Fragile Bird Posted March 4, 2021 Author Share Posted March 4, 2021 Update Feb 24We 25Th 26Fr 27Sa 28Su 1Mo 2Tu 3We BC 456 395 589 532 508 438 438 542 AB 430 399 356 415 301 291 257 402 SK 56 211 153 162 141 154 134 121 MB 45 70 64 90 50 35 64 51 ON 1054 1138 1258 1185 1062 1023 966 958 PQ 806 858 815 858 732 613 588 729 Atl-4 15 22 16 16 15 4 14 9 North 0 4 1 0 1 1 1 0 Total 2862 3097 3252 3258 2810 2559 2465 2813 We wobble up and down, but Ontario has reported a third day below a thousand cases, and this time on 65,643 tests, for a positivity rate of 2.1%. Toronto reported 290 cases, 259 confirmed and 31 suspected (from a rapid test, I think, that then needs confirmation). Everyone saw a bit of a bump up, and I assume that may have been from more tests being performed as the week goes by. As I type this, I see Nunavut has found another 10 cases in the community of Arviat. The big news is in the change of attitude towards how vaccine doses will be administered. As I mentioned above, BC was the first off the mark to announce doses will now be given 4 months apart. BC had already stretched doses to 36 or 39 days, and while the longest studies so far have quoted good coverage at 2 months, the National Advisory Committee on Immunization (NACI) decided that 4 months was not an unreasonable stretch. Manitoba then announced they too will switch to four months, and I see from the Globe this morning that Ontario, Alberta and Saskatchewan have all said that they will extend the second dose date. And, it seems, Quebec will extend their 90 days to 120. I saw pictures this morning of the AZ vaccine arriving at Pearson yesterday. Apparently the provinces now have to put their orders in and the vaccine will be shipped to them, likely on Monday. I have heard different information about the expiry dates, 300,000 expire April 2 and I heard the other 200,000 expire in 60 days, but according to the conference call I'm watching the expiry is in June. The regular shelf life for AZ is 6 months. I wonder if we are getting the doses South Africa rejected? This federal conference call is saying we will hear news about J&J within days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fragile Bird Posted March 5, 2021 Author Share Posted March 5, 2021 Canada has approved the J&J vaccine, but big deal. No J&J vaccine can leave the US for months. And if there isn’t a large amount of European doses, don’t be surprised if the EU blocks shipments to Canada the way they blocked AZ to Australia. Eta: more good news! The federal government has constantly said they are in daily contact with all the companies we have ordered vaccine from, and today Trudeau announced we are getting an extra 2 M Pfizer doses this month! We'll also get an extra million in April and May, and the quantities in those months had already been announced as going up, so that's on top of those increases. who knows, maybe those numbers will go up again. It sounds like we are finally getting close to what European countries have received. My benchmark is Poland, because it's almost identical in size in Canada. They've administered 1.6 M more doses than we have, so the 2 M extra catches that amount up plus a bit more. I assume we will still be behind because they probably get more every week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Padraig Posted March 5, 2021 Share Posted March 5, 2021 2 hours ago, Fragile Bird said: And if there isn’t a large amount of European doses, don’t be surprised if the EU blocks shipments to Canada the way they blocked AZ to Australia. Hmm. I haven't heard what J&J can provide in April. But AZ is the far riskier option when it comes to supplies. So if Canada isn't getting any AZ from Europe, lucky you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fragile Bird Posted March 5, 2021 Author Share Posted March 5, 2021 1 hour ago, Padraig said: Hmm. I haven't heard what J&J can provide in April. But AZ is the far riskier option when it comes to supplies. So if Canada isn't getting any AZ from Europe, lucky you. The AZ we are receiving is our COVAX allotment. 