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Sam will be assassinated and replaced


Fai

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This is the 2nd x in less then a week I have seen this ridicules theory. 2 (out of many) of the major flaws in it



1.Jaqen left for Oldtown 2 books before Sam left the Wall. So unless he is clairvoyant, his target couldn't be Sam, but if he is clairvoyant then why wouldn't...



2.He would have gotten to Sam when he was in Braavos where the Faceless men come from.


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This is the 2nd x in less then a week I have seen this ridicules theory. 2 (out of many) of the major flaws in it

1.Jaqen left for Oldtown 2 books before Sam left the Wall. So unless he is clairvoyant, his target couldn't be Sam, but if he is clairvoyant then why wouldn't...

2.He would have gotten to Sam when he was in Braavos where the Faceless men come from.

Go read the Jaqen is Pate theory. Jaqen -> Alchemist -> Pate

Sam already made contact with Jaqen in aFfC

"Show me your face."

"As you wish." The alchemist pulled his hood down.

He was just a man, and his face was just a face. A young man's face, ordinary, with full cheeks and the shadow of a beard. A scar showed faintly on his right cheek. He had a hooked nose, and a mat of dense black hair that curled tightly around his ears.

Jaqen passed a hand down his face from forehead to chin, and where it went he changed. His cheeks grew fuller, his eyes closer; his nose hooked, a scar appeared on his right cheek where no scar had been before. And when he shook his head, his long straight hair, half red and half white, dissolved away to reveal a cap of tight black curls.

Arya's mouth hung open. "Who are you?" she whispered, too astonished to be afraid. "How did you do that? Was it hard?"

He grinned, revealing a shiny gold tooth. "No harder than taking a new name, if you know the way."

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To be honest, I find the idea of Sam, Jaime, Euron, or Theon dying early and maybe even at all in The Winds of Winter to be absurd.

I appreciate your honesty, but respectfully disagree. Sam is a minor character, and expendable. So is Jaime, Euron and Theon. The major POV characters (still living) are Arya, Sansa, Tyrion, Dany, Bran and Jon. And even they are not safe.

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Alternatively, it could make for some interesting story if:



Oldtown gets sacked by the Ironborn, but Sam manages to locate, and escape with the one thing both Jaqen and Euron are really searching for. Same escapes Euron's grasp with the help of "Pate", whom Sam has already correctly deduced to be a FM (but doesn't reveal that knowledge until -much- later), while Euron's men provide enough interference for Sam to also escape Pate/Jaqen. You can have chapters of Sam fleeing back north through the Reach (which could be under siege from Aegon/Dorne, in order to reach his father/Gilly), and then both of them pushing towards King's Landing as it becomes besieged by Aegon, Dorne, and Daenarys... At the sack of King's Landing, Sam can get his archery kill and have some kind of reckoning or reconciliation with his father, and reveal he always knew who/what "Pate" was, killing him (potentially with a bow).. With "Pate"/Jaqen dead, the FM send someone who knows Westeros/ knew Jaqen to finish his contract, and Arya gets a plot reason to join the Westeros story.



This would could give some of the best suspense/action oriented sequences in the entire book, as it puts Sam in 3 of the potentially biggest conflict areas in all of Westeros, and has him desperately trying to survive/get whatever he finds at the Citadel back to the wall while dodging Euron's death squads and one of the most dangerous assassins in Planetos. It would also give GRRM an excuse to do over arching plot reveals on Dragons, White Walkers, Songs of Ice and Fire etc, as Sam tries to explain what is happening to Gilly (since it would also be one of the first times you really would get a chance to see what the Maesters know that others don't). Finally, it sets Sam up for a giant hero/redemption arc that could possibly culminate with his death, as well as the triumphant return of Arya to plot significance (especially if she is the one to kill Sam, Sam recognizes her before he dies, and it directly or indirectly leads to a Jon/Arya reunion)


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