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Squab

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  1. Squab

    Aussie Thread: Democracy Sausage

    The idea that Adam Bandt or some greenie in Tasmania has a better idea than people on the ground in central queensland in regards to jobs and Adani is laughable. During the downturn people were kept on because of the work in the Galilee (including adani, macmines and waratah) was the only thing ticking along. Since then i know people that have jobs because of that work and thats before the basin even has a rail link. Clermont is basically a hub or stop on the way that undoubtedly kept the 2 pubs and petrol station going. If people outside of Queensland, or even central Queensland, really wanted to help, they could get another caravan together for august or september next year. Maybe get Jackie Trad, Steven Miles and Kate Jones involved. That would be fantastic. The arrogance or smugness of telling someone that you know more about their lives and backyard than they do is why the left wing vote has collapsed in Qld. The Qld senate count currently looks like 3 lnp, 1 ON, 1 ALP and 1 Green. And its so hypocritical. Stop Adani is fine and dandy if it has no effect on you. The moment someone's life is inconvenienced by environmental action, it quickly becomes less appealing and there's always some excuse. Look at the election. Look at Annastacia Palaszczuk's backflip this week. Some of those emigrating to NZ will be flying by burning avgas which is about as bad as you can get for climate change. They could sail but no, <insert excuse> is more important. Fortunately there is a way we can help. There is a change.org petition to install windfarms in the division of Warringah to help Zali Steggall on her crusade. Please sign and do your part.
  2. Squab

    Aussie Thread: Democracy Sausage

    ABC: Clive bought the election and got nothing out of it. The scare campaign won it for the coalition. The ALP agenda isnt that left wing and climate change is a major issue for coalition. The dislike for the media is understated on the right and in the regions. When i lived in Emerald, it was seen as the Canberra/inner city/SE bubble, ignorant of regional Australia and its issues. On polls, they generally get thought of as media. Even a robot is going to get told lies. I saw posts (on social media nobody here would ever be caught dead on) talking about lying to vote compass and the left wing abc just to try to push them further left. The exit polls even showed a late swing to labor. I saw 48/52 at one point. Some people voting have given the wrong impression to anyone interested. The only media that picked the result prior to Saturday was sky news after dark. Hilarious. Are social media, old media and people here out of touch? No, it’s the children who are wrong - Seymour Skinner. For a laugh i listened to RN breakfast this morning and Fran "im an activist" Kelly. Arthur Sinodinas got asked about how Clive Palmer bought the election for coalition but got nothing in return. I sometimes doubt whether anyone on the left knows where or what the Galilee basin is, or what is stopping it from being mined. The result in Queensland will push qld alp to approve Adani, if not an lnp govt will approve it in 18 months (if results are mirrored). If adani gets approved, they will build the rail link which will open up the Galilee basin including Clive Palmers mines just north of Alpha which is likely to bring him in 3.2B in revenue per year. Not a bad return on a 50M investment. Why can't anyone put that together? The extremely unbiased Michelle Gratton was on as well. The "scare campaign' was the big factor apparently, Bill made himself too big a target even though their agenda "wasn’t especially left wing". Lol. No recognition that policies may have been issue. Maybe the alp should keep them for another election... Zali Steggall and Fran agreed that climate change was an important issue in inner city seats like Kooyong, Higgins and Warringah and that the coalition would need to do more on climate. Nobody seemed to realise the actual cost of the alp climate change policy was the election. Come to think of it, how many of our recent leaders have died on the hill of climate change? Turnbulls run as opposition leader ended because of it. Rudds great moral challenge was apparently too challenging. Gillards carbon tax and now Shortens courageous uncosting. Given coalition is at 75, they’re more likely to deal with Katter to get 76 than a climate zealot. Although i think 77 is now predicted. Joel Fitzgibbon was on as well and explaining how much the left is out of touch with regions. Says he might even run for leader. Which i think is a mistake. The ALP couldn't go for another straight white man as leader. Surely its time someone more woke. Tanya Plibersek would be a perfect leader.
  3. Squab

    Aussie Thread: Democracy Sausage

    Anthony Mundine has commented on the obviously racist attacks on Israel Folau. Given Israel’s posting on twitter was an expression of his ethnic origin as a Pacific Islander and Rugby Australia (no longer the ARU btw) has acted in a way that, is not only likely to but has intimidated Israel and others in the islander community, maybe there’s a case based on section 18c of the racial discrimination act. It is obviously offending the islander community and its threatening dismissal of employment, that sould constitute a criminal offence. I look forward to the ALP extending 18c to other areas like religious beliefs… From, I think the only Queenslander here, my guess would be ALP will get around 80 seats and form majority. ALP lose a couple up north but gain elsewhere. PHON will be lucky to get a senate seat here as I think Clive will get one if advertising and preferences influence people at all.
  4. Squab

    Aussie Thread: Democracy Sausage

    Like scott in the antarctic, Election 18 may, Tassie flight time is most critic GG tomorrow, will hear him say
  5. Squab

