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ASOIF Guessing Game XVIII: Worst mistakes made by characters - guessing #16


Castellan

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#14 Jon reacts to the pink letter and constructs a rationale about how he can lead a force to rescue Arya but it won't be the NW as such etc etc. Ends up stabbed. Annara and lil ghost gets points. Theon's mistakes were perfectly good guesses that didn't happen to be correct.

39 pts on 3 lists 18 - 7

 

 

Grietnog 21+0

Annara Snow 18+2=20

Julia H 17+0=17

lil' ghost 17+2=19

Night's Queen 13+0=13

Cashless Society 13+0=13

Jon's Queen Consort 13+0=13

Arya Kidding 8+0=8

Poached Aegon 5

Lord Wraith 5

 

Next clue: Its a mistake by one of the three Baratheon brothers and it can be seen as costing him everything.

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If it's going to help, these are the results Castellan had revealed before we lost posts. I used to copy paste them all into a Notepad document to keep track. I think only the last three are missing, actually, but anyway (these are copy pasted quotes):

 

#11 Oberyn not killing the Mountain when he had a chance

#12 Robb trusting Theon by sending him with an offer for Balon.
52pts  5 lists 18 2

#13 Renly making a separate bid for the throne instead of joining with Stannis.
49 pts 5 lists 17-4

#14 Jon reacts to the pink letter and constructs a rationale about how he can lead a force to rescue Arya but it won't be the NW as such etc etc. Ends up stabbed. Annara and lil ghost gets points. Theon's mistakes were perfectly good guesses that didn't happen to be correct.
39 pts on 3 lists 18 - 7

#15 Kraznys (and/or Asatpori slave traders as a whole) give Dany the Unsullied without securing the dragon first.
38 pts on two lists only but those people clearly saw it as a classic - 20 and 18 pts.

#16 Theon trusts Reek
37 pts 5 lists 13-2

#17 Eddard accepting the post of hand to the King.
36 points 3 lists 16 - 10

#18 Cersei arming the Faith Militant
34 points 5 lists 11 - 1

19. Sansa runs to Cersei to complain about mean old Dad.
32 points, on 6 lists - 11 and 1.

20. Bowen Marsh plots against and tries to assassinate Jon.
30 points, on 2 lists - 16 and 14.

21. Dany chains up her dragons.  

29 pts 3 lists highest score (not rank) 17 lowest 1
 
22. Dany stays in Meereen

29 pts 2 lists high 15 low 14
 
23. Arya wastes her 3 kills 28 pts 4 lists high 12 low 5
 
24. Walder Frey carries out the Red Wedding 28 pts 2 lists high 15 low 13
I mean we know its gonna come back at him and his house
 
25. Catelyn rejecting Jon 26 pts 2 lists high 20 low 6
Not sure if this was listed in the spirit of a moral or strategic error.

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