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Paladin of Ice

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Everything posted by Paladin of Ice

  1. Paladin of Ice

    U.S. Politics: Gar Nicht Trump's Traumschiff!

    Thanks for the extra details from your links, there are a few wrinkles there that I wasn't aware of.
  2. Paladin of Ice

    U.S. Politics: Gar Nicht Trump's Traumschiff!

    Fucking LOL! Lets take a moment to do some basic math and civics here kids. Warren's proposed wealth tax, if she can a) get chosen as the Democratic candidate, b) get elected president, c) win the Senate along the way, d) get a 50+ Democratic Senators on board with her tax, e) nuke the filibuster, (because, at least under current conditions, there’s no way that Democrats are getting a filibuster proof majority in the Senate, and no way Republicans will let any tax increase go into effect without filibustering it to death) and f) do all this without the proposal being seriously watered down, the amount that Warren has proposed for the wealth tax is 2% for fortunes over $50 million. To keep the math nice and easy, we’ll use round numbers. So if for each billion dollars that qualifies that works out to... $20 million in taxes. 1/50th the amount that FNR wants for them to give away with no guaranteed ROI. I guess it just makes sense though that a hypothetical billionaire worth about 5 billion would prefer to give away 20% of his wealth to this defeat Warren and Sanders fund instead of being taxed for 2%; after all, he wants to hold onto his money, right?! Surely their collective action will defeat the evils of socialism! (By the way, if anyone is wondering how many billionaires would be taxed as much in 1 year as FNR says that they should give away in one year to this fund, the answer, at least according to a Wikipedia list that has the wealth of US billionaires is: 12.) Now surely FNR has slippery slope arguments inspired by the great profit* Ayn Rand about how the dirty takers and looters of the world with their grasping, pawing hands will inevitably use this as a means to strangle these great Galtian men and women of the world and doom all mankind. After all, 2% today could climb to (shudder) 3% in another 50 years! Thanks for the laughs FNR, and for being such a perfect representation of the level of thought I’ve come to expect from so-called fiscal conservatives and libertarians. * not a typo.
  3. Paladin of Ice

    U.S. Politics: Gar Nicht Trump's Traumschiff!

    To me he's always seemed like the blandest of the bland and emptiest of empty suits. A good candidate, upon learning that he has zero support from one of his party's most loyal voting blocs, works hard to convince them and win them over. A good candidate doesn't try to paper over it by claiming that he has the backing of leaders from within that bloc when he doesn't, as good ole Mayor Pete supposedly did. I mean, this was originally reported by The Intercept so you gotta double check and verify it instead of taking it on faith, but so far it seems to be holding up to scrutiny and Buttigieg's campaign even made an official statement about it which seems to confirm some of the story. Things like this have made Buttigieg go from a "Meh" for me to a hard pass unless he's the last candidate standing. To me he seems like little more than empty souled neoliberalism with a fresh coat of paint. Democrats should definitely mount a campaign where every one of them in a prominent position basically says that if Trump had any guts or was innocent he'd testify. At least it would be another force of psychological stress on his unbalanced mind and might make him make more unforced errors and say deranged things to the press and on Twitter, continuing the trend of him turning off all but his most hardcore supporters. At best, it might actually provoke him to try to get more involved with the hearings. This is a guy who didn't have the self-restraint to resist the urge to talk about his dick during a presidential primary debate, after all. Look at that, a conservative who shot off at the mouth rather than putting in the two seconds worth of research it would have taken to see that he was wrong. What are the odds? https://i.imgur.com/Ffno981.png
  4. Paladin of Ice

    U.S. Politics: Attaquer son cul orange!

    Big pocket donors want to be sure that the winner won’t raise their taxes and are worried about Biden falling apart? That would be the cynical take, anyway.
  5. Paladin of Ice

    U.S. Politics: Attaquer son cul orange!

    Just to reiterate this point from the last page: Donald Trump Jr. got booed off the stage at a California University... by conservative activist students hopped up on conspiracy theories and who believe that the Trumps don't go nearly far enough. As delightful as it is that Trump Jr. got chased off stage by erstwhile supporters, and as delicious as it is seeing the Trump clan be on the wrong side of conspiracy theories, which they have thrived on and stoked non-stop, it points to the same problem I was getting at, which is that not every Trump supporter is an 80 year old holed up in a shack in the woods listening to AM talk radio and spending all day sending conspiracy theory chain emails to their grandkids. They cannot just be waited out. They are not all going to die within the next 10 years. This is not going to be over in 2020 or 2024. There is no going back to complacent normalcy just because Agent Orange won't be in the White House forever. If we do get complacent like that, it will only bite us in the ass somewhere down the road.
  6. Paladin of Ice

    U.S. Politics: Attaquer son cul orange!

