The Sunset King

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  1. It is no coincidence that Stannis will be leading the Battle of Ice while Daenerys and co fight the Battle of Fire. Both events will be important milestones in lead each character to their impending destinies. Stannis is trying to navigate and survive a wintery world. If successful, he will have a significant headstart over competitors. Additionally, he may learn more about the ancient magical forces that operate in the North and at the Wall especially.
  2. It might be possible that a new Night's King will not be quite as bad as the original one is popularly portrayed in Westeros (or at least the North; is the legend well known outside of that region?). The issue of Melisandre's true appearance is very interesting, kind of like Euron's mysterious eye. There must be a considerable amount to the backstory that Melisandre has declined to divulge so far.
  3. [TWoW Spoilers] Barristan

    Euron's plan only really makes sense if he is series about marrying Daenerys or using the horn to gain control of a dragon. The Essos trek is too elaborate and wasteful of resources (if neither of those were true) to simply be a way of disposing of Victarion. Somehow Euron expects the scheme to work in his favor and was either counting on poison killing Victarion or Victarion walking into a trap. Moqorro was unexpected and increasing Victarion's chances but that does not guarantee Euron will not be the one to profit. Either their is something about the horn that makes Euron extraordinarily confident about sending it with the Iron Fleet or he is secretly travelling to Essos. Given the claim that "all of Euron's gifts are poisoned," it is obvious that Victarion's interactions with the dusky woman are extremely dangerous. It is even possible that Euron took on her glamored appearance or that he somehow is coming to Essos as well (perhaps explaining the "corpse on the prow of a ship"). If Euron does end up at Mereen, he may have to dipose of Moqorro to avoid having the red priest contaiminating Daenerys's views of himself. Moqorro basically views Victarion as a tool and ally to help Daenerys; even with the horn he is not that dangerous to her. However, Moqorro already has heard enough from Victarion about Euron to be suspicious of the other squid and cannot risk trusting Daenerys's fate to Euron. He may already have put two and two together with the flame visions that showed threats to Daenerys. Another possibility is that Euron will try to lull his enemies into a false sense of security on a massive scale by allowing Daenerys and Victarion to unite together, bidding his time until they reach Westeros. At that point, he would try to assassinate Victarion and capture/enslave Daenerys. However, the chances of success in such a matter would likely be slim and like a pipe-dream. It would be an enormous gamble. Another thing that lends credence to the idea that Euron knows exactly what the deal with the horn is stems from the fact that he was aware precisely of the consequences of having it blown at the kingsmoot; that was not an experiment. His journeys in Asshai and meetings with mages all over the world may have radically increased Euron's level of knowledge about such artifacts. The question is whether events will thwart his plan or whether he will temporarily triumph. There is also the question of wth happened to his eye.
  4. Rickon, the Black Wolf.

    Definitely seems like Rickon and Osha are on track to come back with Davos. The possibility that Rickon has been deeply influenced by the society he has encountered on Skagos makes the scenario of him ruling more intriuging. Manderly may be surprised upon learning of what kind of liege lord Seaworth smuggled back, lol. If it is indeed true that cannibalism is occasionally practiced on Skagos, then it is in the realm of possibility that Rickon has already engaged in it. Not a certainty at all, of couse, but still could be the case. If some Skagosi warriors do decide to join Rickon/Davos/Osha in the Northern mainland, they might exhibit interest in devouring the corpses of the Boltons. This would be a problematic request/interest though, as cannibalism is generally treated as illegal in the Seven Kingdoms (Skagos does not appear to truly count as part of those seven, despite the history of intervention from the North). Rickon probably will be more receptive to wildling ways than most other northerners. If the influences on him emanating from Skagos are as strong as popular theory holds, he is likely to end up behaving somewhat like the past kings of Winter. Not as Eddard like as the other Starks; perhaps slightly harsher than Stannis. Another point of interest is what manner of religion is practiced on Skagos. Is it the same as the northerners/wildlings? If so, perhaps the rite of offerings to weirwoods is still in vogue there. Rickon may attempt to convince the northern lords of a perceived need to reinstate blood offerings taken from enemy captives to these trees. This could give the weirwood sacrifice revival a further boost, beyond already what may be shaping up around the Battle of Ice.
  5. There are various possibilities as to what mechanism would cement Stannis as the Night's King, if he does end up becoming a new one. The restoration of the Nightfort as an expedited, brisk speed, seems quite important. Given the numerous negative events which allegedly occurred there, it is perhaps the single most likely location for a potentially definitive transformation of Stannis into a Night's King or Day's King. Perhaps Melisandre, acting either the original Corpse Queen in disguise, or some new kind of being similar to that ancient individual, will lie with Stannis again while within the Night Fort. Recall that the Wall is very enchanted and magically charged, thus it might strengthen Melisandre's magical effect to a qualitative level different from her past activities with Stannis. This might produce some further changes in his mind and body. Given the House of the Undying vision involving the "slayer of lies," it is possible that Stannis will literally cease to cast a shadow at some point in the story. Another possibility would be that the Others besiege the Wall for a while and somehow Stannis becomes trapped in the Nightfort. Then, something very strange happens when the Others break in or perhaps attempt to communicate with him. Out of all the past stories involving the Nightfort, the Night's King one has by far the most present parallels and chance of recurring.
  6. Who will win the battle of Winterfell?