500k has landed, 300k from Korea (the stuff with the April 2nd expiry) and 200k from India. That’s it for now. We have 20 M doses that are supposed to come from their US facility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fragile Bird Posted March 9, 2021 Author Share Posted March 9, 2021 Update Feb 1Mo 2Tu 3We 4Th 5Fr 6Sa 7Su 8Mo BC 438 438 542 564 634 545 532 385 AB 291 257 402 331 411 341 300 278 SK 154 134 121 169 207 163 116 97 MB 35 64 51 51 54 71 56 63 ON 1023 966 958 1250 990 1299 1631 1185 PQ 613 588 729 707 798 749 707 579 Atl-4 4 14 9 14 8 14 7 10 North 1 1 0 10 4 4 4 Total 2559 2465 2813 2840 3366 2877 3021 3043 I could have sworn I posted on Saturday morning, but I guess the vaccine conversation distracted me. Ontario seems to be taking on the role Quebec had all last year, leading the country in cases. Sad to see us being 50% of the cases in Canada on Sunday, but according to the government they got surprised by a data issue. They didn't explain what that issue was, I assume some district didn't file their numbers for a few days. Our 7 day average as of yesterday is 2,917, which is very disappointing. As I've said all along, the problem is the virus is showing up in places in Ontario that until now have seen few or no cases. Thunder Bay has had more than 400 cases in the past week. I have heard that all indigenous people over the age of 65 have now been vaccinated in northern Ontario, I'm not sure about Toronto. Because of increased vaccine numbers, Ontario has announced it's moving up vaccinations for the +80 crowd from April 1 to March 15, as are other provinces. Quebec has become a vaccine leader again, rejecting the idea that the AZ vaccine shouldn't be used on seniors. It has announced it's going to vaccinate people over 65 with it, there's a lot of evidence from other countries that it works well for seniors. There goal is to get everyone over 65 vaccinated with 1 dose ASAP. Legault is also talking about all the changes being made in LTC homes, where they had such issues, new ways to track supplies and more hiring and training of staff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fragile Bird Posted March 10, 2021 Author Share Posted March 10, 2021 Well so-long, good-bye, to a Canadian news outlet, Huffington Post Canada is gone in the blink of an eye. Buzzfeed bought it last November and in typical American style told everyone in Canada this afternoon that they were shutting it down right now, don’t bother finishing that story you’re working on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fragile Bird Posted March 11, 2021 Author Share Posted March 11, 2021 Update Mar 3We 4Th 5Fr 6Sa 7Su 8Mo 9Tu 10We BC 542 564 634 545 532 385 550 531 AB 402 331 411 341 300 278 255 399 SK 121 169 207 163 116 97 113 111 MB 51 51 54 71 56 63 66 77 ON 958 994 1250 990 1299 1631 1185 1316 PQ 729 707 798 749 707 579 650 792 Atl-4 9 14 8 14 7 10 7 1 North 0 10 4 4 4 0 1 0 Total 2813 2840 3366 2877 3021 3043 2826 3227 While most of the country has improved dramatically, three provinces appear to have hit fairly high plateaus, BC at +500, Ontario at about +1100, and Quebec at +700. It seems fairly obvious now that variants are the cause. Medical authorities are saying they are almost 40% of new cases in Ontario. I mentioned in the Covid thread that Sunnybrook is building a large tent hospital in it's parking lot in order to be prepared for the 3rd wave, which, frankly, looks unavoidable if we are going to continue opening up our communities. In fact, Sudbury, which had been in the red zone (3rd strictest level) is being moved up to the grey zone, the level below lockdown, at midnight tonight. We've received 3.1 M doses of vaccine, 82.6% of which have been administered. Somehow we're supposed to receive another 4.9 M doses in the next 29 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paxter Posted March 12, 2021 Share Posted March 12, 2021 Another example of seeing the train coming but waiting on the tracks and refusing to get out of the way. ON is opening up at precisely the wrong time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceChampion Posted March 15, 2021 Share Posted March 15, 2021 I was wondering why there is a rush to register today on the Ontario vaccination site when its only for those 80+. I didn't know there is about 1.7 million 80+ Canadians. That's about 10x more than I expected! That's not even boomer aged yet. I can see it taking until June just to get to the 60-69 year olds. I figure August for me, right in the middle of Gen-X. Or even September. Seems teachers, kids and essential workers should be first right after the at-risk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fragile Bird Posted March 15, 2021 Author Share Posted March 15, 2021 22 minutes ago, SpaceChampion said: I was wondering why there