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Ukraine Part 5: war...it never changes


Kalnestk Oblast
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3 minutes ago, Ran said:

Nothing new. Russian planes violating air space in the Baltic Sea is a regular occurrence.

That makes sense, though them doing so while a war is going on is a bit more new and more likely to cause an issue. 

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2 minutes ago, Kalibuster said:

That makes sense, though them doing so while a war is going on is a bit more new and more likely to cause an issue. 

Swedish aircraft were airborne and had eyes on fairly quickly, according to the press release, but it's light on details such as how long was the intrusion for, how far into the airspace, etc. All they said is it was "brief" and they had "full control of the situation".

So by the sounds of it the Russians took a bit of a shortcut on the edge of our airspace, which while not nothing, doesn't really sound like something either.

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Just now, kungtotte said:

Swedish aircraft were airborne and had eyes on fairly quickly, according to the press release, but it's light on details such as how long was the intrusion for, how far into the airspace, etc. All they said is it was "brief" and they had "full control of the situation".

So by the sounds of it the Russians took a bit of a shortcut on the edge of our airspace, which while not nothing, doesn't really sound like something either.

Yeah. Here's deja vu from 2019. Here's an NYT report on Russian activities in the Baltic from 2020, mentioning Gotland again.

 (Gotland is an amazing place to visit, by the by, if anyone's ever taking a long holiday around Stockholm. Five hours by ferry, or a much shorter trip by plane. Especially during Medieval Week)

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7 minutes ago, Kalibuster said:

hee

 

 

That. Is. Something.  I bet a lot of us have kinda forgotten a lot of stuff, right? This is making a really big point -- though I for one, can't quite articulate it, other than among arguments I've seen advanced that more or less attempt to explain or justify Putin's fear of NATO, which is why he should be allowed to eat up Ukraine, is this might lead to an armed Germany.

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But what are Ukraine's reported casualties among its armed forces?

The Russians claim 2,800 Ukrainian soldiers killed. The US estimate was 1,500 before Friday. The Ukrainians are refusing to give out their figures for security reasons. But ~2,000 seems plausible, even if the Russian figure is probably a lot closer to 5,000 than 500. It does seem likely that many more Russians than Ukrainians have been killed, with the Ukrainians on the defensive and apparently making much better use of things like UAVs.

Also, Ukrainian sources claiming two more Su-35s shot down over Kyiv, unclear if by ground fire or Ukrainian fighters.

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2 minutes ago, Ser Scot A Ellison said:

@Werthead

The heavy snowfall occuring and predicted for Ukraine.  Good or bad for Ukrainian resistance?  Will it freeze the ground and allow a wider advance by Russian forces, freeze the crap out of both side (General Winter entering the fight for Ukraine perhaps?)

Thanks.

Considering the apparent logistical problems the Russians have faced, I don't think it will give them an advantage. The ground may freeze but if they don't have fuel they'll have to skate to Kyiv.

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7 minutes ago, Ser Scot A Ellison said:

@Werthead

The heavy snowfall occuring and predicted for Ukraine.  Good or bad for Ukrainian resistance?  Will it freeze the ground and allow a wider advance by Russian forces, freeze the crap out of both side (General Winter entering the fight for Ukraine perhaps?)

Thanks.

More useful to look at temperature projections than snowfall.  Snow can stick to a thin layer of frozen soil or even to unfrozen ground if it comes down fast enough or with a brief cold spell.

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31 minutes ago, Ser Scot A Ellison said:

That’s about as stupid as anything I’ve ever heard, if true.  

Per this article the University has backtracked: https://www.newsweek.com/college-backtracks-banning-teaching-dostoevsky-russian-1684080
 

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Nori said he had been invited by the university to deliver the four-session course on Dostoevsky, whose novels include Crime and Punishment, The Idiot, Demons and The Brothers Karamazov, starting from next Wednesday.

On Wednesday, the university released a statement on its social media accounts confirming the course would go ahead.

"The University of Milano-Bicocca is a university open to dialogue and listening even in this very difficult period that sees us dismayed at the escalation of the conflict," the statement said.

 

That they even considered it is appalling, but for a little bit of context this was an invited series of lectures, not a blanket ban of FD (from what I can gather)

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