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Everything posted by Darzin

  1. I don't think capitalism is much of an issue fighting climate change. If voters in Western democracies cared about this they could vote in politicians to stop it, the same as they've voted in politicians that have enacted eviromental and labor standards I don't see how have a socialist mode of production would change voters priorities. We can also see with the USSR in the past and China now countries without full capatilist modes of production are still focused on the here and now more than climate change.
  2. The first chapter of the Wisdom of Crowds is available on Joe's website a long with a summary blurb. The first chapter opens up with the armies vanguard returning to a riotous Adua and we get Orso's Leo's and Savine's POVs. Judging from the chapter where half the union seems to be in revolt including Adua which seems half in revolt and a "people's army" ominously set to arrive on the doorstep of Adua, as well as the blurb which mentions of Citizen Brock and Citizen Savine. It seems like the union government is poised to fall pretty early in the book and most of the book will be dealing with the post revolutionary government and society. I'm pretty excited for this and can't wait to see what Joe does with it. My only regret is I wish we had more than one book to explore it. Predictions: I don' think Bayaz is behind the revolution. One of the Burners key goals is to burn the banks, and we see both the Breakers and the Burners kill multiple agents of Valint and Balk no way Bayaz tolerates his power being assaulted like that. If he was behind the Breakers and the Burners his agents would be among them rather than being strung up by them. I think the whole revolution is going to blindside Bayaz he's used to intimidating nobles not mass popular revolts. I think the new parliament of whatever sort of regime replaces the Monarchy will imprison and eventually execute Orso. A group of owls is called a parliament and given that Joe read a lot of books on the French and Russian revoltions I think the outlook is grim for Orso. Plus he hates hangings and Joe Abercrombie loves irony. My fanfic is that Orso runs away to the North and becomes Rikke's kept prince/househusband but you have to be realistic about these things. I think Rikke will unite the North and annex Angland, but at some personal cost. How much I don't know she could be a shell of herself or have a chance to let a sliver of light into her stone heart.
  3. Sure, that is fair. And I'll admit I do feel a little bad killing the crabs, which is hypocritical in the sense that I don't feel bad about eating a burger. But I think it's important to do it. I'm a bit of the Ned Stark school of meat eating if you can't kill and butcher an animal you have no business eating meat. When I was eleven at boy scouts camp, we had an activity where we had to butcher our own rabbits. It was an important lesson and it's something that has stuck with me. I don't really mind vegetarians getting mad about hunting, but I have a lot urbanite relatives who view hunting as barbaric and are disgusted with the practice even as they happily chow down on burgers and pork chops. I should probably butcher an animal again one of these days instead of relying on an experience when I was eleven, but it's an unpleasant process which I don't enjoy and no one will judge me for not doing it except me, but I do morally feel it's important to bear the cost of what meat is.
  4. Because the end purpose is different and one is a waste. I wouldn't criticize someone for buying a computer to play games. But I would criticize someone who buys a computer to light it on fire and watch it burn. Both are for pleasure but one is wasteful. If you want to criticize me for killing animals that's fair and we can talk about that but regarding catching and killing for food, vs trophies I think waste is the core difference.
  5. In the summer I often go out with my friends at low tide wade out with shovels and buckets and catch crabs. I enjoy catching the crabs, I enjoy eating the crabs, I don't particularly enjoy killing them but it's a necessary part of the process to get to the eating bit. I really don't see why that makes it hypocritical for me criticize someone shooting an elephant so they can mount it's head on a wall. Those things are so far apart as to be apples and oranges. I also don't think enjoying an activity that humans have participated insince the dawn of time, catching and eating animals makes me a sociopath but YMV.
  6. Judging an entire civilization solely on how upper class men were educated seems pretty classist and sexist to me. We should look at society as a whole not only the leisure class. Plus, you are not making a fair comparison by comparing the Roman upper class to the US lower class. The US upper class are pretty much all going to get vaccinated and not use horse dewormer. See Donald Trump some of his followers might be going to feed stores to buy horse medicine but he himself got the jab. Finally the ivermectin stuff is a fringe belief you can't indict a whole society based off of the beliefs of what is likely to turn out to be under five percent of the population. I'm sure the Romans had all kinds of crazy beliefs circulating at under five percent in the lower classes that we don't even know about because of lack of record keeping. So many? How many? Even in America I bet it's not that many. and again, you are comparing fringe to the average, let’s compare them to some Jewish radicals or something. Finally, this is again a very America centric comparison. America doesn't equal the world. I work in a Chinese high school with several thousand students and we've had precisely zero incidences of students ripping teachers masks off. I'd hazard a guess that Korea, Japan and other countries where masks where normalized have also had less issues.
  7. Neither one would have any use for the capital. A much more militarized US border I could see.
  8. Because it's pretty much all Americans and Americans are a minority of the world population and it's a minority of Americans at that.
  9. Damn failed that That is a fair point. I mean China hs pledged to be Carbon neutral by 2060 is that enough to stop climate change? probably not. Is it enough to help? maybe. You're right we could do it now but it's a question of political will and popular support. China is not a democracy, the Party could order the country to be carbon neutral in a year and it would be but that would promote disconent and harm living standards so they won't. Even in an autocracy popular opinion matters to a degree. People in the modern world are just to comfortable to accept the measures that would reduce warming and the Party's number one priorty is stability for the here and now. I still do think with modern technology and agriculteral techniques and the deflated price of mea we should be able to manage mostly. As for European politics I gave my impression but I admit I don't know enough to go to bat for it.