is a rush to register today on the Ontario vaccination site when its only for those 80+. I didn't know there is about 1.7 million 80+ Canadians. That's about 10x more than I expected! That's not even boomer aged yet. I can see it taking until June just to get to the 60-69 year olds. I figure August for me, right in the middle of Gen-X. Or even September. Seems teachers, kids and essential workers should be first right after the at-risk. Keep in mind the fact that a huge percentage of the over-80 crowd has been vaccinated as residents of LTC homes, in every province. I saw on the CBC that Saskatchewan has already dropped their age level to 70. Quebec has only given one dose of the vaccines and I think they are taking 65 and up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fragile Bird Posted March 16, 2021 Author Share Posted March 16, 2021 Update Mar 8Mo 9Tu 10We 11Th 12Fr 13Sa 14Su 15Mo BC 385 550 531 569 648 555 491 460 AB 278 255 399 364 425 474 388 388 SK 97 113 111 165 176 153 98 110 MB 63 66 77 91 104 94 44 50 ON 1631 1185 1316 1092 1371 1468 1747 1268 PQ 579 650 792 738 753 789 674 594 Atl-4 10 7 1 3 4 7 6 1 North 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 3043 2826 3227 3022 3482 3540 3448 2847 We see the usual pattern of cases getting worse as the week goes by, and a drop on Monday. Ontario had a horrid number on Sunday, but they suggested there was some data clean-up involved once again. And the variant cases keep climbing, which we are also seeing to the south of us as well. The provinces are really pumping out the vaccine. We've now done 2.55 M first doses and 600k second doses, and whoot! We've moved up from 55th on the list of countries to 54th. Be still my beating heart. Next week we only get 455k doses of Pfizer, since Moderna only delivers every second week and it doesn't look like we get any more AZ from India yet. The week after, however, we see a big jump in deliveries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fragile Bird Posted March 16, 2021 Author Share Posted March 16, 2021 I mentioned this in the Covid thread, but Medicago got emergency consent from the FDA to start their Phase 3 trial on Feb. 17. The trial will have 30,000 people in 10 countries, beginning with healthy adults and then adding people over 65 and people with co-morbidities. Their original Phase 1 saw 100% of the participants develop antibodies. The results of their Phase 2 study will be published in mid-April. Since they have moved on to a Phase 3 study I am assuming the results were promising. Vaccines would be available by the end of the year. I’m watching the federal press conference right now, and both new and continued federal funding has been announced for various projects, including money to expand a couple of fill and finish plants in Ontario and Quebec, and for other vaccines and treatments in development. We have spent about a billion dollars so far. A front page story in today’s Globe says Canada has been negotiating with Emergent BioSolutions, the company actually manufacturing the J&J vaccine in the US, to expand it’s facility in Manitoba that has the equipment to manufacture all kinds of vaccines, including the mRNA type. While this won’t help right now, everybody expects at least a third wave and then annual waves of new variants. Having a large Emergent plant would be very helpful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maarsen Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 I guess Canada got a large shipment of vaccine because Ford announced today that pharmacies across the province are now giving out shots to 60 + people as of Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fragile Bird Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 24 minutes ago, maarsen said: I guess Canada got a large shipment of vaccine because Ford announced today that pharmacies across the province are now giving out shots to 60 + people as of Monday. I'm not seeing anything, only that it was dropped to 75. Will keep looking. Do you have a link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fragile Bird Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 46 minutes ago, maarsen said: I guess Canada got a large shipment of vaccine because Ford announced today that pharmacies across the province are now giving out shots to 60 + people as of Monday. Ok, 60 and over with the AZ. 75 and over to book an appointment for Pfizer or Moderna. eta: that would mean