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Posts posted by Fez

  1. 12 hours ago, Relic said:

    Weird logic. I'd rather discuss things that are rooted in reality instead of random conspiracy theory xyz, especially when it applies to the deeply sensitive topic being discussed. 

    By the way, did you know that some people claim humanity has never left Earths gravity well, and that all of space exploration is fiction? Isn't that interesting? 

    If it's false, it's noteworthy that the group felt the need to make the accusation. Just like liberals share the weird, false accusations that Trump, MTG, Boebert, et al make all the time.

    And if it's true, it's obviously a big deal in it's own right.

    Either way, it garnered enough attention that the media orgs felt the need that they had to respond. https://www.washingtonpost.com/style/media/2023/11/09/cnn-ap-photographer-hamas/



    CNN, the Associated Press, Reuters and the New York Times, which all published photographs by the freelancers, denied any advance warning of the attack.

    But CNN and the AP chose to cut ties with Hassan Eslaiah, one of the freelancers, though they did not specify why. Eslaiah got extra emphasis in the HonestReporting story, which resurfaced a several-years-old photo of him posing with Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar.



  2. 12 hours ago, Relic said:

    Honestly, what's the point of sharing this shit? Either wait until you know it's true, or share some space lazer news, too.

    What's the point of posting anything? Just fodder for thought/discussion.

    And I sure haven't seen such complaints about not fully vetted Palestinian claims.

  3. 7 hours ago, The Anti-Targ said:


    It's "the system" in a broad context in the sense that there is still a concept of 2 big parties to either side of the centre that are not supposed to form a govt together, unless for some emergency reason people think it's necessary to have a special thing called a government of national unity. If Likud and Labour had historically formed govts together rather than almost always seeing to be the one big party that cobbled together majorities by working with parties or greater or lesser extremity things might look a bit different. In the US context PR would lead to the splintering of the two parties, but they would probably remain the two biggest parties in congress. But the unwritten rule would be that you would never see R+D as a bloc forming the majority. R will always be expected to go with parties to the right or R and centre parties largely made up of former Rs. D's would likewise be expected to only work with parties to the left and centre parties of former Ds.

    That's a rather odd way to describe Israel, considering that there were 10 parties that got seats in the latest election; 5 of them with at least 10 seats and Likud itself only got 32 of the 120 available (and Labor got 4). Things have gotten more polarized since 2019, but Israel historically has been well-known for having a huge number of parties that make it into the Knesset. And a lot of them don't just fall onto a left-right spectrum; e.g., there's the party for Ashkenazi Haredi, the party for Sephardic Haredi, the party for Russian-speaking Jews.

    Also, 4 Prime Ministers since 2001 haven't been from Likud (or Labor), and not just the two briefly last year. From 2003 to 2009, Kadima was the dominant party in government; swapping out Likud and Labor (among other parties) as junior partners as needed.

    Further, Labor and Likud have formed a government together that wasn't a "national emergency" government. After the 1984 election the math was basically impossible to make a government that didn't involve both parties, and they didn't hate each other as much back then, so they made a government.

    Lastly, the most recent Likud government (pre 10/7) was the first time there was such an ideologically cohesive government. E.g, Labor governments regularly included the religious conservative parties, and Likud governments used to regularly include single-issue liberal and moderate parties.

  4. 44 minutes ago, maarsen said:

    You do know that Israel has this type of system leading to their inability to deal with issues of national importance without including the loony bin contigent in the decision making? 


    29 minutes ago, kissdbyfire said:

    Is it the system in Israel? I mean, I think it’s messy as hell but I didn’t think it was Israel’s system. 

    It's not. Israel uses a nationwide party closed list proportional representative system with a 3.25% electoral threshold. It's like what Spain uses for it's lower chamber, only the entire country is one giant district.

  5. There's a hell of claim out there today, albeit not from an unbiased source, claiming that Gaza-based photojournalists employed by the AP and Reuters were actually embedded among the Hamas terrorists on 10/7. If true, it means that journalists (and perhaps, although not likely, their employing news agencies) knew of the attack in advance and didn't alert anyone. Or, alternatively, the "journalists" are actually members of Hamas. Either way, it would call into question the accuracy of quite a bit of reporting coming out from the ground in Gaza.


