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About Alexis-something-Rose

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  1. I think we're in for a triangle very similar to the whole Elia/Rhaegar/Lyanna. If anything Elia Sand will give Jon Connington some sleepless nights and interesting flashbacks to help flesh out what happened between Rhaegar and Lyanna. I'm most definitely in the camp that believes that Aegon will fall in love with Elia. Accomplished horsewoman and a jouster. She isn't going to end up in Aegon's vicinity just because.
  2. When you speak in riddles, you can claim you were right about things even if you're not. But Quaithe is manipulating Dany. Quaithe tells Dany about the people coming to Meereen seeking her out (gets a couple of them wrong) but doesn't tell her a single thing about the people waging war against her inside the city. That's after 9 people were killed, after Dany has locked up her dragons. But she warns her about people who aren't going to be in Meereen for months. Sounds about right.
  3. I doubt Pycelle had anything to do with the Targaryen children dying. Pycelle isn't brave enough to do what's suggested. Personally, I'm more inclined to believe that whatever happened at Summerhall with the sorcery affected Rhaella. But beyond that, we know what the boys she gave birth died from SIDS. As far as Elia goes, there's absolutely nothing in the text that suggests that she had problems with her pregnancies. Elia's problem wasn't that she couldn't get pregnant, or that she wasn't able to carry to term. She had two kids inside two years. Elia's problem was giving birth because her health was fragile. She was bedridden for 6 months after Rhaenys was born and Aegon's birth almost killed her and put an end to her being able to have children.
  4. I think the biggest argument against it being Howland Reed is Jojen and what he says. "There was one knight," said Meera, "in the year of the false spring. The Knight of the Laughing Tree, they called him. He might have been a crannogman, that one." "Or not." Jojen's face was dappled with green shadows. "Prince Bran has heard that tale a hundred times, I'm sure." Meera, the playful of the two siblings is teasing that it might have been the crannogman who was the mystery knight, but Jojen, the serious of the two essentially implies that Bran already knows who the mystery knight is because he's heard the story a hundred times, which is where the "or not" comes from. I think this is the part that debunks Howland Reed as the mystery knight. The helm could have come from anywhere. We know there are knights that went to try and find Greywater Watch only to drown. We're told that a couple of pages or so before Meera starts her story.
  5. I think he's neither friend nor foe. I think he's just a man on a mission. Moqorro got on the Qhoran even though he knew it would never reach its destination. He was floating in the sea for 10 days before he was fished out by an ironborn ship. I think he and Benerro used their visions to plan his course, and that Moqorro is still doing just that. I think he'll use Victarion for his own ends and when he has no use for him, he will drop him. Dany is his endgame because of the prophecy. I think it will be interesting how he uses his visions going forward once he has connected with Dany. Is he going to lie about what he sees to make her do what he feels needs to be done?
  6. I don't think Jon Arryn knew. If he suspected, then Ned and Jon were out of his reach all the way at Winterfell.
  7. I know. What an odd thing to say about a woman who was allegedly raped. The kidnapper/rapist should be burning in hell for what he's done to the girl, not being with her in the afterlife. Like imagine having to spend eternity with the person who tormented you. I think Robert knows what the truth is and chose to live in denial about it because it makes him feel better about himself. It's an ego thing, plus he won the war, so he gets to say whatever he wants about Rhaegar. It's not like he's there to defend himself anymore. But I think that moment that you pointed out to is an acknowledgement that there is so much more to the story than what we know. Right off the bat, there are two conflicting stories. Dany thinks about her brother who died for the woman he loved at least a couple of times that I remember, while Robert talks about killing Rhaegar for what he did to Lyanna. Who are we supposed to believe? The 13 year old who got the story from Viserys who was a 7 year old at the time of the events or the grown man who fought and killed the one he has named a kidnapper and a rapist? I think that the passage you quoted is the closest to honest that we got from Robert about the whole Rhaegar/Lyanna situation.
  8. Jaime is interesting and I am certain he has a huge role to play in the Long Night. Him and Brienne both. Brienne with her House's sigil and the Tarth lords being called "Evenstar" makes her even more interesting than Jaime. In Jaime's weirwood dream, IIRC, I think his sword gutters out while hers is still burning. But I think the objects are connected to the three heads of the dragon. One is the sword, one is the shield and one is the horn. That's why the dragon must have three heads. I'll PM you the link to the essay once I post it to my blog.
