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The Sleeper

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  1. Jaime didn't happen upon Ned with twenty men in tow by chance. And wasn't it convenient that Littlefinger had just found out about the brothel when Ned was about to leave? They went there the same night Ned had resigned as Hand and Littlefinger knew Chataya personally.
  2. No, you're not missing something, it is not much talked about. But, yes Littlefinger was quite insistent on Ned going to check that out and since finding out the brothel at that very instant stretches credulity, he obviously came up with it at that moment. It doesn't offer anything into the investigation; it was a last ditch effort to set up an ambush. You should notice how Jaime let Littlefinger go. After Ned left King's Landing he would have certainly consulted with Stannis, meaning that not only he would have meant Stannis would have had a credible person to back his accusation, but also the North, Riverlands and potentially the Vale, solidly behind him. That is pretty much Littlefinger's worst case scenario.
  3. As pointed out, communication and coordination between them is impossible. Also, the lynchpin of the meteoric rise of house Bolton was Theon's capture of Winterfell, which neither of them could have predicted. These facts preclude any pre established plan. However, both Roose and Ramsay, exhibit a similar streak of opportunism, which allowed them to play off eachother in remarkably complimentary ways. Ramsay is uneducated and unstable, but is actually quite clever and this translates to him being very good at thinking on his feet, while displaying poor judgement in the long-term. He also seems to have a knack for manipulating people, by enabling the worst in them. Roose's preoccupation with his leaches, eating plums and various remarks he has made about taboos leads me to be believe that he is quite superstious and genuinely considers it taboo to have his son killed. Not that he has feelings about it, but see these as rules that has to follow, in order to avoid being cursed while simultaneously believing that he can apply loopholes in them. This could be the reason that he left Ramsay as his castelan; he expected that he would make trouble for his neighbours, whether Hornwoods, Karstraks or Umbers, resulting in him getting hanged, thus having the Starks getting rid of Ramsay for him. This could be the reasoning behind what he tells Theon, though, at least I part, he says what he says because he understands that Theon can't really help himself from repeating everything to Ramsay.
  4. The thing is that Harren fell victim of the curse himself, spending forty years in it and sacrificing countless others in the process, only to burn to death along with his sons at the process. I would point out the weiwood in the castle, which obviously predates it and is rather furious, as well as its proximity to God's Eye, a notoriously mysterious and inaccessible site despite being in the middle of Westeros. That is a very clear "Do Not Tresspass" sign, as far as I am concerned.
  5. Children appear to be named by their parents at birth. Since Rhaegar had already died when Jon was born, it is unlikely that he would have picked a name for him. If he had, it probably would have been Visenya.
  6. Tywin is hypocritical, vindictive, petty, hateful, short-sighted and not nearly as smart as he thinks he is but I don't consider someone to be craven due to being underhanded in warfare and politics. That's just common sense. You could argue that he was craven in his dealings with Aerys, but my reading is that he put up with all of it more because of his ambition than cowardice. And to be fair it is was a tight rope to walk. Jaime was just talking shit, because he got his ass handed to him.
  7. Lady Stoneheart is looking for Arya, she knows she was alive at least after the Twins, they should have reasonably tracked her and the Hound at least up to the Saltpans. They are gathering orphans at the inn, they went after the men that raided Saltpans and they questioned Merret Frey. All these point to an active search for Arya and ties in with Gendry being stationed at the Inn. He can recognise Arya by sight. Lady Stoneheart also has no reason to believe that Sansa is dead. I don't doubt she would be searching for her if she had any leads that she were within her reach. This ties with Jaime's fate. He still owes her two daughters and at the very least he will be useful as a hostage. If she can gain leverage over him, she will put him to work. I also think she would crown Arya if (when) she finds her. Other than that, their activities have not changed that much since Beric and the group has split is probably due to personal loyalties. After all, Ned Dayne was Beric's squire, he has no personal ties with Stoneheart. On the other hand, we have Harwin and Gendry who have ties to Arya and Stoneheart and let's not forget she is Tully and should command some loyalty from the Riverlanders. Thoros is a special case. For him it is a matter of both faith and honor. He would see her reanimation as R'hlor's will and the fact that Beric raised her due to his promise to Arya as further impetus to see this through. There is still a lot of meat in this story.
  8. This checks out. Margaery would ask Pycelle rather than her maester in order to avoid her own family finding out and Cersei would have found out through Taena. It also gives Varys an extra motive to kill Pycelle as he wouldn't be able to recant or clarify. But why Waters? It could have been easily anyone from their entourage and I can't see Waters coming back willingly or otherwise.
