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Posts posted by Loge

  1. 18 minutes ago, Wolfgang I said:

    Without fertilizers which require large plants for their production feeding the worlds population would be impossible. 

    That has nothing to do with making food out of thin air.

    Unless that is what you call the Haber–Bosch process and you need natural gas for that too. 

    That does not even consider things like soil degradation.

    I take it you have heard about photosynthesis. Looks like author of the article that was posted upthread hasn't.

     As for the Haber-Bosch process, you don't need natural gas for that. That's just the cheapest way to produce the hydrogen. And it could be disputed that we really need it in the quantities we use right now as a large chunk of it is for meat production.

  2. 4 hours ago, Liffguard said:

    True, although I'm pretty sure that the carbon emitted by a fossil-fuel power plant generating enough electricity to power an EV is less than the amount of carbon emitted by an ICE travelling over the same distance.

    According to the numbers I found, a Tesla Model X is roughly on par with a diesel-powered BMW 3-Series (320d). That's based on the German power grid, which has about 1/3rd renewables and 12 % nuclear. 

  3. 11 hours ago, Erik of Hazelfield said:

    Congratulations! You'll probably find, like most Tesla owners do, that range is pretty much a non-issue if you can charge at home. Since the car is always well charged, the only time you really need the range is for longer trips, and even then it's perfectly fine with the fast charging networks that are out there nowadays. Many EV owners take their cars on trips through Europe, an eco-friendly and cheap way of traveling. 

    Well, it's only as eco-friendly as the power grid you are charging from. 

  4. 19 hours ago, A Horse Named Stranger said:

    Just google "Klosterhalfen" for pictures.

    Let's just say it didn't look particularly healthy.

    She is skinny but I don't see what's supposed to be unhealthy about that. Not much body fat but there's definitely muscle. You don't get that from starving.Neither could she be competitive without it. If she were a model for swimsuits or underwear you'd probably want her to gain a few kg but she is a long distance runner.

  5. 7 hours ago, Alarich II said:

    But here it is more than just symbolism, more than the fact that so many constituencies are now represented by AfD candidates. In Saxony, we had a decisision that limites the list of the AfD to 30 candidates, i.e. those who were elected on that list during the first round. Because they changed the voting system in the second round, the second half of the list was struck from the ballot. However, this applied only to the list. Whoever was on the second list and got elected via direct vote, would still get the seat and his seat would not be counted against the list. Which means: without any direct candidates, the AfD list would have been reduced to 30 (PR would have given them 39) and because the CDU got more direct mandates than their proportional share, their overhang mandates would have given every other party adjustment seats (except the AfD).

    Keeping the AfD out of parliament or reducing their presence there won't make the reasons why people vote for them go away. Like it or not, they do represent a substantial part of the electorate. Shutting them out would be undemocratic. You need to convince people not to vote for them.

  6. 2 hours ago, Stannis Eats No Peaches said:

    So do I understand rightly that Johnson could have put forward some legislation so that he would only need a simple majority for an election, but due to the prorogation he now doesn’t have time for that?


    If so, I imagine he feels pretty silly right now...

    Such legislation would have to pass in both houses. And Johnson doesn't have a majority in the House of Commons to begin with.

  7. 45 minutes ago, Alarich II said:

    Yes, it seems rather pointless - especially for small parties - to appoint direct candidates for every seat instead of concentrating on second votes.

    I think your dismissive attitude towards first vote is naive and dangerous. At least wrt the situation in Saxony, where I live.

    First of all - even if your claim was true, that most people don't care who their MP is, they do care which party he represents. The quirks as you call it are a built in feature of a mixed system of FPTP seats and a PR parliament: the system is purposly designed to make vote-splitting (i.e. tactical voting) possible and if you decline taking advantage of that, it will probably lead to adverse effects, such as the greater evil gaining the seat.

    Now why are the direct, FPTP-seats - and therefore the first vote - so important, if party-strength is determined by second vote? For this, you have to understand that usually  the direct seat in parliament has a distinctive advantage over the so-called list-seats. The MP usually maintains a representation, a sort of citizens centre, in the constituency. These are used to inform the constituency about the work of their MP, provide a direct contact for citizens, an office and a clerk or two to run the activities of the MP in the constituency. In other word: it provides the anchor-point for grass-roots political work. And this is what's happening: the AfD is using their constituencies to establish and maintain a steady network and political groundwork. They employ sometimes very unsavoury people and use the seats as a rallying point for some really disgusting persons and ideas.

    So yes: it does matter who wins the constituency, even if it's only the lesser of two evils. Now there are a few, urban seats that are contested by Greens and/or Linke (which is why I said, first vote for Greens is an urban luxury, same goes for Linke), in the rest of the country, the vast majority of seats are contested between AfD and CDU. Just to give you an example: the constituency Bautzen II, was won by the AfD by mere 31(!!!) votes while 23% of all first votes went to candidates who never had a chance to win the constituency! My constituency was won by the AfD-candidate by a margin of about 6,9%-points. The third in this race (Die Linke) managed to get not even half the votes of the CDU-candidate, but still got 12,8% of the first vote.

    This is what I mean by total tactical unawareness! In the name of not sullying your hand by voting for a CDU-candidate you've basically handed the constituency over to the AfD (I'm even madder at the FDP and FW first vote, such a pointless waste!).

