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  2. Rippounet

    U.S. Politics: Next-ennials vs stamps

    I'd written a long text to try to explain why this is wrong, but I don't think I'll convince anyone who isn't already, so I'll just say that in the current context, such thinking is very dangerous.
  3. As a youngster, CB was in a goth boy band called the Bubonic Plagues.
  4. Free Northman Reborn

    Valyrian activity in the North

    Theon Stark lived during the height of the Andal invasion. He also is stated to have “raised a fleet” to invade Andalos after Argos Sevenstar’s failed invasion of the North, which suggests that the Starks didn’t have a significant fleet at the start of his reign. He then also invaded the Three Sisters and landed an army in the Fingers, strongly suggesting that he participated in the War across the Water. Given that this war by default required the Starks to have a strong fleet (the Arryns had hundreds of longships by comparison, and the two sides appeared evenly matched in this 1000 year conflict), it is unlikely that Theon lived in the middle or latter part of this war, else he would have had a fleet already and would not have had to build a new one to invade Andalos. Placing Theon Stark during the Rape of the Three Sisters makes a lot of sense. It aligns with the Andal invasion, and provides sufficient time for a protracted War across the Water until the Manderly arrival and the construction of White Harbor made the Starks lose interest in the Three Sisters 1000 years ago.
  5. (Hello, new incarnation) I feel sure that Gendel and Gorne story is going to come to something, in light of Bran/Hodor's explorations... what, exactly, I don't know.... Yes, except Varamyr adds a wrinkle by saying... "But the joining works both ways, warg. Orell lives inside me now, whispering how much he hates you" ... In Varamyr the man, not just when he skinchanges the eagle. ... So if my Greenseer X speculation proves out, Jon's "intuition" could be enhanced greatly once he joins fully with Ghost. ...??... I'm, oh ... 99.9% with you on Bran and time travel ... but because GRRM allows for the possibility (albeit incorporeal), there is a chance someone may try to make some alterations , or may have done at some time. ... but if so, my bet is that it's to disastrous effect. Martin loves to be incongruous in so many ways. "Dogmatist" crossed neither my lips, nor the tips of my fingers. I didn't intend for you to take my comment personally. But I see you haven't been on this site very long, unless you're a long time lurker or under a new ID... so let me explain. I've read so many of the Jojen paste threads (more than I would have thought possible) and I've engaged in discussion on quite a few. I remain unconviced, feeling the whole theory is based on very slim evidence and a lot of ghoulish supposition. Jojen is never said to have disappeared (unlike Tyrek,e.g.). I doubt there's anything new to be said that could convince me (except further input from the author) - I've already heard it all. I hate the thought of rehashing it all yet again and (politely) hope that anyone who wants to do that will start their own thread and not hijack this one. I also never said "the matter is settled". Obviously, it's not. It is settled in my opinion for now... (I may hope forever, but that's up to George-the -creator.) J.S.Mills surely cannot mean we should be open to hearing the same opinions and arguments (that have so far failed to convince us) over and over, ad infinitum, without any new evidence or logic that might change our minds. At some point, we must be entitled to form at least a tentative or interim judgement. ...There won't be any new evidence or information until GRRM writes it. When he does, it may change my perceptions and I'll be willing to discuss it . I know it's involved (as I think I alluded to at the outset) and it may raise questions (not always a bad thing) ... but for me, it solves the problem with time apparent in the last segment of Jon's ACOK dream. In this case, among others, the formula I often find most helpful in reading GRRM is Arthur Conan Doyle's - "Once you eliminate the impossible, whatever remains, no matter how improbable, must be the truth". Occam's Razor frequently loses its edge when you're reading an author so in love with incongruity, misdirection, secrets and puzzles (both short term and series spanning). Like @kissdbyfire before me, I have to say (and I paraphrase) Wow.... Your take on these novels is almost directly opposed to my own.
  6. Annara Snow

