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davos

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About davos

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  • Birthday 10/29/1975

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  1. davos

    U.S. Politics: A Song Of Mimes And Musicians

    *mod hat* time for a new thread. */mod hat*
  2. davos

    U.S. Politics: A Song Of Mimes And Musicians

    And immediately following John McCain's funerals, which were a big middle finger to the Oompa-Loompa president.
  3. davos

    U.S. Politics: A Song Of Mimes And Musicians

    While the author (authors?) back off from wanting to do just that, I suspect that the first public move to set up a an attempt to remove Trump via the 25th amendment. The whole thing is engineered to piss Trump off to the point of a real, public meltdown. The anonymity. Publishing it through the NY Times. The revealing of stuff Trump would think should have been left behind closed doors. The use of big words. While it could simply be a chance for a frustrated individual to vent in public, everything about it screams of a more calculated attempt to goad an already enraged and unstable individual into rash action. If he takes the bait and does something even more stupid and vile publicly than has been the daily norm for this administration, then the group behind this would have a stronger case from a public relations standpoint for invoking the 25th amendment. While the amendment allows for the temporary removal of a sitting president by the majority vote of the cabinet, if the claim of being unfit is contested by the president it would require a 2/3 vote in congress to make it permanent. So a group scheming to take this route would have to sell doing so to congress and the country. Otherwise they could temporarily replace Trump with Pence only for trump to return in a few weeks even more deranged and full of rage and paranoia than he is now. Yes, even if that is their plan, this person or persons are cowards for failing to take action early given the severity of their claims. But if this is an opening move, there is some sense to it. Rather this is what is indeed happening and if it is rather it is a viable approach are not clear but I am convinced the op-ed is part of something more significant.
  4. davos

    U.S. Politics- This Is Us, Basically Fascists

    It is a limitation. If an ID is required to vote, it limits voting to not just citizens, but citizens with an ID. If an ID was issued to all citizens free of charge, then you might in fact be correct. As it is, requiring an ID limits voting to citizens with the financial means to pay the fees for an ID and the ability to take the steps to acquire one. The primary ID used in the US is a driver's license, which implies an ability to drive and access to a motor vehicle. State issued photo ID's are also available but in every state of which I am aware, they are issued by the same entity that issues driver's licenses. Offices that provide this service are relatively remote from some areas, usually are only open during business hours, and often require long waits in line. Current student ID's can also be used, though there are restrictions in some states, but this requires enrollment in some form of post-secondary education. So to require an id to vote effectively limits this right to citizens who drive, who are students, or who have the ability to acquire an id. This is a serious impediment to the elderly, the disabled, and the poor (especially poor minorities as offices that provide ID services are often far from regions of low income housing). In reality an ID requirement is actually a significant limitation on the right to vote, at least as things currently stand in the US. ETA: The post about the ready availablity of an alternative ID in SC was made after I started writing the above post. While I acknowledge this maybe the case in that state, it is far from true for many other states as an another poster already pointed out. In WI, where I live, there is a fee and the times and locations to acquire one are limited (in some areas quite severally so.
  5. davos

    U.S. Politics: The Marionette Presidency Edition

    Grand Moff Tarkin: [walking in with Darth Vader] The Imperial Senate will no longer be of any concern to us. I have just received word that the Emperor has dissolved the Council permanently. The last remnants of the Old Republic have been swept away.General Tagge: That's impossible! How will the Emperor maintain control without the bureaucracy?Grand Moff Tarkin: The regional governors now have direct control over their territories. Fear will keep the local systems in line. Fear of this battle station. While this is fiction, its not unrealistic. The emperor had won 20 years before this but it took that time for him to be in a position to actually remove the most important of Republic institutions. This process has been seen frequently with totalitarian and authoritarian governments replacing a freer, more representative one. We can see that process in the present day in Turkey, we have seen it in recent years in Russia with Putin and in Venezuela. a bit farther back, Stalin, while not working against established institutions since the Bolsheviks had mostly swept them away rather than co-opting them, had to work incrementally over a decade before he crushed the last meaningful vestiges of opposition. Even Hitler, who able to implement radical changes upon becoming chancellor, had to solidify his power in steps. In our current situation, while the institutions of the US government are far from as robust as they once were (say back in Nixon's day), they still are a formidable block to the US going too far down the authoritarian path. While they have not yet provided more than a drag on Trump's program, there is a real potential for the congress to partially or completely fall into opposition party hands. In that case Trump would likely face not just some discomfort, but an aggressive counter-attack. As such either altering institutions such as congress and large segments of the executive branch so that they are either patsies or no longer able to offer meaningful opposition, or eliminating them entirely would be needed for Trump or a future dictator wannabe to secure long-term authoritarian rule. Not saying they intend this, but a coup is not out of the question. Say there is a national crisis, either real or manufactured. The administration tries to impose nationwide martial law. A significant portion of congress objects. The president suspends congress and will only open it back up to members who are willing to make an oath of personal loyalty to him. All in the name of protecting the country.
  6. davos

