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Ukraine 10: Lviv free


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23 minutes ago, Zorral said:

Have you watched the 2015 film, Eye in the Sky?  Drones, etc. in an operation in Kenya are operated from Creech Air Force Base in Nevada.

 

 

That works for some drones, but one of the things you'll likely see in a more modern system is a lot of EW and jamming systems designed to knock those types of connections out. You will need backups and likely more forward operating than we've seen. No offense intended to Kenya, but the Opfor there does not have the capabilities to stop internet capacity for a military.

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4 minutes ago, Ser Scot A Ellison said:

Been watching “Robotech”?

To be fair, Robotech (and Macross in particular) made a strong argument that wars in the future will be fought primarily by All Missiles All The Time.

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48 minutes ago, Werthead said:

I don't put it past the people of Kherson to be laying out the "Welcome Back!" banners and bunting even as the bullets are still flying.

If Kherson is retaken, and it is still an "if", I expect photos on par with the liberation of Paris to be flying across social media.

Of course, I also would not be surprised if there has been some confusion somewhere in the reporting or the briefing, and what the Pentagon meant was Kherson oblast not city. However, the oblast has pretty clearly already been contested for several days now.

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Another tranche from the pay-walled story of Singh - Europe's Economic Sanction on Russia.

https://www.newyorker.com/news/annals-of-inquiry/the-biden-official-who-pierced-putins-sanction-proof-economy

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.... The Western sanction on the Russian Central Bank came together in a matter of hours. On February 26th, the United States, the European Union, the United Kingdom, and Canada jointly prohibited any banks, companies, and individuals from doing business with the Russian Central Bank, and threatened anyone who violated the order with further sanctions. To those paying close attention, the formal announcement of the sanctions carried a hint of how quickly the effort had been organized: Japan, a member of the G-7, was not among the initial signatories, though it joined the pact later that day. The issue, according to the senior Biden Administration official, was that Tokyo had “the disadvantage of this happening overnight.” European regulations often have the paperweight of Bibles, but the senior E.U. official pointed out to me, marvelling slightly, that this one fit on a single page. “Democracies, if they act together and they are determined, they can be very powerful,” he said. “To me, this was the core lesson of this.”

No entity as large as the Russian Central Bank, nor so important to the global economy, had been sanctioned in modern times. (Its foreign-exchange stockpile exceeds the G.D.P. of Iran.) “That’s just unheard-of stuff,” Nicholas Mulder, a historian of sanctions at Cornell, said. To try to isolate an economy of this scale, sophistication, and entanglements, Mulder said, raised the question of whether “the consequences of an action like this can be predicted or foreseen.” Ever since 9/11, the trend in sanctions had been toward pinpoint deployments to isolate a single terrorist financier, or oligarch—freeze assets, impound a yacht, have a son leave Eton in disgrace. They had come to operate almost as alternative means to criminal justice. But a maximal sanction like this was targeting much more fundamental operations. “It basically hits an economic structure that ties together the public and private sectors of Russia,” Mulder said. It operates a bit less like criminal justice and a bit more like an act of war.

It quickly became clear that Moscow had not anticipated anything like this. Guriev, the Russian economic expert at Sciences Po in Paris, who had himself been the rector of the New Economic School, in Moscow, and a board member of Sberbank before fleeing to the West, in 2013, told me, “The leaks, the rumors that we hear, suggest that the worst-case scenario that Russian policymakers expected was a switching off of swift. That would be a problem, but the actual sanctions went much, much farther.” That assessment was confirmed on March 23rd, when Sergei Lavrov, the Russian Foreign Minister, told a group of students and faculty at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations, “When they [froze] the central-bank reserves, nobody who was predicting what sanctions the West would pass could have pictured that. It’s just thievery.” Bloomberg reported that Nabiullina, the Russian Central Bank’s governor, offered her resignation to Putin, but was ultimately appointed to a third term. According to the same report, other central bank officials have felt a sense of “hopelessness,” given that the current situation leaves “little use for their market-oriented skills and experience.” ....

 

 

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On 3/24/2022 at 12:30 PM, Kalibuster said:

Weapons? Sure. Though there may be some haggling there; remember that the US actually did have some problems giving Ukraine weapons for a while. 

Actually stationing troops overseas to defend Estonia? Good luck with that. 

We will defend NATO, each and every state, no question. It is our primary treaty.

"Along with the other two Baltic states, Estonia joined the EU and NATO in 2004, cementing its position among Western nations.Mar 13, 2022"

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Looks like Turkey and Erdogan are making a big push for peace, proposing a six-point plan which Russia seems to be aligned with on four of the points. Ukraine seems more lukewarm on those points, despite them being points on which earlier positive sounds had been made (NATO, some kind of limit on the military, collective security, legal status of the Russian language). Turkey might be taking up Ukraine's suggestion of using a UN-sponsored election or referendum to resolve the Crimea and Donbas issues.

Reportedly Erdogan said to Putin, "make an honourable exit in Ukraine and become an architect of peace."

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Mainstream news channels like CNN and NyTimes are reporting that Russian military has openly announced that it has "achieved its strategic objective to secure and protect the Donbas region in the southeast"...

....which is being taken by all as a sign that the Russians want to cut their losses and declare victory. They seem to be abandoning the entire offensive on Kyiv itself in the north.

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2022/03/25/world/ukraine-russia-war

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May the destruction of people and places stop soon.  What a waste, what a terrible waste.  How much had gone into building all those homes and buildings in Ukraine's cities, the farms in the countryside, and just like that, because some stupid man thinks he's A Man of History.

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2 hours ago, Werthead said:

7,000 people evacuated today, which is good.

France, Greece and Turkey are also presenting Russia with a plan for a mass evacuation of civilians from Mariupol.

I had to do a double-take at Greece and Turkey acting together for this. These are truly dire times...

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4 minutes ago, Toth said:

I had to do a double-take at Greece and Turkey acting together for this. These are truly dire times...

Turkey wants to keep on good terms with Russia and Mariupol has a huge Greek expat population. Quite a few managed to leave already, but some are still trapped there.

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9 minutes ago, Ser Scot A Ellison said:

BBC is reporting the Russian defense minister suffered a heart attack and is in the hospital recovering.

Quote

"Shoigu's heart attack happened after a tough accusation by Putin for a complete failure of the invasion of Ukraine," Gerashchenko wrote on Facebook, adding that he is currently "undergoing rehabilitation" in hospital.

Is..is he saying Putin gave Shoigu a heart attack through the powers of admonishment?

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