Jeor Posted January 7 Share Posted January 7 3 hours ago, Paxter said: I wonder if it could be the opposite- bounce to start the year in the hope of the soft landing, then new lows as the hope dissipates. Certainly a bad day for the S&P shorts today. That's definitely possible. But my theory is based on thinking that any bounce at this time of year will be very short-lived. The Fed will pour cold water on any talk of pausing or easing at this point of time so these "relief rallies" are a bit silly and I expect gains to be given back pretty quickly. Historically the suggestion is that the next bull market in stocks begins when the recession is at its worst, which will probably be late 2023. Oil is going to be an interesting one to watch. There's a tug of war there between China potentially mounting a comeback (or not), the Russian/Ukraine war stopping to ease supply (or not), and a global recession destroying demand (or not). That's too many unknowns for me, I suspect the oil market is going to be schizophrenic this year. Wade1865 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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