    U.S. Politics: The Marionette Presidency Edition

    While this maybe true, I would like to point out that the democrats, as a party, have remained open to discussion and compromise. The behavior that has broken our government largely rests with one and only one party, the GOP. They are the party that has systematically and from the top down embraced a strategy of no compromise, they are the party that viciously and in many cases dishonestly demonized their opposition. They are the party that has, over the last 40 years, pushed itself towards ideological purity and away a rationale, realistic approach to governing. While there are many faults to pile on the democrats, they are not the one that has created this mess and they are not the party that continues to drive us headlong towards crisis. This is not a case of there being plenty of blame to go around. Rather, it is a situation it is a case of one party acting very badly. If anything the democrats can be faulted for continuing to behave as if we remain in a normal, functional environment. Yes, I know there are many on the left who demand no compromise and in doing so start to mirror the insanity on the right. This approach has not yet been embraced by the democratic party.
  7. davos

    U.S. Politics- SCOTUS 2: The Election Strikes Back

    I would not object to the decline of US power, especially given vast amount of harm American foreign adventurism and meddling has caused since the end of WWII. The way this is occurring, though, is even worse than the maintenance of the status quo. The erosion of long-standing alliances and artificial creation of economic tensions threaten a structure that has provided the basis for stability and cooperation in several parts of the world. All the while US military spending is being increased even as our international military commitments seem to be waning. And all this gives greater scope to such bad actors such as Russia (which of course the whole point of this farce). There is the possibility that the long-term impact may yet be positive. A less dominate US may, under future administrations, might have to come to terms with being one of a community rather than the 800 lb gorilla sitting at the table. Most likely, though, increased international tension, especially with leaders like Putin more free to act, will lead to crisis with the potential for catastrophic turns (read another world war).
  8. While I'm a Wisconsin resident and would have really appreciated more resources expended in this state, both to see Trump not win and to remove Ron Johnson (one of the truly worst human beings to sit in the senate, a institution filled with horrible human beings) and replace him with Russ Feingold (who is not what he was a decade ago but is still one of the best public servants this country has had at elected high federal office in my lifetime), I don't think I can completely agree with this sentiment. Up to the Comey memo bringing Clinton's email issue back into public focus, which hit within 2 weeks of the election, both her campaign and democrats in general were polling strongly and seemed to have momentum. There was a lot of reason to believe that not only was a win likely but a decisive one that would give the dems a strong position to govern from for at least 2 years was quite possible. There were some counter indications, including the lack of enthusiasm for Clinton, even among what should have been her base. No amount of campaigning would erase have either who Clinton is as a person or her family history that both gave her the leverage to get the nomination and left a lot of people less than sure about her. The situation indicated that the dems should be aggressive, put go after areas that would normally be solidly but not overwhelmingly GOP, and generally try to expand what looked like a W. Then the Comey memo hit, and her polls tanked with little time to do damage control. This exacerbated the lack of positive feelings HRC has always suffered from. This kept people who would have voted for her at home. Combined with voter repression efforts, this gave Trump a narrow margin of victory in WI, MI, and PA. If not for unforeseen event of Comey's memo, Hillary would have likely been president with a narrow EC win but a strong popular vote margin. You can't plan for the unforeseen. A campaign can be flexible, have discussed plans to deal with various hypothetical, but they can't prepare for everything. when a game changer hits in that window where it is close enough to the vote that its hard to have time to effectively counter but that there is still enough time for the public to absorb it (something that happens the day before the election may not have time to shift the electorate or to convince borderline voters to stay home) there the campaign has little option but to ride it out and hope. I think in this regard Clinton's campaign did not go in the wrong direction. Where I do hold them accountable is that they seemed to fail to recognize, much less try to counter, how effectively Trump, his surrogates, and the Russians, where using social media both to dampen HRC's support and build enthusiasm for the GOP candidate. Obama made extremely effective use of the internet and expanding social media sector in both his wins. Trump, much more awkwardly, did as well. While more traditionally campaigning can not be ignored, the failure to effectively use social media really hurt Clinton.
  9. davos

