Texas Hold Em Posted August 18, 2018 Share Posted August 18, 2018 It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events. First, the rules. Assign a percentage to each possible future event. A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen. It does not mean it will, of course. It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain. A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening. You may only assign the following percentages: 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Possible Future Events (PFEs) Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. Daenerys will go to Asshai. Qaithe is Shiera Seastar Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. Jon will come back as an ice wight. Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. Fat Walda births a baby boy. Theon escapes from Stannis. Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. House Darry will rise again. The Freys execute Edmure Tully. The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. Aegon will conquer King's Landing. Sandor Clegane is really dead. Tommen will be killed by Arya. Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. Leyton Hightower has greyscale, Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). Euron will burn The Citadel. Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nevets Posted August 18, 2018 Share Posted August 18, 2018 40 minutes ago, Texas Hold Em said: It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events. First, the rules. Assign a percentage to each possible future event. A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen. It does not mean it will, of course. It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain. A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening. You may only assign the following percentages: 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Possible Future Events (PFEs) Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. 50 Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 25 Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. 25 Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 25 Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 100 Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. 0 Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 100 Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. 75 Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 50 The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 100 Daenerys will go to Asshai. 0 Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 25 Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. 0 Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 100 Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 25 Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 100 Betrayal may be by Bloodraven Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. 25 Jon will come back as an ice wight. 0 Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 25 Fat Walda births a baby boy. 25 Theon escapes from Stannis. 50 Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 0 King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 0 House Darry will rise again. 0 The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 0 The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 25 Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 25 Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 100 Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 25 Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 75 Sandor Clegane is really dead. 0 Tommen will be killed by Arya. 0 Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. 0 Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 25 Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 0 Euron will burn The Citadel. 50 Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheHodorThatWasPromised Posted August 18, 2018 Share Posted August 18, 2018 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Captain Daario is still alive. No idea and I don't really care that much. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 50. It will most likely work, but I'm not sure if it will be as Euron thinks. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. Never was very good at remembering who is who among the Mereenese. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 25. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 100. This is probably wishfull thinking. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. I dont remember them going to Mereen ? 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 100. Maybe she won't win all of them, but some surely will. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. 0. As neither are lords, they are in no position to bind their houses to anything. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 100. Again wishfull thinking. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 90 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Daenerys will go to Asshai. 0. Not enough time. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 25 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. 25. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 100. He will not be quite the same person though. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 10. If she was infectious shouldn't she have spread greyscale long ago ? 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 0. Bran is not the betraying kinda guy. Bloodraven on the other hand........ 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. 25. Never liked that idea, but it is certainly possible. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Jon will come back as an ice wight. 0. Ice wights are made by the Others, while Jon will most likely be brought back by Melisandre. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 25. If the election is fair I don't see people voting for the man who killed the last Lord Commander. If there is no fair election it could happen. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Fat Walda births a baby boy. 50. I'm sure it a boy, but I'm not sure if she lives long enough to birth him. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Theon escapes from Stannis. 75. There must be more to Theons arc. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 25. I don't think she is nearly as much of a Stark hater as she says. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 10. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: House Darry will rise again. 50. No idea really. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 0. They don't have him anymore, he is on the way to Casterly Rock. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 0. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 10. Never really liked that idea. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 100. I mean who is gonna beat Franken Gregor ? (Atleast not yet) 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 100. Cersei surely will find a way to blame him. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 75. Most likely. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Sandor Clegane is really dead. 0. NO WAY ! 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Tommen will be killed by Arya. 1. I don't really see that happen. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. 10. I don't see any indications that this is something they are likely to do. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 10. Don't remember any indication that he does. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 1. I think Jaquen is long gone with whatever it is he came for. 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Euron will burn The Citadel. 25. He will probably try to take Oldtown, but why would he burn the Citadel ? 