Quaithe from Asshai

The Prophet was in AFFC probably you ment a different chapter

I hope you are wrong. I hope we get completed arcs rather than a number of pages they can print.

With the new NAB post. I guess the book will be closer to 3,000 than 1,500 (maybe 2,500). So, how many pages do we think are done and how many are left? My guess 500 are left. 500 is a long way to go. But sorta jells with his statement from 2018: If he had over 1,000 pages (maybe 1,500 pages, but incomplete arcs), and he have managed to add over 500 since, then my guess he finished over 1,500 (maybe 2,000) and 500 or so pages left to go.

Some of them will get a different answer, but I used your choices for simplicity. A) Who is the "Hodded Man" in Winterfell? 3 Someone else B ) Who wrote the Pink Letter 1 Ramsay Bolton C) Rickon Stark, Shaggydog and Davos return alive from Skagos and Rickon is presented to Stannis and/or House Manderly 1 Yes D) Jon Snow after the mutiny at the Night Watch 1 is dead and needs resurrection by Melissandre E) Arya's killing of Raff the Sweetling (or someone from the entourage of Harys Swyft) was done on the orders of the Faceless Men 2 No F) Arya hears of or meets fArya (Jeyne Poole) 2 No G) Jamie/Brienne Lady Stoneheart 1 Brienne and Jamie meet Lady Stoneheart and Jamie survives the meeting H) The boy with Jon Connington landing in Westeros in ADWD is Aegon Targaryen, the second child and only son of Prince Rhaegar Targaryen and Princess Elia Martell 2 False (thus he is a fake = fAegon) I) Jon Snow’s true parentage 1 Rhaegar+Lyanna = Jon Snow J) Grey Scale will be transmitted by Jon Connington and/or Shireen Baratheon to other people 1 Yes K) The outcome of the Battle of Ice (at the Crofters Village), the capture of Winterfell is not included 1 Stannis wins and survives L) Who is the Harpy in Mereen? 4 someone else M) Robb’s will disinherits Sansa 1 Yes N) If Victarion orders the dragon horn (“dragonbinder”) to be blown, Victarion himself gains control over at least one dragon 2 False

Why would he be happy if he reached 1500? I think he'd be happy if he's close to finishing the book. But finishing the book does not necessarily mean he just reached 1500.

I mean done, ready, and polished. I disagree with the notion, that once GRRM reaches 1500 we'll get a book. In fact GRMM wrote a lot more in 2004/5 for the Big Feast, and after some convincing he published AFfC. Do we think such convincing will work now, absolutely not. George doesn't want another Feast/Dance situation, and neither does he want another ending like Dace with a lot of build up and no payoffs. But here is the big question: did GRRM reach the 1500 stage? He keeps saying he is a slow writer. Is he that slow?

I totally agree, WINDS has to be freaking long. But do we think, at this stage, George reached the "freaking long" 1500 MP?

If I recall correctly, George had over 2,000 manuscript pages of AFFC. He ended up doing the bad spilt of the books. I really hope this is the case, but with him having some clout to postpone the book till the complete story is done. I really don't want to believe that George haven't written 1500 MP over the past 8 years. But it is highly likely he didn't.

But George was not happy that ADWD didn't end with the battles. So, the notion of publishing once he hit 1500 seems unlikely if he doesn't reach the ending he planned for. Publishers should not have any sway if he have enough to publish a book. In fact in 2018, George mentioned that his publishers wanted to publish what he have written of TWOW (we don't know how many pages, but enough pages to fill a book), but he turned them down. My question do we think George passed 1500 MP without ending the book, or is he still shy of 1500 (really slow)?

Since it has been more than 8 eight years since ADWD was published and most of the sample chapters were written to be in ADWD, do we think George passed 1500 manuscript pages (MP)? Sansa, Arya, Aeron, and Arianne (both chapters) were moved out of ADWD to TWOW as per not a blog. Also George started writing TWOW in 2012, and Theon was released in 2011, so I am assuming Theon was written to be in ADWD. We also know that George wanted to end ADWD with the two big battles, so I am assuming he would have written Victarion, both Barristan, and both Tyrion chapters before 2012 (Also, he mentioned in 2011 that Baristan I will be in the paperback of ADWD). Let's assume all of the previous chapters are 200 MP (please correct my estimate), and now it's been eight years since George started writing TWOW (January 2012 - December 2019), do we believe George have written 1,300 MP over this period?