Maithanet Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, IheartIheartTesla said: I cant quite figure out how to make up those 12 ECs. Maybe move IA to tossup, but cant see any other combination giving up 6 ECs (of course, I am assuming a generic D would carry all Sanders states) I would assume it is Arizona plus ME-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 I'm really wondering if even a big Biden win on Saturday will help him out much on Super Tuesday. Three days isn't much time to craft a "Comeback Kid" narrative, and the last article I read on the subject said that Biden barely has a presence in any Super Tuesday state, and has only spent about $900,000 in ad buys. Doubtless having his best debate performance and Rep. Clyburn's heartfelt endorsement of Biden played a big role in his bounceback in SC, but there won't be another debate before Super Tuesday, and I don't think there is any Super Tuesday state where one person's endorsement could have that significant of an impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Larry of the Lawn Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 Working on my gerontocracy themed concept album in anticipation of a receptive audience come November, on which a secret track will advocate nominating the frozen head of Ted Williams in 2028. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IheartIheartTesla Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 15 minutes ago, Maithanet said: I would assume it is Arizona plus ME-2. Oh yes, that makes sense. I got a bit confused between the various shades of colors. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fragile Bird Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 I have this weird scenario forming in my head. The stock market continues to fall until people decide it's fallen enough, the bargains are too compelling. This fall has been the fastest correction (a drop of 10% or more) in history, but as I mentioned already, it may fall another 15% to bring it to reasonable valuation levels. I wonder if that will happen once bad news starts rolling out. Watching the way the cases of the virus have rapidly multiplied and then peaked in China, I think the fall will stop because the market will decide the bad news is out and has been priced in and it's safe to buy. Then the question is, will market madness return, will people be buying with both hands? I don't think it will go up as fast as it went down because most people will be busy with making sure they don't catch the virus and maybe there will be lay-offs and school and business closings. And they will be wary. Even though the market went up steadily after 2009, it was mainly driven by pros, the public did not start participating until the Dow got well over 20,000 and then really got into it the last two years. I mean, the markets were up 30% in the last year. The rise happens over the summer. This may be the dead cat bounce. In September third quarter numbers roll out and the bad news is really ugly, even though people knew the numbers had to be bad. Rinse and repeat. The Dow Jones was at 17,148 at the start of January, 2016. While I don't see it falling that far, it could flirt with dropping below 20,000, wiping out most of the gains during the Trump presidency. That would be an utter disaster for Trump. And he is very very angry at the markets right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Centrist Simon Steele Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 1 hour ago, DMC said: Didn't see this before. Yes, in that case I'm sorry for being a dick. Usually when I'm really a dick I'll either apologize for it or know it the next morning/afternoon when I wake up. Even here, any time I can provide information that might be useful, sober me does want to do that, so again, sorry, and feel free to pm me or whatever on that front. No worries, guess who else might act like a dick sometimes? (Hint: me) Thanks for hearing me out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Week Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 32 minutes ago, larrytheimp said: Working on my gerontocracy themed concept album in anticipation of a receptive audience come November, on which a secret track will advocate nominating the frozen head of Ted Williams in 2028. Can we at least unfreeze the Splended Splinter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zorral Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThinkerX Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 The Trump verses Sanders debates this campaign season should be awesome. Especially if they both ignore the moderators and Sanders tears into Trump the way he tore into Bloomberg - could Trumps ego (and heart) handle that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceChampion Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 This Biden parody account is a thing of beauty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A True Kaniggit Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 7 minutes ago, SpaceChampion said: This Biden parody account is a thing of beauty I chuckled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
argonak Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 8 minutes ago, SpaceChampion said: This Biden parody account is a thing of beauty I've always thought that it would be funny if Hillary had made a twitter account that just pretended to be from the timeline where she's president for the last four years. Go all in on it, and just give statements re-assuring the public, directing public policy, all that. But never ever mention Trump. Except maybe as a one off with regards for his conviction as a russian asset or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fez Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 Republican priorities. It's so far beyond a joke at this point... Tax Cuts! That'll solve this virus problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThinkerX Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 This national popular vote thing seems to be gaining enough momentum to annoy the RNC chair. Wonder if there is any chance it'll come to pass this election, and if the SC will nix it in a hurry? https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/gop-chairwoman-suggests-rnc-plans-to-get-litigious-over-push-for-national-popular-vote/ar-BB10wOWD?ocid=msnclassic "I think it is devastating to our country to get rid of the electoral vote. This is what the founders intended for every state to have representation," McDaniel told attendees at the Conservative Political Action Conference during a panel with Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas). "Stay tuned because the RNC is not going to let this go, and there's something coming," she added. "Let me just say, I have an intention to be the most litigious chair in history," McDaniel said. "I think what Democrats have done systematically to take away our rights, to rig the election system, and this, to take away our votes, our Electoral College votes, and have California and New York dictate who the next president of the United States ..." Cruz said the push would "probably" be unconstitutional. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aceluby Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 States get to decide how they award their EC votes, no? That's why Maine can divvy them up individually, and most choose to award them based on who wins the state. If enough states pass laws to award them based on popular vote, and they have enough EC votes to win a majority, what could the SC possibly do? It's almost like the GOP only likes states rights when it serves their purpose, or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThinkerX Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 Probably got a few boarder's here that will take serious issue with this article, but what the heck; https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/a-poll-from-trumps-favorite-network-has-him-losing-to-his-most-likely-2020-opponents/ar-BB10wrT4?ocid=msnclassic The charts are interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mlle. Zabzie Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 4 minutes ago, aceluby said: States get to decide how they award their EC votes, no? That's why Maine can divvy them up individually, and most choose to award them based on who wins the state. If enough states pass laws to award them based on popular vote, and they have enough EC votes to win a majority, what could the SC possibly do? It's almost like the GOP only likes states rights when it serves their purpose, or something. That's not what states rights mean, you silly goose! (Tongue firmly in cheek). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterbumps! Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 9 minutes ago, ThinkerX said: Probably got a few boarder's here that will take serious issue with this article, but what the heck; https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/a-poll-from-trumps-favorite-network-has-him-losing-to-his-most-likely-2020-opponents/ar-BB10wrT4?ocid=msnclassic The charts are interesting I think almost everyone here believes that if the popular vote counted for anything, Trump would very likely lose to basically anyone running. The concern is whether someone like Sanders could can keep the high turnout of suburbanites and moderates in electorally strategic locations who brought Dems victory in 2018. I think even the most Sanders skeptical among us anticipate he’ll win the popular vote. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Larry of the Lawn Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 22 minutes ago, ThinkerX said: This national popular vote thing seems to be gaining enough momentum to annoy the RNC chair. Wonder if there is any chance it'll come to pass this election, and if the SC will nix it in a hurry? https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/elections-2020/gop-chairwoman-suggests-rnc-plans-to-get-litigious-over-push-for-national-popular-vote/ar-BB10wOWD?ocid=msnclassic Quote "Let me just say, I have an intention to be the most litigious chair in history," McDaniel said. "I think what Democrats have done systematically to take away our rights, to rig the election system, and this, to take away our votes, our Electoral College votes, and have California and New York dictate who the next president of the United States ..." The irony in that McDaniel quote is killing me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zorral Posted February 28, 2020 Share Posted February 28, 2020 "Wall Street may shut trading floor amid coronavirus concerns: report" https://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/ny-nyse-wall-street-coronavirus-20200228-xyxoqye3t5dwhb66secm4wnzqe-story.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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