    Ain't no such thing as first class and second class seats. A seat is a seat, no matter how it was won. And of course the guy who gets into parliament via a list represents  their constituency just as much as the guy who won the direct mandate. Nothing stops them from having an office there. Actually, my daily commute used include a walk past the bürgerbüro of a member of the Brandenburg landtag. She was of the FDP (still is, but hasn't been a MP since the 2014 elections) , so there is no way she could actually have won the constituency. 


  8. Most people probably don't care who their MP is, especially in regional elections. I couldn't tell you who is mine. The strength of the parties in parliament is determined by the second vote, so who cares about the first. Yes, there are all those quirks that lead to extra seats, but how many understand those? Besides, it isn't really a two party race anymore for the direct mandates. In some cases the winner had less than 25 percent of the votes. And the Greens actually won some mandates. 

    Biggest change from 2014 is probably how the Linke got thrashed. Looks like the days when they could claim to be the party of the East are over. Big losses also for the CDU. That's remarkable as far as Brandenburg is concerned as they were in the opposition. Looks like being in government at the federal level hurt them. 

    Some interesting local results, too. Klara Geywitz, who is  running for the party chair along Olaf Scholz, lost her seat to a Green candidate. And no list mandates for the SPD in Brandenburg. Prime minister Woidke won his constituency, but the AfD got more second votes than the SPD. 

  9. On 8/27/2019 at 9:14 AM, red snow said:

    For the sake of discussion and being argumentative surely WOT is the equivalent of GOT in terms of how "well known" they were before GOT was adapted to TV? It has the benefit of being completed too.

    WoT is about as complete as ASOIAF is. James Rigney died with the series half finished. Brandon Sanderson was then hired to finish the series, and he did, sort of. Problem is that his WoT ending is about as convincing as the last four seasons of GoT. 

  10. 2 hours ago, Werthead said:

    Caught the final race of W Series. Some pretty good racing there and a good British victory for first championship winner Jamie Chadwick, with Alice Powell also doing well (winning the race to snatch #3 in the championship).

    The race did confirm that Brands Hatch is in no fit state to host an F1 race though. Coulthard drove a 2011 Red Bull F1 around the circuit as a demo and it would have been challenging with the narrow body cars. With today's ones, no chance, and the pits are barely fit for handling the F3 cars of W series.

    Well, the main event of the weekend was the DTM races. DTM cars are a bit heavier and less powerful than Formula 1 cars, so outdated former Formula 1 tracks like Brands Hatch and Zandvoort are just right. Coulthart used to compete there after his F1 career, BTW. So did Jean Alesi, Mika Häkkinen and Ralf Schumacher. Currently, there are two former F1 drivers, namely Timo Glock and Paul di Resta. Interestingly, no former F1 driver has ever won the series. di Resta won it before going F1, but hasn't after his return. Gary Paffett won in 2018, but he only was a test driver in F1.


    ETA: Heinz-Harald Frentzen also competed in DTM after his F1 career. Pascal Wehrlein was a DTM driver before and after his F1 career. Like Paffett, he is a victim of Mercedes's decision to withdraw from the series in favour of Formula E. So was di Resta, but he got a drive at the newly-formed Aston Martin team.

  11. On 8/8/2019 at 2:41 AM, The Lord of the Crossing said:


    Robert failed at ruling and leading because he was unfit for the role.  Oh he wanted to be king but he didn't want to do that job of ruling.  Robb failed at trying to become king because he lacked the selfcontrol needed to succeed in war.  Crazy wolf won a lot of battles but couldn't keep his allies together.  It's because he can't keep himself together and screwed over his most valuable contributor.  Joffrey failed because he was just an immature child whom his future in-laws needed to push out of the way.  Egg failed because he allowed personal feelings to get in the way of politics.  Jon Snow failed at leadership because he was ill-suited for it.  His job is to maintain the rules but he himself couldn't follow those rules.  He damaged the NW in order to get his sister away from her husband.  He had no right to do that and had no right to involve the wall.  

    Robb was trapped with a love potion.

  12. 3 hours ago, divica said:

    Isn t this from a very old interview? I could swear he said something similar a long time ago

    It's dated from 2015. 


    1 hour ago, Megorova said:

    Maybe, he meant Jeyne Westerling. According to some rumors, she is supposed to appear in Prologue of TWOW, and in all previous books, whoever was POV in Prologue, always died there.

    Only the POV character dies. And I don't think GRRM has ever made a character that has appeared before a POV character in a prologue chapter. As far as I can remember they were all characters we had never met.

  13. We don't know anything for sure. Shiera Seastar is a good candidate. She would have to use some kind of magic to prolong her life span but that is definitely possible. As for her agenda, it's not likely that she has any interest in Dany's quest to win the Iron Throne, but she probably knows about the Others and the whole prince that was promised / Azor Ahai business.

  14. 4 hours ago, The Anti-Targ said:

    There's also the recent finding that the chemtrails...err I mean vapour trails jet planes make have a warming effect of their own quite apart from the GHG emissions. I wonder if there could be potential for fast sea-going transport as an alternative to air transport, particularly for tourists. High speed trains could replace overland flights and high-speed boats / submarines could replace trans-oceanic flights. If you could have sea vessels that can cross the Atlantic in 24hrs and maybe go from Australia to the US Pacific coast in 48hrs that could be a reasonable replacement for flying. 

    Problem is that aerodynamic / hydrodynamic drag scales with the square of the speed. That makes high speeds prohibitively expensive at sea level and for ships. Airplanes avoid this problem by cruising at high altitude. Modern airplanes are remarkably power efficient. But they're still burning fossil fuel... Not sure if electric planes are feasible. The weight of the batteries and (lack of) range will not be easy to overcome.