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Loge

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  1. The hype about KIC 8462852 "Tabby's Star" has ebbed a bit. It can be observed from the ground and has been, but no spectacular dimmings have been observed since the end of the Kepler mission. There has been a number of small ones, but those can be explained by dust.
  2. The question is, why is Scholz dragging his feet over Ukraine? Is that him or the party? He certainly isn't being held back by his coalition partners.
  3. I guess it depends on what you call a threat. If the railway to Belgorod comes within artillery range I'd call that a threat. That can be read as Russia no longer deeming the Belgorod line safe or expecting it to become unsafe soon. ETA: This twitter post shows the supply lines: There is also this video of a railway bridge being blown up, so apparently there is some sabotage going on behind the Russian lines.
  4. I don't think that's correct. Ukrainian advances in the Kharkiv region threaten the supply line from Belgorod. There was talk of Russia moving troops from the Donbas to the Kharkiv area because of that, which has further weakened their attempt at an offensive.
  5. Well, the SPD are still doing better in the polls than they used to before Scholz. And one shouldn't forget that he doesn't lead the party, so technically he can't be held responsible for what happens at state level. But yeah, his first six months in office haven't been particularly great. Cabinet ministers from the SPD don't particularly shine either.
  6. Well, the US has been supplying Ukraine with M777 towed howitzers, which is a potential game changer.
  7. Looks like the troops can't be forced to go to Ukraine as long as war hasn't been declared. Most of them probably don't know that but if word spreads the army has a problem. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/may/12/they-were-furious-the-russian-soldiers-refusing-to-fight-in-ukraine
  8. Forget about Die Linke. The real problem in Germany are the Social Democrats. They're ones blocking aid for Ukraine. I wonder about Putins plan to annex these territories. Once he has done that he can't return them without admitting defeat. The population in the "peoples republics" seems to have cooled on the idea of joining Russia for good, after having lived under Russian rule for eight years.
  9. I really missed those in the Red Square parade.
  10. On that Moscow parade: Not only did Putin not make a big announcement, there were also to conspicuous absences. No Air Force, and no Gerasimov. Shoigu was there, though. As for the German Greens, the party leadership hasn't been pacifist since the days of Fischer. I hadn't known that their base still ist, though.
  11. Some interesting speculation about the situation on Snake Island. Satellite photos show buildings reduced to rubble and somebody painted a Z in the ground. The conclusion is that some of the Russians deployed there are still alive but have lost radio communication. Footage of the helicopter that was blown up there shows the troops taking up defensive positions after disembarking. The implication is they were expecting a Ukrainian presence or were at least uncertain who holds the island.
  12. From what distance? The Russian air force doesn't get anywhere near targets in Western Ukraine, the attacks are all carried out from hundreds of km away.
  13. Russia can't afford a war with NATO. It would be hopelessly outgunned. This isn't the Cold War anymore, when the Warsaw Pact had superior numbers. Russia has only one third of the WP's former population and it's aging. Those TV pundits calling for an escalation don't seem to understand that.
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