in public service to make money when they re-enter the private sector, often as lobbyists or rainmakers for law firms--or giving speeches to Wall Street types. I think it's reasonable to wonder what those activities say about a candidate, but demanding that Clinton make public the speeches she was paid to give? That, by my lights, is beyond the pale.
  5. US Election: It's a post-TrumpDay world

    It's one of the things that troubles me about this Sanders movement; its adherents often wind up repeating right-wing talking points about Hillary Clinton. I have a few pro-Sanders friends, and I swear the things they say could be lifted directly from the conservasphere.
  6. US Election: It's a post-TrumpDay world

    I'm pretending nothing. I'm pointing out that there are no real examples of the kind of revolution Sanders describes, in which Republicans abandon their opposition to single-payer health care and universal pre-K in the face of a voter uprising. Yes, in part. The Republicans investigated the hell out of the Clintons in the 90s, and unfortunately the major media often take a where-there's-smoke-there's-fire approach to reporting this stuff. Instead of pointing out how many millions were wasted on investigations that yielded no wrongdoing, they talk about the Clintons besieged by"scandals."
  7. US Election: It's a post-TrumpDay world

    Yup. There is no sign that this revolution is incipient, or that anything like it has ever happened. I think Kevin Drum is right; making a difference is hard, usually thankless (witness Sanders supporters who think Obama is a disappointment) and always involves compromise.
  8. US Election: It's a post-TrumpDay world

    Agreed. There are those Sanders supporters who are reasonably just looking for a candidate who's as far to the left as possible, and those "Bernie or Bust" people who are just part of a cult of personality. The former will come around to Clinton by November; the latter aren't going to persuaded by anything. In fact, I suspect those people will turn on Sanders once he endorses Clinton. (We saw the same with Clinton and the PUMAs back in 2008.)
  9. US Election: It's a post-TrumpDay world

    Yes, I have noticed that lack of sympathy, here and there.
  10. US Election: It's a post-TrumpDay world

    I wonder if that will have any impact on Cruz's California performance. That seems like an awfully slender thread upon which to hang your hopes, but then when you've run through all of the non-crazy options...
  11. US Election: It's a post-TrumpDay world

    The best part is that, when Cruz/Fiorina finally pack it in, we'll get a second GOP Dropout video about Carly.
  12. US Election: It's a post-TrumpDay world

    I don't disagree, although I think Clinton comes by thatwariness honestly. Back in the 90s she was mocked for the "vast right-wing conspiracy" comment, but she was pretty much right.
  13. US Election: It's a post-TrumpDay world

    This is my senseas well, and if I can be frank my problem was never, ever with Sanders himself. I haven't always agreed with this stances on the issues (ok, most of the time I did), but I strongly dislike the attitude from some of his followers that if you don't FeeltheBern you are on the take.
  14. US Election: It's a post-TrumpDay world

    Credibility is in this circumstance like Yoda's cave on Dagobah: what you find there is what you bring with you. Those who are inclined to view Clinton with suspicion will think there is more to the email thing and Benghazi! than has been unearthed, and will likely think that no matter how little evidence endless investigations produce. If there is one thing this election season has taught me it's that although Americans may vote for Hillary Clinton, they will insist upon distrusting and disliking her no matter what. I suspect that if the Seven were to materialize and declare in stentorian tones that Clinton is entirely innocent of Emailgate (or whatever we're calling it), there are those who would suspect that Clinton bought off the Father.
  15. US Election: It's a post-TrumpDay world

    Clinton's negatives were lower before she started running for office, and after the primary is over they'll likely go down again. Will the email nonsense impact the election? Sure, maybe, but the real question is, will it significantly impact the election? If things continue as they have, I don't think so.