Skyrazer

Touching NG and CGT concession and anything to do with property is practically taboo in Aus. Only if the ALP become multi-term and remain popular and millenials/genZ become the clear voting majority will we then, maybe, possibly see these huge money sinks looked at again. But that's a long way away. These Super concession changes are low hanging fruit and is an easy one for the electorate to swallow as it only impacts less than 1% of the richest people. It won't be indexed according to Chalmers however which has some spooked, but of course that doesn't mean it can't and won't be adjusted down the track.

Honestly, wavering support for the voice was pretty much an inevitability. Any constitutional change is going to invite doubt and suspicion once it's on the table. Also with the Libs/Dutton acting exactly how I was expecting them to with their gaslighting the whole thing would be feeding people's doubts as well. Above is a real issue too that is going to be difficult to overcome because, to be honest, most people probably don't fully understand how parliament works in general....

Sheesh, looks like Jacinda Ardern has resigned. Haven't followed NZ politics too closely, but I know Labour have been on the nose a bit over there. Resignation seems pretty sudden (or maybe not for those who follow NZ politics a bit more).

A positive take from the Vic election though is that it has revealed how impotent the Murdoch press is becoming. The amount of vile articles the Herald Sun was releasing attacking Dan Andrews in the lead up to the election was absolutely appalling. It was even worse than the Fed election and the election result was a collective hard slap in the face for the Murdoch press. Seems we've gone past the peak for News Corp here in Aus and hopefully it's all downhill from here on out.

This Libs tried to import some of the culture-war bullshit from the US and it blew up in their faces. We just don't swallow that kind of nonsense here - people want to see real issues being addressed, not shit being made up about teachers trying to screw with kids over traditional genders in classrooms or whatever the fuck is the new RJSJW weekly outrage. I really get annoyed when some try to make things like LGBTQ crap and abortion front and center issues. It just turns people off.

Matt Guy has since stood down as leader, but I honestly don't see anyone among their ranks to step up and be an effective leader. They have absolutely nobody palatable. I hear many say they should turn to outer metro electorates, but nothing to me indicates they are really doing anything to appeal to these areas. These electorates are hungry for infrastructure and amenities and Labor is generally the party that delivers these things (while Libs are generally seen as cutters and privatisation). Many outer metro suburbs are also immigration havens and we all know Liberal's track record with immigrants is hardly flattering. They'll need to produce candidates like Dai Le to win over many of these electorates - highly active and representative of the local community. Kinda ironic that she used to be a Lib member herself before the party kicked her out .

That's what I've been saying since the Libs have been getting shitted on these past couple years at Fed and state elections. Yes, the major parties have suffered severe defeats before and eventually bounce back, but this new low for the Libs feels more than just a cyclical thing. Before, they always had their core constituents in wealthy inner-city electorates which they could rely upon to keep the party in contention. Blue ribbon seats that have produced leaders and prominent members for the party and they're starting to lose them. Even in this latest election, Labor has flipped or further consolidated in many of the eastern metro electorates and this used to be Liberal heartland and I don't see them getting these seats back anytime soon with the way they are going. Without these blue-ribbon seats producing the leaders and prominent members for the party, they have been getting hollowed out and you can see it with how bereft of talent the party is. Looking at the libs at both federal and state level, I don't know wtf they stand for anymore. Everywhere, they're flailing around looking for a reason to exist and with the continued encroachment of hard line religious conservative fundies, they seem to be producing more and more absolute stinkers of candidates lately. Not to mention the fact that we are moving away from a 2 party system which means them being a major force is no longer a guarantee like it was before. I'm not saying their extinction is a certainty, but they look increasingly on the nose with the way the county and the party itself is heading. I feel the libs completely need to overhaul themselves from top to bottom if they want to remain as the second major party to Labor because right now, they are not offering themselves as a viable alternative.

Well it's pretty much a wrap for a majority Vic Labor govt which was pretty much expected. Looks like it's mirrored the fed election in that we see swings against Lab/Lib towards Greens/indis, but Libs are coming off such a small base, it's a bad result for them.

Just voted. The number of dumb candidates running for the senate is bloody annoying. Idiots still can't get over the lockdowns and since we still run with group voting tickets here in Vic, a couple of them could end up on the senate.

Yeah fair points. AUD is heavily anchored to resource prices (especially iron ore). NZD wouldn't have such an anchor so would be more impacted my global currency fluctuations. Would NZ's households be that much less indebted then aussie households? Their house prices are similarly unaffordable to ours and I don't imagine their consumer habits would be too dissimilar at all to ours.

Oof, that's gotta sting. What's the current inflation rate in NZ?

SA Libs are dealing with the infiltration as well. Was only last year they had to purge a bunch of dodgy pentecostals from its ranks and then they wound up getting hammered at this year's state election. It's quite alarming seeing what's happening to the Libs nation wide. If I was a moderate Lib in what was once a blue-ribbon city seat, I'd seriously consider becoming a "teal" independent.

The Vic libs are absolutely worthless. Don't think I've seen an opposition this hopeless. Matt Guy is so devoid of any kind of appeal, sometimes I wonder if he's even human. The fact that he's apparently their best candidate for leader even after their thumping 4 years ago when he was also leader speaks volumes to the party's severe lack of talent. Just seems that every time they try to get an attack in on Dan Andrews (and it's always about Dan), it gets drowned out by whatever new scandal crops up within their own party. First the IBAC referral over the 100k payment and then all the toxic shit coming out about many LNP candidates and how the party seems to be overrun by religious fundamentalists is all not helping. If they were actually somewhat decent, they'd have a pretty good chance of ousting Labor as many are somewhat over Daniel Andrews. Victoria is a fairly left-leaning state and with the way things are going here, the Greens are eventually going to become the main opposition if the Libs don't get their shit together. If NSW goes Labor at next year's election, we'll probably hit peak Labor I reckon.

My knowledge on legal proceedings is rather limited, but I believe the decision to hold a non-jury trial is up to the accused? If correct, I somewhat doubt Lehrmann will opt for a non-jury trial. I work in a court (but not in any kind of legal capacity) and a colleague told me that accused parties pretty much never opt for Judge-only trials.

With how much publicity there is around the case and the amount of public furore it's brought in its wake, the case was always going to be highly susceptible to mistrial. The fact it had to be delayed after the Wilkinson fiasco as well shows how difficult it will be keep the trial as fair and objective as possible.