  9. I think the Dayne are the custodians of the sword. I think the sword itself belongs to the NW and that they are supposed to return it and that it will still have to be wielded by someone who is worthy of the sword. So I've been writing a follow-up essay to the one on the sword. This one is on the horn and I noticed a couple of things. The first thing is that there are three objects mentioned in the NW vows. I am the sword in the darkness. I am the watcher on the walls. I am the fire that burns against the cold, the light that brings the dawn, the horn that wakes the sleepers, the shield that guards the realms of men. The non italicized lines are straight up about the Long Night. But the sword, the horn and the shield are the objects mentioned. And yes, we are supposed to take them as metaphors, however, we know there is a sword and we know there is a horn, so I'm guessing that there must be a shield as well. If Dawn is the sword, then the sword is at Starfall. And if the horn mentioned in the vows is the one that Jon found at the Fist of the First Men, then the horn is also in the south, with Sam, at Oldtown. Geographically, this is the closest the horn and the sword have been to one another in 8,000 years. And I think that's pretty damn important. If there's a shield, then it hasn't been introduced yet and we don't know where it is. But given the number three shenanigans throughout the story, it makes sense that there should be a third object.
  10. I think that the bolded part is especially true. I don't know about the weirwood metaphors, though. I've always had it in mind that one of the criteria of becoming Sword of the Morning was to be born under a white star. What I'm getting from the story is that the Long Night lasted a generation, so the sword might have changed hands during that time. What I'm also getting is that the tale of Galladon of Morne isn't just some story and that it is most likely tied to Dawn. Moving his story from Tarth to Essos gives us something super fascinating. I would also like to point out that dawn isn't just the daybreak. It's also a woman's name. Different continents/regions/cultures breed different names that do mean the same thing.
  11. I wrote an essay about this that can be found here. The broad strokes of the essay is that ACoK has all this connective tissue between different POVs, where the comet is identified to either dragons (and this begins in Dany's last chapter in AGoT right before she hatches her dragons), and with swords. And it all bleeds into each other. GRRM arranged his chapters in a way that tells a story. Dany calls the comet the "Dragon's Tail" (Daenerys X, AGoT 72) Melisandre calls the comet "Dragonsbreath" (Prologue, ACoK) Gendry calls the comet the Red Sword (Arya I, ACoK 1) Arya can see the sword, and thinks about what Ice would have looked like with her father's blood on it (Arya I, ACoK 1) So this is literally at the end of Dany X, in AGoT and the start of ACoK. Gendry calls the comet the Red Sword before we ever hear about the Red Sword of Heroes and Arya identifies the comet as a bloody sword and thinks of her father. And yes, Ned was sacrificed. And when we know the story of Lightbringer, then Arya's thoughts 100% fit. Servants call the comet the Dragon's Tail (Sansa I, ACoK 2) Old Nan says the comet has to do with dragons (Bran I, ACoK 4) We get the story of the forging of Lightbringer, the Red Sword of Heroes (Davos I, ACoK 10) And out of nowhere, right after Bran listens to a song about The Night That Ended, he thinks about his father telling him about Dawn being forged from the heart of a fallen star and Bran goes to bed hoping to dream of knights wielding swords that shine like starfire (Bran III, ACoK 21) This is all in the very early chapters of ACoK. If the comet is connected to both dragons and swords, what would people 8,000 years ago call a sword that was forged from the heart of a fallen star? I think they might call it dragonsteel. All of this connects back to Waymar Royce's stand against the Other who was examining his sword attentively. And it connects that massacre at the Fist of the First Men with that Azor Ahai / Lightbringer imagery we get with Thoren Smallwood right before his head gets taken off by the undead bear.
  12. I think you're wrong about this. I think the greenseers take on appearances when entering someone's dream without really being aware of what they look like. When Jon and Bran connect in ACoK, Bran appears to Jon as a three-eyed weirwood.
  13. No. Not from what we've been given as far as I can tell, although there's that line about Rhaegar being told that Elia would not bear anymore children after Aegon's birth. I really don't think the dots would be that hard to connect for Jon Connington. I think Septa Lemore is key here to confirm that piece of information.
