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BLU-RAY

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About BLU-RAY

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    And did we tell you the name of the game, boy?
  • Birthday 05/19/1987

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    DDSCRAP
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  1. BLU-RAY

    Westeros Football League A

    Yep, in. Thanks!
  2. BLU-RAY

    Westeros Dynasty 2016

    Back in for this.
  3. BLU-RAY

    Westeros Football League A

    Hey - 8:30 central is 7:30 West Coast, yeah? Will figure it out and make it work. Sorry I haven't responded to the invite, I don't even know what email is hooked up to the Yahoo account, will delve into that tonight. It's 6:30 west coast, whoops. Anyway, will figure it out and make it work.
  4. BLU-RAY

    Fantasy Football 2019

    Want to play this year - Dynasty, Thunderdome, at least 1 other league (preferably auction - if there's slots in A, would like that, otherwise B or C if there's room).
  5. BLU-RAY

    Westeros Dynasty 2016

    Speaking of trades in this league (I assume there's no trade deadline?), if anyone is in the market for a QB, let me know. My asking prices will be high, because all four (Goff, Trubisky, Luck, Newton) are very productive and on good contracts covering this and next year, but I could use some WR help.
  6. Haha, I was just there this morning - I grew up in Morris Plains, and have been staying at my parents' place while recovering from a leg injury. As someone who moved around a lot and frequently felt unmoored over the past many years, exploring local stuff has a lot of appeal, but finding a Barnes and Noble and rereading some beloved SF/F or mystery while drinking coffee is something I've found myself doing frequently since 2012.
  7. BLU-RAY

    Westeros Football League B

    Looked like even the 9'ers beat reporters were surprised, but they said that Breida and the guy they benched Morris for were the speed guys, and gave them a more explosive element than what Morris brings. Unclear if I believe that or not. Yeah, I saw he was out about an hour before the game and when I went to check for Osweiler I was about 50% sure you'd have picked him up by that point. NFL injury reporting is a headache.
  8. @Iskaral Pust Oh, no question - that's been going on since, what, 2006 or so. I was just surprised at the extent of the jump, this would be a pretty crazy outlier if it holds up (I also kind of imagine that points per game declines a little bit as the season progresses due to cold and injury, so maybe it'll come back to earth?) Like, the new roughing the passer guidelines excepted, most of the passing-offense-friendly rules have been in place for a little while - and the offensive numbers have been trending this way alongside them. But two sigmas out!? I think you're correct that, as Barnwell and Kevin Clark (and probably a bunch of other folks) have written, the integration of more attacking, Air Raid-style offenses has hit sort of an inflection point this year - you have the Colts running some of that stuff thanks to Frank Reich, the Bears and Chiefs as you've pointed out; a new season of the Rams; etc. It's exciting.
  9. Just posted this in one of the FF threads, but I think it bears repeating here - the scoring jump this year seems fucking bonkers. I think offenses are just putting up more points this year, yeah, and particularly, quarterbacks are doing well, and we play in 2-QB, 6-pt-passing-TD leagues. There have been multiple weeks this year where I've had 2 30+ point QBs (I'm in two Westeros 2QB leagues), which used to be a huge deal. .... Went and checked it at Pro Football Reference, and damn, yeah, scoring is way up. Scoring Rk Year Tms RshTD RecTD PR TD KR TD FblTD IntTD OthTD AllTD 2PM 2PA XPM XPA FGM FGA Sfty Pts 1 2018 32 0.78 1.76 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.08 0.01 2.71 0.17 0.29 2.29 2.41 1.72 2.05 0.01 24.1 2 2017 32 0.74 1.45 0.02 0.01 0.08 0.08 0.01 2.39 0.07 0.16 2.08 2.21 1.69 2.01 0.03 21.7 3 2016 32 0.87 1.54 0.02 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.01 2.56 0.10 0.21 2.19 2.33 1.66 1.97 0.04 22.7 4 2015 32 0.71 1.64 0.03 0.01 0.06 0.10 0.01 2.56 0.09 0.18 2.24 2.38 1.63 1.93 0.03 22.8 5 2014 32 0.74 1.58 0.03 0.01 0.05 0.09 0.02 2.52 0.05 0.11 2.39 2.40 1.62 1.93 0.04 22.6 6 2013 32 0.80 1.57 0.03 0.01 0.06 0.13 0.02 2.62 0.07 0.13 2.46 2.47 1.69 1.95 0.04 23.4 7 2012 32 0.78 1.48 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.14 0.02 2.54 0.06 0.11 2.40 2.41 1.66 1.98 0.03 22.8 8 2011 32 0.78 1.46 0.04 0.02 0.06 0.10 0.01 2.47 0.05 0.10 2.34 2.36 1.64 1.97 0.04 22.2 9 2010 32 0.78 1.47 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.11 0.01 2.48 0.05 0.10 2.35 2.37 1.55 1.88 0.03 22.0 10 2009 32 0.84 1.39 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.09 0.01 2.44 0.05 0.12 2.28 2.31 1.48 1.82 0.03 21.5 11 2008 32 0.93 1.26 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.10 0.02 2.43 0.05 0.13 2.29 2.30 1.65 1.95 0.04 22.0 12 2007 32 0.75 1.41 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.10 0.01 2.42 0.06 0.11 2.28 2.30 1.55 1.88 0.04 21.7 13 2006 32 0.83 1.27 0.03 0.02 0.06 0.10 0.01 2.32 0.04 0.07 2.20 2.22 1.50 1.84 0.02 20.7 14 2005 32 0.84 1.26 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.09 0.01 2.28 0.05 0.09 2.15 2.18 1.53 1.89 0.02 20.6 15 2004 32 0.81 1.43 0.02 0.03 0.07 0.10 0.01 2.47 0.07 0.14 2.30 2.32 1.37 1.70 0.03 21.5 16 2003 32 0.83 1.28 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.11 0.01 2.35 0.06 0.12 2.17 2.20 1.48 1.86 0.04 20.8 17 2002 32 0.90 1.36 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.09 0.01 2.48 0.09 0.16 2.24 2.28 1.44 1.86 0.02 21.7 18 2001 31 0.74 1.28 0.02 0.02 0.07 0.12 0.01 2.26 0.08 0.17 2.03 2.07 1.48 1.93 0.02 20.2 19 2000 31 0.83 1.28 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.10 0.01 2.32 0.07 0.15 2.12 2.14 1.47 1.85 0.03 20.7 20 1999 31 0.73 1.34 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.12 0.01 2.33 0.06 0.16 2.12 2.14 1.51 1.94 0.05 20.8 So the average over the last 20 seasons (INCLUDING this year) is 21.825 points per game per team. The standard deviation is 1.03 (about 4.7%); this year's average is 24.1 points per game per team, so we're 2.275 points per game per team above average (about 10.4%). That's over 2.2 standard deviations out, which is crazy. ETA: Also of note - kick return and punt return points are down; the increase is all in the passing offense, which again, is going to show up even harder in our leagues since we have 6pt passing TDs.
  10. BLU-RAY