    New Elimination Game, #2: Best TV Show with a Female Lead

    Heal Sharp Objects Hurt Crazy Ex
  7. Dragon in the North

    Primetime Emmy Awards 2018

    Well, I certainly haven't seen any evidence that proves your point. The fact that the Emmy voters keep changing which actors to vote for proves my point and contradicts yours. They didn't vote for these men because their show is the most popular, they voted for them because, in their opinion, they gave the best performance that year. The Big Bang Theory is still one of the most popular comedies on tv right now, so people didn't move on, Emmy voters did. Again, this is evidence that Emmy voters are basing their votes off of their opinions, and nothing more. Otherwise, The Big Bang Theory would continue to be nominated. No need to apologize for having a conflicting opinion. I have bias as well. Yes, I agree with all of your points about what makes "START" such an amazing hour of television. However, the flaws I mentioned still stand for me, especially my disappointment that Yes, battle episodes in GOT are written very well, but it's really the technical aspects that would have elevated it above The Americans finale rather than the written ones, which is why I left it off my list. I loved how the other episodes on my list were written and fully believe they contain some of the best written scenes on television, but that's just me.
  8. Shame on me for having so many posts in Entertainment all of the sudden. I just have to comment on the Ryan Fitzpatrick presser even though that's old news now. It was truly incredible and special. His ability not to crack while looking like that was amazing, and then the "we just have to stay humble" comment sealed it. Bravo. This guy is the least Harvard Harvard guy .
  9. Today
  10. jcmontea

    Season 8: News, Spoilers And Leaks

    I personally saw the video and these people are translating it incorrectly. What he speculates about is if the people at the council reflect the distribution of power in post war Westeros. Sansa the North, Sam the Reach, the guy in the golden costume Dorne, Yara the Iron Islands, possibly Brienne the Stormlands. But he also says Dany and Jon would have the crownlanda if they are on the throne. And he is up front that the potential holes in his theory are that there is no Riverlands person present and then says maybe Arya because of the Tully connection, or maybe the other mysterious person or maybe even Davos gets it along with being Jon’s Hand. And he says maybe this is a sort of Great Council. And that is it.
  11. Rippounet

    U.S. Politics: Next-ennials vs stamps

    Ok. I hear what you're saying and understand why there would be mistrust in government. But the paradox here is that in the US it's generally believed that people who are successful in the private sector are the right people to manage the public sector. Trump's cabinet is a pretty good example of that, "draining the swamp" notwithstanding. I dunno how you can fight corruption while keeping faith in the magic of the free market, and thus value the private sector that much. One might even say that a "deep state," and by that I mean an extremely strong public sector and bureaucracy, combined with appropriate judicial oversight, would be far better at dealing with the problem. But hey, what do I know... I'm curious. What I meant by "nazi" was people who believe in a hierarchy of races, what Harari calls "evolutionary humanism." (though I have to say I dislike the terms he uses, to say the least) Technically, by that definition a government doesn't have to be totalitarian or authoritarian to be nazi. We tend to use fascism and nazism inter-changeably because historically speaking the nazis were also fascists (and still are). But if you look at the ideologies, nazism and fascism can be separated. Or to be more specific, the fascist elements of nazi ideology can be separated from its social darwinism. In fact, that's the truly terrifying thing about nazism: it's an ideology that can seduce enough people to work within what we generally see as a "democratic" framework. Because we live in representative democracies, nazis can seize power with little modification of the institutions in place. It's especially easy in countries that have a strong executive like the US and France. Arguably, you could even imagine a form of ethno-nationalism that doesn't even involve an ethnic hierarchy (or at least, not officially or openly), thus adopting nazi policies without the nazi ideology. All it takes is a global situation that is so bad that people start thinking that it's normal to favor the historically dominant ethnic group within their nation. Which might happen because of climate change, when the refugees start numbering in the hundreds of millions. I've wondered for a while now whether all this talk about walls doesn't hide an actual belief in climate change. Climate change denial only makes xenophobia more palatable. But in the next decades one could imagine political parties that advocate ethno-nationalism precisely because they believe in the worst-case scenarios resulting of climate change. That is the darkness that I fear might engulf the West. Soon. Indeed I don't see Ocasio-Cortez as coming out that strongly in favor of identity politics. It's mainly because she is latina that she is viewed as a champion of minorities. But unless I'm badly mistaken, her main message has been about defending the poor and the vulnerable generally speaking, not latinos specifically. It seems to me that, like Obama, she can use her own identity to seduce minorities without basing her message on identity politics. Paradoxical, I know, but that's what makes her such an appealing character. Basically, politicians who are themselves members of minorities could end up being the ideal champions of progressivism. Or to put it differently, politicians who are themselves members of minorities can tone down identity politics, especially if they advocate socialism. The opposite movement, that is, ethno-nationalist neo-liberalism, appears hardly sustainable in the US, given the predicted demographical evolutions. The sobering thing here, from my perspective, is that ethno-nationalist neo-liberalism can work far better in Europe. If I had to make a wild guess, I'd say trumpism should be temporary in the US. But the comparable movements in Europe will remain on the political scene for the foreseeable future.
  12. Foot_Of_The_King