  14. A short of post about Jon Connington possibly having knowledge of Jon Snow. "No man could have asked for a worthier son," Griff said, "but the lad is not of my blood, and his name is not Griff. My lords, I give you Aegon Targaryen, firstborn son of Rhaegar, Prince of Dragonstone, by Princess Elia of Dorne." (The Lost Lord, ADwD 24) It's the firstborn son that always nagged me, so I decided to waste some time and go see the mentions of firstborn son. And every character who has been mentioned as being the firstborn son had a younger brother. Marq Piper has a younger brother. Jaime Lannister has a younger brother. Aenys I Targaryen had a younger brother. Jaehaerys, Aegon II's son, had a younger brother. Robert referred to as firstborn son, has two younger brothers. Everybody knows that Rhaegar had two children. Rhaenys and Aegon. But to call Aegon Rhaegar's firstborn son when he is supposedly his only son is a really interesting turn of phrase.
  15. My go-to thread for thing I know people don't give an ish about and will not bother reading, especially when it's anything that challenges the notion that Young Griff being a Blackfyre. Two things I noticed. So the first one, I already posted about in this thread sometime ago. It's the new arrangement of visions in the chapter following Dany's visit at the House of the Undying. "A dead man in the prow of a ship, a blue rose, a banquet of blood . . . what does any of it mean, Khaleesi? A mummer's dragon, you said." (Daenerys V, ACoK 63) So this conversation new arrangement was inserted in the middle of a focused conversation about the dragon has three heads and the prince that was promised. So GRRM essentially trims all the fat and leaves us with Dany reflecting on Rhaegar's words. At first, I wasn't really sure why he would insert a different arrangement. But then I was writing an essay about the dragon having three heads and going over a few things that relate to that when I revisited this passage and I realized what GRRM did. While the identity of the dead man in the prow of the ship is a point of contention, the rest of the passage quoted above is not. The blue rose is an indirect reference to Jon Snow. The banquet of blood is an indirect reference to Robb Stark. The mummer's dragon is an indirect reference to Young Griff who has been revealed to be Aegon Targaryen. So GRRM basically referred to Jon Snow and Young Griff in a conversation about the three heads of the dragon and the prince that was promised. What does Robb Stark have to do with any of this? Well, Robb Stark is tied to Jon Snow. Robb and Jon grew up as half-brothers, but Jon's actual half-brother is Aegon. So logically speaking, the dead man at the prow of the ship should be Jon Connington. When we drop the dead man at the prow of the ship and the banquet of blood from the line quoted above, we are left with the blue rose, Jon Snow, and the mummer's dragon, the alleged Aegon Targaryen, who would be Jon Snow's half-brother. So it seems like Robb may have been used to establish a familial connection between the blue rose and the mummer's dragon. And the answer Dany is looking for about the three heads of the dragon seems to be contained in that passage in Daenerys V, ACoK 63. GRRM gave the answer without ever giving the names. He just gave us the symbolic references to the two characters. Following this, I went back to Quaithe's warning to Dany in her second ADwD chapter. "Hear me, Daenerys Targaryen. The glass candles are burning. Soon comes the pale mare, and after her the others. Kraken and dark flame, lion and griffin, the sun's son and the mummer's dragon." (Daenerys II, ADwD 11) Kraken and dark flame, lion and griffin, the sun's son and the mummer's dragon. Kraken (Victarion) and dark flame (Moqorro) are now traveling together. The lion (Tyrion) and the griffin (Jon Connington) were traveling together. The sun's son (Quentyn) and the mummer's dragon (Young Griff / Aegon) were nowhere near each other. Quentyn traveled with Cletus Yronwood, Maester Kedry, William Wells before they died, and continued on his way to Meereen with his remaining companions, Gerris Drinkwater and Archibald Yronwood before he fell in with the Windblown and then brought to Meereen by Daario. Similarly, Aegon traveled with the crew of the Shy Maid, then went to Westeros with the GC. It seems like these two don't fit together, don't make a whole lot of sense together. But they kind of do. The same way Aegon is Jon's half-brother because they would share the same father, Aegon and Quentyn are cousins. It sort of seems like all of this is done with purpose. There are essays I wrote about this down in my signature. One is titled Mother of Dragons, Blue Rose & Mummer's Dragon. The other one is titled The Dragon Has Three Heads.
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