Bronn Stone Posted December 5, 2017 Share Posted December 5, 2017 Tough week coming up. Very few games with point spreads of a touchdown or more. You're guaranteed to have double-digit confidence values on games with spreads under 6. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mcbigski Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 That Buffalo Indy game is going to haunt me. I'd be leading the week right now if Viniteri made the field goal. And figured that since Brady is only .500 or so in Miami, and it was the biggest spread of the week, that was my chance to gamble, as far behind as I am. I really should have gone more than 8 pts for Miam thoughi- in for a penny, in for a pound. But if the phins can pull it out, I should move up some at least, and won't have to gamble so much next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Chatywin et al. Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 On 12/5/2017 at 3:39 PM, Bronn Stone said: Tough week coming up. Very few games with point spreads of a touchdown or more. You're guaranteed to have double-digit confidence values on games with spreads under 6. It was probably the hardest week to pick since early on in the season. If you can avoid any major stumbles, you'll probably be this year's champion. There are a handful of us bunched up behind you, but I think the gap is probably too larger to overcome unless somebody get's lucky gambling on a few upsets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronn Stone Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 (edited) 15 minutes ago, Tywin et al. said: If you can avoid any major stumbles, you'll probably be this year's champion. There are a handful of us bunched up behind you, but I think the gap is probably too larger to overcome unless somebody get's lucky gambling on a few upsets. I'm going to stick with the strategy of picking New England every week and putting 16 on them every week (except if a week 17 rest-them-all scenario happens). This could be my downfall if and only if the Patriots lose. I will happily trade this pick-em for that world. Edited December 12, 2017 by Bronn Stone Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Chatywin et al. Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 6 minutes ago, Bronn Stone said: I'm going to stick with the strategy of picking New England every week and putting 16 on them every week (except if a week 17 rest-them-all scenario happens). This could be my downfall if and only if the Patriots lose. I will happily trade this pick-em for that world. Well that strategy got you and me both last night, a long with most players in the league. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronn Stone Posted December 12, 2017 Share Posted December 12, 2017 And I was TOTALLY fine with it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe Pesci Posted December 13, 2017 Share Posted December 13, 2017 I was finally able to look at the weekends picks, and damn were mine fucking putrid... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronn Stone Posted December 15, 2017 Share Posted December 15, 2017 Picks in, folks. At least for the Thursday game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lord Lyman Posted December 17, 2017 Share Posted December 17, 2017 I completely forgot that there were Saturday games this week. So in the famous words of Homer, “D’oh!” Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronn Stone Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 (edited) This week has both Thursday and Saturday games and two Monday (Xmas) games. Also, only one game currently has a spread of fewer than four points (one is off the board, but Rodgers won't play and Minnesota will be big favorites because of that). This means bigger risk/reward for picking upsets - which I won't be doing much of considering my 20 point overall lead Edited December 19, 2017 by Bronn Stone Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Chatywin et al. Posted December 20, 2017 Share Posted December 20, 2017 On 12/19/2017 at 11:40 AM, Bronn Stone said: This week has both Thursday and Saturday games and two Monday (Xmas) games. Also, only one game currently has a spread of fewer than four points (one is off the board, but Rodgers won't play and Minnesota will be big favorites because of that). This means bigger risk/reward for picking upsets - which I won't be doing much of considering my 20 point overall lead My inability to make up ground on you has been a most frustrating affair. I've had a string of great weeks, and every time I check your weekly score it's basically the same as mine. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronn Stone Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 (edited) 1 hour ago, Tywin et al. said: My inability to make up ground on you has been a most frustrating affair. I've had a string of great weeks, and every time I check your weekly score it's basically the same as mine. I've only finished below 4th once in Westeros Pro Football Pick'em and that was ten years ago. But the NFL-post season is an opportunity to make up ground. Those games are worth many points. Edited December 21, 2017 by Bronn Stone Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Chatywin et al. Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 15 hours ago, Bronn Stone said: I've only finished below 4th once in Westeros Pro Football Pick'em and that was ten years ago. But the NFL-post season is an opportunity to make up ground. Those games are worth many points. That’s not shocking to hear, though I thought this league was only a few years old. And for what it’s worth, I finished second last year with the best record. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronn Stone Posted December 21, 2017 Share Posted December 21, 2017 55 minutes ago, Tywin et al. said: That’s not shocking to hear, though I thought this league was only a few years old. And for what it’s worth, I finished second last year with the best record. The league has come and gone. The first iteration I recall was 2001. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronn Stone Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 While my lead is substantial, there is still time to make up ground. This week has four games. To make them relevant, Yahoo offers four confidence values, 4,8,12,16 instead of 1,2,3,4. Get those picks in! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Chatywin et al. Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I doubt anyone can catch you unless you forget to make your picks. Now it's pretty much a race for second place for everyone else. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronn Stone Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 Games start tomorrow and I only see six teams with picks... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbunting Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 6:41 PM, Tywin et al. said: I doubt anyone can catch you unless you forget to make your picks. Now it's pretty much a race for second place for everyone else. Speak for yourself! I'm in a race for 6th! I had some really bad weeks that just killed me, then a string of like 3 out of 4 in first or second and yet made up no ground. Obviously I am going with mostly upsets this weekend. Tywin, this year you bested me and by a lot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rocksniffer Posted January 6, 2018 Share Posted January 6, 2018 4 hours ago, dbunting said: Speak for yourself! I'm in a race for 6th! I had some really bad weeks that just killed me, then a string of like 3 out of 4 in first or second and yet made up no ground. Obviously I am going with mostly upsets this weekend. Tywin, this year you bested me and by a lot. gotta bet big to win big, my daddy always said... i am still in the hunt for 8th place... watch out Lumpy... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbunting Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Man, i picked the wrong upsets to bet big on! Oh well, still holding on to hope! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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