Jump to content

US Politics - The Long Night


Disturber of Peace

Recommended Posts

1 minute ago, ljkeane said:

So the Democrat governor Roy Cooper is winning reelection in North Carolina but Biden's losing? How does that work?

Roy Cooper has consistently been more popular than Biden or Cunningham in the polls (~8-10 points more popular).  A lot of people are more willing to vote for someone of the other party for governor, but not for president or senator.  Hence MD, MA and VT having republican governors. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Maithanet said:

I hope you nailed it. 

Let's see what the handmaiden's Supreme Court has to say...

Mark Kelly has won in AZ.

Apparently there are still 2.2m mail ballots in PA to be counted, which is 87% of the vote (source: Jonathan Tamari)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, The Marquis de Leech said:

The downside is that if I'm out by Pennsylvania... it's a 269-269 tie. 

Basically, the most 2020 thing ever.

But it would be 270-268 if Biden were to win one of NE-2 or ME-2, both of which are possible.  NE-2 in particular was seen as a very likely flip for Biden. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Maithanet said:

Roy Cooper has consistently been more popular than Biden or Cunningham in the polls (~8-10 points more popular).  A lot of people are more willing to vote for someone of the other party for governor, but not for president or senator.  Hence MD, MA and VT having republican governors. 

I could see voting Biden for President but thinking a Republican was the more capable option for other offices I suppose but how do you vote Democrat for anything and think the man who suggested injecting bleach is the right choice for President? I just don't grasp the thought process there at all.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, The Marquis de Leech said:

My prediction was 2016 + Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania for Biden.

That doesn't look a bad guess right now...

Indeed not.

It's one of the paths left to Biden.

What worries me is that both Wisconsin and Michigan are red right now. And although it's still very -very- early (we're talking 40-50% of votes cast), I remember that when they turned red four years ago they never turned back blue.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Maithanet said:

But it would be 270-268 if Biden were to win one of NE-2 or ME-2, both of which are possible.  NE-2 in particular was seen as a very likely flip for Biden. 

270-268 would be a seriously ugly result for Biden. As in, I really worry what Trump would do...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Mindwalker said:

A lot of Biden's pitch was "get back to normal from Covid", "don't let them take your healthcare", "get back to old-fashioned decency"... not exactly the wild kind of change you're implying.

That's true and it's what you know if you watch/read real news with any diligence. But many don't pay attention and the ads running in Ohio are against a Biden that doesn't even exist (socialist medicine taking away private insurance, raising taxes on everyone with a butchered clip of him saying taxes will go up on the rich with that condition taken out, Covid will destroy the economy because Dems are bad with the economy, no more meat because of the GND...) and it wasn't counter messaged the way it should have been because the effect is underestimated and not understood by the left.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, ljkeane said:

So the Democrat governor Roy Cooper is winning reelection in North Carolina but Biden's losing? How does that work?

Pretty sure his competitor pretty much just ran on the tagline "run Forest run" so maybe that?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
×
×
  • Create New...