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Casablanca Birdie

US Politics: Stormy Weather Ahead

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4 minutes ago, Crazydog7 said:

Even if Lamb does win wouldn't a recount be automatic? 

Nah, has to be initiated by state law. But it's already reported that either side will request a recount.

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Ah, I feel dumb. 99% of the votes have been counted in Westmoreland county. So that means about 690 votes to go.

On CNN they said the candidate has to request a recount.

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5 minutes ago, Maithanet said:

All Precincts in.  Lamb +579.

This includes Westmoreland absentees. Lamb is going to take this.

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2 minutes ago, Mexal said:

This includes Westmoreland absentees. Lamb is going to take this.

It's virtually impossible he doesn't.

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3 minutes ago, Mexal said:

This includes Westmoreland absentees. Lamb is going to take this.

Awesome!  Where is there information on whether absentees are in or not?

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2 minutes ago, Maithanet said:

Awesome!  Where is there information on whether absentees are in or not?

Washington Co said it'll be about about another 2 hours or so. Greene will be tomorrow but it's at most 200 ballots and might not matter.

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Lamb still hasn't come out yet.  I expect he'll wait for the Washington Co. absentees to be reported then claim victory.  Or at least that's what he should do.

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It is somewhat weird how intense special elections have become. Regardless of circumstance a special election will not elicit much of a response 15-20 years ago. Now you have people gnashing teeth, follow results second and second, and determine to find some variable in counties people had no idea existed only hours before. All this and in the end the winner will be facing another election in less than 8 months.

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16 minutes ago, Maithanet said:

Awesome!  Where is there information on whether absentees are in or not?

CNN says there are just under 1400 absentee votes to be counted. Even if Seccone way outperforms what he did in the day's vote and takes 70% of the outstanding votes, he falls short by 19 votes. But it is very unlikely he will take 70%, when he took 57% and 53% of the votes in the two counties.

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29 minutes ago, TheKitttenGuard said:

It is somewhat weird how intense special elections have become. Regardless of circumstance a special election will not elicit much of a response 15-20 years ago. Now you have people gnashing teeth, follow results second and second, and determine to find some variable in counties people had no idea existed only hours before. All this and in the end the winner will be facing another election in less than 8 months.

 

True but given the every election is the end of the world mantra and the polarization of American politics it was more or less inevitable. 

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54 minutes ago, Mexal said:

This includes Westmoreland absentees. Lamb is going to take this.

I assume there will be an automatic recount.

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Posted (edited)
13 minutes ago, Yukle said:

I assume there will be an automatic recount.

Again, there is no automatic recount in congressional races.  The GOP may fight it, but unless some absolute craziness happened with Washington Co. absentee ballots, this result will stand.

Anyway, this is a seat with a Cook PVI of R+11.  Literally all 20 seats Cook lists as Lean R*, and all 27 seats Cook lists as Likely R, are equal to or less than R+11.  And the Dems don't need any of those seats to retake the House.  It's time to recognize the Dems as solid favorites to retake the House.

Edit:  *Sorry, except for Mia Love's seat.

Edited by dmc515

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I see Republicans are spinning this as a good outcome because their polls showed Seccone down by 6 points, but Trump's visit made it a near dead heat.

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Just now, Fragile Bird said:

I see Republicans are spinning this as a good outcome because their polls showed Seccone down by 6 points, but Trump's visit made it a near dead heat.

It's not a lie... if you believe it.

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8 minutes ago, Fragile Bird said:

I see Republicans are spinning this as a good outcome because their polls showed Seccone down by 6 points, but Trump's visit made it a near dead heat.

What else can they say?

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It’s just amusing. Someone else though said ‘there’s no way to put mayonnaise on this shit sandwich’ which I thought was pretty descriptive!

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