    I think the "They're all going to die out within a few years" attitude is seriously (and perhaps dangerously) naive. Americans didn't age out of racism after the older and most vicious opponents of the Civil Rights movement got old and died off, for example. Racism and how it manifests in our system is different than it was but it's still very much around. It's going to be the same story here. There'll be a generational realignment that's different from the current status quo in some areas, (lots of polling shows that young Republicans are much more open about Climate Change, for example) but that takes time, and it'll take more time before they have their hands on the levers of power, especially as our primary system keeps rewarding the most extreme candidates because it's the more ideologically driven voters that tend to call the shots during primary season, especially on the Republican side. I know that most of the judges that Trump appointed are under 50. They're going to be around to "pwn the libs" for a long time yet, throwing plenty of sand in the gears of any progressive agenda, or even basic statecraft. And maybe Republicans will make their brand toxic enough to drive off some small percentage of voters, (the same way Goldwater, Nixon, Regan, and W. Bush supposedly would make the brand too toxic to attract people) but there's still plenty of kids wearing MAGA hats, who will spend every day while they're growing up hearing the Fox News or right wing radio/podcasts that their parents pay attention to, and/or getting caught up in outrageously false/racist internet sites. (Greater savvy in using technology does not equal greater savvy in telling fact from fiction, or being immune to things like falling for something because it tells you what you want to hear after all.) Furthermore, I think that when it comes to national politics the American public is fickle, uneducated, and directionless in terms of who they give power. I think they will demand vague undefined changes from the current paradigm, then refuse to change themselves and throw a fit about how any change that was made was all wrong and is the worst thing ever. They'll then lead a backlash against the change by either refusing to vote or going over en masse to the other party, which will take the exact opposite course, which after a few years will become the new worst thing ever, and so on. In the meantime nothing can really get done because there's no sustained momentum for what direction to go, (imagine a big, slow to turn ocean liner that needs a lot of time and space to change course. Now imagine that people keep yanking the wheel one way and then the other every few seconds. That thing is not going to successfully make a course change under those conditions) and shit falls apart little by little while we're all waiting for a change in direction. Lastly, I think that as long as the filibuster is in place in the Senate, Republicans and the various regressive forces have the edge. The much more divided Democrats are going to need to either get a super majority that actually agrees on a course of action and is willing to implement it, (good luck on that, and even if you get the super majority, it'll be fleeting because of the fickleness of the American I mentioned above and watered down by the need for compromise among the different Democratic factions) while Republicans just need to take the country hostage in budget and policy negotiations and let Democrats "talk them down" to only doing moderate damage each time instead of major damage. The result is consistent small victories for the GOP (and sometimes large, sudden, ones) while only the occasional, watered down and tepid victories for Democrats. And if you need a lesson in how that's gone for the parties, feel free to take a look at the last forty years and tell me which side has been dominating the direction of how our politics go. Which alternate universe are we in again? The one where Democrats get a super majority and can get every one of their members on board with impeaching judges, or the one where Republicans will vote to remove numerous useful pawns from the bench? Sorry, but I'm having trouble keeping track. I'll believe that Democrats, liberals, and progressives are willing to make those sorts of changes and can either control the way the changes go or turn it to their advantage in a way that outfoxes Republicans when I see it and not one moment before. Because we all know they won't find excuses to pull new "interpretations" out of thin air. That's never happened before. ... good luck with that one, buddy. Oh, I'm not despairing. I'm looking at all the evidence I've observed since the 80s, all the bit and pieces I've learned about how our politics were prior to that, and everything I laid out above in my response to ThinkerX, and trying say we need to have a game plan that can work despite the obstacles in our way instead of blindly rushing into the obstacle course and winging it. Lots of people believe that the arc of history bends towards justice. I don't. A lot of the time people hear that and assume that means I think it bends towards injustice. I don't. I believe it only bends the way you goddamn make it, and successfully doing so is incredibly hard, complex, and time consuming. So I want people who want the same changes I do to get their asses in gear and reconcile themselves to the fact that the work needs to be done instead of just assuming that because they really believe that they're in the right or because their opponents are super horrible it will all somehow work out in their favor. That process isn't going to be safe, comfortable, or easy. If you think it needs to be done, then accept all that and lets get to work already. ETA: Apologies to everyone for the wall of text, this got a lot longer than intended as I went on. Thanks for reading it if you did, I understand if your eyes glazed over and you skipped it all if you did that, and in conclusion... I'm James and I approve this message?
  7. Paladin of Ice

    U.S. Politics: Attaquer son cul orange!

