US Politics: Fate of congress hangs in the Ballots

[teej6]

After all this is done, I hope there’s some kind of introspection by the MSM of their negativity and how they wanted so badly for their narrative of a total rout of the democrats to play out. After they latched on to Afghanistan, there was no winning with the press for Biden. Any and all legislative victory he or the dems had was a footnote. I mean for goodness sake, Musk asking his sycophants to vote for republicans was front page news for them. 
 

As for the pollsters and prognosticators, they should just go with what Michael Moore is saying the next time. Maybe they’ll have better luck that way.

[Ser Scot A Ellison]

NPR has an expert from the University of Wisconsin named Dr. “Schropnoggle”.  I have to quote Chandler… is this man secretly a Fraggle?

[teej6]

So CNN is now reporting a net gain of 6 seats for the repubs — dems picked up 3 and republicans 9. 

[Ser Scot A Ellison]

3 minutes ago, teej6 said:

So CNN is now reporting a net gain of 6 seats for the repubs — dems picked up 3 and republicans 9. 

Is that a one seat margin?

[teej6]

5 minutes ago, Ser Scot A Ellison said:

Is that a one seat margin?

Yes, I think so.

[Ser Scot A Ellison]

1 minute ago, teej6 said:

Yes, I think so.

Have we had a House that tight before?

[SkynJay]

7 minutes ago, Ser Scot A Ellison said:

Have we had a House that tight before?

If it really is that tight the real question is if there is a single swing vote to be found or if the GOP holds lock step.

[Ormond]

In Nebraska, the Republicans failed in their goal to get a filibuster-proof majority in our official nonpartisan unicameral state legislature, which is very important for protecting abortion rights here. So that's another bit of good news in terms of state legislatures.

Nebraska legislative elections look to maintain same partisan divide (omaha.com)

By the way, I couldn't get myself to watch any returns last night because I had been so frightened by all the frantic fundraising emails I'd gotten the last couple of weeks from Democrats. So I didn't know Fetterman and Evers had won until an hour ago. Needless to say I am relieved though still a bit disappointed with other races. 

[Gorn]

1 hour ago, Ser Scot A Ellison said:

You think Republicans will exorcise the Trumpanistas from them?  Do you think they will walk away from that guaranteed block of votes?  I wish they would but they are to frightened of losing power or the Trumpanistas turning into a ten year seperate movement that splits off their votes.  The Republican party has its foot firmly in the Trumpanista bear trap.

Republican Party had a clear opportunity to get rid of its Trump wing permanently. All they had to do was vote "Yes" in the post-January 6th impeachment vote. They lacked the courage to do so, and they are now stuck with them for at least the next 10 years.

[Fez]

8 minutes ago, SkynJay said:

If it really is that tight the real question is if there is a single swing vote to be found or if the GOP holds lock step.

It does bring back the more fanciful outcomes like "can Democrats convince one Republican to become Speaker with all Dems voting for them?" Which is a trick they've managed to pull before at the state level. Seems unlikely, but 1 seat margin in the House is unprecedented in modern times.

Of course, there's no telling yet if that'll be the final result; still a bunch of uncalled races that could go either way.

[DMC]

18 minutes ago, Ser Scot A Ellison said:

NPR has an expert from the University of Wisconsin named Dr. “Schropnoggle”.  I have to quote Chandler… is this man secretly a Fraggle?

Hm...there's a Scot Schraufnagel, but last time I checked he was still at Northern Illinois.  He's an old teacher/advisor of mine and once docked me a point for misspelling his name.  It was pretty funny.

15 minutes ago, Ser Scot A Ellison said:

Have we had a House that tight before?

Yes.  In the 1930 midterms the Republicans won a 1 seat majority...and then 14 members-elect died before Congress started to fudge it all up.  In the 1916 elections the Republicans won 215-214, but the Dems aligned with those dastardly progressives and socialists (holding 4 seats combined) to secure a majority.

[Ser Scot A Ellison]

6 minutes ago, DMC said:

Hm...there's a Scot Schraufnagel, but last time I checked he was still at Northern Illinois.  He's an old teacher/advisor of mine and once docked me a point for misspelling his name.  It was pretty funny

The name is awesome.  

[DMC]

Just now, Ser Scot A Ellison said:

The name is awesome.  

So was it him?  If so I'll shoot him an email, he'll get a kick out of this.

[Ser Scot A Ellison]

Just now, DMC said:

So was it him?  If so I'll shoot him an email, he'll get a kick out of this.

I think so.  It was on Morning Edition this morning.  

[Ormond]

12 minutes ago, DMC said:

Yes.  In the 1930 midterms the Republicans won a 1 seat majority...and then 14 members-elect died before Congress started to fudge it all up.  In the 1916 elections the Republicans won 215-214, but the Dems aligned with those dastardly progressives and socialists (holding 4 seats combined) to secure a majority.

FOURTEEN members-elect died? Even though Congress didn't convene until March 4 back then, that is just an utterly amazing fact. If 14 US representatives today would die before March 4, 2023, Q-Anon would go completely crazy with conspiracy theories. 

[teej6]

Quote

There are at approximately 300,000 ballots left to be counted in Maricopa County, Board of Supervisors Bill Gates told "CNN This Morning" on Wednesday.

Approximately 17,000 ballots from Election Day, not including mail-in ballots, have yet to be counted, Gates said. Those ballots comprise roughly 7% of ballots that went into “Box 3,” meaning “they were not run through the tabulator there at the vote center, but they are secure and they will be tabulated in our central count facility,” Gates said.

In addition, there are 90,000 mail-in ballots that were received after Friday but before Tuesday that have not been counted, and approximately 200,000 mail-in ballots received Tuesday that also have yet to be counted, Gates told CNN This Morning. 

He noted that they do not have a precise count of how many mail in ballots were received Tuesday, but said the roughly 200,000 “all came in late last night.”

 

[Jaxom 1974]

Is the potential loss by Bobo being taken into the House calculus account? I mean, it was a potentially that was not even on Kornacki's board...

[DMC]

8 minutes ago, Ser Scot A Ellison said:

I think so.  It was on Morning Edition this morning.  

Cool, thanks.

1 minute ago, Ormond said:

FOURTEEN members-elect died? Even though Congress didn't convene until March 4 back then, that is just an utterly amazing fact. If 14 US representatives today would die before March 4, 2023, Q-Anon would go completely crazy with conspiracy theories. 

Heh.  Well, it was the Great Depression.  Gods only knows what that midterm woulda been like in the internet era.

[Ormond]

5 minutes ago, Jaxom 1974 said:

Is the potential loss by Bobo being taken into the House calculus account? I mean, it was a potentially that was not even on Kornacki's board...

It's gratifying this race is so close, but the New York Times still expects Boebert to win based on where the 10% of votes outstanding are likely to come from. 

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-colorado-us-house-district-3.html

[Ser Scot A Ellison]

5 minutes ago, Ormond said:

It's gratifying this race is so close, but the New York Times still expects Boebert to win based on where the 10% of votes outstanding are likely to come from. 

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/11/08/us/elections/results-colorado-us-house-district-3.html

I saw an indication that most of the outstanding votes are from Peublo… is that a Republican stronghold?