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 90. I think that is very likely. I don't know why all the numbers changed to 1 when I wrote a new paragraph ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moiraine Sedai Posted August 18, 2018 Share Posted August 18, 2018 1 hour ago, Texas Hold Em said: It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events. First, the rules. Assign a percentage to each possible future event. A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen. It does not mean it will, of course. It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain. A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening. You may only assign the following percentages: 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Possible Future Events (PFEs) Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. 75 Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 50 Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. 75 Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 75 Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 75 Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. 25 Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 100 Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. 75 Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire.50 The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters.75 Daenerys will go to Asshai.25 Qaithe is Shiera Seastar. 50 Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. 50, but hoping for 100 Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 50 Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 75 Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 75 Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. 75 Jon will come back as an ice wight. 50, hoping for 100 Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander.75 Fat Walda births a baby boy. 75 Theon escapes from Stannis. 25 Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 50 King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 50 House Darry will rise again. 50 The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 50, hoping for 100 The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 75 Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 50 Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 100 Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 75 Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 50 Sandor Clegane is really dead. 25 Tommen will be killed by Arya. 75 Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. 75 Leyton Hightower has greyscale,. 50 Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 50 Euron will burn The Citadel. 25 Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 75 I'm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lollygag Posted August 19, 2018 Share Posted August 19, 2018 5 hours ago, Texas Hold Em said: It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events. First, the rules. Assign a percentage to each possible future event. A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen. It does not mean it will, of course. It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain. A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening. You may only assign the following percentages: 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Possible Future Events (PFEs) Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. 75 Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 25 Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. Can't keep their names straight to answer. Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 25. Characters rarely get their revenge wishes (at least directly) and if they do, it comes by making that character ugly. Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 50 Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. 25 but only because I think Wildlings (Gilly or more likely the Hardhome wildlings taken as slaves) will fill in Dany on what's going on before she reaches Westeros. Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 100 Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. Dunno Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 100 - just the way his character is written and too much potential otherwise. The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 100 Daenerys will go to Asshai. 0 Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 0 Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. 0 Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 25 - think he's not dead but acknowledge the possibility that we'll get yet another boring and predictable resurrection along with boring POV chapters because fire wights aren't real people thus will lack the dynamic qualities of true characters. Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 75 Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 100 that he'll leave the cave though not sure how it'd play out. Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. 50 Jon will come back as an ice wight. 50 - maybe toward the end, but not now. Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 100 that he becomes the 999th LC who makes every wrong decision which causes the Wall to fall. No evidence at all that anyone witnessed his attack on Jon. Fat Walda births a baby boy. 75 - story tends towards succession clusterbleeps Theon escapes from Stannis. 75 - Stannis may let him and Asha go to reclaim Pyke in Euron's absence in exchange for their loyalty especially if Rickon's appearance proves Theon didn't kill him and Bran. Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 0 - characters rarely get their revenge directly. King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 0 House Darry will rise again. 25 The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 50 - Emmon specifically. The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 25 Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 0 Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 100 Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 25 Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 50 Sandor Clegane is really dead. 0 Tommen will be killed by Arya. 0 Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. Dunno Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 50 Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 25 Euron will burn The Citadel. 0 - won't burn anything that useful. Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Foot_Of_The_King Posted August 19, 2018 Share Posted August 19, 2018 Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. 25 Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 75 (that it will work, not so sure about how it will) Skahaz Mo Kansas will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. 25 Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 50 Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 75 Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. Oh shit.... Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 75 Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. 50 Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 50 The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 100 Daenerys will go to Asshai. 0 Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 25 Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. 0 Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. Eventually Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 25 Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 50 Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. 75 Jon will come back as an ice wight. 25 Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 25 Fat Walda births a baby boy. 75 Theon escapes from Stannis. 25 Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 0 King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 0 House Darry will rise again. 