    We lost as far as judicial appointments go the moment Trump was elected. At least, if we continue to accept the rules of the game as they stand now. Republicans announced among themselves that they were refusing to play by the rules of the game when they talked about how their number one priority was making Obama a one term president. They reinforced it by using the filibuster to death. They made their private announcement public and flipped the game board and the table when Scalia died and they spent a year refusing to sit a new justice. And when they threatened to never sit a Justice under a potential President Hillary Clinton, they took out a gun put it to the other player's head. And they got rewarded for it all. Now they're rigging the game so it's physically impossible for them to ever lose again. So if you're a leftist like me, or even just someone who doesn't want to go further to the right and the extreme path that McConnell and company want to go, the question now is do we sit back and accept that, maybe try again in 20-30 years, (if we get 20-30 years and they don't decide to just stomp us to death while we're underfoot in the meantime) or do we admit that the old rules have been wiped away and it's time to fight back? And I mean actually fight, no one hand tied behind the back bullshit. When the fight's done and people are ready to live like we're an actual society again, we can make new rules. Until then... when we win in 2020, (or, God forbid, 2024) nuke the filibuster, and pass the legislation needed to create equality and start dealing with Climate Change. Pack the courts, and not just the Supreme Court, but the various federal courts, especially Appeals Courts. With the Supreme Court, put a new Justice on the bench every week if need be. Make one of them Barack Obama just to troll regressives along the way. When they escalate, then escalate back again, and do it harder. When everyone on both sides is sick of fighting and cries out for it to stop, we'll have detente and make new rules of the road. But for as long as radical regressives believe they have have a path to total victory, even a slow one like they've been walking the last 40+ years, they will never ever stop, and our country is already coming down around our ears. One thing we absolutely cannot do is waste the little time we have playing the game the same way as it existed twenty or more years ago and hope that regressives and hard right fundamentalists and white nationalists agree to do so too. Cause it ain't gonna happen, and wishing for life to be something it can't be will lose us a chance to set things right. At least that's the way I see it. Maybe there are other ways it can turn out that won't end badly. Can't say that I see many alternatives.
  8. Paladin of Ice

    U.S. Politics: Attaquer son cul orange!

    Anyone who doubts that Republicans are the party of White Supremacy/Nationalism is ignorant or bullshitting at this point. But when you combine it with this: You get a REAL nightmare. For example: White House lawyer Steven James Menashi has spent his life mocking and attacking every bit of decency possible. His career as college writer consisted of defending racism, denouncing LGTBQ groups, (including complaining about "incessantly exploit[ing] the slaying of Mathew Shepard for both financial and political benefit") mocking Take Back The Night demonstrations against rape on campus, (or "campus gynocentrists" as he called anti-rape activists) attacked the very existence of need-based financial aid as punishing to rich families, and wrote a defense of ethnonationalism that included the following: Menashi has been nominated to sit on the Second Court of Appeals. Menashi's nomination was advanced along party lines the other day, and now only a single vote stands between Menashi and a lifetime appointment as a judge. Normally this process takes weeks, even months. Republicans took only two days to advance Menashi this far. They want him, and everything he stands for and represents, on the bench and bending the course of the United States Courts their way. They want it badly. Menashi will be turning 41 in January. The oldest Federal Judge to ever serve, Wesley Brown, was appointed by President Kennedy in 1962 and took cases until about a month before his death at age 104 in 2012. After he gets seated as a judge, how long will Menashi be making rulings to own the libs, and put women and non-white people back in their place? Maybe opposing the people who want to put hot garbage like Meashi in a judge's robes is more important than playing People's Front of Judea vs The Judean People's Front and searching for the One True Leftist who will magically sweep aside all obstacles and turn the country into a utopia in 8 short years, never to be undone. But hey, I could be wrong. Anyway, thanks for coming to my TED talk.
  9. Paladin of Ice

    U.S. Politics: Attaquer son cul orange!

    Oh, I think it’s pretty simple to grasp what he’s thinking. It’s the same thing a lot of candidates are thinking "My personal vision of how to react and go forward is the only one that is right, if nobody else is bright enough to see how obviously right it is, then I have to get in there and save the country from all these obviously wrong people. And because I’m obviously right, all I need to do is say it the right way and everyone else will come around and see the light." This framework is particularly likely for Bloomberg, who’s definitely arrogant and convinced of his rightness at all times.
  10. Paladin of Ice

    U.S. Politics: Attaquer son cul orange!

