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Everything posted by BalerionTheCat

  1. Difficult to say. If she can't recognize Olyvar innocence, I don't see how Jaime could have any chance. I believe she is some kind of justice. But not as blind as the Black Plague. She may not kill Olyvar. But she could use him anyway to trap others Freys.
  2. I agree neither Stannis nor Shireen will survive, or be in a position to claim Storm's End by the end. So it would logically go Edric. But IMO he is too minor a character, and the story is already late for him to develop. There will be plenty of opportunities for him to die. IMO the place is set for Gendry. The world will be different after the LN. The aloft, uncaring lords dead. I hope those replacing them will be more caring, will have a better understanding of the common folk, like Davos and Gendry. Like Egg had. Like fAgeon has. But of course he is cannon fodder for Dany. Robert said to Ned they should marry their children. He was talking of Joffrey and Sansa. But it fits nicely with Gendry and Arya. They would be quite unconventional lord and lady of Storm's End. IMO Mya will stay with Sansa. Probably in the Vale.
  3. I know some (most?) hate Rhaegar. But I can't believe this "crackpot" (I knew of it of course) was at any time popular. It is just Rhaegar blind hate.
  4. Then, who is she the daughter of? The baby switch with Lyanna's is absurd. If only for the timeline. ETA: Sorry I read Aerys and Rhaella. Of course not Rhaegar and his mother. Anyways, he was long gone from KL.
  5. As Ned's "the lone wolf dies, but the pack survives". Or Mance uniting the Free Folk to cross the Wall. But it must be a choice coming from people needing to stick together to face a problem. Not something forced on them by war and conquest. The 7K is a failure. I believe the message would rather be: "absolute power leads to wars each time the center of power moves". And the bigger the power, the bigger the casualties.
  6. Bloody glorious. War at nearly each generation. Their own feuds, madness, insanity as often as not. No. The conqueror was a burglar and murderer. He came into their houses and said: "gimme all you have or I'll kill you all". Houses some had built maybe 10 millennia ago. It was not a choice. Then he pretend the people were his, to do as he wanted. As much as the slavers his fathers were.
  7. Yes, but 300 years of ruling by fire and blood don't seem to have caught the attention of some. They enjoy and ask for more.
  8. Do you remember Duskendale? Aerys was mad. Robert and Ned were not guilty of anything. If they fled, it would have been Stannis and Benjen heads. Then all their houses. Maybe the Arryns and the Tullys too. What is insane is this crazy unfit man was sitting the IT. At some point the madness had to end. What is insane is so many people died for it. Would you think giving dragons or the nuclear power to Aerys, Viserys, Brightflame or the Young Dragon is a good idea? Read Tuf Voyaging if you don't know what GRRM thinks of war and absolute power as a problem solver. For sure Dany is a pawn. She is played by everyone in Meereen who know she will not stay and seek to occupy the vacuum of power she will left. She will be played by the Red Priests in their war against the Ice. She was played by Illrio. Like Cersei, queens of the chess board. But pawn in players hand nonetheless. This story is a game with players and pawns. LF, ASoS Sansa VI:
  9. The original planning is I believe long (and thankfully) forgotten. But yes, he changes his plans often. If publishing is "sticking to what is already out, and go on with that", while not publishing is "great, I've a new idea, I should rewrite all again, And I can because it's not yet published". Then yes delaying publication would not help. But he must now find a way to reach his destination without adding whole new books because the previous ones are not providing the foundations he need now. Whatever is the best way, I believe he has to stick to minimum of stability if he want one day finish the job.
  10. No, he did not. That is why I believe it was an error to release the book when he had the count of pages. Even if I was glad at the time to have another book. Time was passing, count of pages was increasing. But the achievement was not there.
  11. So it seems he used a lot of time improving, polishing, his ideas before publishing the 1st 3. He didn't need a lot of time writing and rewriting ACoK and ASoS if he wrote them one after the other. But yes, the story was easier to write then. So AFfC and ADwD were the aftermath. Jon's death, Bran meeting BR are new things. Of course TWoW should see big changes. Yes I know. My intent was not to ask for rushing, for changing his process of writing. But to work more efficiently. I believe by writing more before publishing. Yes, he is a gardener, not an architect. The ideas coming with writing. What I hope he is doing with TWoW by writing until he reaches a point in the story rather than a number of pages.
  12. The 1st 3 books came in a relatively quick succession. And it seems he knew exactly where to go and how to write it. So it would have been: waiting 3 years and publish together the 3 books as we know them. Or one book, a big one, but less than the 3 together. Maybe 2 parts. A more compact story than we know. But it would not make sense, because there was no problem to start with. The problem is after. He spent years writing the next 2 books. And it seems the story has not really progressed. We're still in the aftermath of ASoS. I like these 2 books as much as the previous. There is plenty to tell and I would not complain. Except he is now running out of time. Rather than spending years fixing and rewriting chapters that were maybe not necessary or better done differently, it seems his time may have been better used drafting... and possibly discarding chapter as soon as he discovers they're not fitting with the rest of the story. Maybe he could have come to less writing in total and it would be finished now.
  13. I mean after he was king. But I don't think the rebelion killed more than Maegor. Or the conqueror. Or the Dance. Anyway Aerys was asking his head. What was he to do? But yes, his incompetence and the mess after his death, the coming of Dany and the Others will kill much more than anything else.
