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Floki of the Ironborn

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Everything posted by Floki of the Ironborn

  1. On the one hand, Munkun seems to be a wise man. He mediates to keep the peace, he is the first on hand to try and heal people, and he occasionally gives some genuinely sound advice (ex. suggesting Rowley to be the new Lord Confessor). On the other hand, he spends years actively assisting and supporting Unwin Peake, even to the point where he's disobeying Aegon's orders. Of course, Munkun's status means he doesn't get punished with the others, but something must have happened because he apparently gets dismissed from his position by the time future Daeron II is born. But then later on he's in the same position as before. Is that a blooper on GRRM's part? Did Aegon and Viserys punish him for conspiring against them after all?
  2. Arnolf and his brood will not survive long. Cregan may or may not be released in the chaos that's about to envelop Castle Black. Harrion is a non-entity, he's only ever existed to be a hostage. It would be stupid if he played a crucial role so late in the game. I think the Thenns will integrate into the North. The North is going to become very savage during this winter, and the Thenns will fit right in. I wouldn't be surprised if House Thenn replaces House Karstark once and for all, representing a new blend of different northerners living together at last.
  3. All good points. One thing I'd add to the Blacks side of things is that Blood and Cheese shouldn't have stopped at Jaehaerys. They could have easily killed Alicent, bound and gagged Helaena, killed all three of the children, spared Helaena so Aegon can't marry again, then sneak over to Otto Hightower's office and murder him too. It would have completely crippled Aegon's council, demoralized him, and left the greens open to a ruinous defeat.
  4. If you read Fire and Blood, it goes into detail about a possible way she died. The implication is that Unwin Peake's mercenary bodyguard, Tessario, was allowed into her room by Amaury Peake and threw her to her death.
  5. Come to think of it, were the Dornish still raiding the Marches after they joined the Seven Kingdoms? It seems like that would warrant some serious repercussions if they did. But then if the raids haven't been happening for years, have the Marcher Lords become less martial?
  6. Do they? Because as far as I can recall, Stannis wasn't fully aware of what happened the night Renly died.
  7. My favourite is that he's just insane from having travelled to Valyria. He's definitely been there, given that he's got Valyrian steel armour, but the cost is that he's also gone utterly bonkers. Now he's full of that mad Targaryen megalomania, preparing an apocalypse for him to ride out and rule, only to be taken out in a very unremarkable way, preferably by an arrow from Samwell Tarly.
  8. Victims of their enemies? Yes. Their enemies have thoroughly annihilated them, in a truly humiliating way. But I wouldn't call them 'victims' per se. They made bad choices, as people have said, and the fact that they even have choices to make puts them above 95% of everyone else in the Seven Kingdoms. They are top tier privilege in a very cruel and unfair society. I can see that no matter how much I like them as characters or like the story they're in. Theon Stark is what the North will become again. He lived ruthlessly in a hard world, which is what the Starks will become in order to reclaim their home and survive the winter. We've seen it with all of them, even Sansa the Wolfless. Arya and Rickon are turning savage, Bran is becoming deeply immersed in the old gods, Jon Snow is learning how to lead a pack, Sansa is learning who she can trust and how she can maneuver herself among strangers and enemies. No doubt the Starks were honourable after a fashion, but Eddard brought the Andal version of honour into House Stark from the Vale. It's the wrong kind of honour, a kind that doesn't serve the Starks well, as the books point out. The wolves will awaken, though, and they will endure.