    1) I hear about it occasionally, (often from those Nice Polite Republicans that certain people love to complain about, because Republicans routinely address trans people by their preferred pronouns, use terms like LatinX, and criticize Donald Trump) it's just a matter of what quality of news you consume. 2) 20 years? Try 30-40. Because I guarantee you that at least until the early 2050s there will still be judges appointed during the Trump administration making rulings against the latest version of universal healthcare or Climate change legislation by citing online conspiracy theories and including a more formal version of the phrase "Suck it, libtards!" somewhere in their opinion. But it was really, really important to tell Killary off for being such a shrill warmongering bitch that one time in 2016, so it's worth it, amirite? Because the leftist cause will be so accelerated when more Supreme Court justices and judges rule against it. 3) I'm actually fairly confident that Trump will lose, and lose badly in 2020, even though I still have a knot in my stomach every day over the prospect of him winning. That said, I agree that both a lot of leftists and candidates forget to look at the big picture and get fixated on small, unimportant details that relatively few people care about, and it's one of the main things that frustrates me about being a leftist.
  11. Paladin of Ice

    U.S. Politics: Attaquer son cul orange!

    Speaking of Rand Paul, it got brought to my attention that in 2014 he was demanding broader protections for whistleblowers, now he's leading the charge to try to unmask the whistleblower on the Trump-Zelensky phone call. Huh, I wonder what could have possibly changed from 2014 to now that would make Rand do such an about face. I mean, as a man of such principle, it's not like he'd do a 180 simply because the party in power has changed! Surely Rand Paul isn't the conscienceless empty suit that everyone on the left said he was from day one! </sarcasm>
  12. Paladin of Ice

    U.S. Politics: Attaquer son cul orange!

    Who do Independents want to be President? Anyone but Trump. Some are more squeamish about voting for Warren or Sanders, but for many they're not entirely out of the question.
  13. Paladin of Ice

    U.S. Politics: Attaquer son cul orange!

    If the results hold up in Kentucky, it’s great news. Bevin is such a piece of crap and always has been. Officially turning Virginia blue is also very welcome news.
  14. Paladin of Ice

    U.S. Politics: Attaquer son cul orange!

    Just posted about this on another board where I contribute to some political threads. As far as I’m concerned, all the higher ups in this administration should be hung from lampposts.
  15. Paladin of Ice

    US Politics: A Mickey Mouse Operation

    I don’t. I just think it’s better than we get virtually anywhere else that isn’t explicitly left leaning, and was made to look worse than it was in your original post.
  16. Paladin of Ice

    US Politics: A Mickey Mouse Operation

    Maybe they spaced out the different segments, but that wasn’t the only they had. They also an interview with a Democratic Representative who was on the committees taking depositions, and two different segments talking to NPR reporters with a “How are people from the parties reacting behind closed doors” kind of thing. Plus the host did a fair amount of pushback and questioning of both interviewees. Not perfect, by any means, but I wouldn’t count it as rolling over for Republicans, and it’s probably about as good as can be hoped for these days.
  17. Paladin of Ice

    US Politics: A Mickey Mouse Operation

    If anyone is curious about the spin of the right wing disinformation sphere on Colonel Vindman, (the latest witness for the impeachment inquiry, a career military man who was wounded in Iraq and is the first person who was actually listening in on the Trump-Zelensky phone call to testify) the attempts to smear Vindman started last night on the Laura Ingraham show, (before Vindman even testified they felt the need to smear him, how curious) where Ingraham and her guest spent time trying to say how terrible it was that Vindman was showing no loyalty to Trump, that he was loyal only to Ukraine because he was born there, and he may in fact be a Ukrainian spy committing espionage against the President. There are no limits to how low they’ll stoop to defend Agent Orange.
  18. Paladin of Ice

    US Politics: A Mickey Mouse Operation

    Murkowski is more likely to buck the party line than most. Plus the Tea Party tried to primary her in the past and it didn’t work out for them; they won the primary and Murkowski promptly won the general as a write-in candidate. I’d need someone like ThinkerX, who knows the local scene a lot better than I do to confirm this, but I get the sense that the hard rightists and party leadership have left her alone since rather than be embarrassed like that again. She also thus has a pretty good sense that she can do what she wants without being punished for it, much like how Romney has a safe little fortress in Utah.
  19. Paladin of Ice

    US Politics: A Mickey Mouse Operation

    Gabbard is claiming that she’s going to give up running for re-election in her district to focus on the presidential campaign. Now that’s what I call good news! Might even be worth popping champagne over if it meant she was going away forever, but sadly I’m sure she has a lucrative career ahead of her going on right wing media and being their pet ex-Democrat who spends all her time talking and writing books about how terrible Democrats and liberals are.
  20. Paladin of Ice