    Fantasy Football 2018

    I think offenses are just putting up more points this year, yeah, and particularly, quarterbacks are doing well, and we play in 2-QB, 6-pt-passing-TD leagues. There have been multiple weeks this year where I've had 2 30+ point QBs (I'm in two Westeros 2QB leagues), which used to be a huge deal. .... Went and checked it at Pro Football Reference, and damn, yeah, scoring is way up. Scoring Rk Year Tms RshTD RecTD PR TD KR TD FblTD IntTD OthTD AllTD 2PM 2PA XPM XPA FGM FGA Sfty Pts 1 2018 32 0.78 1.76 0.02 0.01 0.05 0.08 0.01 2.71 0.17 0.29 2.29 2.41 1.72 2.05 0.01 24.1 2 2017 32 0.74 1.45 0.02 0.01 0.08 0.08 0.01 2.39 0.07 0.16 2.08 2.21 1.69 2.01 0.03 21.7 3 2016 32 0.87 1.54 0.02 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.01 2.56 0.10 0.21 2.19 2.33 1.66 1.97 0.04 22.7 4 2015 32 0.71 1.64 0.03 0.01 0.06 0.10 0.01 2.56 0.09 0.18 2.24 2.38 1.63 1.93 0.03 22.8 5 2014 32 0.74 1.58 0.03 0.01 0.05 0.09 0.02 2.52 0.05 0.11 2.39 2.40 1.62 1.93 0.04 22.6 6 2013 32 0.80 1.57 0.03 0.01 0.06 0.13 0.02 2.62 0.07 0.13 2.46 2.47 1.69 1.95 0.04 23.4 7 2012 32 0.78 1.48 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.14 0.02 2.54 0.06 0.11 2.40 2.41 1.66 1.98 0.03 22.8 8 2011 32 0.78 1.46 0.04 0.02 0.06 0.10 0.01 2.47 0.05 0.10 2.34 2.36 1.64 1.97 0.04 22.2 9 2010 32 0.78 1.47 0.03 0.04 0.04 0.11 0.01 2.48 0.05 0.10 2.35 2.37 1.55 1.88 0.03 22.0 10 2009 32 0.84 1.39 0.02 0.04 0.05 0.09 0.01 2.44 0.05 0.12 2.28 2.31 1.48 1.82 0.03 21.5 11 2008 32 0.93 1.26 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.10 0.02 2.43 0.05 0.13 2.29 2.30 1.65 1.95 0.04 22.0 12 2007 32 0.75 1.41 0.03 0.05 0.07 0.10 0.01 2.42 0.06 0.11 2.28 2.30 1.55 1.88 0.04 21.7 13 2006 32 0.83 1.27 0.03 0.02 0.06 0.10 0.01 2.32 0.04 0.07 2.20 2.22 1.50 1.84 0.02 20.7 14 2005 32 0.84 1.26 0.02 0.02 0.04 0.09 0.01 2.28 0.05 0.09 2.15 2.18 1.53 1.89 0.02 20.6 15 2004 32 0.81 1.43 0.02 0.03 0.07 0.10 0.01 2.47 0.07 0.14 2.30 2.32 1.37 1.70 0.03 21.5 16 2003 32 0.83 1.28 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.11 0.01 2.35 0.06 0.12 2.17 2.20 1.48 1.86 0.04 20.8 17 2002 32 0.90 1.36 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.09 0.01 2.48 0.09 0.16 2.24 2.28 1.44 1.86 0.02 21.7 18 2001 31 0.74 1.28 0.02 0.02 0.07 0.12 0.01 2.26 0.08 0.17 2.03 2.07 1.48 1.93 0.02 20.2 19 2000 31 0.83 1.28 0.03 0.03 0.04 0.10 0.01 2.32 0.07 0.15 2.12 2.14 1.47 1.85 0.03 20.7 20 1999 31 0.73 1.34 0.03 0.03 0.07 0.12 0.01 2.33 0.06 0.16 2.12 2.14 1.51 1.94 0.05 20.8 So the average over the last 20 seasons (INCLUDING this year) is 21.825 points per game per team. The standard deviation is 1.03 (about 4.7%); this year's average is 24.1 points per game per team, so we're 2.275 points per game per team above average (about 10.4%). That's over 2.2 standard deviations out, which is crazy. ETA: Also of note - kick return and punt return points are down; the increase is all in the passing offense, which again, is going to show up even harder in our leagues since we have 6pt passing TDs.
  11. BLU-RAY

