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  1. I think some people focus on Lyana's kidnapping/elopement as the start of Robert's Rebellion (which I guess is true) but the realm was well aware of what Aerys was becoming well before that. If your King is slowly becoming irrational and unhelpful - let alone insane - most Lords would start getting concerned enough to at least entertain the possibility of another option. Now, actually acting would be treason, but when Robert raised his banners (and don't forget, Robert was a very persuasive and likeable guy) it just gave Hoster the chance to act out what everyone had been thinking. I agree with the posters above too, he stands to gain far more from siding with Robert and marrying his daughters off to them than he would with Aerys.
  2. Mat92

    What if Jaime had died before Robert's Rebellion?

    Well IIRC, a significant factor in Aery's spiral into madness was his paranoia, especially in regards to Tywin being more influential than him. If that's the case, Jaime not being assigned to the Kingsguard may alleviate SOME of this - not constantly having a Lannister around, let alone assigned to protect you, let alone the son of the guy you are paranoid of would probably have let Aerys breathe a little easier. But I doubt this is a significant factor. The other thing is that Jaime would not be there to kill Aerys - it's doubtful that anyone else would have made the same decision (which is why Jaimes character is interesting) so that means most of KL would have gone up in Wildfire. I don't know how much this would affect Cersei between Jaimes death and the end of the rebellion - she wasn't married yet, nor promised to anyone that I can remember so she wouldn't affect anything until after the rebellion.
  3. Mat92

    How is Edric Storm being looked after?

    I'm sure this is a part of it, but we currently have the most amount of characters in Essos than in previous books, so I feel like we'll find out they are doing something. Not saying that it'll be important to the story at all, but I figure a bastard of a Westerosi king is important enough to come into play again. I agree with the OP, sellswords are most likely how they are keeping food on the table. Do we know who was sent with him to protect him?
  4. Mat92

    The Old Bears last wish. Reasonable?

    The Night's Watch still have a somewhat respectable reputation in the North, and it's not full of only criminals - there are men there who have no prospects in life or who have too many older brothers to inherit anything, yet. Jeor is a very honourable man who wants to uphold this reputation, and sees the NW as a way for his only son to win back some honour in his life. Its very reasonable to see this as Jeor's last words, his thoughts drifting to his only son and his family name continuing. Jeor likely has no knowledge of what Jorah has been up to since he went north of the Wall around the time Dany's dragons were born and her reputation started to spread.
  5. Mat92

    Dragons, missing, sleeping or prolonged life?

    I agree with @aryagonnakill#2. The only way around this would be if a dragon did die in the North/Beyond the Wall and was somehow revived as an undead dragon or whatever. But I don't really like this idea at all, it really takes out the importance of Dany's dragons being born. If anything, the Cannibal story could eventually be used to explain the effects of the cold on dragons in the next 2 books, which is what I would rather read about instead of another dragon popping up out of nowhere. I'd like to see a dragon skeleton on Skagos for example.
  6. Mat92

    Greywater Watch

    Magic in ASOIAF always has a cost to it, and death is pretty much always involved: Mirri Maz Dur - sacrifices Drogo/Rhago/Drogos horse for the dragons to be born Thoros - each time Beric dies and he is brought back, more and more of him is lost Mel - burns the leeches: Robb, Joff and Balon end up dead. Not to mention burning people at the stake. Eurons horn - the guy who blows it burns up from the inside out. Those are just the few most blatant examples we've seen in the book. If Greywater Watch is controlled with magic, then they are sacrificing something, which is why I think it is highly unlikely.
  7. I think it's odd that Euron has a horn that looks extremely similar to the one that Mance found (big warhorn with runes and gold bands) - one that we know has some sort of magical toll to use it - yet IIRC, nothing happens with Mance tries to blow it? Or does he not even attempt to? I can't remember. Either way, it seems too coincidental to have 2 horns that are very similar found on opposite sites of the planet (beyond the wall, Valyria apparently). I still think it's suspicious for the horn that Sam has to keep being mentioned in the story, but the more I think about it, the weirder it is that this little cracked horn could have all this power. In regards to the OP, I definitely agree with magic having certain rules, similar to how energy works in real life - it cannot be created or destroyed, it just changes form. Magic in ASOIAF has a cost - "death pays for life" for example. If the horn of winter is magical, then using it would have some cost also, but simply raising the dead doesn't really seem like a sacrifice on behalf of the user (the guy who blew Euron's horn, burnt up from inside out). I think the Horn of Winter could be Sam's horn, but it's not magical it's just the horn that was used to herald the Battle for the Dawn, or rally everyone to push back and win it.
  8. Mat92

    Greywater Watch

    I'm curious about this idea that Greywater Watch is able to float around and have parts that detach from itself. Just doesn't seem very stable to me. If it is important enough to have a name, it must be fairly large, although I can't remember if we heard anything about how many crannogmen there are. I think a large part of the reason they are never found is that their guerrilla warfare puts people off/keeps people out from having the chance to explore the area enough to get your bearings, and being a huge swamp you'd get lost in there even if they didn't kill you first. Despite everything said about it, I can't help but think that this whole idea of it being so mobile and moving around all the time is either a slight ruse, or is at least highly exaggerated.
  9. Mat92

    Is Heartsbane Lightbringer?

