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About Lluewhyn

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  1. For the sake of dramatic narrative, I think Aegon is going to get a dragon. I think this is not going to be a completely one-sided fight.
  2. That is not necessarily correct. We have no indication that Ramsay has any living spearwives, 1 or 2 are dead, and that probably at least one of them (Squirrel) escaped. If any of the rest were unable to escape, they likely died fighting, as the guards are on the back foot reacting to this sudden event and don't necessarily have orders to take them alive (as seen by them killing the ones Holly). Regardless, the Spearwives know less information than Mance so I'm not sure torturing them would produce anything of value. As far as the second, Ramsay is able to torture Theon into a psychological breakdown after a year or so. That makes Theon very compliant, but there's no indication that he volunteers sensitive information out of the blue, such as Ramsay knowing anything about Asha or the Starks. In other words, there's no evidence that Ramsay is good at getting secrets from his torture unless he already knows the questions. With things going down at Winterfell, I also don't think he's going to have the same kind of time to play with Mance.
  3. Beyond the specific language used, here's why I think it's Mance: 1. My first reaction upon reading this section ~10 years ago is "There is NO WAY torture reveals that kind of information." Yeah, if everything was legit like the letter said, Ramsay might find out Mance's name and who sent him, as these would be reasonable questions to ask. But Mance's child and sister-in-law? There's no reason for Ramsay to know about their existence nor for Mance to divulge this information on his own. If Mance did tell Ramsay all of these many different things (selling out his own infant son and sister-in-law), then the formidable Mance Rayder ends up being this: 2. Why would Ramsay care about some of these individuals in the first place? It's kind of a "The Lady doth protest too much" when the letter demands all of these specific individuals, and then is kind of like "Oh, yeah and send me my Reek too". Mance is the only one who knows all of these individuals unless you believe in the torture story. 3. The story hinges upon Mance being captured, and many readers are primed to believe it's because Theon and the rest were spotted and the alarm raised just before they escaped off the walls. However, if this event had never happened there still would have been no reason for Mance to stick around. His ladies (and Theon) all just kidnapped Ramsay's bride and the guards will know it. One person (such as Ramsay) checking upon "Lady Arya" during her bath and the alarm is going to be raised and Mance is going to be tracked down immediately. Hanging around singing songs in the dining hall would be extremely stupid. As soon as the ladies approached the guards with their ruse, I imagine Mance was making himself scarce, possibly by checking out the crypts. 4. The glamour. While I think most glamour theories are silly, I do think the story primes Mance to use a glamour to hide as someone else. We get a passage in the books when Mance's identity is revealed to Jon, and instead of the magic being kept very vague like most other ASOIAF, instead we get Melisandre noticeably going into very explicit detail about how the glamour works, specifically about wearing the clothing or belongings strongly associated with an individual for the illusion to take hold. Specifically, I think Mance is going to glamour himself as Roose's Maester (by wearing the distinctive chains) to get access to the ravens. What's the point of all this? It remains to be seen, but I theorize that TWOW is going to be dark and have some stories of the forces who should be on the same side actually getting into each other's way, like with various factions who will put forth a different Stark to become King/Queen (Manderly's plans for Rickon, Robb's letter declaring Jon his heir, the Vale bringing Sansa to Winterfell, etc. I think it's possible that Stannis is planning a ruse to have the Manderlys bringing back Stannis's sword to make it look like he was defeated and killed, but Mance won't know that (and things might get very deadly within Winterfell if Ramsay kills his father) and will try a plan of his own to bring the NW and Wildlings to come clean up Ramsay's forces before everyone is killed. Of course, this whole paragraph is pure speculation so if it *is* Mance, I'm sure we'll get more details why.
  4. fAegon is his son. It's that simple. It's unlikely that Illyrio himself has Targaryen blood, but his wife Serra did, hence his comment about the "Blackfyres being extinguished in the male line. Varys may or may not be a Blackfyre, but Illyrio's major motivation is to see his son become king.
  5. I lean towards #1 for a few reasons. 1. It makes sense for Ygritte to be speaking figuratively. If she was speaking literally, it's unlikely that such an important detail would just be a casual off-hand mention, either from Ygritte's perspective or GRRM's. 2. The Others aren't spirits or even undead. They're essentially Unseelie Fey. They simply use the undead as their minions. 3. I think Mance's group being responsible for the Others tends to make the Free Folk much less sympathetic in retrospect (and I find them somewhat unsympathetic already) if their own destructive actions are the reasons for why they are refugees being hunted by the Others. I personally lean towards Craster's sacrifices over the past 20 years or so being the contributing factor for why the Others are becoming a problem now. There may be literal ghosts that were released from the crypts, but I don't think they're significant to the story.
  6. Something I noticed on a thematic level, is why Martin chose to have Brienne disfigured by Biter (part of her cheek eaten off, to evoke visceral horror). It's fairly well-known that Brienne defending the orphans at the inn is her response to the moral dilemma posed earlier about the knight at Saltpans who stays holed up in his keep instead of defending his smallfolk (similar to the dilemma that Will faces in the AGOT Prologue). Should someone sworn to service carry out that service if it's only likely to result in their death? What could he have done, one man against so many?" He could have tried, Brienne thought. He could have died. Old or young, a true knight is sworn to protect those who are weaker than himself, or die in the attempt. She then later elects to defend the orphans at the Inn against the remnants of the Bloody Mummers, knowing that she most likely can't defeat seven of them and could just slip away. So, if the story is saying that she is doing the right thing regardless of the consequences, there has to be a consequence. Otherwise, it cheapens her effort to have the story save her from this moral dilemma.
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