Ice Queen Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 1 minute ago, dmc515 said: Yeah Saccone is almost exactly at his 538 benchmarks in Westmoreland and Washington. If Lamb keeps his margin in Allegheny he should win, but Wasserman says most of the outstanding precincts are in Moon Township. They still have the absentee ballots to count. Leave it to Moon to mess things up, but they are Allegheny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maithanet Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Yeah, my spreadsheet calc obviously has no idea what the breakdowns are within the counties. Right now My estimate is Saccone +0.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jace, Extat Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 If I bounce in my seat anymore I think my downstairs neighbor is going to murder me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMC Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 4 minutes ago, Crazy Cat Lady in Training said: They still have the absentee ballots to count. They're showing them being counted on CNN right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Queen Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 1 minute ago, dmc515 said: They're showing them being counted on CNN right now! They won't be added as they're counted. They wait until they're ALL counted before adding to the total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMC Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Yeah apparently that'll be done by midnight. Glad I don't have deadlines like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maithanet Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 This race is too close for my crude spreadsheet to handle. It's gonna be very tight. Less than 0.5% for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yukle Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 How insane is this? NYT estimates based on results are +794 votes to Saccone (excluding Westmoreland) while Lamb has a +918 vote lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maithanet Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 It all comes down to the remaining precincts in Washington county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jace, Extat Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Only 500 vote lead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jace, Extat Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Just now, Maithanet said: It all comes down to the remaining precincts in Washington county. Don't forget Allegheneey! There's more people in the 2 percent! ALLEGHENEY!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMC Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 I'm telling ya man, that mini-blizzard this afternoon as people got out of work did NOT help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maithanet Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, Pony Queen Jace said: Don't forget Allegheneey! There's more people in the 2 percent! ALLEGHENEY!!!!!!!! only one percent now. And from what dmc said, it's a relatively republican area. I have no idea what the lean is of the remaining 7% of washington county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jace, Extat Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 I love how it's such a tossup that none of the pundits have anything to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jace, Extat Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Lamb up to 700 vote lead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maithanet Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 Although by my back of the envelope math, if 98% of the vote is in, with ~215k votes, the remaining 2% of precincts should represent ~4300 votes. So Saccone would need to win that by ~8-9% to win. He's been winning by ~6% in Washington County thus far. But without knowing the lean of those precincts, it's impossible to say whether it is likely or not that he gets there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fez Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 This race is almost certainly not getting called tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMC Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 On the absentee ballots, I'm not sure anyone really has any clue how they'll skew because they're fucking absentee ballots in a special election, but FWIW: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reny of Storms End Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 I wanted to go to bed early tonight, but I am too amped up now for that to happen. A win for Lamb could go a long way towards making up for how exhausted I’ll be tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ice Queen Posted March 14, 2018 Share Posted March 14, 2018 10 minutes ago, dmc515 said: I'm telling ya man, that mini-blizzard this afternoon as people got out of work did NOT help. Ha! We threw a St. Patrick's Day parade during a blizzard. A few snowflakes won't stop us! We won't know till tomorrow and I'm sure there will be a recount. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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