that it's not 60-64 for AZ anymore, I bet a lot of people expressed the opinion they were willing to get the AZ vaccine even though they are over 65. Also, the US vaccine is supposed to be released within days, and since Ontario is 38% of Canada's population, that means 570,000 doses arriving that need to be given ASAP. Who knows what the expiry date is, I'm sure it will be the oldest vaccine in the warehouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maarsen Posted March 19, 2021 Share Posted March 19, 2021 19 minutes ago, Fragile Bird said: Ok, 60 and over with the AZ. 75 and over to book an appointment for Pfizer or Moderna. eta: that would mean that it's not 60-64 for AZ anymore, I bet a lot of people expressed the opinion they were willing to get the AZ vaccine even though they are over 65. Also, the US vaccine is supposed to be released within days, and since Ontario is 38% of Canada's population, that means 570,000 doses arriving that need to be given ASAP. Who knows what the expiry date is, I'm sure it will be the oldest vaccine in the warehouse. I just booked for my wife and I next week. We are both over 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fragile Bird Posted March 19, 2021 Author Share Posted March 19, 2021 A million Pfizer comes in every week now going forward, so that's 380,000 a week for Ontario. Actually, I see the allocation is 466 k this week and next, then 396 k a week until the end of May. Plus 323 k Moderna next week, 303 k in three weeks and 448 k in 5 weeks, for Ontario. The Federal website showing allocations for every province is here: https://www.canada.ca/en/public-health/services/diseases/2019-novel-coronavirus-infection/prevention-risks/covid-19-vaccine-treatment/vaccine-rollout.html#a4 I saw Jason Kenney in a press conference yesterday ranting at the federal government and Trudeau because apparently the Moderna quantity has gone down, and they just found out, so I don't know if those Moderna numbers are the old numbers or the new numbers. Unacceptable! ranted Kenney, as if Trudeau made a personal decision against Alberta. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fragile Bird Posted March 20, 2021 Author Share Posted March 20, 2021 Update Mar 12Fr 13Sa 14Su 15Mo 16Tu 17We 18Th 19Fr BC 648 555 491 460 556 498 622 737 AB 425 474 388 388 355 479 505 696 SK 176 153 98 110 156 87 115 174 MB 104 94 44 50 111 96 91 93 ON 1371 1468 1747 1268 1074 1508 1553 1745 PQ 753 789 674 594 561 703 702 764 Atl-4 4 7 6 1 9 3 11 9 North 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Total 3482 3540 3448 2847 2822 3374 3599 4218 Well, there you go, we haven't seen a total this high since the end of January. Look how the numbers are leaping up. I guess his Ministry of Health was telling Jason Kenney the numbers were going the wrong way, which is why he went into a rant against Trudeau yesterday. I think we are, in fact, going into a third wave, driven by variants. I read that 90% of the new cases in Regina are variants. At least we have some brighter news about vaccines. The US is going to let us have 1.5 M doses of the AZ vaccine, and, as I mentioned in my post above, our Pfizer deliveries are going up to 1 M doses a week, at least until the end of May. That adds up to 5.5 M doses of Pfizer and Moderna plus 1.5 AZ, meaning we'll get more than 7 M vaccine doses by the end of May, 1/3 of the country's adult population vaccinated. On March 1 we had administered 1.412 M first doses and 535k second doses. Today those numbers are 3.107 M and 621k, meaning 10% of our adult population has received the first dose of vaccine., Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fragile Bird Posted March 20, 2021 Author Share Posted March 20, 2021 Ontario numbers are higher today, 1829 new cases. Great news, right? And Toronto has gone from 350-some cases to 475-some cases to 631, 598 confirmed and 33 probable, reported today. And did you see the great speech O’Toole gave yesterday, saying the Conservatives had to stop the lies of the Liberals, that the Conservatives don’t believe in climate change? Only to have members of their convention vote down a resolution affirming the existence of climate change by 54% of the attendees? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maarsen Posted March 21, 2021 Share Posted March 21, 2021 I see that the Cons would rather affirm their ignorance than be in power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.