  10. Or you know as many as VaultTechtm will allow. I'm sure they only have our best interests at heart.
  11. I think the impact of climate change on North America will be negligable in the long run. And if you account that the price of housing is wildly inflated and the price of meat wildly deflated based on historical averages arrable land loss can be mitigated. Climate change is not going to be a singular catostrophic event either. It will progress slowly and we already have much of the technology to solve most of the effects. Take food we can grow food in urban farms and in skyskrapers with full spectrum lights. As of now that is only marginally viable but given a 25% increase in food prices and reduction of arable land... well then it becomes a lot more realistic. We live in a world where I can order meat on my phone at cheap cheap prices we have a lot of room to tighten our belts before things get serious.
  12. China, Singapore, South Korea, with Vietnam well on the way. If we are reaching a little farther back all of the post USSR countries ( and I realize their standard dropped with the fall). With Countries like Thailand and Malaysia doing well too. Even Africa while lagging is overall much better than 1980. Your right that the two old super powers are lagging but the world overall is getting better. Trump for all his pugnacious bigotry was the first president elected who supported gay marriage. The new right in Europe xenophobic as they are frame their arguments against immigrants in terms of protecting the LGB community and women's rights Everywhere in the western world human rights are triumphing and these right ring resitances agianst it accept most of the gains and direct most of their ire against foriegners not the rights of their citizens. I do, and while yes China is not a free country, it has never been so, and here there is a tremendous optimism for the future people now are enjoying a standard and quality of life that was unheard of in living memory. Like yes the government monitors your Wechat account, but that's a lot better than getting beaten to death in a struggle session or starving do to lack of rice. rule of law and strength of institutions, while not at all compareable to western countries have been dramatically improving along with the economy.
  13. Yes absolutely, the world is becoming more proserpous than it has ever been. In past few decades numerous countries have lifted themselves out of grinding poverty. People are living longer lives, and we are starting to reach the culmination of the rights movement of the 60s. Liberal values reign supreme granted not in every country but if a government falls it's usually a liberal one which replaces it, and you don't have a competeing illiberal ideology like Marxism-leninism during the Cold War. We have increased technology increased convienence. Climate change is probably the biggest threat and it will really harm some countries like Bangleddesh, but most of the world should be able to mitigate the effects and still keep a reasonably high standard of living. As for the much vaunted decline of democracy people you don't like getting elected is not a decline in democracy.
  14. Reddit has a photo of the flag. Will see how long it stays up.
  15. I think all those saying this was inevitable are mitigating the US's failures. This was absolutely not inevitable. The US needed to make a decentralized government that fit conditions on the ground while investing in education, literacy and infastructure. And actually teach the US Administrators the local language. It could have been done if George Bush had laid the proper foundations Obama and Trump's efforts were paltry and face saving. The US has treated Afghanistan as a back burner side show for 20years of course this is the result.
  16. I think saying we are unwanted goes a bit far. The presence of US forces in Afghanistan was much much more popular with the Afghan population then then in Iraq for example. A lot of people even a majority in polls I've seen supported the US being there, the thing is the US had a lot of support in Kabul and other cities to proctect them from the hinterland. Every Afghan I've met (of course all from Kabul) liked the US being there. The think is affluent Kabuli's or even just working class upwardly mobile Kabuli's are not interested in signing up to be a grunt in the ANA and go out to the provinces to fight Taliban. Which leaves the Taliban with a lot of motivated fighters and the US with a lot of mooks.
  17. I do wonder how long the Western Left will. continue to pull their punches with the Church? There is a kind of detente right now with people like AOC being nominally Catholic and liberal bishops giving mealy mouthed statements on LGBT issues. But I don't know how long the truce will last. In 50 years I could easily see the church being named a hate group in Western countries and the children of zoomers viewing it like the KKK.
  18. I don't think because fire magic works we should think of Rh'llor as an active God. The Dapmhair uses CPR as proof of his God or not. George has said that the gods will remain ambigous the same as in our world.
  19. I think George was a bit unimagitive with the gap. The one big problem with it is the Nothern plotline so write a novella about it and then end it. If Stannis gets the North it's pretty easy to have a stalemate between north and south. Or have Melisandre's magic plus obsidian be enough to hold off the others for a bit and have Stannis spend five years brooding as King Beyond the Wall. Or have hom reatreat to Skagos and brood there, which also saves time as Rickon is ther. Open with Stannis on Skagos as the Northern conspiracy groes against the Boltons and brings him in. As for Kings Landing politics have Cersei pushed out of power by the Tyrells with Mace Tyrell as hand. Have a stable if somewhat ineffective Tyrell dominated court and open the book with Mace dying and Cersei re-asserting control and free to unleash her insanity it also makes here hostility to the Tyrells more believable then the Maggie the Frog prophecy. And this is another completely different but equally plausible way to do it. It really seems George got way to wedded to specific ideas with some stories, and I wish he'd been a bit more creative in finding a solution. The five year gap would have helped things so much. With it Alt Feast for Crows would be starting where Winds of Winter is now. Axing the five year gap seems to be the reason George has written himself into the corner he has.
  20. Also while the US had an embargo for mutiple decades Cuba got aid and below market prices from the USSR as well as being able to trade with every other country aside from the US. Marxist Leninist planned economies failed everywhere else to provide a decent standard of living you can't blame that on the US. Also I don't see the US opposition to Cuba as evil during the cold war Cuba was allied to an enemy power and 90 miles from the US. Continuing the embargo after 1991 was bullshit but I don't see the issue before that.
  21. I think it's just no one wants to seem biased by ranking him last. That said I think Buchanan was worse and I might rate Jackson worse as well though that depends what "worse" means. So I guess number three seems reasonable.
  22. I've enjoyed these two episodes a lot. This season seems to be above four hopefully they are getting back into a groove.
  23. I just think society moves faster now. If you were a farmer even a hundred years ago the old people in your town and village new a ton of useful stuff. With the lightning pace of technology and huge social changes that's a lot less ture nowadays.
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