    US Politics: A Mickey Mouse Operation

    I think I have to agree. Arrest them now, even for the things they should be legitimately arrested for, and you feed the disinformation campaign about the corrupt Democrat kangaroo court doing everything in secrecy because they’re just out to get Trump. Fox and the right wing media sphere will run with that anyway, because that’s what they do, but they won’t have sound bites or juicy footage of Evulz Democrats sending decent, honest Republicans away in chains for interrupting their nefarious schemes. Then in a week or two, strip every one of those republicans of clearances or various privileges and/or committee seats if possible. Oh, and make a note of every one of these Reps and target all of them that are even slightly vulnerable in the election.
  21. Paladin of Ice

    US Politics: A Mickey Mouse Operation

    I really don't get why everyone is going after Clinton on this. If I'm around a gathering of people and someone stands up and says "Someone in this room is a murderer and is planning to kill again tonight." and then someone else (who is prominently carrying a knife and has notes on their murder plans tucked into their back pocket) reacts by saying "How dare you defame my character like this!" it's not the person who said that someone is a murderer who is the asshole. And half of this is probably coming from people who also wonder why Obama wasn't more forceful in calling out Trump for being a Russian stooge back in 2016. But Clinton said it, so by definition it must be bad right? That fucking Killary bitch needs to shut up and learn her place, after all.
  22. Paladin of Ice

    US Politics: A Mickey Mouse Operation

    Technically she didn’t name Gabbard. Tulsi was the one who jumped and said it was about her.
  23. Paladin of Ice

    US politics - When the Barr's so low.

    Mine would probably go: 1. Warren . . . 2. Booker 3. Castro 4. Harris 5 Sanders (I want the country to go in a more leftist direction, but I think Sanders will inevitably fuck it up if he were actually given the reins, so despite the fact that I was rooting for him during the 2016 primary he's way down my list now.) 6. ... Buttigieg, I guess? I'm pretty meh towards the guy and have refused to consider him throughout, so it feels weird that he's even up this high. 7. Biden, although I hate thinking it would come to that. 8. O'Rourke, who I think is a fuck up and would be absolute poison to Democrats with some of his proposals. 9. Klobuchar and the various do nothing so-called moderates. Would not even consider except as an alternative to Trump, and even then I'll be feeling sick casting a vote for them: Yang, Gabbard. Not impressed by a dumbass techbro with the "generosity" to let people live on 12K a year and thinks the federal workforce needs to be drastically trimmed. (Although he's had one or two humanizing moments on the campaign, like a time I heard him get sincerely choked up talking about shooting victims the age of his own kids.) Gabbard's tendency towards isolation might have appealed to me about 10 years ago, but we've since seen the retreating from the world isn't viable and leaving that hole means it gets filled by types even less savory than the US is right now, see China, Russia, and company. I have no reason to want to see a DINO who goes and whines on Fox News and Breitbart about how evulz democrats are every time things don't go her way, there are plenty of Republicans already doing that schtick. Also, I fight against cult members who have a history of discrimination, who refuse to participate in Democracy by doing things like, say, showing up to a debate with an opponent for their seat in the House, and who cozy up authoritarians that want to make minority religions second class citizens (at best) in their own country. I don't make them my fucking choice for president. Will not even consider as an alternative to Trump: Williamson. I don't think the reasons need to be explained, even though she's had occasionally moments of basic insight.
  24. Paladin of Ice

    US politics - When the Barr's so low.

    You know, if you bring up something extraneous on a public forum, then when asked what you're talking about you respond "google it", you're not being helpful to your case or conversing in a forum. At all. I know there some kind of bullshit posted by Wikileaks that even they admit is partisan and is posted on r/The_Donald. Is that what you mean? Is this what you're talking about, and if so, why should it be treating with the slightest shred of credibility, considering everything involved there? Or did you mean this story from 2016? Maybe it's the story from 2018 about Haiti hiring a PR firm with connections to the Clintons to try to improve its image in Washington? The one from 2015 where Chelsea Clinton apparently tried to alert her parents to failures happening on the ground with Haiti's recovery from the earthquake? Is it the article by Dinesh D'fuckheadSouza accusing the Clintons of getting rich from Haiti? Maybe either communicate what you're implying or, if you're not willing to do that much, keep it to yourself?
  25. Paladin of Ice

    US politics - When the Barr's so low.

    A big loss for the country.
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