    U.S. Politics-Hope Floats 2: We All Float Down Here

    time for a new thread.
  10. davos

    All things Star Wars

    *mod hat* Ok, folks, please cool it down a bit. There are strong feelings on this franchise, so things getting a bit heated is understandable. Just remember to be respectful of other boarders. Thank you */mod hat*
  11. Finally and for the last time, at 23. When I was 18 I went to University quite some distance from home (that's a long story in and of itself that I won't get into here). For the next two years I come home over the summers and on longer holiday breaks. After 2 years I decided school wasn't working for me so I took some time off, lived at my parent's home, and worked. I then went back to school, though much closer this time. I still didn't come home that often even though I was living in a dorm. At 23 I got married and my new wife and I moved into an apartment together. That's when I took all my stuff out of my parent's place, except some items that I put into storage there. I had to revisit some of the same emotions after my dad passed a few years ago and we were moving my mom to a nursing home (advanced parkinson's, can't take care of herself). The house was sold (my dad had already made those arrangements before passing) and we had to clear their stuff out. I found that there were a surprising amount of stuff of mine from my childhood still around. It was surreal to see that house, which they had occupied for 46 years, empty.
  12. davos

    NBA Finals 2018: Do Or Die For The Cleveland LeBrons

    I'm a Bucks fan. At least nominally. They have been so bad for so long that I have not the energy to give them much attention. The few flirtations they've had with being decent have only added to the pain by proving to be ephemeral. Watching Giannis (sp?) has been a treat but I'm all but certain that no matter his intentions now, that in a year or two he will realize he is playing in a basketball black hole and find a way to get free and get himself to a team that can actually give him a supporting cast or even a legit 2nd star. Its a horribly mismanaged team that will fail to capitalize in the stroke of luck its had. As for this off-season, I suspect LJ will leave Cleveland but Durant will stay in place to try to win another championship or two.
  13. davos

    U.S. Politics: He's an Idiot, Plain and Simple

    Despite some a good instinct for manipulating the public, Hitler was an idiot, at least in the common sense of the term (rather than the specific sense that Ormond talks about above). In 12 years he lead Germany into utter ruin, with the whole of the nation occupied by foreign powers, many of its major cities bombed out or otherwise in rubble from fighting, somewhere over 3 million of its armed forces members dead from the war along with at least a million more civilians, and the country bearing responsibility for one of the worst atrocities in history. Nazi Germany lacked anything resembling a coherent system of government or a sustainably viable economic system. Its successes, and those are dubious at best, came from hiding over economic flaws by constant expansion first of the military and then by conquest, taking advantage of a public that was willing to accept authoritarianism after years of deep political turmoil, and a military that was primed to embrace new doctrines that best took advantage of emerging technologies that granted a temporary advantage on the battlefield. He was just profoundly lucky, to the great misfortune of his country and the world.
  14. davos

    U.S. Politics; Who Watches the Watchers?

    There isn't even a country anymore. Not really. We are at least two countries, probably several more maintaining the increasingly thin and untenable delusion that we are a single nation. While it could remain a single unit for sometime, the potential is there a split. And it could happen very quickly once a threshold is crossed as the ground work has, largely without intent or comprehension, been being laid for some time.
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