    I might have to check again, but I seem to recall that the Others do cast shadows or that characters have mentioned seeing them (might have been in a Bran chapter with Coldhands or the Varamyr prologue?). Either that or the Others were being metaphorically described as shadows. Neverthless, given that a lot of the books' visions just outright happen directly as seen, it seems perhaps more likely than not that the king in question literally is not casting a shadow (not only symbolism), either due to some physical/magical abnormality or perhaps due to something strange and significant plot-wise with the lightning in the vicinity. It would indeed be interesting to know whether his sword is casting a shadow somewhere on the ground in that scene. That would give some clues as to what range of weirdness is being conveyed there. Perhaps the Others are different from the legends about vampires and undead where sometimes this beings either have no reflection or no shadow.
  7. Who will win the battle of Winterfell?

    The most likely reason why Stannis would fake his death is to get inside of Winterfell without having to risk conducting a conventional assault or a siege. The ability of Stannis and his allies to send false letters would make any such effort easier substantially than it otherwise would be, provided that the events which transpire on the battlefield can be sufficiently obscured. If the Boltons actually depart Winterfell for the Dreadfort after hearing of Stannis's supposed death, they are done and have committed suicide, no matter how they divide/consolidate their forces. Roose is cunning but not invincible. The constant pressure from the infighting among his forces and the excursions repeatedly commited by Mors Umber are starting to unnerve him. Given how Ramsay signs the pink letter as the supposed trueborn lord of Winterfell, there is a fairly decent chance that Roose has died by that point, perhaps killed by Ramsay himself or by Mance.
  8. Who will win the battle of Winterfell?

    Given that Roose Bolton in part based sending large forces from Winterfell to attack Stannis's position on the notion that Karstark's map would provide a perfect chance to stage a fatal strike, the Boltons are in for an atrocious surprise. None of them are aware that Stannis discovered the treachery, knows that a map of his location was sent to Winterfell, and is aware of an impending assault. This means that Stannis will likely have enough time to prepare and deploy his forces appropriately. Furthermore, his forces, although very low on supplies, have higher morale and actually are dedicated to their cause. By contrast, the portion of the Bolton army that is coming is led mostly by ineffective commanders (the only decent one, Manderly, is 100% disloyal to their cause) and is rife for defections/betrayals. The mutual hatreds that Roose wanted to channel toward fighting Stannis and sacrifice so as to debilitate Stannis's host will outplay itself on the battlefield with the three components unable to coordinate or cooperate effectively. It would be extremely difficult for Ramsay to salvage this situation; he most likely won't and hence writes the infamous pink letter as an act of desperation. As Stannis, notes, Roose has blundered by wasting his advantageous position through the throwing away of a good portion of his force on an attack predicated on factors that have been reversed to work in Stannis's favor. The Bolton numerical advantage is being vitiated in this attack and, consequently, this conflict will Winterfell much more vulnerable soon.
  9. Robb's openess to the likelihood that the letter told the truth was probably similar to that of a large portion of the North's population. One reason is that it provided what appeared to be a powerful explanation was to why Jon Arryn died and about why Eddard Stark was executed (the complete lack of evidence pertaining to LF's involvement would make it seem even more like the Lannisters were essentially the sole party responsible for the deaths of both eminent characters). Good point also about the fact that one of the preachers in King's Landing during ACOK openly sermonized about the incest and argued that a usurper (Joffrey) was in possession of the Iron Throne. It is difficult to tell how much of Westeros believed the letter, however it did have some impact, at least among those that had other motives also encouraging opposition to the Lannisters. Aegon's team may believe and foster the incest thesis once they become aware of it. Varys now has every motive to encourage and spread the belief.
  10. This is an extremely intriguing and intricately thought thesis. What if, instead of the North not wanting to send forces south yet and suggesting to wait until the winter ends, the catalyst for a dramatic change in Stannis is the murder of his wife and daughter at the Wall? He would surely go into a berserk rage and obliterates those responsible. Or, less likely, Melisandre also dies (perhaps Others begin raiding the Wall during the probable fighting) after putting up a vigorous resistance against the chaos there. At this point, he somehow proceeds to convert/transform into the Night's King at the Night's Fort. It does seem that parallels between Robert/Rhaegar and Stannis/Daenerys might unfold, though some of their roles could be reversed in this case (depending on who holds the Iron Throne if the two clash). The biggest difficulty is who would act as the Corpse Queen (Melisandre, Someone else, No one?) and how hard would it be to force Stannis to such a set of events that would lead to becoming a Night's rather than Day's King. Perhaps a conversion to the Northern religion would help set the preliminary stage for him being open to such a possibility. Jon Snow is also a possibility as to a new Night's King.
  11. Dawn = Lightbringer