    Does anyone find the existence Mountain Clans of the Vale odd?

    Very good points. You’ve changed my mind.
  13. Foot_Of_The_King

    Does anyone find the existence Mountain Clans of the Vale odd?

    This is part of what I meant in the OP. I just can’t imagine any great lord that would tolerate a large group of people living in complete autonomy on their lands. That’s not even mentioning that they occasionally raid villages and are notorious for assaulting travelers. I understand it’s difficult to defeat a resistance force using Guerrilla tactics on their own land, but it seems that over the course of time, someone would have eventually put an end to it. Either by assimilation or annihilation.
  14. I saw Arcade Fire at the Greek Theater last night, and it was as good as that sounds. They actually started by playing the entire Funeral album start to finish then took an early encore break and then came back with a mix of another 10 or so songs from the rest of their albums.
  15. This is a problem for me on shows with just American football, but I've even been watching PL too now. I don't know exactly when it happened, but European soccer is so much more accessible in the US than it used to be. I also did not realize that there was a S3 of Gomorrah. I've only done S1 and thought it was great but was a bit exhausted and didn't dive into S2 yet though I certainly still plan on it.
  16. Meera of Tarth

    New Elimination Game, #2: Best TV Show with a Female Lead

    Heal Sharp Objects Gurt Crazy ExGf Crazy Ex-Girlfriend 17- Jessica Jones 13+   Orphan Black 24  Sharp Objects 20 +
  17. Martell Spy

    U.S. Politics: Next-ennials vs stamps

    A Conservative Judge Takes Aim at Roe v. Wade in Face of a Shifting Supreme Court Judge Bobby Shepherd of the Eighth Circuit has upheld, for now, two Missouri laws restricting abortion that are virtually identical to those struck down in 2016 by the Supreme Court. https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2018/09/a-conservative-judge-takes-aim-at-roe-in-face-of-a-shifting-supreme-court/571006/
  18. larrytheimp

    U.S. Politics: Next-ennials vs stamps

    What's any of that matter? The GOP has already demonstrated, as has been pointed out ad nauseum in this thread, that they already will do anything possible to sabotage a Dem SC pick. The Dems have nothing to lose, and everything to gain from using whatever means necessary to stall this confirmation. Because no matter what they do they'll be stonewalled next time around. Whether it's accusations of pedophilia, or a refusal to even consider the nominee, the Republicans will resist kicking and screaming. It doesn't matter if the accusations are credible or not. It's a strange argument for you to make after you've defended Trump's lies as quality propaganda (I remember you describing yourself as a 'connosieur of propaganda'). If you don't believe the accusations against Kavanaugh, you must at least appreciate the pragmatic political consequences, no? The hardcore right is already convinced all major Dems are pedophiles. There is a large amount of evidence supporting this.
  19. Martell Spy

    U.S. Politics: Next-ennials vs stamps

    GOP Bill ‘Covers’ Preexisting Conditions, But May Have Million-Dollar Premium http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2018/09/gop-preexisting-conditions-bill-may-have-usd1-million-premium.html
  20. Ser Wun Wun

