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Makk

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  1. I think with Nekhoteyevka the supply lines look very good. It's right next to the border, there is a highway running through, and it is far removed from where the Russian forces are currently positioned. There is really very little difference between holding it and holding the border. It would normally have zero strategic value, but politically it would probably require putin to focus on it. Yes defenses would have to be built, but you could quickly scatter mines across the roads and mud season might give you the time. Would Russians use glide bombs and other aviation on their own village? I really don't think this is unrealistic. If Russia did assemble a massive force quickly you could pull back but I suspect they would try first with a more moderate level.
  2. You could in theory hold these villages though. I'm not sure how good the supply routes are but they are close enough to Ukraine to be supported by artillery and drones. Start building defenses and if Russia wants to use their usual tactics of destroying every building when they take a settlement, it is Russian buildings they are flattening.
  3. It's not Kursk city. The incursions are all right next to the border but in three different locations. Just forcing the relocation of troops to stop this is an issue for the Russians although I think it is mainly about the embarrassment and propaganda. Coming just after Navalny's funeral and leading up to the sham elections, this is a good time to be adding to the political instability.
  4. You can run on the idea that the economy is improving right? The entire world is pretty shitty with a lot of problems at the moment but from a foreigners perspective the US seems to be one of the most robust countries at the moment in terms of economic recovery. Assuming the economy continues to improve I think he absolutely should run on it or at least the contrasting directions between where it is now and where it was going when he inherited it.
  5. Ukraine has signed a decree to improve rotation. Conscripts will be discharged into the reserves and will not be called up again within 12 months. Really addresses manpower rumours if they can handle that acceptably.
  6. Maybe I should have said, "possibly around unions". I must admit to not having any real sort of grasp of US labour laws and whether trump could even deliver anything here but Musk has been complaining about trade unions for some time, he has been stung by them overseas, and workers at his various companies have started to unionise and lay legal complaints in more recent times. I think he would jump at any laws helping him out here Another possibility is that he is seeking to maintain the ability to sell cars directly to consumers rather than go through a third party dealership which I understand is required by law for all other manufacturers in many states.
  7. Trump has met Elon Musk in a one on one meeting in Florida. If Trump suddenly stumps up with a 450 million bond for his legal troubles we will know where at least some of it came from. The big worry is that in return there is effectively policy for sale likely around unions which is a pretty sickening indictment on democracy. Not sure if Musk will go for this or not. He has had troubles with Trump in the past but has been very anti Biden and endorsed Ron De Santis after being apolitical earlier. I suspect he would stump up some cash if he thought Trump had a good chance of winning.
  8. I'm not from the US and I don't understand exactly who you can vote for and when you can vote for them. However I suspect that if people are intending to vote for Biden as president who would normally vote Republican, and are only voting that way because Truimp is deranged, then they are even more likely to vote Republican for the house and senate so Biden doesn't get too much power.
  9. I'm not really sure how you got to this from what I wrote. Perhaps I didn't state clearly enough what I was thinking. I was not suggesting any course of action, I was merely remarking that I thought it would be better in the long term if Trump was defeated again in an election and then sent to jail, rather than being sent to jail before the election (which I am doubtful about the outcome in the timeframe even if the supreme court had not stepped in). I think I am a lot more optimistic/woefully deluded than most people on this board and there seemed to be a lot of despair about the supreme courts decision to hear the immunity case. I think Ukraine will win in the long term with even moderate western assistance, and I think Trumps support and strength peaked around this last November. I'm definitely not suggesting MAGA cultists should be pandered to or any lenience should be shown to Trump, but eventually the issue of the MAGA crowd does need to be addressed and dealt with. I have no idea how you do this as I am continually shocked by their absolute lack of reasoning but I do think they gain strength in numbers. The best way to address them might be a gradual erosion until they lose interest. If Trump was sent to jail before the election there may well an explosion in their numbers fueled by some sort of righteous anger.
  10. Navalny's funeral was held over the weekend. Estimated to be more than 16000 people during the funeral itself and many more kept coming to visit the grave the next day. People were chanting "Ukrainians are not the enemy", "Bring the soldiers home", and "Putin is a murderer". There were around 100 people arrested, obviously far too many people there for widespread arrests but the FSB might be very busy this week, there was a lot of surveillance. This is worth a look Comments from the funeral Also after Ukraine has shot down 14 jets in 15 days there have been no new Russian glide bombs dropped in the last 24 hours. Big relief for the troops on the front line which seems to have stabilised after a massive number of Russian assaults all along the line over the last week.
  11. I think that for the future good, Trump has to be defeated at the election. It's a question of what happens to the entire MAGA crowd and if he is taken down via the courts its going to make that crowd even bigger, nuttier and much easier for someone else to harness if they have a pariah moment.
  12. There are claims that Ukraine has shot down a second A50. Wild if true, Russia has like 5 or 6 of them.
  13. The speaker of the house seems to have way too much power. Being able to simply not vote on any issue he doesn't like or being able to schedule a multiple week holiday whenever there might be a vote of no confidence on him seems bonkers.
  14. Oddly enough it is one of the few times putin has told the truth, albeit inadvertently. The best thing for Russia in the long term is to lose and have a regime change as soon as possible.
  15. One of the scariest things that is not being talked about right now is what Russian society will look like in 20 years if Putin or a like replacement continues in charge. Kids are being brought up right now in the most vile storm of propaganda. I'm disappointed by the numbers that support or just condone the invasion right now. In 20 years its going to be North Korea but with more money, nukes and other weapons.
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