    Westeros Football League B

    Heh, Morris completely off the map tonight as well. I gotta say, this loss stings. Never fun to not win with the 2nd highest score in the league.
  12. BLU-RAY

    College Football 2018: Countdown to Kickoff

    At least I can stop worrying about accidentally making the playoff and getting shelled by Alabama now. Good game to Notre Dame, they're better in pretty much every facet, which is extremely frustrating. We've had some really nice o-line recruiting classes, the last 2-3 years on paper, but they just don't look close to the offensive lines of 2010-2014. And the front seven on defense are thin and not up to par; depth there has been a problem for 2-3 years, and it continues to be. If we can't win at the lines, we're in trouble. I don't know if it's possible to recruit a genuinely deep team at Stanford, unfortunately.
  13. BLU-RAY

    Westeros Dynasty 2016

    Dragonstone's contracts: Incoming Contracts: Julio Jones - $39 (1 year)Andrew Luck- $23 (2 years)Mitchell Trubisky - $10 ( 2 year)Larry Fitzgerald - $8 (1 year)Marlon Mack - $7 (1 year) Josh Doctson - $5 (1 year)Curtis Samuel - $5 (2 years)Jared Goff - $4 (2 years)OJ Howard - $4 (2 years)Mike Williams - $2 (1 year)Ty Montgomery - $1 (1 year) New Contracts: Cam Newton - $18 (2 years) Saquon Barkley - $37 (2 years) Lamar Miller - $14 (1 year) Devin Funchess - $4 (3 years) Stephen Gostkowski - $1 (1 year) Houston DST - $1 (1 year) Tarik Cohen - $2 (2 years) Alfred Morris - $1 (1 year) Jordan Reed - $2 (2 years) Dalton Schultz - $1 (1 year) Tre'Quan Smith - $1 (4 years)
  14. BLU-RAY

    College Football 2018: Countdown to Kickoff

    Glad to get the W vs USC, but a little concerned that this might say more about USC than it does about us. With that said, that's two straight good performances from the defense, which was shallow and not great last year. So if the defense has made meaningful improvement, maybe Stanford can hang with some of the better teams. Oregon and Notre Dame games later this month should be interesting.
  15. BLU-RAY

    Westeros Football League A

    Yeah, but he's not protected from wear and tear, which is the real issue with the DeMarco Murray thing. I respect WJ's opinion over pretty much anyone else's in this scenario, given his expertise, but I kind of agree with Jace on that one. If the Steelers give him 500 touches or whatever, doesn't that reduce what the open market will pay for him? Nobody wants Tennessee DeMarco Murray; the contract he claims to want this year will be completely out of reach if he gets 450 or 500 total touches. If that's the case, then from Bell's perspective, if he shows up he's tanking his future value AND risking injury - and the Steelers are incentivized to give him those touches, because in this scenario, they don't have to deal with him post-Rule-of-370.
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