Mladen

My predictions BEST PICTURE Will win: OPPENHEIMER Personal choice: THE ZONE OF INTEREST Shouldn't have been nominated: MAESTRO Should have been nominated: MAY DECEMBER This is an easy one. Simply, OPPENHEIMER is undeniable. It cruised through award season unchallenged and I have listened to few interesting Twitter Spaces of people saying that OPPENHEIMER is seen as the closest one to win in first round of voting. BEST DIRECTOR Will win: Christopher Nolan Personal choice: Christopher Nolan Shouldn't have been nominated: N/A Should have been nominated: N/A This is one perfect lineup. It is Nolan's time and he has been undeniable all year long. Despite the controversy, I will say I wouldn't place Gerwig in my Top 5. Would opt for Celine Song, though. But, Internet didn't lament over her snub. BEST LEAD ACTRESS Will win: Lily Gladstone Personal choice: Lily Gladstone Shouldn't have been nominated: Annette Bening Should have been nominated: Greta Lee I feel this is the only race we have. Gladstone and Stone have divided the field equally. Both are in Best Picture nominated movies, both did well with both critics and industry. I give Lily a slight advantage because she won at one place no one expected her to win - SAG-AFTRA. For a basic voting body that usually award loud, hammy performances (ahem, ahem, Jessica Chastain), this one was a huge win. With the support of Cate Blanchett (who practically said who she voted for 2 days before voting began), Kate Winslet and Spike Lee... Lily may have this in the bag. That said, it is very close. If she wins, she will be the first Native American woman to win in history, only third POC actress in this category. Lily will also be only the third actress to have won for Scorsese movie, after Ellen Burstyn won Best Lead Actress for "Alice Doesn't Live Here Anymore" in 1975 and above-mentioned Cate Blanchett for "The Aviator" in 2005. BEST LEAD ACTOR Will win: Cillian Murphy Personal choice: Cillian Murphy Shouldn't have been nominated: Bradley Cooper Should have been nominated: Teo Yoo, Andrew Scott After completing trifecta - Globe-Drama, BAFTA and SAG, this stopped being the race. Murphy is the face of the biggest movie, he was phenomenal and simply, people adore him. Paul Giamatti got CCA and Globe-Comedy, but that is pretty much that. BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS Will win: Da'Vine Joy Randolph Personal choice: Da'Vine Joy Randolph Shouldn't have been nominated: America Ferrera !!! Should have been nominated: Julianne Moore, Penelope Cruz, Rosamund Pike, Claire Foy, Taraji P. Henson... Absolutely nothing to say. Da'Vine Joy Randolph has been the biggest sweeper since Patricia Arquette. Won every single award that could have been won. Oscar is hers. BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR Will win: Robert Downey Jr. Personal choice: NOT NOMINATED - Charles Melton Shouldn't have been nominated: N/A Should have been nominated: Charles Melton, Dominic Sessa Another secured Oscar. Downey has won Globe, CCA, BAFTA and SAG. No one loses with that combo. It's his Oscar. BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY Will win: American Fiction Personal choice: American Fiction Shouldn't have been nominated: Barbie (should be Original) Should have been nominated: Killers of the Flower Moon, All of Us Strangers While AMERICAN FICTION has won major awards, including, most interestingly, BAFTA, I am still torn between it and OPPENHEIMER. When sweeps happen, there is always one or two categories caught in a sweep. Now, Blunt is not winning Best Supporting Actress, but OPPENHEIMER ay win Adapted Screenplay and/or Sound. Anonymous ballots also point in that direction. Predicting AMERICAN FICTION but wouldn't be surprised with OPPENHEIMER getting this too. BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY Will win: Anatomy of a Fall Personal choice: Anatomy of a Fall, Past Lives Shouldn't have been nominated: Maestro Should have been nominated: Barbie (in this category) We didn't get WGA this year to give us more insight but Anatomy of a Fall made quite the impression and this may be their big win. Absolutely deserving, if you ask me. BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE Will win: The Zone of Interest Personal choice: The Zone of Interest, Society of the Snow Shouldn't have been nominated: N/A Should have been nominated: Anatomy of a Fall (ah, France...) THE ZONE OF INTEREST is winning this, undoubtedly. Unless there happens some Netflix