    Season 8: News, Spoilers And Leaks

    The vid was in Spanish, which I don't speak, so I was going off one of the translations on Freefolk. That translation used the phrase "they will be splited" to describe what Friki said. That implied a new political system to me. Maybe the translator got it wrong. Rereading my post, I did seem to imply they were holding a great council as well as conducting Tyrion's trial though, and that wasn't from the translation. My mistake. EDIT: Actually, there is another translation thread on Freefolk that does say Friki speculates that the meeting in the Dragonpit serves to distribute power in Westeros in addition to conducting Tyrion's trial. The two threads: Link1 and Link2
  21. Suttree

    U.S. Politics: Next-ennials vs stamps

    Seriously mate, super sad when upstanding individuals like Roy Moore can't even cruise the mall any more. Edit: And seeing as how your so concerned about credibility I assume you support a full investigation? We know this isn't a two person story so Mark Judge clearly needs to testify, in addition to all other corroborating witnesses. This would include Ford's and Kavanaugh's classmates, Ford's therapist, etc. By all means...let's get to the bottom of the situation for everyone involved.
  22. jcmontea

    Season 8: News, Spoilers And Leaks

    He clearly thinks its a trial.
  23. Zorral

    U.S. Politics: Next-ennials vs stamps

    You have missed that at the time this assault took place many of Dr. Blasey's classmates noted how different she now was, and that she basically just disappeared from the scene. Other of her classmates recall that at the time at the school the kids talked about it. You also seem to miss there is no statute of limitations on accusations of sexual assault against boys by Catholic priests. So why is there supposed to be one on an older boy at school assaulting a younger female classmate, hmmmmmm? Also you are missing that the rethugs are ramming this through without due process of investigation, when there is NO REASON to do so. At least no non-political reason that shows the rethugs terrified of not having a sexist, racist, cruel, corrupt and mean sexual assaulter on the SCOTUS bench for 50 years. ALSO YOU MISSED THAT THIS FELLOW HAS REPEATEDLY LIED UNDER OATH, making him unfit already, even without bringing up sexual assault, that he won't even look at a black person or shake his hand, has said disgusting things about the kids killed at Parkland -- so much else, all PROVING HIM UNFIT.
  24. Triskjavikson

    College Football 2018: Countdown to Kickoff

    That was sure a disappointing game for USC to get beat pretty badly but a slow-starting Texas. Boy, UCLA had a horrible 3rd game after looking better in game 2. Blown out by Fresno State in the Rose Bowl (although I should remind everyone that Jeff Tedford is coaching Fresno State now). Really, really weak start for Chip Kelly. Could the cupboard really have been that bare? UCLA might not be favored in another game the rest of the year...going winless seems an actual possibility unless they improve a lot.
  25. Zorral

    U.S. Politics: Next-ennials vs stamps

    Six of AZ rethug dentist candidate Paul Gothar's siblings got together and made a political message endorsing his Dem opponent, because, they know their brother is a racist. https://thehill.com/homenews/house/407832-gop-lawmakers-siblings-endorse-dem-opponent-difficult-to-see-my-brother-as
  26. Yeah, it's done. The owner was apparently telling other owners to call him directly with Butler trades. The Thibs fraud has officially been exposed, and I'm sure some dumb franchise will hire him to run them into the ground within the next few months.
  27. Altherion

    U.S. Politics: Next-ennials vs stamps

    Fear not, they can always be accused of improper behavior towards children. More seriously, I don't know how much less credible accusations can be. Consider: Despite the fact that the alleged event can only have happened more than three decades ago, the allegations only come out after the hearings are finished. Neither a concrete time nor a concrete place is specified. In fact, there is no physical evidence whatsoever. The lone alleged witness claims he recalls nothing of the sort and is confident that Kavanaugh would never do this. The accuser's own description from 2012 is of an event with a different number of witnesses. It's possible to concoct less plausible allegations by including even more disprovable details, but if the above content-free set is your idea of credible, I would like to offer you a great bargain on a bridge from Brooklyn to Manhattan that I happen to own. Trust me, President Trump would really hate it if somebody like you bought this bridge.
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