    I mean the names GRRM gave the swords as the author, not the people in the story naming the swords.
  10. Mat92

    Is Heartsbane Lightbringer?

    I agree. Just look at Daenerys for example - she has so many titles and different people use different titles to refer to her. Over time Lightbringer probably got retitled something (or multiple things) in different songs and stories. And that's assuming it is a burning sword, let alone something that metaphorically brought lightness in dark times. In regards to the OP, its not impossible. Their are only a handful of Valyrian steel swords in the world (lost or not), so their names need to have some significant (Oathkeeper for example). Similar to how the names of each Direwolf have significant literal relevance.
  11. Mat92

    The Catspaw - means, motive, and opportunity

    My money is still on Joff. The whole "it'd be a mercy" thing seems like a twisted rationale that he would employ. We as the reader think of Joffrey as a spoilt prince (at this point in the story), but in hindsight it seems like it is him testing the water so to speak, to see what he can get away with. Cersei and Jaime are the prime suspects at this point. As for what to do with the catspaw after he killed Bran? Likely Joff would have ordered the Hound to kill him, or he would have thought paying him off would have been good enough. There is ONE reason that I do not suspect Cersei: she never thinks about a catspaw or sending someone to kill Bran in her chapters. She's constantly thinking about her past: the prophecy, her childhood growing up learning from Tywin. Most of all, she thinks about anything to do with Jaime - them growing up together, their relationship through the years, how he'll react when he finds out about her other lovers. Surely having caught her and Jaime together, Bran would have popped into her head if she sent an assassin to kill him, successful or not. Littlefinger is too far away and this is such a specific scenario for him to plan for. And I don't believe Mance would try to kill a cripple boy for no reason - it doesn't benefit him at all. I mean, he's already a cripple, it's not like he can fight against the Wildlings in the future and it's easy to assume he can't further the Stark line if he does wake up. Bran's no threat to anyone. Which is why the "mercy" angle seems most likely.
  12. Mat92

    Fat Walda's Future

    I don't think she really has any options at this stage. She's probably a lot safer in her current situation, with a tonne of Freys occupying Winterfell. But Ramsey is definitely smart enough to know that as soon as any kids are born, he's out. So I imagine he'll kill her at some point before the books end, or at the very least she'll die from some other cause. Freys in the North can't be the end goal for this story.
  13. Good points, I think @Hugorfonics and @The South Forgets have the right of it.
  14. I believe any knight can make a knight. In terms of a Lord doing this, I'm not entirely sure. I imagine if any knight can make a knight, then a lord would be able to. But I'm not sure if there's anything in the text to support that. It might be a case of only a knight can make a knight, with the exception of a King who can do whatever the heck he wants.
  15. If Theon died, the Iron Born would not attack Winterfell. They all thought Theon was stupid to do that, their strength "comes from the sea." At best, the Iron Born stick to the coast and start pillaging. MAYBE Ramsey gets released to get the Bolton army, but Winterfell would be able to send men and wouldn't get attacked while doing so. Rodrik would still be alive in this example. This line of events also means that Bran does not have to flee because of the Iron Born taking Winterfell, and possibly wouldn't make for the 3ER. In terms of Robb, they capture Jaime but Karstark doesn't feel the need to try and kill him out of revenge. That causes more peace with Robb's camp, Cat doesn't feel the need to send him off with Brienne to protect him as he's her only bargaining chip for the girls (he's endangered with Karstark trying to kill him). In this situation Robb has less/no dissent in his camp, Karstarks don't leave, Cat doesn't get sidelined and he's got a way better chance of winning. Bolton possibly also wouldn't flip on the Starks while they hold Jaime hostage (although this is subjective). He still may have to respond to the Iron Born pillaging, but it wouldn't be anywhere near as damaging as them taking Winterfell. Anyway, all of the above is pure speculation. I would imagine that if Theon died instead of the Karstark boys it would result in an extremely different story. Happy to hear why my above scenario is wrong though haha.