sorcery with SOCIETY OF THE SNOW. How crazy is this system show us that ANATOMY OF A FALL has won almost all major awards for international movie in States. Despite THE TASTE OF THINGS being a great film, French committee is under lot of fire as European, French and American audiences made quite clear what they thing about ANATOMY snub. BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE Will win: 20 Days in Mariupol Personal choice: Four Daughters Should have not been nominated: N/A Should have been nominated: Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie Not much to be discussed here. Ukraine has been a hot topic in Hollywood for the past few years. The movie is good and Academy wants to send a message that Ukraine has not been forgotten (despite their continuous rejection of Zelensky's pleas to appear and public shift of focus on Israeli genocide.) BEST ANIMATED FEATURE Will win: Spider-man: Across the Spiderverse Personal choice: The Boy and the Heron Should have not been nominated: N/A Should have been nominated: N/A The insiders tell us that it is Spiderverse who will win at the end. Simply, many don't even watch Japanese animation, plus Miyazaki doesn't care about award circuit, not participating in campaigning. The result is clear... BEST FILM EDITING Will win: Oppenheimer Personal choice: Oppenheimer Should have not been nominated: N/A Should have been nominated: N/A BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY Will win: Oppenheimer Personal choice: Oppenheimer Should have not been nominated: N/A Should have been nominated: N/A No races in Film Editing and Cinematography. These two Oscars have OPPENHEIMER already engraved. Really can't argue with this. BEST VISUAL EFFECTS Will win: Godzilla Minus One Personal choice: The Creator Should have not been nominated: N/A Should have been nominated: N/A I was so happy to have seen THE CREATOR nominated for Oscar. Nothing to be said here, Godzilla Minus One probably winning. BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN Will win: Poor Things/Barbie Personal choice: Barbie Should have not been nominated: N/A Should have been nominated: Saltburn I am torn about this one. Personally I would have voted for Barbie, because that whole movie is Production Design on full display. I see the argument for POOR THINGS winning. It will really depend how much Academy really loved one of these movies. BEST COSTUME DESIGN Will win: Poor Things Personal choice: Poor Things Should have not been nominated: N/A Should have been nominated: Saltburn I loved POOR THINGS costumes more than I loved BARBIE. I think Academy is more inclined to awarding POOR THINGS given that their costumes are in line what Academy usually awards. BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING Will win: Poor Things/Maestro Personal choice: Poor Things Should have not been nominated: N/A Should have been nominated: Saltburn Now, this is a conundrum as both have some amazing makeup. Makeup usually goes with some acting category (like last year, THE WHALE winning Best Actor and Best Makeup). So, if Poor Things is winning 3 craft Oscars, it is not losing for Emma. And I am more sure it'll lose for Emma, plus there is BARBIE factor. So, basically POOR THINGS go for me anywhere between zero and 4-5 Oscars. BEST ORIGINAL SONG Will win: "What Was I Made For?" Personal choice: "What Was I Made For?" Should have not been nominated: N/A Should have been nominated: "Can't Catch Me Now" This is one Oscar Barbie doesn't have to worry about. Both its songs are leading the pack. I am more inclined to Billie Eilish, but there is something in "I'm Just Ken" that I can see will draw a lot of voters. BEST ORIGINAL SCORE Will win: Oppenheimer Personal choice: Oppenheimer Should have not been nominated: N/A Should have been nominated: The Boy and the Heron Ludwig Göransson has this in the bag and I find it rather undeniable. žGöransson is already an Oscar winner (BLACK PANTHER) and I find his work absolutely amazing. Happy for this one! BEST SOUND Will win: The Zone of Interest/Oppenheimer Personal choice: The Zone of Interest Should have not been nominated: N/A Should have been nominated: N/A This one is a tossup for me. I know Academy will give The Zone of Interest Best International Feature, but the Sound is another thing. Score and Sound don't usually go together but they can if the movie is sweeping. It really all depends how popular is THE ZONE with Academy. Hoping for THE ZONE, wouldn't be surprised with OPPY.