    International News Thread

    Venezuelan proven reserves includes their version of tar sands. In fact it makes up most of their proven reserves. 77.5 billion barrels of heavy sour crude (still a lot) is recoverable by conventional means. If you look at a graph of oil reserves over time you can see almost everyone is doing enough resource evaluation to move their reserves to proven and it usually jumps up in steps as new basins are proven. Venezuela have spent last 15 or so years proving up their tar sands which is why they now have worlds largest proven reserves.
  6. Squab

    International News Thread

    Venezuelan crude is heavy and sour. It needs specialised processing hence it is harder to sell and more expensive to refine. Guyana has sweet crude which would have absolutely nothing to do with Venezuelan claims over part of its territory...
  7. A theory has a prediction in it with a set of assumptions. Thats what makes it a theory and not just a hypothesis. Prediction wrong, time to change theory. Prediction right, use it for that.
  8. Really? You believe that days being longer and shorter at the same time is possible but cant see how if something cant predict X, then reject it for predicting X? If something (that same thing even) predicts Y the we can use it for that? There is no grand unifying theory that predicts everything yet, as i understand it.
  9. Read general relativity. Exactly only as good as its predictions. Newtons theory is not accurate everywhere but where its predictions are good enough, we use it. To then try to use it where its predictions are innaccurate and expect a different result would be the definition of stupidity.
  10. While gathering evidence and describing it may be as nuanced as creative writing, science is only as good as its predictions. A scientific theory that makes false predictions is rejected even if you learn something from it.
  11. Slowing down: "This will make every day a little longer than it is already." Speeding up: "Earth will start rotating a wee bit faster, reducing the length of a day" I've even linked the article they were referencing for you. Somehow you have been able to convinve yourself both are true. I feel as if you are just trolling now to derail the thread or somehow I've landed in the 1984. Maybe war is peace.
  12. @Impmk2 @TrueMetis You both miss the point entirely but I applaud the mental gymnastics required to believe things like the the world spinning faster and slower at the same time is not only possible but actually what is happening. If you are making long term planning decisions based on climate change, the list of predictions is such a big handful that is often contradictory so you can almost choose to do whatever you want and say, even though it isnt happening now, that it will happen in the future... probably... at some point. We tried it in Australia; Tim Flannery who was head of the Copenhagen Climate Council, Australian of the Year and Chief scientist of the Climate Commission in Australia providing advice to the Australian government and public said in February 2007, "even the rain that falls isn’t actually going to fill our dams and our river systems" and in June 2007, he said that, "Adelaide, Sydney and Brisbane, water supplies are so low they need desalinated water urgently, possibly in as little as 18 months". Spurred into action, all 3 cities built desalination plants and Melbourne joined in because it hates being left out of anything. Results: Sydney: completed 2010. turned off 2012 due to dam levels being too high. Restarting this year as dam levels are down to 60% as currently in drought. Lets hope it gets used in the future, at some point. Melbourne: Flooded construction site by the Powlett river in 2011 prior to completion. Completed in 2012 and immediately put in standby mode. Current cost estimates are $649 million dollaroos a year until somewhere between 2035-45 when the contract to (not?) supply ends. Brisbane: actually put on the gold coast, luckily as the Brisbane river flodded in 2011 as the dams were too full. Production was at 100% during a the flooding events in 2010 and 2011 where water sources were contaminated, Currently on "hot standby" not producing. Adelaide: The Adelaide Desalination Project is the largest infrastructure project that the State of South Australia has funded, owns, and has completed successfully, giving you an idea of the backwater South Australia is. Currently operating at minimum capacity rather than cold storage but was used between 2012 and 2015 although the state was still adequetely supplied during this time... Don't get me wrong. they will get used as the population increases, droughts occur and governments fail to build dams. Dams that would be cheaper than a desal plant to run and actually produce electricity through hydro rather than use it. And we were in a drought in 2007 when Tim Flannery was believed so easily. But as predictions go, I would say both of Tim's were proven wrong pretty quickly unless you want to put the qualifier of "at some point in the future" in which case everything is true. So remember, never make your climate predictions time bound lest they be proven false.
  13. Heres another handful of predictions: Cooler winters, Warmer winters Smaller fish, bigger fish More mosquitoes, fewer mosquitoes Earth's spin speed up, Earths spin slows down And the very worrying: Grapes in Margaret river mature earlier, or later The secret is predicting everything, that way at least one of them is right. Also, don't make any predictions time bound, that just makes them testable.
  14. Below is a handful of times we passed the point of no return this century which is blatantly false as we passed it last century: 2017: 2016: 2015: 2014: 2013: 2012: 2011: 2010: 2009: 2008: 2007: 2006: 2005: 2004: 2003:
  15. Squab

    International News Thread

    Both armies mobilising. Assumedly as a precaution in case they can't de-escalate. China (who also has claims over Kashmir) is apparently talking to at least Pakistan about de-escalation. In case you're hungry, Burger Singh has a 20% off deal now if you use the code #FPAKAGAIN. I would say there is enough animosity between both sides for it to be hard to calm things down. Modi was down in the polls before this. Probably be up now and i can see him wanting to look strong and not back down to keep any gains he may have made. Imran Khan always seemed calculating when he played cricket but i haven't kept up with his current attitudes. I've heard he's a lot more devout now. ETA: I also read somewhere India had dammed some of the water to pakistan but cant confirm.
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