DMC Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 1 minute ago, JEORDHl said: So... The Georgia run offs. Figure, 50/50 or thereabouts, the Dems could pick up one out of two, right? I think Warnock has a considerably better chance than Ossoff. However, with a two-candidate runoff, I still think it's going to be very very difficult for a Democrat to get to 50+1 in Georgia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Varysblackfyre321 Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 Just now, DMC said: I think Warnock has a considerably better chance than Ossoff. However, with a two-candidate runoff, I still think it's going to be very very difficult for a Democrat to get to 50+1 in Georgia. Is it possible for Stacy Abrams to run in one of the candidates place? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMC Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 Just now, Varysblackfyre321 said: Is it possible for Stacy Abrams to run in one of the candidates place? No. Well, I guess if one of them died, but even then I'm not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wethers Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 Biden within 18.2k in PA with 275k left to count. Georgia margin inched maddeningly slowly down to 1,267... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JGP Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 5 minutes ago, DMC said: I think Warnock has a considerably better chance than Ossoff. However, with a two-candidate runoff, I still think it's going to be very very difficult for a Democrat to get to 50+1 in Georgia. Right. But Warnock garnered much less of a vote than Ossoff, comparatively. Warnock also wont be facing a Republican vote split in the run off. Hmn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMC Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 3 minutes ago, JEORDHl said: But Warnock garnered much less of a vote than Ossoff, comparatively. Warnock wont be facing a Republican vote split in the run off. True, but a TON of candidates garnered small percentages of votes in the Warnock race. If you split all those candidates' votes by party ID, the split is virtually even. I think Warnock has a better shot first because Loeffler is a much worse candidate than Perdue - who is also an incumbent (that's actually won his seat) and has one of the most recognizable last names in Georgia politics. And, by the same token, I think Warnock is a better candidate than Ossoff who can obviously more reliably count on the black vote and turnout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JGP Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 I hadn't been following the Senate races as intensely as the big show, I wasn't aware Warnock was also up again fellow Dem hopefuls. Can always count on you for the breakdown, D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Varysblackfyre321 Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 16 minutes ago, Wethers said: Biden within 18.2k in PA with 275k left to count. Georgia margin inched maddeningly slowly down to 1,267... Most of that in urban and suburban areas right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMC Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 3 minutes ago, JEORDHl said: I hadn't been following the Senate races as intensely as the big show, I wasn't aware Warnock was also up again fellow Dem hopefuls. Can always count on you for the breakdown, D Happy to do it. I'm bored and I actually enjoy doing this stuff. So by my quick calculations for the Warnock race, Republican candidates got 49.4% while Democratic candidates got 48.3%. A Libertarian got 0.7%, a Green got 0.3%, and four Independents got 1.3% combined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wethers Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 11 minutes ago, Varysblackfyre321 said: Most of that in urban and suburban areas right? 58k of the 17k left in Philadelphia county which is heavily blue. But the rest are mixed. Honestly I don't know for sure but the trend is definitely in the right direction. The last several drops have Biden winning 75% to 80% of the vote and he only needs 53.3% as a win rate to pull even. https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-election-scraper/battleground-state-changes.html And unlike in AZ, in PA some of the drops from the pink/red counties are even or actually favor Biden because Dems have voted by mail/absentee more in PA. Edited to add: just heard around 30k-ish more in Allegheny (Pittsburgh) as well, which is also blue (though not as much as Philly). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JGP Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 1 hour ago, Varysblackfyre321 said: Most of that in urban and suburban areas right? Are you scared to watch the news or something, Varys lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JGP Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 On another note, looks like someone may have broke the case wide open already. Christ. Say what you will, but I love Twitter. Thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMC Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 15 minutes ago, Varysblackfyre321 said: Most of that in urban and suburban areas right? What needs to be emphasized is in PA, Biden is winning these mail-in ballots in every county in the state - no matter how red. That's how Democratic leaning the mail-in ballots are in the state. I wouldn't be surprised if networks call Pennsylvania the moment Biden takes a lead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Marquis de Leech Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 Bloody hell. I disappear for a few hours... and I come back to find the Georgia feeling positively asymptotic. Or maybe we've all died. gone to Hell, and are being subjected to an Ironic Punishment for being too geeky about politics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMC Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 Georgia now down to 665 as Clayton county keeps on sputtering out votes. 4 minutes ago, The Marquis de Leech said: Or maybe we've all died. gone to Hell, and are being subjected to an Ironic Punishment for being too geeky about politics. I feel like it's more purgatory or The Island. As Desmond said, "we're in a bloody snow globe!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Erik of Hazelfield Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 Meanwhile in Sweden, I woke up and read ALL of the 200+ new posts in these threads since yesterday. And THIS is where it ended, with no results, incoherent ramblings about scotch whisky, and Rick Santorum. I feel like Mick Jagger... No satisfaction! /ragequit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceChampion Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 wth the gap is gone down only by a few hundred in the past two hours? Who do they have counting in Nevada, the day shift from the Bunny Ranch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impmk2 Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 In Nevada? They've gone home for the night. It's not like there's anything important happening. (Not kidding) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Marquis de Leech Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 Never mind Nevada, it's Georgia where the action (so to speak) is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceChampion Posted November 6, 2020 Share Posted November 6, 2020 I was mixing up Georgia and Nevada of all places... 463! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.