0 The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 25 The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 0 Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 0 Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 100 Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 25(one of many accusations) Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 75 Sandor Clegane is really dead. 0 Tommen will be killed by Arya. 0 Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. 25 Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 25 Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 25 Euron will burn The Citadel. 50 Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morte Posted August 19, 2018 Share Posted August 19, 2018 12 hours ago, Texas Hold Em said: It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events. First, the rules. Assign a percentage to each possible future event. A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen. It does not mean it will, of course. It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain. A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening. You may only assign the following percentages: 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Possible Future Events (PFEs) Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. 50 Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 0 I don't think it will work at all, at least not to Ironbound benefits, but even if it does, Euron lied to Victarion about the "how" Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. 75 Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 50 Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 100 Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. 75 I'm with @Lollygag here (including the Wildlings taken as slaves), but also because I don't think Gilly would leave the Cinnamon Winds to wander Old Town, searching for Sam Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 100 Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. 50 Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 75 The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 100 Daenerys will go to Asshai. 0 Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 25 Nothing is impossible, but I doubt it. Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. 50 Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 50 Hoping for him being either dead or simply severely wounded, but unfortunately it is possible that we will see a stupid deus ex for him to not be just a stupid ice or fire zombie (Yadayada) Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 50 Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 75 He will leave the cave, if this will happen as a betrayal, don't know Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. 75 Jon will come back as an ice wight. 50 Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 25 Fat Walda births a baby boy. 75 Theon escapes from Stannis. 75 Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 0 She will not do this, even if she will have the chance. King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 0 House Darry will rise again. 25 The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 25 The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 0 No, they will die, but not by Frey-hands. Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 0 Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 75 Most likely, but we don't know who will be the Faith's champion yet. Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 50 Maybe for the public, but on the inside Tyrells and Cersei will blame each other. Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 75 Sandor Clegane is really dead. 0 Tommen will be killed by Arya. 25 This would mean for her to truly become No-One or even worse. Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. 50 Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 50 Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 75 Euron will burn The Citadel. 50 Meet the Library of Alexandria! Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 100 For a dance, you need dancers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Megorova Posted August 19, 2018 Share Posted August 19, 2018 16 hours ago, Texas Hold Em said: Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. 75% Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 0% Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. 0% Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 0% Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 100% Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. 0% Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 100% Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. 25% Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 0% The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 75% Daenerys will go to Asshai. 50% Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 100% 16 hours ago, Texas Hold Em said: Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. 50% Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 100% Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 0% Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 100% that he will leave the cave, but I don't consider that to be a personal betrayal of Bloodraven. It's not like Bran is obliged to become Bloodraven's replacement, and to become binded to that tree, in the same way as Bloodraven was. Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. 75% I think, that it was Jojen's blood in that paste, so he can still be alive, somewhere in that cave. Jon will come back as an ice wight. 0% Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 0% Thorne is more likely. Fat Walda births a baby boy. 25%. Though I don't mean by it, that the possibility of a baby girl is 75%. More like the possibility of Walda to birth a boy or a girl is equal, 50/50. Though there's also an equal possibility, that she will die even before childbirth. So there's 50%, that she will die before giving birth, and 50% possibility, that she will live long enough to give birth to her child. And out of those second 50%, there's an equal possibility of birthing a girl or a boy. Theon escapes from Stannis. 100% Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 0% 16 hours ago, Texas Hold Em said: King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 0% House Darry will rise again. 25% The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 0% The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 0% The opposite is more likely, TBWB will eventually cross out everyone out of LSH's list of death. Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 50% Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 1000% Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 100% Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 75% He may die before that. Sandor Clegane is really dead. 0% Tommen will be killed by Arya. 0% Tommen will be killed by Sparrows. 16 hours ago, Texas Hold Em said: Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. 100% to short civil war (more like a riot), but not to those two Houses rebelling. Only one person out of their families are possibly going to pledge royalty to Dany, this doesn't mean, that other people from that House will also support her. And even if all Yronwoods and Dinkwaters will support Dany, it doesn't mean, that they will go against Martells. Maybe Doran will support Dany, and not fAegon. Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 0% Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 0% Euron will burn The Citadel. 0% Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 100% Arianne - yes, Doran - probably not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Endymion I Targaryen Posted August 19, 2018 Share Posted August 19, 2018 Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. 