  6. As great as the outcome of last night was overall, there are still some warning signs for Democrats:

    First of all, in Virginia Republicans won every senate district that was less than Biden+8 in 2020. In a lot of ways last night was actually pretty similar to 2021, it's just that the lines favored Democrats a bit. And yes, they won back the state house, but the district lines there were different than in 2021; overall voter preference seems pretty similar to what it had been.

    And secondly, New York Democrats continued to lose ground in and around NYC. When abortion isn't on the ballot (and, in fairness, the Long Island suburbs of NYC are probably the one place left in the country where there are still a large number of pro-choice Republicans— including some of the local candidates who won last night) things can get bad quick. If Republicans are in some way able to make the economy the main focus of 2024, it'll spell big trouble.

  7. 21 minutes ago, Phylum of Alexandria said:

    About to go out and vote in VA's elections. Really hoping we can quash any chance of abortion regulation, and send fucking Youngkin the message that his 2021 win was not any type of mandate for his radical personal beliefs.

    Fingers crossed!

    It's just a shame that I'm in such a blue part of NoVA that my vote basically doesn't matter since there's no statewide offices up. We do have a kinda competitive county board vote, but I think my state delegate and senator are running unopposed. Still gonna go vote in a couple hours though of course.

  8. 6 minutes ago, Varysblackfyre321 said:

    Literally every single Jewish person can turn out to vote out for trump in response to Biden actually getting tough on Israel  and he’d win them all

    They’re solidly blue and the loss would be eclipsed by the Arab Americans and young people who’d appreciate the change


    Jews are 3.34% of the population in Pennsylvania (Biden won by 1.16%); 2.46% of Nevada (Biden won by 2.39%); 1.49% of Arizona (Biden won by 0.31%); and 1.20% of Georgia (Biden won by 0.24%).

    Meanwhile, Arab Americans' population is greater than Biden's 2020 margin only in Arizona (0.46%) and Georgia (0.26%), both of which are smaller than the Jewish population. From a purely political perspective, Biden's making the smart play.

  9. And speaking of the problems of PC gaming, I think I've encountered one. My secondary SSD (which is 6 years old) appears to have suddenly and completely died overnight. It's no longer recognized by my PC at all, not showing up in device manager, disk management, or BIOS. Question for those more knowledge than me:

    If I've confirmed that the motherboard port is still good, the SATA cable is still good, and the power supply connector is still good (I was able to test all them with a third drive), is there any other issue I could be facing besides it being that the SSD has died? 

  10. Speaking of Gamepass, I just played a neat little game on it called Jusant. It's the first game I've played that made climbing an actual engaging activity (which is good, because it's the only real mechanism in the game). It took about 5 hours, and was generally a pleasant, neat experience throughout. It's not really that difficult, and it's impossible to die (you can have to re-do short bits of climbing but that's the only challenge you can face). So in some senses it's basically a walking simulator with a bit more going on. Not sure if it'd be worth the $25 (I think) that it's on Steam, but definitely the kind of game that makes gamepass shine.

  11. 3 hours ago, Bironic said:

    Can someone explain to me why 31 democrats sided with the majority of republicans no to expel George Santos?



    There's only been 5 members of the House expelled in US history; 3 who joined the Confederates in the Civil War and 2 who were convicted of felonies. I can see the argument that the standard for expulsion should remain as high as it has been; and Santos hasn't been convicted of anything yet.

  12. Johnson seems likely to win on the first vote on the floor. All the Republicans either like him or are too exhausted to keep going. Bacon, one of the most moderate members left, just voted for him. And Buck, who is OG crazy conservative but also anti-MAGA and opposed Jordan because of his 2020 denialism, has said he'll vote for Johnson.

    It seems likely Johnson will happily allow a shutdown to happen next month, and then it'll be a question of if he ever blinks (and therefore goes the way of McCarthy) or if the moderates eventually revolt again. The flashpoint may be even sooner, over the Ukraine/Israel aid package that the Senate will pass.

  13. 13 minutes ago, Tywin et al. said:


    We'll see. This man has an amazing track recorded of failing upwards despite the odds. My concern is he could get through just because Republicans need to pick someone at this point and they're running out of options. 