  9. It is implied that weights retain both awareness and memory, as seen in the case of the wight who attacked Jorah Mormon, as well as the spearwife Varamyr attempted to possess. I assumed that this is caused by the Others who raised them suppressing their will and or enthralling them, which apart from their blue eyes is denoted by their lack of speach. This connects at least thematically with groups, such as Varys little birds or Euron's group which present as extensions of their masters' will. This could be a function of the reanimation process or some other magic the Others have. Thus Coldhands was either reanimated by another agent altogether or was raised by the Others and their influence was somehow negated. I think that if a skinchanger were to be raised, their consciousness would transfer to their animal living their corpse with nothing to animate it. That said, another way to view this would be as the animating magic (fire, ice and whatever Coldhands is if not the latter) running the machinery of the corpse, which would include the brain. Their overall disposition would depend on he element used. This is congruent with the obsessive behavior of Beric and Lady Stoneheart. Coldhands as well does not seem to be acting of his own agency.
  10. What abilities? He's tripping on shade of the evening, which probably grants visions and he has the warlocks as a slaves who probably conjured the winds that carried them to the Reach. But that is accomplished through sacrifice. Even Victarion did it, though Moqorro might have had a hand in it. Otherwise, he hasn't displayed any magic.
  11. No one trusts Roose Bolton, even in the part you are quoting it says that Jon can't trust Roose Bolton. Yet still, people have to deal with him because: He has a large army He is, at least according to the Iron Throne, the Warden of the North, for whatever that's worth. Which means, that out of all the factions close to him, this is the only one that can help him substantially in his task which is defending the Wall, as they have both manpower and resources, which both Stannis and the wildlings lack, being as much of a burden to Jon as help. Besides, having claimed the title of warden it is kind of Roose's job. Whether something like that would have worked and how is subject of speculation I don't want to get into and Jon could very easily have gotten himself killed trying secure help from Roose, but the point is he doesn't even consider the most viable option.
  12. The expedient thing for Jon to have done would have been to ask Roose for help in exchange for Stannis's head and his silence regarding Jeyne. Of course it would have been completely out of character for him to do so. He would have to watch out for his neck the whole time, but he could have gotten the Northern lords Roose wants to get rid off to help at the Wall. The reason that the Weeper, who is arguably as bad as the Boltons and Sigorn, who bears him a grudge due to his father's death exist is to highlight this blindspot of Jon's. Other than, what Jon did was to walk a tight rope between forces that would either annihilate the Watch or relegate it to irrelevance. After Mance's death the wildlings broke into several bands which could attack in mass in two locations which are 300 miles apart from each other and climb over the Wall anywhere across is length. This is not something he can deal with and eventually the Night's Watch would be overwhelmed and destroyed. So, taking them in was probably the only effective way to prevent that. At least, with Tormund's band. Whether it would have worked with the Weeper is debatable. As for Bowen & Co pretty much made all the arguments you are making. They didn't offer any alternative to hankering down and hoping for the best. The Mountain Clans wouldn't have time to gather for Mance and besides that they had the Ironborne to worry about who are bigger threats than the wildlings, nor would they know the dispositions of the various lords. Their best bet in defending their homelands would have been to stay on them. And ultimately the wildlings are people as well, more refugees than invaders. Fighting them to the death with no prospect of a positive outcome is pointless, nor should their lives matter less than the northerners'. I do agree with the second expedition to Hardhome and Jon wanting to attack the Boltons with a hope and a prayer being a pointless waste of lives.
  13. If it was him, his face would be somewhere below the House of Black and White. Arya could find the face and access portions of his memories. On the other hand, he could be a red herring, placed as a mystery that is never meant to be answered.
  14. Connected, yes. They could be causing it or taking advantage of it and they will need be dealt with in order to reverse the situation, but in terms of the actual death toll, what they do themselves or through the wights or whatever wouldn't come close to people freezing and starving to death, by orders of magnitude. I mean, if there is no light lack of food is only the first stage. Eventually, even the oxygen in the atmosphere will be depleted.
  15. Yes. I don't know why anyone assumed it was a local phenomenon in the first place, but the world of ice and fire makes it quite explicit that it is not. The Others in and of themselves don't make that much of a difference in the big picture. Winter and the Long Night eventually kills everything. ETA The Others could get around on an iceberg drawn by undead whales or something, or they could, you know, have actual boats.