100 Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 25 Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. 25 Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 25 Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 100 Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. 0 Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 100 Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. 0 Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 50 The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 75 Daenerys will go to Asshai. 0 Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 50 Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. 25 Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 75 Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 25 Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 0 Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. 75 Jon will come back as an ice wight. 0 Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 100 Fat Walda births a baby boy. 100 Theon escapes from Stannis. 0 Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 0 King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 0 House Darry will rise again. 25 The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 75 The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 0 Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 0 Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 100 Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 0 Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 100 Sandor Clegane is really dead. 50 Tommen will be killed by Arya. 0 Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. 25 Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 0 Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 75 Euron will burn The Citadel. 75 Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bowen 747 Posted August 19, 2018 Share Posted August 19, 2018 17 hours ago, Texas Hold Em said: It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events. First, the rules. Assign a percentage to each possible future event. A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen. It does not mean it will, of course. It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain. A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening. You may only assign the following percentages: 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Possible Future Events (PFEs) Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. (75) Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. (50) Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. (75) Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. (100) Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. (75) Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. (50) Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. (75) Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. (50) Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. (25) The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. (100) Daenerys will go to Asshai. (50) Qaithe is Shiera Seastar (50) Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. (50) Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. (50) Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. (100) Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. (100) This is the star wars angle, Bran betrays his mentor. Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. (100) Jon will come back as an ice wight. (50) Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. (75) Fat Walda births a baby boy. (75) Theon escapes from Stannis. (500 Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. (25) King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. (75) Please make this happen. House Darry will rise again. (50) The Freys execute Edmure Tully. (50) The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. (50) Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. (75) Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. (100) Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. (100) Aegon will conquer King's Landing. (100) Sandor Clegane is really dead. (50) Tommen will be killed by Arya. (100) Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. (75) Leyton Hightower has greyscale, (75) Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). (75) Euron will burn The Citadel. (25) Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. (75) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euron III Greyjoy Posted August 19, 2018 Share Posted August 19, 2018 17 hours ago, Texas Hold Em said: It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events. First, the rules. Assign a percentage to each possible future event. A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen. It does not mean it will, of course. It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain. A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening. You may only assign the following percentages: 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Possible Future Events (PFEs) Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. - 75% Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. - 25% Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. - 50% Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. - 25% Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. - 75% Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. - 0% Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. - 100% Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. - 25% Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. - 50% The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. - 75% Daenerys will go to Asshai. - 0% Qaithe is Shiera Seastar - 25% Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. - 25% Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. - 100% Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. - 50% Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. - 50% Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. - 50% Jon will come back as an ice wight. - 0% Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. - 0% Fat Walda births a baby boy. - 25% Theon escapes from Stannis. - 25% Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. - 0% King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. - 0% House Darry will rise again. - 0% The Freys execute Edmure Tully. - 25% The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. - 0% Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. - 25% Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. - 100% Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. - 50% Aegon will conquer King's Landing. - 75% Sandor Clegane is really dead. - 25% Tommen will be killed by Arya. - 25% Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. - 25% Leyton Hightower has greyscale, - 25% Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). - 0% Euron will burn The Citadel. - 50% Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. - 75% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euron Lannister Posted August 19, 2018 Share Posted August 19, 2018 Possible Future Events (PFEs) Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. 100 (no doubt) Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 25 Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. 0 (i highly doubt he is way too baelish-ish) Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 25 (possible, but unlikely, he will sell it as a strategy i think) Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 100 (i don't think he would have been introduced to die on a boat) Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. 0 (never brought the gilly-is-still-n-the-boat-theory) Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 75 (likely) Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. 