  9. As we learned in ADWD, Varys has spent a long time paving the road for (f)Aegon VI to reclaim the Iron Throne for House Targaryen. This includes murdering Grand Maester Pycelle and Kevan Lannister so that the various factions in King's Landing turn on each other even more, which will presumably benefit (f)Aegon. But if that's what his endgame was, why would he work so hard to prevent the War of the Five Kings from happening? "Peace. If there was one soul in King's Landing who was truly desperate to keep Robert Baratheon alive, it was me. For fifteen years I protected him from his enemies, but I could not protect him from his friends." You could argue that he's lying, but even if he is, that doesn't change his reason for speaking in the first place. Eddard Stark is imprisoned, he's awaiting judgment from King Joffrey, whom he tried to prevent from taking the throne. The Riverlands have erupted into war, Robb is leading a Northern army to victory against Jaime Lannister, the realm is going to come apart. Varys is down with Eddard to persuade him to confess his treason, take the black, and do what he can to call off the North's forces before things go further. Regardless of what Varys claims is his motivation, this is what he's doing. But why? A chaotic realm is exactly what he's apparently been hoping to prepare for (f)Aegon. Why did Varys fight so hard to prevent that from happening? It's not like he's fearful of Daenerys and her dragons, the eggs hadn't hatched yet (though it does explain why he was so ready to poison Daenerys at Robert's order. He had a secret Blackfyre/Targaryen/lookalike in the wings all along). I suppose you can argue that he's waiting for (f)Aegon to come of age, but Jon Connington could have assumed command as the Hand and Protector of the Realm. And if you're arguing that (f)Aegon's allies didn't have enough troops, that also makes me tilt my head. The Golden Company's ready to break any contract for this mission, and they spend their lives fighting. They could have swept in any time and rallied any Targaryen loyalists (of which there were still many during Robert's early reign). This is a plan which Varys claims he and Illyrio have been slowly forming for years. They surely didn't have to wait so long as they did.
  10. Was it a coincidence? We see how much Tywin relies on communication in ASOS. Nobody would think twice about Cersei writing to her father, I could easily believe that some of it was planned. Not all, mind you, but some of it.
  11. To be clear, Roose: -forces a night march on his troops -ruins the element of surprise by sounding loud horns -runs downhill from the high ground towards an army which is bigger and has far more cavalry -loses over a quarter of the army (he started with more than 17,000 infantry, and after the battle (plus after the Freys pull out) he's got less than 10,000 left) -deliberately keeps his own men in the vanguard so that they're least impacted by casualties If it wasn't for Robb's great victories, I daresay Roose would have been in big trouble from Robb after a defeat like that. I don't even know if he ever really understood what had happened, either. Roose could have told him anything by raven, and since he was killing off the Northern forces piece by piece, there wouldn't be anyone to tell him otherwise.
  12. Ramsay is absolutely too crazy to consider himself in danger. He does what he pleases, and he's had a lot of luck getting out of well-deserved punishments. As for Roose, he was definitely planning things. It's pretty obvious, given how he was undercutting his rivals from the very first. I'd say he was always hoping to find an opportunity to supplant the Starks. Putting Ramsay in charge was absolutely a strategic decision on his part. He can rely on Ramsay being unpredictable and wild. Of course, he couldn't predict that Daryn Hornwood was going to die, at the same time as his father, but he had to have known that the war would lead to some kind of issue on the home front. And once Ramsay noticed, he'd happily exploit it for his own means. Roose is a lot like Littlefinger in that regard; he doesn't control chaos, nor does he even try to control it. He simply rides the wave as far as he can go until the next wave shows itself.
  13. Dunk would probably have died stupidly in some skirmish or raid, forgotten almost as soon as he's been buried. Egg would still have been driven to run away from Aerion, but it would have ended badly for him. The real issue is that Baelor Breakspear wouldn't have died in that tourney, which means he'd have become king instead of Aerys or Maekar. That probably would have been a better future for Westeros too, given how things turned out.
  14. They already have Karhold, though. It would be really weird if GRRM allows Harrion to return to become Lord Karstark after all.
  15. That does make me wonder, dragons seem to be able to eat a lot of things. It's not like they ever talk about dragons dying of food poisoning in the books, so is there anything which could kill a dragon after ingestion?