    Yes, seems very likely that Stannis's sword has a ruby on the hilt. It is very possible that her magic was also enhancing the weapon and not just keeping the glamor on Rattleshirt. The idea that the weapon drinks and absorbs power is kind of neat though.
  12. Dawn = Lightbringer

    It would. Azor Ahai Arya, lol, that would be indeed interesting. Especially if she resumed training in the bravo style.
  13. Dawn = Lightbringer

    I seriously doubt that any of the existing Valyrian steel blades is somehow Lightbringer. That would face some difficulty making sense. Longclaw is an improbable candidate and the only thing in favor of Ice is if Jaime or Brienne is AA. Dawn seems important and peculiar but is only not much more likely than those two. If an actual sword that is deemed "Lightbringer" appears, what may happen is that Gendry (if he is AA) will forge it in a similar fashion as to have Azor Ahai did. The only way it could match in a literal fashion is if a smith creates it. Otherwise, it is at most going to be metaphorical. If there is a literal Lightbringer sword it is going to be charged with blood and death. There is a strong chance though that a new Lightbringer will not be a literal sword. There is the dragon = Lightbringer theory. Besides the traditional arguments in favor, one thing that kind of boosts that theory is the way in which the books describe the dragonfire killing one of the slavers. This death seems to have a strong match to what happened when Lightbringer allegedly was plunged into a monster; the eye melting part was prominent in both descriptions, disgusting as that may be. Although Stannis's sword probably is not Lightbringer.... there is the strange fact that it has started growing brigher in ADWD. During the burning of Rattleshirt, the sword was brighter than it ever had been in the past, so bright that those present had difficulty looking directly at it. Jon wondered if that was the power of king's blood. Though a king was not killed there, perhaps sacrifices of blood through fire are gradually strengthening his sword, whatever its true origins? At first it seemed like it might just be a glamored weapon but maybe there are enchantments that are slowly make it more useful than is generally believed.
  14. The Winds of Winter is Going to be a BLOODBATH

    Tyrell deaths of some kind of virtually certain in TWOW but it is hard to tell which ones they may be. Mace has good chances of ending the book as a corpse while there is some risk for Margaery as that would have massive implications and consequences for the story's direction. Loras, even if he was unharmed or never went to Dragonstone, has a decent chance of dying through some means. Willas is not likely to die though.
  15. The Winds of Winter is Going to be a BLOODBATH

    Connington is at severe risk and has a substantial probability of dying soon. Some of the Greyjoys certainly must die but it is not clear which ones. I suspect that either Euron will dispose of Victarion or Victarion will usurp Euron's position in the Daenerys plan but that one of them will survive some way into TWOW. Of the other three Greyjoy POVs, some will die but one or maybe two will probably endure. Daenerys is not going to die in TWOW barring some hugely unexpected twist. However, it is entirely plausible that she will die in the final book. There is decent chance she survives it all though. Jon Snow has reasonable chances of surviving the entire series. Perhaps a bit higher than Daenerys. There is some risk that the plan is to make their continued existences mutually exclusive: either he survives or she does. Rickon will probably never die; the only purpose it would really serve is to get rid of his claims to Winterfell. Sansa has some of the best odds of surviving the series. She is one of the least likely characters to die. Arya is also unlikely to die but not as unlikely. I think that she is going to get even more enmeshed in the Faceless Man business before possibly ditching them. Bran will most likely survive but may never come back south of the Wall. In any case, he will at least survive TWOW, even if he does not have many chapters. Cersei will certainly die; it is only a matter of how long it takes. Roose, Ramsay, and many Freys are marked for guaranteed death. Qyburn will probably die at some point, possibly in TWOW. Davos probably will survive quite a while longer. Hard to tell about his longer term prospects, though. Will probably die heroically if he dies at all. Melisandre is not going to die immediately. She has many secrets to reveal and probably has some hidden plot significance that has not yet been unleashed. Has considerable chance of dying though once the uanswered questions about her are answered and once her end game has initiated. Stannis and Aegon both have decent chances at taking the throne. Both have considerable risk of death upon said throne though. Especially Aegon. Hopefully Jorah Mormont survives and has a reconcilliation with Daenerys, rejoining her Queen's Guard. Far from certain that he will make through the series though. Varys and Littlefinger are likely to die at some point. Particularly Littlefinger. Jaime or Brienne may die but there is a considerable chance that one of them survives until deep into the final book.