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About Lluewhyn

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  1. Lluewhyn

    Do the people of Westeros understand money

    Double-entry accounting was developed in the Renaissance, so it's unclear how they would view finances in the same way, or at least to the same degree. Obviously, there's got to be some kind of general connection between "This good cost me X amount of money to buy, so I need to sell it for more than X" Littlefinger's accounting and reinvestment schemes that move money around constantly confuse Tyrion, one of the smartest characters in the series, but that's likely because there was fraud going on.
  2. Lluewhyn

    Please explain Ramsay and the Pink Letter.

    I agree that Mance got away, but I think it was him that wrote the letter, not Mel. The default stance for Ramsay writing the letter is that he obtained the pertinent information from Mance. Except, 1. Mance was almost certainly incognito at the time Theon and Jeyne escaped. Although there was an alarm raised due to Jeyne screaming, there was still an incredibly likely chance that the ruse was going to be discovered imminently anyway just by having Ramsay or someone else walk into "Arya's" bedchamber. At the same time Theon and the Spearwives are meeting Jeyne, Mance is already moving on to the next step of his plan (maybe the crypts?). Why would he just be twiddling his thumbs around in the in main hall if it's likely Jeyne's departure will soon be noticed? Besides, his fighting skill has been established, he's probably not getting captured easily. 2. Obtaining the information from Mance seems unbelievable. Too much of it is information Ramsay would not think to ask about, such as Val, Melisandre, the baby (Mance thinks it's HIS child). Even if successfully tortured, Mance is only going to answer questions he's asked, not likely volunteering additional information that does nothing but expose his family and loved ones to danger. I simply think the remaining spearwives escaped or were killed, and Mance managed to hide out in the crypts. He's figured out how to manipulate the glamour to look like someone else (Martin goes into a detailed section where Melisandre explains the nuts and bolts of the glamour to him). However, the situation inside Winterfell is dire, especially when Mance hears that Stannis was defeated (Stannis is pulling a ruse with the Umbers to trick Ramsay into thinking he was defeated and gives up his sword as part of that), and thus Mance is trying to goad Jon into coming down to attack the Boltons, conveniently telling him to bring along Melisandre and Mance's son and sister-in-law.
  3. Lluewhyn

    My Cold Hands Theory: Jon Snow

    Rhaegar = Cersei, which is why they're both prophecy obsessed. It is known.
  4. Lluewhyn

    Pole did Ramsay remove theon's junk?

    There are hints and innuendos that he's lost the penis. And then there's the quote about Theon thinking about taking the Washerwoman right there on the table...which doesn't make sense. This is one of those times where I wonder if Martin engages in Schrodinger's Foreshadowing: It's either a clue or not until Martin finalizes a book and confirms the hint or ignores it. I think he sometimes likes the ability to take things back if he's unsure about it. Medically, I would say that it's unlikely for his penis to be removed given the medical technology available to them at the time to keep him alive. However, that would also be true for Varys as well. Of course, Varys could be lying.
  5. Lluewhyn

    Characters who deserve to DIE

    Roose has committed atrocities in his lands his entire life. He raped Ramsay's mother and murdered her husband out of annoyance. His main objection to Ramsay's activities is that they violate "the masquerade" and risk exposure. On top of that, he has spent almost the entire war abusing his position to sabotage Robb's armies by deliberately sacrificing forces that belonged to other lords from the north (i.e., his rivals), culminating in Duskendale. Roose is pretty evil without good reason.
  6. Unfortunately, I don't think this is correct (although I do agree it was a mistake on Robb's part). Theon's first chapter back in Pyke has him marveling "Had Lord Balon anticipated him and called the Greyjoy banners?" The whole chapter is a set up for the joke on Theon and his delusions of grandeur until he finds out that his father had basically already written him off for dead (or worse, a Stark) and considers Asha to be his true heir. When he shows up on Pyke, his family considers it an unpleasant surprise. Thinking about the logistics of mustering a fleet of ships, Balon had called the banners months before, likely as soon as Bobby B. and Ned were dead.
  7. I think that the self-fulfilling simply refers to the Valonquar part. She's also had the power to defeat the prophecy at any time, namely by not having three children with her brother as you said, and trying so hard to become the queen at all.
  8. Disagree entirely. It's not "sweet" at all if it's someone that Cersei suspects to the extent that Cersei is so unhinged about Margaery in AFFC. The irony is that the YMBQ will be someone she never suspected (whether she knows them or not), just like Jaime is suspected to be the Valonquar by the fandom as opposed to Tyrion. If it's one person, I would say Arianne or Daenerys chasing Cersei out of the capital in TWOW. I'm also open to the interpretation that the YMBQ could actually be multiple people, including Dany, Sansa, and Arianne.
  9. But he's unaware of her cuckolding him. I guess you mean someone who is more into sleeping with him?
  10. Lluewhyn

