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SeanF

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About SeanF

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  • Birthday 08/18/1967

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    History, politics, law

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    Sean Fear

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  1. And once you go down that path, it's hard to stop. He can never really rest secure while either Skara or Thorn are still alive.
  2. SeanF

    UK Politics - From Russia with Love

    No doubt there are exceptions, but generally I think people do care more about people who are fellow nationals than they do about people who are not. I don't think such an outlook is either right wing or left wing, but is common across the political spectrum.
  3. SeanF

    UK Politics - From Russia with Love

    It's certainly asking quite a lot of people to place strangers' interests above their own or their families'.
  4. SeanF

    Scratching the Surface of Epic Events in AGOT

    I thought Hardhome was great. Battle of the Bastards, not so much, because both Jon and Sansa behaved like idiots. Jon drew up a sensible battle plan which he immediately disregarded, while Sansa never bothered to tell him that she had an army riding to the rescue. Cersei's destruction of the Great Sept was outstanding, as was the Field of Fire.
  5. It's hard not believe the worst of him. Did he have Skifr's family murdered, and frame his enemies for it? Did he see Brand's likely death in the raid as collateral damage?
  6. I have a question about Half a War. Was Yarvi's remorse genuine, during his final conversation with Skara, or an act?
  7. SeanF

    UK Politics - From Russia with Love

    I think that's correct.
  8. SeanF

    UK Politics - From Russia with Love

    https://whatukthinks.org/eu/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/Hard-but-not-too-hard.-Much-more-on-what-voters-want-from-Brexit.pdf My comment was specifically about free movement, and there is this article by Prof. John Curtice. At table 9, which sets out a number of "hard Brexit " positions, Nat Can found that 57% of Labour Party voters wanted to treat EU migrants the same as non-EU migrants, and 45% of them wanted to end welfare payments to EU migrants. It doesn't break down Labour voters by social class, but quite consistently in surveys, opposition towards immigration tends to be stronger among working class than among middle class voters. WRT the EU vote generally, Yougov, Ipsos Mori, and Lord Ashcroft all surveyed very large numbers of people, in order to demographically profile Leave and Remain voters. Overall, about 60% of Conservatives, and about 36% of Labour voters supported Leave, as did about 63% of voters in groups C2, D, and E. Given that the latter were 11% more in favour of Brexit than the population as a whole, and that Labour voters were 16% less in favour of Brexit than the population as a whole, I'd estimate that Labour voters from groups C2, D, and E voted about 47% or so in favour of Brexit.
  9. SeanF

    UK Politics - From Russia with Love

    That underlines the difference between middle class left wing voters, and working class left wing voters. The former like free movement, the latter don't. People like Harold Wilson and Jim Callaghan tightened immigration controls to keep the latter happy.
  10. SeanF

    Is Dany going to sack more cities?

    Sacking any town or city that offers resistance is Standard Operating Practice in this world, so the answer to this question is almost certainly Yes. I doubt if she'll be interested in Qarth. Her interests will take her Westwards, towards the Narrow Sea. Assuming that she wins over a large proportion of the Dothraki, I'd expect her forces to converge by land and sea on Volantis (which may well revolt in her favour), before moving on to Pentos. In all likelihood, she will have offered her followers the wealth of the Free Cities, to bind them to her.
  11. SeanF

    UK Politics - From Russia with Love

    Sooner or later, the Conservatives will be voted out of office. A Labour Leaver might well take the view that an incoming Labour government, unconstrained by the European Court of Justice, or the rules against State aid, would have greater freedom to implement a left wing programme than it would have within the EU. Britain is, I think, unlikely to become a tax haven. Libertarians who want to slash and burn the State are a minority even within the Conservative party, let alone Labour.
  12. SeanF

    Future of the Riverlands? Is it game over?

    The Riverlands is a very fertile and prosperous region, so its lords should derive considerable revenues. However, it has no natural frontiers, and its position in the centre of Westeros means that it frequently gets fought over. Currently, there are no more than a couple of thousand Lannister soldiers to reinforce the Freys. They face a widespread insurgency, which enjoys the active support of most of the Smallfolk, and the tacit support of most of the gentry and lords, and which has infiltrated Riverrun. The region is a powder keg, which is about to explode.
  13. SeanF

    UK Politics - From Russia with Love

    @Roose Bolton can answer for himself, however, one issue that the Labour Leave Campaign (who were big in Luton) highlighted was that the European Court of Justice is hostile towards trade unions, and routinely rule against them in employment disputes. I can see how that would annoy some left wing trade unionists.
  14. SeanF

    UK Politics - From Russia with Love

    And, there are a lot of you. About one third of Labour supporters voted Leave, and about one third of Conservatives voted Remain. Since, then there has been a shift among Labour Leavers to the Conservatives, and among Conservative Remainers to Labour, but still about 25% on each side disagree with the majority of their party. It's an issue that cuts across parties. Tony Benn and Enoch Powell disagreed about almost everything, but both wished to leave the EU.
  15. SeanF

    UK Politics - From Russia with Love

    Experts can provide facts and opinions. They can't determine how one should vote.
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