    He might get through on fatigue alone at this point. Although apparently in the first internal roll call there were 26 Republicans who said they wouldn't vote for him on the floor. That's better than Jordan, who had 55 no's in his first internal roll call. But these 26 are all hardcore MAGAs, and much more likely to be steadfast no matter what. 

    Interestingly, some of the fringe are already okay with Emmer though. Gaetz, Boebert, and a few others have said they'll support him.


  14. 26 minutes ago, Tywin et al. said:

    Also Tom Emmer is now the nominee for Speaker. You've got to be fucking kidding me. The dude is a weasel talk show host who is dumb as hell. That fucking coward was afraid of teenage college kids in his mid 40's, but he's tough because he played hockey. GTFO with this piece of shit. 

    And yet, of the 9 Republicans who were running, he is by far the most palatable. Which just goes again to show how far we've fallen.

    I don't see how he gets to 217 though. He seems like he'll have the exact same problems Scalise had, with the added challenge of Trump explicitly saying he didn't want him as Speaker.

  15. 2 hours ago, Caligula_K3 said:

    I think this is what I worry about too. I haven't bought it yet (because Starfield), but I'm sure I will at some point. Streams I've watched have made the game seem really fun and funny to experience, but there has been next to no platforming challenge. I was watching early levels, but still - without some challenge even in the early levels, I'm not sure I could replay Super Mario World every couple of years.

    There is no challenge (so far) in completing the levels or in getting all the bonus wonder seeds. But I think there is a bit of challenge, in some levels, for anyone trying to 100% the game. Some of the levels so far have had some decently hard to get 10-purple coins; albeit usually because they're hidden in some way rather than being mechanically challenging to reach. And there's one level in W1 with p-switches and blue coins that I haven't been able to get all the blue coins yet and so have no idea what the secret there is, but it's been tough (and is the only level I've seen so far with blue coins).

  16. 4 minutes ago, Kalnak the Magnificent said:

    Sorry, is that a serious question?

    Yes actually. They stayed in line for Jordan for instance, even though Jordan never (officially anyway) turned against McCarthy. Just how Trump-y does the Speaker nominee need to be to get their support is a reasonable question. Is someone like Kevin Hern enough now or does it need to be to the level of a Scott Perry?

  17. So the House GOP is going to have a new speaker candidate forum on Monday, a conference vote on Tuesday, and (they hope) a floor vote also on Tuesday

    Three republicans so far have announced they're running for Speaker (Hern, Bergman, and A. Scott), it sounds like Emmer will too, and there's at least two others actively calling colleagues to assess support. Quite a cattle call. They might need to do rank-choice voting or some such internally, but I feel like any less visible, personally affable, far right candidate would have a decent shot at uniting the conference factions. Most of the votes against Jordan weren't about policy, they were about knifing Scalise in the back and disloyalty to McCarthy. Anyone just as far right who wasn't involved with ousting McCarthy or undermining Scalise I think would get the moderates pretty quickly; it'd only be a question of if Gaetz and friends decide to be pure chaos agents again.

  18. 10 minutes ago, Kalnak the Magnificent said:

    Yes, but it was realistic fantasy

    I just like thinking through political thought experiments, no matter how unlikely.

    But today it appears that there's actually more Democrats missing than Republicans. Not enough to change the math substantially, but still a disappointment. Those Democrats better have damn good reasons though.

  19. 27 minutes ago, Maithanet said:

    I don't even know why we're entertaining this.  It's not gonna happen. 

    Well so far its confirmed that Van Orden (a Jordan supporter) arrived in Israel this morning for a "fact-finding mission" instead of staying for the votes so the exodus has already begun. 

  20. 7 hours ago, Kalnak the Magnificent said:

    Having the speakership doesn't do a ton for dems. They still wouldn't have the votes to pass anything without Republican help. They could bring things to the floor, I guess, but that's not that valuable. 

    In the event that a few Republicans have simply gone home in disgust and Democrats temporarily have a floor majority of something like 212-209, they would have the votes for those few hours until those missing Republicans return. But I don't know the House rules around qurom calls if at that point all Republicans simply left nor precisely how quickly a bill can get to the floor.

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