I have no idea how many Oscar nominations Scorsese's movies have garnered and lost, but the number seems to go in triple-digits. Will do statistics one day. For KOTFM, it is Lily or nothing. And I really hope Lily wins.

PRECURSOR WINS Academy Awards follow several months of various movie awards from critics and journalists to guilds and foreign academies. Naturally, there are more of these, but here are the most important ones. Now, here is the winning tally for most of the categories (shorts excluded). Only the nominees are tabulated

*** Appropriately, this post was brought to you by AI *** Hello, fellow movie buffs! Welcome to the Oscars 2024 thread. As we approach the climax of the film awards season, which kicked off officially with the fall festivals including Venice, Telluride, New York, and Toronto, we find ourselves on the brink of the grand finale—the Academy Awards scheduled for March 10th. Reflecting on the journey thus far, it's fair to say that this year's Oscar race has been rather smooth sailing, lacking the usual twists and turns that keep us on the edge of our seats. Predictable winners have emerged in most major categories, with perhaps the exception of Best Actress, which remains a thrilling uncertainty until the final envelope is opened on Sunday night. The summer box office frenzy was dominated by what some have dubbed the "Barbenheimer phenomenon," a trend that spilled over into the award season. As many industry pundits foresaw, BARBIE enjoyed a stellar run, albeit with fewer accolades than expected given its plethora of nominations. The notable absence of Margot Robbie in the Best Actress category and Greta Gerwig in Best Director stirred considerable public controversy—perhaps more than warranted—and likely left a sour taste in the mouths of Oscar voters. Nevertheless, Christopher Nolan's OPPENHEIMER continues to command adoration, poised to potentially clinch seven, if not nine or ten, Oscars. Looking back at the season, there's not much to critique. The Academy deserves commendation for curating a Best Picture lineup that is diverse, captivating, and truly reflective of the cinematic landscape. While personal tastes may vary, the selection represents a compelling array of the finest films of the year, particularly noteworthy for its inclusion of three female-directed films, two international projects, and two of the top five highest-grossing films worldwide. However, criticism persists over the Academy's ongoing oversight of animated films in the Best Picture category, with many lamenting the absence of contenders like Miyazaki's THE BOY AND THE HERON or SPIDER-MAN: ACROSS THE SPIDERVERSE. Here are the nominations for 96th Academy Award in 23 categories:

My ranking of Friends: Chandler Phoebe Joey Monica Rachel Ross Rachel and Ross are the worst of the worst. More as a couple. I have never seen such toxic couple. And I watch Turkish TV series. All of them have some flaws, all of them have said things that are problematic in modern society, after all they are the product of 1990s. I think I never overcame the emotional abuse Monica endured from her parents and the moments when you realize how bad they were to her, are probably the most emotional for me. The pinnacle of the series was Chandler v Phoebe and the famous "They don't know we know they know." That one was hilarious. As for HIMYM... I've never wanted to revisit it. I watched it to the end, there are some great moments but honestly, never wanted to watch it again.

That's All, Folks! This TV awards season has come to an end. Emmys are expected in September and they'll cover 2023/24 season. WGA winners, due to Writers' Strike in 2023 are postponed for April, 2024. Those winners will be posted here when announced. As every year, it has been a pleasure hosting this thread and talking about our favorite TV. I hope your favorites did well this season (that said, if you didn't like Succession, Bear or Beef, tough luck!) and remember, ther's always next season. Unless Netflix cancels it1 Love you all and see you next season

That's All, Folks! After three long months, award season is almost over, with the Oscars scheduled for Sunday. That means this thread is coming to an end, with a separate one being opened for the Oscars (coming today or tomorrow). The WGA Winners, set to be announced on April 14th, will be posted here (the award was postponed due to the Writers' Strike in 2023). Also, I will post the winners of the Asian Film Awards, which are scheduled for this Sunday too. The 2024/25 thread will be opened around the end of November 2024 and as I promised to @Annara Snow, we'll start with Festival winners (Sundance, Berlin, Cannes, Venice, Toronto) and then move to critics' awards. As every year, it has been a pleasure hosting this thread and discussing movies with all of you. It has also been nice to see the growing audience of this thread, going from almost 30k views last year to over 100k this year. Let's hope the film industry serves us some good, popular movies next year that will be interesting to follow throughout the next season. Oscar week is upon us, and I'll move the discussion with predictions and analyses to that thread!