50 (dont know how it would work, but i think its possible) Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 75 The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 75 Daenerys will go to Asshai. 25 (i doubt it, but it would be nice) Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 75 (i hope so) Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. 0 (there is no way the freys survive the Stannwich) Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 100 Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 25 (doubt but its possible i guess) Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 25 Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. 50 Jon will come back as an ice wight. 0 Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 0 (there is no way he would become LC, killing a brother is a crime, he will die) Fat Walda births a baby boy. 50 Theon escapes from Stannis. 25 Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 25 (don't think she will get a chance) King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 0 House Darry will rise again. 25 (how?, but i guess its not impossible) The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 0 (they are not that stupid) The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 50 Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 25 (i like the versions with tywin's or a dwarf's head more) Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 50 Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 50 Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 75 (don't think he will conquer, it will be given to him, by mace after tommen died) Sandor Clegane is really dead. 0 Tommen will be killed by Arya. 0 Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. 50 (i think the whole war means wait stuff is to blame the yronwoods for rebelling eitheragainst a loyal dorne that the crown has to deal with them or against aegon) Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 25 Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 25 Euron will burn The Citadel. 50 Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 25 (i doubt, i think the arianne-quentin thing is just to fake support for everyside, that noone will attack them) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barbrey Dustin Posted August 19, 2018 Share Posted August 19, 2018 20 hours ago, Texas Hold Em said: It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events. First, the rules. Assign a percentage to each possible future event. A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen. It does not mean it will, of course. It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain. A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening. You may only assign the following percentages: 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Possible Future Events (PFEs) Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. 25 (the Yunkaii will catapult him back to Meereen) Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 75 (Mo will betray him take the horn though) Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. 100 (he threw in with the new Queen after all) Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 100 Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 100 Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. 75 Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 100 Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. 100 Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 75 (He's too interesting of a character) The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 100 Daenerys will go to Asshai. 50 Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 50 Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. 75 Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 25 (I want him to die and remain dead but George will bring him back, in some form) Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 100 Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 100 (Bran is too conflicted, like Jon. He's too attached to Meera and the Starks) Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. 100 Jon will come back as an ice wight. 75 Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 0 (Thorne will be) Fat Walda births a baby boy. 100 Theon escapes from Stannis. 100 Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 75 King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 100 House Darry will rise again. 75 The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 100 The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 100 Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 100 Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 75 Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 75 Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 100 Sandor Clegane is really dead. 25 Tommen will be killed by Arya. 50 Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. 75 Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 50 Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 75 Euron will burn The Citadel. 50 Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darth Sidious Posted August 20, 2018 Share Posted August 20, 2018 On 8/18/2018 at 5:28 PM, Texas Hold Em said: It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events. First, the rules. Assign a percentage to each possible future event. A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen. It does not mean it will, of course. It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain. A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening. You may only assign the following percentages: 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Possible Future Events (PFEs) Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. 100 Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 50 Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. 75 Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 75 Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 100 Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. 50 Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 100 Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. 100 Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 25 The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 100 Daenerys will go to Asshai. 25 Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 25 Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. 50 Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 50 Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 100 Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 100 Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. 100 Jon will come back as an ice wight. 50 Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 50 Fat Walda births a baby boy. 75 Theon escapes from Stannis. 25 Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 50 King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 100 House Darry will rise again. 100 The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 75 The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 75 Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 50 Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 100 Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 50 Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 75 Sandor Clegane is really dead. 25 Tommen will be killed by Arya. 75 Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. 75 Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 50 Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 100 Euron will burn The Citadel. 