  14. And if he writes one half. Publish it. Then starts the second half and discover he need more than one half to get where he intended. Then another half, and then... Why not decide to release TWoW only when the story reaches a given point? For example Dany in route for Westeros, the Others coming south, and so on. So that he is confident (as much as we can hope) he could finish the story in one book. At this point I believe a little planning ahead would be welcome. If he wants to reach his destination. And so be it if TWoW is the size of 1.5 or 1.9 books. His editor should think of the future sales if the story is never finished. Sure. Anyway, he didn't gave interviews. No one has more than what is in his post, except their own speculations.
  15. Where did you read he hope for Worldcon 2020 2021? Visiting Wellington next year could be little more than 6 months from now (or 18 months). Of just wishful thinking.
  16. He is not polishing. It is not near done. He would not say: "I still have a long way to go" and "next year, when I hope that both Covid-19 and THE WINDS OF WINTER will be done" It was another book, with a deadline imposed by the show. IMO he trashed most of it, written under the pressure.
  17. Yeah. Maybe 2 or 3 chapters per week. But how many times revisited, rewritten? "but all in all I am pleased with the way things are doing". IMO the positive point, he is pleased with what he's writing. But as long as it is not done, he may, at some point come to the conclusion he must trash that many chapters.
  18. Some years ago GRRM said he had a new idea for one character. It was speculated by some it was Barristan, deserting Dany for the new apparent Targaryen's heir. I was expecting him to survive Meereen and find his death later. Probably then by Dany. This guy served too many kings without questioning their suitability.
  19. That was what we (I suppose many of us) were thinking. Of course the Long Night was still to come.
  20. If after Winds he is still far from the end and still bogged in too many threads. I don't think we will see another book. If the path is clearer (for him) to the end, we may have the 7th and last in a not too long time. But it was what we were saying after ADwD and the Meereen's knot... The hard part is behind us No me. I've difficulties with never knowing the end of the story. At this point, I could do with someone, GRRM or his assistants, telling the gist of the story.
  21. Bran is certainly beyond petty things like wanting Theon dead. In fact Theon saved Bran by chasing him of Winterfell before the RW. And we don't know the Old Gods or BR need sacrificing, even if it was for Jon. I believe Bran will stay in the cave. Theon will be his presence, his voice, south of the Wall. Between Theon and Asha my guess is there is one too many. And IMO Theon is better suited to lead the IB in the world after the LN. Asha is still a bully like Victarion. I expect her to die somewhere along the way. Half the released chapters are too short to be complete. But it's already too much. Each one reduces the experience of reading TWOW for the 1st time.
  22. There is only one Bran's vision. And we don't know what it means. The Boltons had awful practices. But those who followed them died. Only fools like Ramsay want to resume it. But to stay in this thread's theme, because we're derailing it. Any theories that proclaim the Targaryens as the rightful kings. Masters and slavers of all, by their Valyrian blood.
  23. I didn't count the Baratheons in the good kings. But Robert killed less of his people than Maegor or the conqueror. Yes I know. You did no doubt.
  24. 1,2. It depends how far south the Others reach. IMO it makes no sense if the south houses do not pay for their errors. They could suffer worse than the north, from both Ice and Fire. The north and the Vale have been relatively able to prepare for winter and are used to extreme winters. If the south suffers the same winter than the north, it will be devastating. 3 Jon is the one by whom the Free Folk will find a place south of the Wall. Maybe help surviving the Winter. Someone must be the "Last Hero", the PtwP, AA. Or the LN will stay and all mankind will die. I'm not sure fleeing south is the escape. Living underground, in caves like the CotF may be better. 4. Grey plague Possibly. Shivers and Winter Fever barely touched the north. Count also for the Pale Mare. 5. Not sure what is the connection between the Others and the Old Gods. But thanks Bran, Jon, the Free Folk, the probable uselessness of the 7 and the death of their followers, I expect a return to the First Men values, the faith in the OG and their weirwoods. 6. IMO every place will be depopulated. Not just the north. The climate will be different after, the winters milder. Some FF may chose to live south, others will return far north because it was their home and life will be easier now. 7 In 200 years, Bran will be like BR is now. The Old Gods and the weirwoods everywhere. There could still be fools like Fomas. But I don't think the lesson of the Others will be forgotten soon. 8,9 I believe Winterfell will still be there with a Stark, part why Rickon is in this story. But KL will be no more. Something ephemeral, created by the Targaryens, the most stinking city of the known world. No more than the forced 7 kingdoms unification. Smaller kingdoms whose wars could not endanger the whole Westeros. And those wars prevented by people without crown or lands. Maybe founded by Jon and remnants of the NW, by FF volunteers, maybe remnants unsullied and sellswords of Dany armies. A new NW who like the Starks would "call the banners" if matters were going beyond their ability to handle. Or like Ned when he asked Dondarion to assist against the Mountain.
  25. Yes, she cares. She always believes it. She even shows it by going to the diseased. But it doesn't help. The plague was the consequence of her abandon of Astapor. She feels bad. But she intents to reclaim the 7K anyway. If she was really caring she would have stayed at Astaport, to build a system without slavery. Her desertion generated the plague. And she is willing to repeat the experience with Meereen. And probably bring destruction to Westeros even if fAegon is at this stage a decent king. Bring Red priests against the Faith. Bring dothrakis, sell-swords, ironborns (the brute or the monster?), living all for rampage and slavery.
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