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Wethers

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About Wethers

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    Squire
  • Birthday 08/28/1970

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    tbardhan

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    San Francisco, CA, USA

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  1. Wethers

    Terrorist Attack at New Zealand mosques

    Also wanted to belatedly say that the words from both Ardern and Waleed set exactly the right tone after this attack.
  2. Wethers

    Terrorist Attack at New Zealand mosques

    Canterbury Cavalry or Cavaliers? Chargers? Could keep most of the logo. At some point, why not get a new name? I mean almost no one would think a sports team named, say, the “Riyadh Jihadists” would be a good idea even though it flows off the tongue. Why is Canterbury Crusaders any different? (And yes having a NFL team called the Washington Redskins is not good - saying this as a huge American football fan).
  3. Wethers

    US Politics: Paradise Lost

    Yep, with the Utah-4 pickup (by less than 1k), and assuming the 2 NY seats split as expected (Dem Brindisi wins NY-22 and Rep Collins, ugh, wins NY-27 where each lead their races by a couple thousand votes), that would be a +39 pickup for Dems, 234 total. It's true GA-7 has yet to be called too, and (R) Woodall's margin is less than 1k votes over (D) Bourdeaux, but it seems like a longshot given that it's Georgia (area northeast outside of Atlanta) and late-counted votes may not swing blue. Another that has been "called" already for Republicans but is going down to the wire with the even-stronger-than-usual late/absentee surge by Democrats in California is CA-21 (Fresno/Bakersfield). Incumbent (R) David Valadao had a bigger lead when the race was called, but his margin over (D) T.J. Cox has now been whittled down below 1k votes. So in summary, Dems +39, 234 total, with a chance to get to +40, 235 if either GA-7 or CA-21 flip. Underdogs in both, but I think CA-21 is maybe slightly more likely given the late-counted vote demographic in CA.
  4. Wethers

    US Politics: Paradise Lost

    I’m thinking KB meant that the thing that’s scary is that most states aren’t overwhelmingly Democratic given the state of the Republican Party. Not that most states are polarized one way or the other, which is what Scot seemed to be saying was scary. Dunno what a good analogy is. Maybe pre-Civil War saying “man it’s so scary that there are pockets of the North that seem polarized against slavery.” The real scary part was not that, but rather that there was so much of the South willing to go to war to defend slavery when the voting turned against them.
  5. Wethers

    US Politics: Dead Pimps Need Not Apply

    Arizona Senate race update as of 6:30pm Arizona time (MST) as the mail-in ballot count continues: Sinema's lead grows to a bit under 30k. Tons of ballots still remain but I'm starting to feel good about this one. Kyrsten Sinema (D): 1,048,655 (49.53%) Martha McSally (R): 1,018,823 (48.12%) As an aside, the Arizona Dem Secretary of State candidate (Hobbs) was trailing by tens of thousands a few days ago and is now within 2k of the Rep candidate (Gaynor). https://results.arizona.vote/#/featured/4/0
  6. Wethers

    US Politics: Dead Pimps Need Not Apply

    Yep. I am just one state over from Zona (Cali) and of course have been to Maricopa county many times. It has some blue parts and some very red parts, so the next batch could easily be heavily Republican. Just sayin’ to quell my early optimism...
  7. Wethers

    US Politics: Dead Pimps Need Not Apply

    Sinema now up to a 8-9k lead with more votes counted on the same site the tweet lists. (It was only a 2k lead at the time of the tweet).
  8. Wethers

    US Politics: In Through the Out Door

    Rohrabacher is going down in CA-48. Trails by 1.5% with 99% reporting. GTFO Russian asset.
  9. Wethers

    US Politics: In Through the Out Door

    Wow though. The Arizona senate race is probably going to be (maybe) a 1% R win, and over 2% of the vote went Green (as of now). So so stupid.
  10. Wethers

    US Politics: In Through the Out Door

    Dem Sisolak (D) wins Nevada governor race over Laxalt (R). And in Connecticut - wow. Ned Lamont (D) may be making a late comeback in the governor race over Stefanowski (R). Edited to add - Lamont up now slightly with 90% precincts in (most 100%), with the ones that are left being mostly urban counties like Stamford, Hartford and New Haven which are partly-counted. Would mean at least good gains overall in the governor races for the Dems.
  11. Wethers

    US Politics: In Through the Out Door

    I think the 6 states you are saying Dems are flipping (governor-wise) are: Maine, Michigan, Illinois, Wisconsin, Kansas and New Mexico. They are going to lose CT as you say. But in addition, Dems are also going to flip Nevada I think with Sisolak winning.
  12. Wethers

    US Politics: In Through the Out Door

    Seems like it's going to go down to the wire to try to get that treasonous shit-smear Dana Rohrabacher out of CA-48. Not that his Dem opponent is progressive (at all), but Orange County is a red island surrounded by blue, so I guess you take what you can get. Anyway, please let Rohrabacher get booted from Congress (probably to join the Trump admin somewhere of course).
  13. Wethers

    US Politics: In Through the Out Door

    At least Rosen (D) will likely win the senate race and Sisolak (D) the governor race in Nevada: http://www.silverstateelection.com/ Ralston has basically called it.
  14. Wethers

    US Politics: Four Days and Counting

    538 now back up above 90% for Dems to take the House. Less than 3% (my translation: 0%) to take the Senate. How many Dem Senate seats are we looking at - 46? 47?
  15. Wethers

    US Politics: Four Days and Counting

    Nathaniel Rakich of 538 echoes DMC’s out suggestion regarding the projection just now.
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