  16. Once Joffrey was born, then Cersei has Robert's heir (far as anyone knows). That means Robert is no longer necessary, since Cersei has her hold on the royal house, and Tywin has his grandson to rule the Seven Kingdoms once he comes of age. It would have been so easy to kill Robert, as it is when Cersei needs it to happen. Once she finds out about Ned's plans, she immediately carries out Robert's murder, and nobody suspects her of anything since he died as he lived. So, why didn't she kill him sooner? She would have been queen, and King's Landing was full of Lannisters by that point. She had loyalists among the Kingsguard (and keep in mind, Jaime would have had no problem being the Queenmaker by that point; I could totally see him cutting down Jon Arryn or Robert's brothers if they got in the way. It would be easy to name them all traitors and have them executed for treason or even making them confess to having murdered Robert themselves. Tywin would be the new Hand, Joffrey grows up, and Cersei spends years securing her rule, all while Ned Stark and Hoster Tully are none the wiser.
  17. The Merryweathers are probably Blackfyre sympathizers with the Golden Company, so unless they're playing more than one game at the same time, I doubt it's them. Varys would want Cersei to destabilize the realm as much as she could, and telling Doran about the plot to kill his son would definitely have that desired effect. I'd guess it was him.
  18. I like the Blackwoods except for Bloodraven, whom I loathe. And I dislike the Brackens except for Bittersteel, who I can't help but like purely because he's Bloodraven's bitter enemy.
  19. Except that he apparently can't shoot arrows anymore due to his lost fingers. And really, all those other ideas feel like wishful thinking to me. Even if Theon does nullify the previous kingsmoot, that doesn't mean he'll be able to win over the Ironborn to make him their king. He'd never have power for himself, let alone give it to Asha. Asha is more likely to win the throne herself, it won't be Theon who gives it to her. Theon's gone quite the distance in growth, so he won't see Asha as a rival for his seat, he'll see her as the worthy heir. But that's assuming he's getting out of his current situation alive, because I have no idea how that'll happen unless Stannis is utterly defeated just before he can execute Theon, but that also means Ramsay Bolton will have him back, which is worse than death.
  20. I'd say that from what we know of him so far, Theon Greyjoy is a broken man. He has been mutilated beyond recognition (even by his own sister), he's been gelded, and he's lost so many digits that any physical activity seems to be difficult. The only possible use he'd have left is overturning the Kingsmoot, but I doubt anyone would ever take his claim seriously.
  21. That's why I don't want it to be true. I want him to be wrong, or deluded. Just so long as I can still freely hate him for sacrificing untold thousands of lives because he triggered the destruction of House Targaryen. He's almost single-handedly responsible for all the drama which has unfolded in the story.
  22. So glad that someone said it. Tyrion being a secret Targaryen who gets to fly a dragon? Utter doss. I don't know why everyone is so eager to have that happen, it would completely undo everything that's been established about Tyrion and Tywin's relationship. I will say, though, that I am fully okay with Cersei and Jaime being secret Targs. It makes far more sense with them than it ever could with Tyrion. Oh, and I really hope that the prophecies around Jon aren't true either. The idea that Rhaegar and Lyanna's actions are in any way justified in this story would be a huge letdown. I don't want GRRM to justify their selfishness with them saving the world through their progeny or whatever.
  23. To be fair, Lancel is a joke. He is wildly immature, and prone to melodrama. He goes from being a deceitful hypocrite to a religious fanatic in the span of less than a year. And even if you don't consider religious fanaticism to be a negative thing, his redemption is also self-serving, to get him out of a really awful situation.
  24. Agreed. Tyrion is by far the most dangerous one. Especially now, because he has no loyalty to anyone anymore and he has abandoned many of his ethics. He's already sent fAegon to go run amok in the Stormlands, and we still don't actually know whether he did that in good faith, either to fAegon or to King's Landing. He's just doing shit for the hell of it, it seems, and that's terrifying when you realise that Tyrion is in the perfect position; he's smarter than most, while also being constantly underestimated because of his physical appearance and a soiled reputation which he didn't earn. Cersei will do a lot of damage, but Tyrion will be the game-changer, for whichever side he chooses.
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