50 Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sigella Posted August 20, 2018 Share Posted August 20, 2018 On 8/18/2018 at 11:28 PM, Texas Hold Em said: It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events. First, the rules. Assign a percentage to each possible future event. A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen. It does not mean it will, of course. It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain. A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening. You may only assign the following percentages: 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Possible Future Events (PFEs) Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. 75% Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 0% Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. Hasn't he already? Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 75% Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 25% Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. 0% Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 100% Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. 50% Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 50% The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 75% Daenerys will go to Asshai. 0% Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 50% Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. 50% Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 50% Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 0% Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 100% he will leave, but 0% in betraying BR Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. 0% Jon will come back as an ice wight. 0% Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 25% Fat Walda births a baby boy. 50% Theon escapes from Stannis. 0% Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 50% King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 0% House Darry will rise again. 25% The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 0% The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 0% Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 25% Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 0% Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 25% Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 0% Sandor Clegane is really dead. 0% Tommen will be killed by Arya. 0% Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. 0% Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 0% Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 75% Euron will burn The Citadel. 25% Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 75% winning Arianne and 25% winning Doran Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Makk Posted August 20, 2018 Share Posted August 20, 2018 On 8/19/2018 at 9:28 AM, Texas Hold Em said: Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. 75% Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 0% (it will do something similar, but importantly different) Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. 0% Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 75% Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 75% Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. 25% Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 75% Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. 50% (I think it will be the other part of Dorne if they split) Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 25% The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 75% Daenerys will go to Asshai. 25% Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 25% Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. 0% (but possibly at Winterfell) Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 100% (in at least as much human form as Beric/Catelyn) Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 25% Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 75% (I think the betrayal will be the other way around if that still counts) Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. 75% Jon will come back as an ice wight. 0% (firewight) Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 25% Fat Walda births a baby boy. 50% Theon escapes from Stannis. 75% (if Stannis dying or letting Theon go counts as escape) Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 0% King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 0% House Darry will rise again. 50% The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 25% The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 0% Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 25% Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 100% Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 100% Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 75% Sandor Clegane is really dead. 0% Tommen will be killed by Arya. 0% Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. 50% Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 25% Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 25% (maybe come into conflict, I don't think they will physically fight though) Euron will burn The Citadel. 75% (sack it, loot it, or conduct some magic ritual or something, not sure about burning) Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 25% (I think she will side with Daenerys) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jaehaerys Tyrell Posted August 20, 2018 Share Posted August 20, 2018 On 8/18/2018 at 10:28 PM, Texas Hold Em said: It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events. First, the rules. Assign a percentage to each possible future event. A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen. It does not mean it will, of course. It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain. A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening. You may only assign the following percentages: 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Possible Future Events (PFEs) Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. 75% Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 0% Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. 75% Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 25% Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 50% Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. 25% Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 100% Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. 25% Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 25% The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 75% Daenerys will go to Asshai. 0% Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 50% Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. 25% Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 100% Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 25% Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 100% Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. 75% Jon will come back as an ice wight. 0% Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 50% Fat Walda births a baby boy. 75% Theon escapes from Stannis. 50% Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 25% King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 25% House Darry will rise again. 50% The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 25% The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 25% Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 0% Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 75% Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 50% Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 50% Sandor Clegane is really dead. 25% Tommen will be killed by Arya. 25% Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. 50% Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 25% Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 25% Euron will burn The Citadel. 50% Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 75% Will you be posting the results of the poll? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tai Pan Posted August 27, 2018 Share Posted August 27, 2018 On 8/18/2018 at 5:28 PM, Texas Hold Em said: It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events. First, the rules. Assign a percentage to each possible future event. A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen. It does not mean it will, of course. It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain. A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening. You may only assign the following percentages: 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Possible Future Events (PFEs) Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. [75] Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. [50] Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. [75] Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. [25] Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. [100] Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. [25] Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. [75] Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. [75] Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. [50] The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. [50] Daenerys will go to Asshai. [25] Qaithe is Shiera Seastar [25] Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. [50] Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. [50] Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. [50] Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. [100] Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. [100] Jon will come back as an ice wight. [50] Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. [75] Fat Walda births a baby boy. [50] Theon escapes from Stannis. [0] Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. [0] King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. [75] House Darry will rise again. [25] The Freys execute Edmure Tully. [25] The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. [50] Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. [75] Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. [50] Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. [50] Aegon will conquer King's Landing. [50] Sandor Clegane is really dead. [50] Tommen will be killed by Arya. [75] Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. [75] Leyton Hightower has greyscale, [75] Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). [75] Euron will burn The Citadel. [50] Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. [50] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bent branch Posted August 27, 2018 Share Posted August 27, 2018 On 8/18/2018 at 1:28 PM, Texas Hold Em said: It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events. First, the rules. Assign a percentage to each possible future event. A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen. It does not mean it will, of course. It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain. A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening. You may only assign the following percentages: 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Possible Future Events (PFEs) Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. 100 Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 50 Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. 50 Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 0 Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 100 Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. 0 (Why would they to there?) Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 100 Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. 50 Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 100 The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 75 Daenerys will go to Asshai. 0 Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 25 Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. 0 Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 100 (He's not dead, so this isn't a fair question.) Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 25 Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. (Maybe Bran leaving the cave isn't a betrayal. I can't answer this) Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. 0 Jon will come back as an ice wight. 0 (He ain't dead.) Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 0 Fat Walda births a baby boy. 50 Theon escapes from Stannis. 0 Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 0 King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 0 House Darry will rise again. 0 The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 0 The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 0 Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 25 Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 75 Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 100 for Cersei, 25 for Tyrells Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 100 Sandor Clegane is really dead. 0 Tommen will be killed by Arya. 0 Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. 0 Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 0 Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 0 Euron will burn The Citadel. 25 Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rotting sea cow Posted August 27, 2018 Share Posted August 27, 2018 On 8/18/2018 at 11:28 PM, Texas Hold Em said: It is hard to ever be sure of what will happen in the story but we can get a picture of how certain the fans are about these possible future events. First, the rules. Assign a percentage to each possible future event. A score of 100% means you are sure it will happen. It does not mean it will, of course. It just means you, the person giving the answer, is certain. A zero means you do not believe it has a chance of happening. You may only assign the following percentages: 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% Possible Future Events (PFEs) Dragon Politics and the Slave Trade Captain Daario is still alive. 75% Dragonbinder will work as described by Euron. 50% Skahaz Mo Kandaq will prove his loyalty to Queen Daenerys. 50% Brown Ben Plumm will be punished for his betrayal. 0% Marwyn will make it to Slaver's Bay. 100% Gilly and her baby will make it to Meereen. 0% Queen Daenerys will win the Dothraki to her cause. 100% Yronwood and Drinkwater will bind their houses to Queen Daenerys. 0% Ser Barristan will live through the Battle of Fire. 50% The slaves of Volantis will revolt against their masters. 100% Daenerys will go to Asshai. 0% Qaithe is Shiera Seastar 25% Northern Politics and the White Walkers Roose Bolton will defeat Stannis Baratheon in the Battle of Ice. 0% Jon Snow will come back to life in human form. 100% Shireen will spread greyscale in the north. 25% Bran will betray Bloodraven and leave that cave. 0% Bran ate Jojen. Jojen is the paste. 0% Jon will come back as an ice wight. 0% Bowen Marsh becomes the new Lord Commander. 50% Fat Walda births a baby boy. 0% Theon escapes from Stannis. 25% Barbrey Dustin will get to feed Ned's bones to her dogs. 0% King's Landing and the Riverlands The Freys huntsmen will find and kill Nymeria. 0% House Darry will rise again. 0% The Freys execute Edmure Tully. 0% The Frey soldiers find and kill The Brotherhood Without Banners. 0% Walder Frey sent Robb's head to King's Landing. Gregor is wearing Robb's head. 0% Cersei's champion will beat the High Sparrow's. 100% Kevan's murder will be blamed on Tyrion. 75% Aegon will conquer King's Landing. 100% Sandor Clegane is really dead. 0% Tommen will be killed by Arya. 0% Dorne and the Reach Civil war breaks out in Dorne. Yronwoods and Drinkwaters rebel against the Martells. 25% Leyton Hightower has greyscale, 0% Alleras and Jaquen will cross swords (fight). 0% Euron will burn The Citadel. 100% Aegon will win Arianne and the Martells to his side. 100% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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