The 2023 American Cinema Editors (ACE) Eddie Award Winners The 2023 Guild Of Music Supervisors Award (GMS) Winners The 2023 American Society Of Cinematographers (ASC) Winners

The 2023 American Cinema Editors (ACE) Eddie Award Winners The 2023 Guild Of Music Supervisors Award (GMS) Winners The 2023 American Society Of Cinematographers (ASC) Winners

The 2023 Satellite Award (IPA) Winners

The 2023 Satellite Award (IPA) Winners

The 2023 Cinema Audio Society (CAS) Winners The 2023 USC Scripter Award Winners

The 2023 Cinema Audio Society (CAS) Winners The 2023 USC Scripter Award Winners

The most confusing to people is preferential rating. Unlike nominations, winners are chosen by entire Academy. What is essential in preferential voting is to be liked enough. For example, OPPENHEIMER is perhaps not the most liked movie in terms that many doubt that 40-50% would vote for it as their #1. But for most members of Academy, OPPENHEIMER is probably in top 5, if not Top 3. And that is what gives OPPENHEIMER the edge over all others. I expect it is in Top 3 or Top 5 in 80-90% ballots, if not more. So, for OPPENHEIMER... Not sure if it can win in the first round, but by the second, I think it would get its 50%+1. Pity we don't get post-Oscar statistics. It would be amazing to see how voters voted.

So, the first and the second slates of presenters have been announced. We also have the information that 5 previous winners in each of acting categories will present the nominees. All four last year winners will be present, therefore each will get to present one of the nominees and eventually hand the Oscar. Some notes on already-announced presenters, with regard to possibility of them presenting the acting nominees:

First things first, this thread has officially garnered more than 100k views. I think it really speaks about popularity of movies being in contention for film awards this year. In comparison, the thread last year has less than 30k views. What to say, thank you all for your attention *** And you are not wrong. Years ago, when I started these threads, the idea was to talk about the major film awards - SAG, Globes, BAFTA and ultimately Oscars and the movies in contention for those awards. Later, it got expanded to critics associations and some international awards. Yes, it is my mistake that I didn't start with festival awards - Sundance, Berlin, Cannes, Venice and Toronto when I begin these threads (probably some others too like Locarno, Telluride etc.) and that was a note I will have in mind when I open the thread for 2024/25 season. I will also include important movie awards like Cesar, Goya, EFA and Asian Film Awards. I think that will give us the well-rounded coverage of film awards across the globe. But, given their prominence, Oscars will remain the ending point for a season. Which is why I left out Sundance and Berlinare winners earlier this month.

Yes, but all of those three, in the past 10 years, only Venice proved to be impactful in terms of setting momentum for award season that culminates with Oscars. There's a reason why I didn't post Berlinare winners, because they will be of importance next season (2024/2025), not this one. That's why I said I should open next year with all festival winners. Oscar season doesn't have an official start. These threads start at the beginning of December, with the announcement of NYFCC winners. Many pundits believe Venice Film Festival is the one that opens the Oscar season, as most Oscar contenders like to have premieres there (POOR THINGS, MAESTRO, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN, TAR and many more in recent years). It's simply the matter of calendar, nothing else. When I open the thread for next season, I will open with them, I promise. *** @SpaceChampion, last year, Netflix and SAG-AFTRA made a deal about live streaming of the ceremony. As someone who watched the ceremony, I have never seen 2 hours last so long. It was dreadful. Good set of winners, semi-interesting speeches, but the presenters and backstage interviews... Meh!

I didn't mean to say that I meant that Berlin, Sundance and Cannes lately have little to no influence on what movies and performances will be the focus of award season that culminates with Oscars. Yes, award season, such as it is, is focused on American and British movies. Lately, Oscars are more and more international but they remain primarily American award. That doesn't mean other awards don't count, just that they don't play a role in the season of film and TV awards in States. I mean, Turkish TV scene has Golden Butterflies in December... But we all know those winners won't influence Emmys.

BREAKING NEWS:

Every year, when I open the thread I forget to start with Berlin, Sundance, Cannes, Venice and Toronto winners. Except for the last two, they rarely play into award season. This year may be different so I will take a mental note to start next year's thread with festival winners.

Ah, TV categories... Yeah, they started giving TV awards in 2020/21, IIRC.

The 2023 Producers Guild Of America (PGA) Winners

The 2023 Producers Guild Of America (PGA) Winners

Actually, I remember they were televized for at least 10 years prior. I remember watching Cate winning for BLUE JASMINE. Yeah, I agree. But, the actors... Duh... Acting branch of AMPAS is year after year the most problematic one when it comes to nominees.