    Does Asoiaf Have a True Protagonist? *SPOILERS*

    He *thinks* he is striving towards the light. See all the ways that he pats himself on the back about being a good guy in AFFC, and how he's rejecting Cersei, etc.. But he's still perpetuating injustice on the Riverlands in the name of his family all throughout that book, because he hasn't had a true introspective moment about all of the evil that was done there in the Lannister name. You can look at his dealings with Edmure and Brynden Tully to see the depths of his delusion about what he's doing. And yes, I think he's about to get a true reckoning since he's being led to Stoneheart, who has probably heard from Tom O' Sevenstrings EXACTLY the threat that Jaime made to Edmure's child. If Jaime is the Valonquar, I'm guessing he is somehow able to realize the depths of his folly and persuades the BWB. If not, who knows where his story leads?
  11. Lluewhyn

    Does Asoiaf Have a True Protagonist? *SPOILERS*

    Protagonist =/ Hero. There are many protagonists in the story, none of them are perfect, and a few aren't even good guys.
  12. Well, Cersei is deadly with a lute. IIRC, she knocks out several teeth of the bard she casually smashes in the face. All kidding aside, I'll agree with Bernie Mac: It's unlikely that the twinswaps included actual attendance of instruction of any kind. It seems more like they used these opportunities to explore around and see how people reacted and if they could tell the difference. Plus, as stated, weapon training is a skill in need of constant practice. In addition, how would Cersei explain showing up and suddenly losing all of the existing training that Jaime had learned by that point?
  13. Well, you are correct in that the main purpose of the PL is to get Jon to take action. Specifically, GRRM wrote it to have Jon take a specific action that would further his character arc (getting killed by the NW, presumably to get resurrected). It would be really unfortunate if this was a time where GRRM was sloppy about the details and all of this speculation back and forth was pointless because GRRM had Ramsay write the PL to push Jon along his path and didn't think through all of the various details that us fans would quibble about because he just needed to get the plot moving to complete the book*. Now, I really don't believe this, as there's too many fine details in the letter to be that crude, but I can imagine the reaction from all of the fans who have argued this for the past seven years were this to be revealed. *I'm thinking of my reaction to watching Revenge of the Sith. I imagined George Lucas realizing that he was 2.5 films into a 3 film story of Anakin Skywalker's downfall, still had Anakin being mostly on the side of good and realized he needed to hurry things up because he was running out of time, so has Anakin go full Dark Side in a rather abrupt fashion. Your own mileage may vary.
  14. For me, the big issue when I first read it was that there was WAY too much information in there that Ramsay wouldn't know (or likely care about for some things). At the time, I wasn't speculating about there being an alternate author, just that this was absolutely BS writing. The only defense that people have for that is that Ramsay tortured Mance to get that information. Except, most of it isn't information that Ramsay would easily glean because he wouldn't know the questions to ask. The only way this works is if we ignore all previous portrayals of Mance being a strong force of personality and accept that he broke from torture almost immediately and volunteered information beyond the questions that he was asked, including information that would get his own sister-in-law and child killed. Brings to mind the scene from The Goonies where Chunk is babbling every little thing he ever did wrong to the Fratellis while they sit around amused.
  15. People claim that Mance would have been easily captured after the Jeyne rescue went south, but I would agree here that Mance is the least likely to be caught. Jeyne screaming and ruining her own escape mostly had negative consequences for the Spear-Wives, which revealed the escape sooner than expected. However, Mance & Co. wouldn't have expected a whole lot more time to escape than what happened in the book, because someone could have checked on Jeyne in her room at any moment even had Jeyne not blown their cover. I bet that when Theon and the "Washer-Women" are pulling their ruse, Mance has already started his escape, and the Spear-Wives were going to meet him (maybe in the crypt). My theory is somewhat similar to yours, except I do believe Mance wrote the letter. The basic points: 1. Mance is still at Winterfell, and is glamoured to look like someone else (the chapter where Melisandre explains all of the aspects of the glamour in oddly great detail seems to be a key pointer that Mance could learn to manipulate the glamour on his own. However, just looking like someone else only buys him a finite amount of time, so he needs another option. 2. As seen from the Theon TWoW chapter, Stannis seems to be up to something with the Battle of the Ice, and specifically mentions the possibility that his men may hear the rumor of his defeat. 3. Stannis's gambit goes off as expected, and the remains of Ramsay's army bring back Stannis's sword as proof of his defeat. 4. Although Stannis is really not defeated, Mance unfortunately doesn't know that and thinks something needs to be done. He fakes the letter with two possible outcomes in mind: Jon comes down and attacks Winterfell, or Jon capitulates and brings some of the people that Mance wants for his own needs. I guess we'll eventually see, whenever the book comes out.