zelticgar Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 Continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Altherion Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 Why are you guys acting as though it is over? From what I can tell (e.g. at FiveThirtyEight), it is going to be really close, but Clinton is still more likely than not to win (at this moment, 272.1 electoral votes for Clinton, 265.2 for Trump). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wall Flower Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 1 minute ago, zelticgar said: Continue As a mere Aussie, it probably isn't my place to comment but I'm reminded of when Reagan's victory was announced and a guy on the bus I was on took off his hat, stamped on it in the middle of aisle shouting 'fuck you America'. I've got my hat out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The guy from the Vale Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 Wisconsin and Michigan look terrible. Also, North Carolina hasn't been given to Trump yet in their model, but my hope for a strong Clinton finish in Charlotte haven't materialized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DraculaAD1972 Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 I'd like to offer Hillary my sympathy and suggest she leaves for Qatar right now before Trump has her jailed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zelticgar Posted November 9, 2016 Author Share Posted November 9, 2016 1 minute ago, Altherion said: Why are you guys acting as though it is over? From what I can tell (e.g. at FiveThirtyEight), it is going to be really close, but Clinton is still more likely than not to win (at this moment, 272.1 electoral votes for Clinton, 265.2 for Trump). I just updated it to soften the topic a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datepalm Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 She's, uh, won California. yay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datepalm Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 NYT has a 94% of a Trump win, while still giving Clinton the popular vote by a point or two. Fuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Fallen Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 West coast is in for Hillary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The guy from the Vale Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 If Trump wins he will be entering office with very high negatives. That makes me skeptical of how much he can really do. He'll have both a Republican House as well as a Republican Senate. Oh, and due to the SC opening, he'll also have a friendly Supreme Court. There's nothing that is going to stop him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gertrude Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 Oh shit, NC is in. Trump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zelticgar Posted November 9, 2016 Author Share Posted November 9, 2016 NH is at a 9k vote spread right now. thats something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pro Augustis Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 6 minutes ago, Altherion said: Why are you guys acting as though it is over? From what I can tell (e.g. at FiveThirtyEight), it is going to be really close, but Clinton is still more likely than not to win (at this moment, 272.1 electoral votes for Clinton, 265.2 for Trump). Because 538 is just basing theirs off of called states, while MI and WI look very dicey for Clinton, and if she loses one of them it's pretty much over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Red Hermit Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 Just now, theguyfromtheVale said: He'll have both a Republican House as well as a Republican Senate. Oh, and due to the SC opening, he'll also have a friendly Supreme Court. There's nothing that is going to stop him. That also means they will get all the blame for what happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DanteGabriel Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 So... the Republicans will have succeeded in running out the clock on Merrick Garland, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Marquis de Leech Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 Looking at Utah, even the Mormons are going for him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ramsay B. Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 I'm legit shocked right now. This is a fucking nightmare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Return of Rhaenys Kitten Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 1 minute ago, theguyfromtheVale said: He'll have both a Republican House as well as a Republican Senate. Oh, and due to the SC opening, he'll also have a friendly Supreme Court. There's nothing that is going to stop him. Most of the Senate hates him, and a portion of the house. He's not an unchecked 21st century Hitler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Datepalm Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 Would someone please call Georgia already? It just looks sad now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jasta11 Posted November 9, 2016 Share Posted November 9, 2016 6 minutes ago, Altherion said: Why are you guys acting as though it is over? From what I can tell (e.g. at FiveThirtyEight), it is going to be really close, but Clinton is still more likely than not to win (at this moment, 272.1 electoral votes for Clinton, 265.2 for Trump). Because their model relies on called states, not on visible trends. The visible trend is that Clinton is losing both Michigan and Wisconsin; if she does, she loses the Electoral College vote, pain and simple, and it's game over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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