  16. Well, eventually the Long Night will fall, so everything dies, everywhere.
  17. Given Martin's propensity for exaggeration, it is probable that between 120% and 150% will starve to death. Seriously though, Martin devoted much of one of Jon's chapters to the supply of food, leading to one of the plot points in his arc as well as constant and consistent mentions of the availability of food being either a current issue or a serious concern. Moreover it is already snowing as far as King's Landing and it is bound to get worst, meaning that there won't be new harvests from the majority of the world. In fact, the only consistent sources of new food would be fishing and perhaps agricultural products from southern lands, like Dorne, Volantys and the Summer Islands. On top of that there will be widespread warfare and a plague. I don't think the allusions to the four horsemen of the apocalypse are a coincidence. These situations will also only exacerbate one another, meaning the scarcity of resources will cause further violence and reduce accessibility, while preventing any effective organised response to the coming greyscale epidemic. So the name of the game will be survival and specifically the bare essentials of it.
  18. I think the prophecy might refer to the instrument of her death, that it is Tyrion's chain of office which comprised of interlocking hands, rather than the person.
  19. I agree about the cave network, though I think it is the other way around in terms of who will be using it to get around. After all the entrances to the caves in the hill where the children live are warded against the wights. Caves are after all much easier to guard and it will far less cold underground than it will be on the surface.
  20. I agree for the most part. Tywin is more pragmatic and patient, but that is only to be expected as Cersei has spent most her time in the isolated environment of the courts and never had the burden of actually ruling until recently. Both make disastrous errors in judgement and for the same reasons.
  21. On first impression, no. Later, yes. Cersei is a full blown psycho but has at least has some excuses for being the way she is or at least exacerbating her worst traits. Robert never let anything come before his own gratification and probably have caused more damage through his negligence. The court that imploded into the war was his responsibility. Ultimately this is a subjective judgement. However, both can be said to be products of that toxic mindset, of seeing other people as lesser.
  22. It can if the enemy disperses in the woods, adopting guerilla tactics, while one is desperate to find his Reek and his bride.
  23. Some thoughts on the chapter. It occured to me that Aeron instead of dreaming could well be delirious; and that Euron is actually present talking to him. There is a vision of the ironborn ships broken and burning. That makes me think that whatever Euron is summoning is not going to discriminate between Redwyne's and Ironborn, I have little doubt that those on the front line of the battle, will be those who are less loyal to him and less inclined to ceaseless reaving. I think Euron is a true nihilist. He doesn't seem interested in conquering or ruling, at least not in the traditional sense. Everything he wins, he gives away and he leaves chaos in his wake. He doesn't care about preserving them the ironborn strength, he left the Shields to fall, despite being strategic and he sent away his strongest fighting force, the Iron Fleet.IWe know he never intended to stick around in the first place. I think his idea is to make Westeros into a larger version of the Basilisk Islands, or he really believes the world ia ending and this is his idea of a party. In that sense, the visions of him on the Iron Throne with the dwarves capering for his amusement, seems to me like a preview of the second dance, while Euron is left to run loose. Cersei by his side relishing the destruction, after she has lost her children and been ousted would fit. He has already done a lot of damage, his activities have been a major blow the stability of the Tyrell/Lannister alliance. I think Pree is the source of the spells and they have a weird alliance. Euron originally captured four warlocks, one became lunch and two are used as sacrifice. Which leaves one and that one is probably Pree. Who is probably the one who told him about Dany and her dragons in the first place. And then there the sphinxes. They are not exclusive to the Citadel. Two Valyrian sphinxes stand besides the doors of the small council chamber in King's Landing. That could of course note the Citadel's influence in politics. The Citadel itself could be said to represent knowledge, while the sphinxes themselves are by all acounts imaginary beings. The other reference is two Valyrian sphinxes with the bodies of dragons which Tyrion encounters. Tyrion and Illyrio called them king and queen. Valyria was of course not a monarchy, but they did rule and the means was sorcery. So the rather tenuous conclusion is that sphinxes might represent magical lore and those who possess it.
  24. @The Fattest LeechThe characterization doesn't add up. Melisandre is actually trying to save the world. Euron seems pretty ok with the idea of it ending. It's hard to see Melisandre enjoying chaos for the sake of it as Euron seems to be doing in the vision.
  25. They would be acknowledging their maternal lines and the maternal lines of their fathers who would be accounted as Freys as they themselves would. This would not be Harry's case as it was his maternal grandmother who was an Arryn. I confess I don't how heraldry is supposed to work. Under normal circumstances he would onle bare the Hardyng insignia. I assumed the moon and falcon was simply a way for him to announce "I'm the heir" through the sigil.
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