Makk Posted November 30, 2022 Share Posted November 30, 2022 18 hours ago, The Anti-Targ said: Do they need any reason other than Biden wants to support Ukraine, and Biden can't be given what he wants. They can differentiate themselves from the Democrats by arguing that there should be more support and that Biden is too soft on putin. Ukraine should be given abrams and f-15s and supported by cruise missile strikes. Since they're not actually responsible for it, they can argue away and not have to worry about a nuclear war. JGP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Werthead Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 hour ago, Derfel Cadarn said: Arresting anyone who protests This might be becoming less effective. Putin deployed a ton of Rosvgardia - who are usually the first sent in to arrest dissenters at home - to Ukraine where they did little other than get themselves killed because they're not front-line combat troops. Interesting to see how effective they would be at suppressing major protests, especially outside of their concentration of power in Moscow. JGP 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JGP Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 1 hour ago, Derfel Cadarn said: Arresting anyone who protests As hard consequence, sure. But Russia hasn't arrested everyone that's protested [that I'm aware of] and now a possible sway of public sentiment despite party message, for whatever that is. VPN use alone should indicate that many Russians are getting more than one signal. No way lots of people aren't talking. Putin has multiple powders getting hot in his lap. He leaned back hard on the nuclear talk when the US and China finally found their chests. NATO, the EU, anyone else, now's the time to lean in on Putin. Enact more sanctions. Draw more lines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wilbur Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 Nuclear-capable missiles in use: Ukraine war: Kyiv displays dummy nuclear-capable missile fired by Russia - BBC News Wade1865 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wilbur Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 More reporting on the original Russian plan for Ukraine. Thread by @charliekreuz on Thread Reader App – Thread Reader App Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wilbur Posted December 1, 2022 Share Posted December 1, 2022 All is not well for Russia in Crimea: Target Crimea – POLITICO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Werthead Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 Biden has said he is willing to talk to Putin if Putin is serious about peace, which is an interesting development. I don't think Putin is in a position to do that yet as his position in any such talks will be vastly weaker than it was during their meeting last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A True Kaniggit Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 What are the current betting odds that Putin has to be dead before the war ends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JGP Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 (edited) Biden also said he wouldn't do that unilateral of NATO. Edited December 2, 2022 by JGP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JGP Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 57 minutes ago, A True Kaniggit said: What are the current betting odds that Putin has to be dead before the war ends? Should we bet on the betting, no serching what it really is? I say 6:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThinkerX Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 Hype? Or something major? Russia Suffering 'Colossal' Military Losses in Intense Battle: Ukraine (msn.com) Yuriy Sak, an adviser to Ukraine's minister of defense, told CNBC Wednesday that the city, Bakhmut in the Donetsk region, was "undoubtedly one of the key hotspots at the moment" in the ongoing war. His assertion that Russia was facing major military losses, as well as other assessments, seems to undercut recent claims from a Russian-installed leader in Donetsk that Bakhmut could soon be within Russia's grasp. Denis Pushilin said on Russian television Monday that Russian forces were close to encircling Bakhmut, CNN reported. Pushilin did note that the situation in the city "remains difficult" but said Russian units were advancing regardless. Bakhmut has become a major focus in the current stage of the war in Ukraine, though Russia has been trying to capture the city for months without success. The Institute for the Study of War (ISW), a U.S. think tank, said in an assessment earlier this week that recent Russian advancements around Bakhmut do not mean that Russia will be able to fully seize it anytime soon. "Russian troops, in their current degraded state, are likely unable to be able to accomplish this task quickly," the ISW said in a report released Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Werthead Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 Bakhmut has been a bloodbath for months on end. Wagner has been bloodied heavily there, Russia poured in a load of new conscripts and apparently had to stop doing that, and then rotated the few combat-experienced troops they have from elsewhere into the city. The Ukrainians have held the lines and rolled back the Russians several times. The recent Russian advances have in fact been into areas they were driven back from weeks or months ago, and Ukraine has pulled back to shorten up the lines. I think one assessment here was that Ukraine has also suffered heavy losses, but the ratio is something like 4:1 in Ukraine's favour. Arakasi, DireWolfSpirit and JGP 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maithanet Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 3 minutes ago, Werthead said: Bakhmut has been a bloodbath for months on end. Wagner has been bloodied heavily there, Russia poured in a load of new conscripts and apparently had to stop doing that, and then rotated the few combat-experienced troops they have from elsewhere into the city. The Ukrainians have held the lines and rolled back the Russians several times. The recent Russian advances have in fact been into areas they were driven back from weeks or months ago, and Ukraine has pulled back to shorten up the lines. I think one assessment here was that Ukraine has also suffered heavy losses, but the ratio is something like 4:1 in Ukraine's favour. Bakhmut feels like Russia attempting to return to the formula that worked (sort of) this summer around Lyman and Severodonetsk. Namely, grinding, attritional warfare with heavy reliance on artillery. But the situation just isn't where it was six months ago. Russia's artillery advantage is reduced because of HIMARs, battlefield losses/wear, and ammunition shortages. Russia still has an advantage in artillery around Bakhmut, but nowhere near the lopsided numbers we saw in June. And without a huge artillery advantage, Russia has struggled to make any advances anywhere since the first month of the war. They are pouring in troops (trained and untrained) and those men are being killed in large numbers. I've no doubt Ukrainian casualties are significant too. Russia seems utterly out of ideas on how to win this war from a military perspective. They are basically just betting that Russia can endure longer than the Ukrainians can. This war will leave both countries utterly ruined. Werthead and Matrim Fox Cauthon 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThinkerX Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 4 hours ago, Maithanet said: Russia seems utterly out of ideas on how to win this war from a military perspective. They are basically just betting that Russia can endure longer than the Ukrainians can. This war will leave both countries utterly ruined. No great surprise, given that Russia is a kleptocracy. That said, rebuilding a ruined Ukraine is doable. A ruined Russia, though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kalbear Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 Ukraine was hit with a ransomware attack that actually just went and nuked data earlier this year. Now someone is using basically the same bit of ware to go after Russian cities: https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2022/12/never-before-seen-malware-is-nuking-data-in-russias-courts-and-mayors-offices/ Quote CryWiper bears some resemblance to IsaacWiper, which targeted organizations in Ukraine. Both wipers use the same algorithm for generating pseudo-random numbers that go on to corrupt targeted files by overwriting the data inside of them. The name of the algorithm is the Mersenne Vortex PRNG. The algorithm is rarely used, so the commonality stuck out. CryWiper shares a separate commonality with ransomware families known as Trojan-Ransom.Win32.Xorist and Trojan-Ransom.MSIL.Agent. Specifically, the email address in the ransom note of all three is the same. JGP and DireWolfSpirit 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JGP Posted December 2, 2022 Share Posted December 2, 2022 I feel like the cyber games going on over this conflict should be larger and much more prevalent, but what do I know. Way more of this please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spockydog Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 On 12/2/2022 at 12:26 AM, A True Kaniggit said: What are the current betting odds that Putin has to be dead before the war ends? Well, if the reports that he fell down some stairs, shitting himself in the process, are actually true, I'm guessing the odds aren't particularly long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A True Kaniggit Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 50 minutes ago, Spockydog said: Well, if the reports that he fell down some stairs, shitting himself in the process, are actually true, I'm guessing the odds aren't particularly long. They shortened you mean. My post came before that rumor started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ser Scot A Ellison Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 The Russians don’t have anything like the ability to reinforce their troops in Transnistria… right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A True Kaniggit Posted December 3, 2022 Share Posted December 3, 2022 Ha. Population 4,70,000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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